Golden Globe Predictions

The Golden Globes will answer a few big question marks today. Even though the 100-member organization aren’t critics exactly, and they aren’t Oscar voters certainly, their votes can often influence the direction of the race by setting the tone. Remember, the Oscar race is almost always about perception. What film or performer is the perceived winner at this particular moment can sometimes be defined by how the HFPA votes.

Tom O’Neil has a comprehensive list of predictions from many a pundit — like Peter Travers and Sam Rubin. Check it out. We’re going to do our own little list as well – I have changed mine since I sent them to Tom.

Our participants so far are:
Anne Thompson, Indiewire
Damien Bona, Inside Oscar
Scott Feinberg, And the Winner Is
Steve Pond, The Wrap
Dave Karger, EW
Craig Kennedy, Living in Cinema
Peter Knegt, Indiewire
Erik Childress, Cinematical & eFilmcritic
Edward Douglas, Coming Soon
Jeff Wells, Hollywood Elsewhere
Kris Tapley, In Contention
Tom O’Neil, Gold Derby

Other than last year, you have to go all the way back to Return of the King to find a Globes/Oscar match for Best Picture. That isn’t that long ago, but it’s worth noting that a lot can change between the Globes and Oscar.¬†¬† Nonetheless, here are our predictions.

Best Motion Picture – Drama
Avatar – Bona, Feinberg, Knegt, O’Neil, Pond, Tapley, Thompson, Wells
The Hurt Locker – Stone
Inglourious Basterds – Kennedy
Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire
Up in the Air – Childress, Douglas, Karger

Best Director – Motion Picture
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker – Bona, Childress, Kennedy, Knegt, Stone, Thompson, Wells
James Cameron, Avatar – Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, O’Neil, Pond, Tapley
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up In The Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell – District 9
Mark Boal – The Hurt Locker
Quentin Tarantino – Inglourious Basterds – Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, O’Neil, Tapley, Thompson
Nancy Meyers – It’s Complicated
Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner, Up In The Air – Bona, Childress, Douglas, Knegt, Pond, Stone

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side – Knegt, Stone, Tapley, Wells
Helen Mirren, The Last Station– Kennedy
Carey Mulligan, An Education – Bona, Childress, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Thompson
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious – O’Neil

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart – Bona, Knegt, Wells
George Clooney, Up In The Air – Childress, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, O’Neil, Pond, Stone, Tapley, Thompson
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Tobey Maguire, Brothers

Best Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
(500) Days Of Summer‚Ä®-Karger, Knegt, Pond, Wells
The Hangover‚Ä®-Bona, Tapley
It’s Complicated‚Ä® – O’Neil, Thompson
Julie & Julia-Douglas, Stone
Nine‚Ä®-Childress, Feinberg, Kennedy

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
Sandra Bullock – The Proposal
Marion Cotillard – Nine
Julia Roberts – Duplicity
Meryl Streep¬†‚Ä쬆It’s Complicated
Meryl Streep¬†‚Ä쬆Julie & Julia – Bona, Childress, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, Knegt, O’Neil, Pond, Stone, Tapley, Thompson, Wells

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
Matt Damon, The Informant! – Bona, Knegt, Pond, Stone, Tapley
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine – Childress, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, O’Neil
Robert Downey Jr., Sherlock Holmes
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, (500) Days Of Summer
Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man – Thompson, Wells

Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Penélope Cruz – Nine
Vera Farmiga – Up In The Air
Anna Kendrick – Up In The Air
Mo’nique¬†‚Ä쬆Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire – Bona, Childress, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, Knegt, O’Neil, Pond, Stone, Tapley, Thompson, Wells
Julianne Moore – A Single Man

Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Matt Damon – Invictus
Woody Harrelson – The Messenger
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz¬†‚Ä쬆Inglourious Basterds – Bona, Childress, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, Knegt, O’Neil, Pond, Stone, Tapley, Thompson, Wells

Best Animated Feature Film
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox‚Ä® Kennedy, Wells
The Princess And The Frog
Up – Bona, Childress, Douglas, Karger, Knegt, O’Neil, Pond, Tapley, Thompson, Stone

Best Foreign Language Film
Baaria (Italy)
Broken Embraces (Spain) Kennedy, Pond, Wells
The Maid (La Nana) (Chile)
A Prophet (Un Prophete)¬†(France)‚Ä® – Douglas, Feinberg, Stone, O’Neil, Tapley, Thompson
The White Ribbon (Das Weisse Band РEine Deutsche Kindergeschichte) (Germany) РBona, Childress, Karger, Knegt

Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Michael Giacchino – Up – Tapley
Marvin Hamlisch – The Informant! – Childress
James Horner – Avatar – Bona, Douglas, Feinberg, Karger, Kennedy, Knegt, O’Neil, Pond, Stone, Thompson, Wells
Abel Korzeniowski – A Single Man
Karen O and Carter Burwell – Where The Wild Things Are

Best Original Song – Motion Picture

“Cinema Italiano”¬†‚Ä쬆Nine‚Ä® Childress, Kennedy
“I See You”¬†‚Ä쬆Avatar
“I Want To Come Home”¬†‚Ä쬆Everybody’s Fine‚Ä® – Feinberg, Knegt, O’Neil, Tapley, Wells
“The Weary Kind (Theme From Crazy Heart)”¬†‚Äì Douglas, Karger, Pond, Thompson
“Winter”¬†‚Ä쬆Brothers‚Ä®Music By: U2‚Ä®Lyrics By: Bono – Bona, Stone

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