Ever wonder how someone gets a 20 out of 24 score on Oscar predictions? We here at Awards Daily do. This year’s winner, Brandon Jones, tells us the secrets of his success:
AwardsDaily: What made you choose both Cotillard and Swinton?
BJ: Swinton, I think, gave one of the best performances of the past few years. She is also an actress that is consistently good (and one of my favorites.) I picked her because I had convinced my little brain that they wouldn‚Äôt let Michael Clayton go home empty handed. It was such a good film, (I loved it) and it was critically well received.¬† Unfortunately, the film was always nominated in categories with heavy, heavy favorites. Supp. Actress was the only category that had a window of opportunity. And when she won the BAFTA, that sealed the deal.
I picked Cotillard because of Tilda Swinton. She also gave an INSANELY amazing performance. I had a strong hunch that the Oscars were going to mirror the BAFTAs in most ways (except for Picture.) I think Marion‚Äôs reaction at the BAFTAs was too cute to pass up in the USA. Also ‚Äî for some oddball reason, I always think the Academy loves to have a ‚Äútheme‚Äù for its voting. I could be wrong ‚Äî and have no true substantial evidence — but having 4 foreigners win seemed likely this year. (I know Christie is a Brit but she lost to Marion at the BAFTAs and was also a previous winner.)
Do I sound crazy??
[AD: Are you kidding? Not in a mil]
AD: How did you go about making your choices? Were they based on hunches or what?
BJ: I usually make my choices based on the Guild & Critic Award wins. Also, based on hunches. The Globes only come into play in my mind when it‚Äôs a tie breaker. Other categories are based on a general consensus from critics. I have no idea what differentiates a movie with great sound editing vs. a movie with good sound editing.
AD: Are you always a good Oscar predictor?
BJ: I generally fair pretty well. Better than my friends ‚Äî but that‚Äôs simply because I am obsessed. It‚Äôs kind of embarrassing…ha ha. Awards Daily is really a source for a lot of my predicting material. (It‚Äôs my secret weapon for Oscar Pools.) This year, however, I did win the movies.com Oscar contest as well. And a few years ago finished in a close 2nd on that contest, too.
AD: Is this your best record?
BJ: This ties my best record. The year of Million Dollar Baby, I got 20/24 but missed Best Pic and Best Director (I went with Aviator/Martin S.) . But I consider this my best. I generally score between 14-17, though.
AD: Have you entered our contest before?
BJ: Yes. It is usually the first contest I enter during the year. so my scores have never been too good. But I have to say it is my favorite contest to enter.
That’s what we like to hear! You can take a gander at Brandon’s picks after the cut.
picture = No Country for Old Men
actor = Daniel Day Lewis
actress = Marion Cotillard
supp_actor = Javier Bardem
supp_actress = Tilda Swinton
director = The Coens
adapted = No Country
original = Juno
animated = Ratatouille
foreign = Counterfeiters
documentary = No End in Sight
score = Atonement
song = Falling Slowly
cinematography = Elswit
costume = Atonement
art = There Will Be Blood
makeup = La Vie En Rose
sound = Bourne Ultimatum
editing = Rouse
sound_editing = Bourne Ultimatum
doc_short = Freeheld
action_short = Mozart of Pickpockets
visual_effects = Transformers
animated_short = Peter & the Wolf
Biggest snub of the year = Parker Posey for BROKEN ENGLISH