Oscar race 2010 looks like a cliffhanger right now. At one point it looked like Avatar was going to steamroller the thing. After the Golden Globes it felt like Avatar couldn’t lose. But that awards show often feels like an audition for the Oscars – how does it feel to see that film and that director win? Turns out, it didn’t fell that great. A short while later, The Hurt Locker won the PGA, then the DGA, and now threatens at the WGA this weekend, not to mention BAFTA. But that doesn’t necessarily mean Avatar is out of the running. But many out there in the prognosticating world feel like The Hurt Locker can’t win, probably because of the money. Enter Inglourious Basterds. Tom O’Neil’s has been predicting it would win for quite some time.
Here is Tom on the topic:
One of the most respected Oscarologists on the planet, Jack Mathews — former film critic of the New York Daily News who now writes for Moviefone — believes that “Basterds” has a real shot to win: “A very good case can be made for its ability to pull off a ‘Shakespeare’-size upset. It received just one less nomination than ‘Avatar’ and ‘The Hurt Locker’ and it has received them in all of the pertinent categories — picture, directing, acting, screenplay and film editing. It also did well at the box office, selling $120.5 million worth of tickets in the U.S. and Canada and $193 million overseas. Academy voters don’t always reward the biggest commercial success, which is ‘Avatar;’ nor are they known for throwing gold in the direction of box office bombs, which is ‘The Hurt Locker.’ Compared to those extremes, ‘Basterds’ may have just the right mix of good filmmaking and commercial appeal.”
“Basterds” also has something else in its favor that often decides what wins best picture: a famous person behind it who’s overdue for Oscar glory.