Karger predicts the National Board of Review selections

Posted on 12/02/09 40 Comments

EW‘s Dave Karger lists his predictions for the National Board of Review’s Best Film and Top 10, to be announced sometime tomorrow:

Best Picture

  • Up in the Air

Top 10

  • An Education
  • The Hurt Locker
  • Invictus
  • It’s Complicated
  • The Lovely Bones
  • The Messenger
  • Nine
  • A Serious Man
  • A Single Man
  • Precious

Interesting mix.  Which AD reader’s guesses will be better?

Other posts you might like

40 Comments

  1. 1

    Beau says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:42pm

    Best Pic will be Bones, I think.

    Throw in Julie and Julia for the top ten as well.

  2. 2

    Jeff says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:45pm

    No “Up”? Surely it will make their list . . . right?

  3. 3

    Ashley says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:45pm

    I have a question. Can a movie that is nominated for best film also be in the best independent film category?

  4. 4

    the_movie_guy says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:48pm

    BEST PICTURE
    - The Hurt Locker

    Up in the Air
    Precious
    District 9
    Inglourious Basterds
    Invictus
    Nine
    The Messenger
    Up
    Brothers

  5. 5

    Retlaw Kciuq says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:48pm

    Am I the only one who finds it fishy that Universal and The Weinsteins are re-releasing Inglourious Basterds for one weekend the day after the NBR selections?

  6. 6

    Ryan Adams says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:49pm

    Bonus points for anyone who can tell us what time the NBR will announce. Their website seems to frozen on my laptop.

  7. 7

    the_movie_guy says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:50pm

    Oh yea 500 Days of Summer has a good chance as well..

  8. 8

    Olin says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:50pm

     An Education
     Invictus*
     The Hurt Locker
     Up in the Air
     Nine
     Precious
     The Lovely Bones
     It’s Complicated
     Inglourious Basterds
     A Serious Man

  9. 9

    Flapp says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:51pm

    Did you forget “Brothers”?

    I´m not alone anymore.
    Letterman is by my side!

  10. 10

    the_movie_guy says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 7:53pm

    The Hurt Locker is the best movie I’ve seen all year. Hands down. Incredible filmmaking.

    Followed by Inglorious Basterds, 500 Days of Summer, Up in the Air, District 9 and Precious.

  11. 11

    qwiggles says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 8:11pm

    I’m going to go strange and call An Education for the win. Seems like their kind of winner.

  12. 12

    rodrigo junqueira perticarari says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 8:27pm

    I am sure they will include SHERLOCK HOLMES in their top 10, and the winner will br invictus.

    -SHERLOCK HOLMES
    -UP IN THE AIR
    -THE FANTASTIC MR. FOX
    -THE WHITE RIBBON
    -AN EDUCATION
    -THE HURT LOCKER
    -INVICTUS
    -A Single Man
    -A Serious Man
    -Nine

  13. 13

    JR says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 8:29pm

    PS: Karger also believes the top acting prizes will go to Colin Firth and Meryl Streep.

    I too think they will reward Meryl Streep for both her films. I know I should watch out for Colin Firth, but I’ll say they go with Morgan Freeman instead.

    Can’t decide for the top prize. I believe it will go to either The Hurt Locker (simply because it’s great), Invictus (NBR loves them some Eastwood), Nine (Marshall did score Chicago into the top ten in 2002; at least we know they appreciate him) or Up in the Air (guess it’s the feel good movie of the year).

  14. 14

    Brad says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 8:44pm

    My predictions (again)

    Top Ten
    The Blind Side
    Crazy Heart
    An Education
    The Hurt Locker
    Inglorious Basterds
    Invictus
    Nine
    A Single Man
    Up
    Up in the Air

    Best Picture – Precious (alt: The Hurt Locker)
    Best Director – Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker (alt: John Lee Hancock, The Blind Side)
    Best Actor – Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart (alt: Colin Firth, A Single Man)
    Best Actress – Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side (Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia)
    Best S. Actor – Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones and Julie & Julia (alt: Woody Harleson, The Messenger)
    Best S. Actress – Mo’Nique, Precious (alt: Marion Cottilard, Nine)
    Best Cast – A Serious Man (alt: The Last Station)
    Best O. Screenplay – Bright Star (alt: 500 Days of Summer)
    BEst A. Screenplay – Up in the Air (alt: An Education)

  15. 15

    Ryan B says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 8:47pm

    Up in the Air
    Precious
    Inglourious Basterds
    Brothers
    Up
    Invictus
    Nine
    A Single Man
    A Serious Man
    Star Trek

  16. 16

    Felipe says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 8:58pm

    Up in the air
    Precious
    Hurt Locker
    Up
    A Single man
    Nine
    An Education
    A Serious Man
    500 days of summer
    Invictus

  17. 17

    Marble_Plum says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 9:06pm

    Up In The Air
    An Education
    The Hurt Locker
    Up
    A Serious Man
    Invictus
    Nine
    The Messenger
    Bright Star
    Precious

    Winner: The Hurt Locker or Up In The Air

  18. 18

    Mike says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 9:11pm

    I’ll go for A SINGLE MAN for their Best Picture.

  19. 19

    Patrick C. says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 9:13pm

    I had Invictus winning Best Picture just because of their so called fasination with Clint. But it would not surprise me to see Precious as their top choice.

    Invictus
    Precious
    Up in the Air
    The Blind Side
    Up
    The Hurt Locker
    A Serious Man
    The Road
    Nine
    An Education
    (I am hoping I am wrong on An Education and Paranormal Activity gets some love…but I doubt it)

  20. 20

    alliewayz says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 9:14pm

    Again, I haven’t seen all the films that are contenders, but I must say Where the Wild Things Are left me with an incredible and strange feeling, but it felt good. So far, the best I’ve seen. Here’s hoping it makes NBR Top Ten of 2009. (but probably won’t)

  21. 21

    Laura says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 9:34pm

    I’m going with Invictus for Best Picture. It’s got everything the NBRs love: historical significance, cultural diversity, and Clint Eastwood. I also think that they will put Up in the Top 10 list, and snub Avatar.

  22. 22

    Mike says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 9:44pm

    I dont think they will have seen AVATAR

  23. 23

    Chris says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 10:03pm

    I think at least 1 of these 4 will be in the Top 10:
    Up
    Julie and Julia
    It’s Complicated
    Star Trek

  24. 24

    Amanda says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 10:10pm

    I feel Invictus will be left out of the top 10.

  25. 25

    Jon R says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 10:17pm

    I might as well throw my predicitions out:

    Picture: The Hurt Locker
    Director: Rob Marshall – Nine
    Actor: Colin Firth – A Single Man
    Actress: Carey Mulligan – An Education
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz – Inglorious Basterds
    Supporting Actress: Anna Kendrick – Up in the Air
    Original Screenplay: The Hurt Locker
    Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air
    Animated Film: UP
    Documentary: The Cove
    Foreign Language Film: Un Prophete
    Ensemble: Nine

    Top Ten:
    Bright Star
    An Education
    The Hurt Locker
    Inglorious Basterds
    Invictus
    The Lovely Bones
    Nine
    Precious
    A Single Man
    Up in the Air

  26. 26

    OscarMovieBuff84 says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 10:22pm

    Winner – The Hurt Locker

    Rest of the Top 10

    Crazy Heart
    An Education
    Precious
    Nine
    Inglourious Basterds
    The Lovely Bones
    Invictus
    Up in the Air
    White Ribbon

  27. 27

    Clayton says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 10:37pm

    I think Up will definitely be on there, maybe replacing The Messenger or It’s Complicated. Hopefully (500) Days of Summer will make it in, too.

    Also, if Up in the Air is counted, there are 11 movies listed. Or is the top pick kept separate from the list? I can’t remember.

  28. 28

    Dark Lord says:
    Wednesday, December 2, 2009 at 10:46pm

    Predictions.

    10:

    A Serious Man (winner – “Why so serious?”)
    The Hurt Locker
    Precious
    Invictus
    Crazy Heart
    Nine
    (500) Days of Summer
    Brothers
    Bright Star
    A Single Man

    Director – Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker);
    Actor – Hal Holbrook (That Evening Sun);
    Actress – Meryl Streep (Julie and Julia);
    Supporting Actor – Christopher Plummer (The Last Station);
    Supporting Actress – Mo’Nique (Precious);
    Original Screenplay – Mark Boal (The Hurt Locker);
    Adapted Screenplay – Geoffrey Fletcher (Precious);
    Animated Film – Coraline;
    Documentary – Food, Inc.
    Foreign Language Film – Un Prophete;
    Ensemble – Nine.

  29. 29

    dannyboy555 says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 12:45am

    I am just hoping Up in the Air does not get Best Pic and would love it to be shut out!

  30. 30

    mileshigh says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 12:54am

    Bold Prediction:

    I think one of the ten movies could be “The Hangover.”

    Expect a “Quills” type upset for top film.

  31. 31

    Dan McGrath says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 1:08am

    Here’s my predicted 10 ( not neccessarily my personal picks )

    Winner

    The Hurt Locker

    the rest

    An Education
    Crazy Heart
    Inglourious Basterds
    Invictus
    Nine
    The Messenger
    Up
    A Single Man
    Precious

  32. 32

    qwiggles says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 1:16am

    “ebertchicago

    Those eager Top Ten beavers were WAY too early. Revisions may be necessary. 7 minutes ago from web”

    Which has Ebert seen — Sherlock or Avatar?

  33. 33

    ladylurks says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 1:25am

    Ryan – Last year’s NBR announcement in Variety was datelined 10:24 am Pacific Time, if that’s any help.

  34. 34

    Manuel says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 2:13am

    Best Picture: A Single Man

    Top Ten

    The Hurt Locker
    Precious
    The Lovely Bones
    Nine
    A Serious Man
    In the Loop
    Inglourious Basterds
    Up in the Air
    The Last Station
    Invictius

  35. 35

    DBibby says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 2:26am

    Great to see A Single Man love (after the ‘gurus’ have snubbed it). I certainly hope you’re right, Mike!

  36. 36

    Joe W says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 3:34am

    I’m gonna go out on a limb and call “District 9″ for Best Picture.

  37. 37

    Hunter says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 7:04am

    Tne NBR skews very Jewish, so I would expect to see A Serious Man and Inglourious Basterds in their top 10. It’s the reason Defiance got in last year. As for Sherlock Holmes, did Raiders of the Lost Ark make their list? That’s the movie Holmes most closely resembles.

  38. 38

    richard crawford says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 9:40am

    Bones is a bloody mess.

    I hope AN EDUCATION wins.

    have not seen up in the air

  39. 39

    Bernard says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 10:48am

    Winner: Invictus

    Top 10:
    The Road
    Up
    Up in the Air
    An Education
    A Single Man
    Crazy Heart
    Moon
    Precious
    District 9

  40. 40

    Brian says:
    Thursday, December 3, 2009 at 11:02am

    Dave Karger’s column is called Oscar Watch? I seem to remember a web site called Oscar Watch once upon a time. I wonder why he gets away with it and not you.

Post a Comment

Your email is never published or shared. Required fields are marked *