It’s always important to remember that Oscar predictions before all of the movies have been seen is not unlike spitting in the wind. You might get lucky and hit your mark but most likely, it splatters every which way.
Gold Derby now joins the fray and along with Gurus of Gold, two different groups with some crossover, many are predicting films that are still question marks. I don’t trust anyone who pretends to know how the Oscar race is going to go until they’ve seen everything. It’s complete insanity, my friends. So, as always we must take this, along with the Gurus, with a grain of salt. Unless there’s something I don’t know. Does the very act of predicting films that haven’t yet been seen help or hurt those movies? It’s hard to know. Does fake, generated buzz count as real buzz? Would a journalist see these predictions and say “War Horse has Oscar buzz.” Maybe. I don’t have the answers. Not yet anyway. So here is how it’s shaking down so far.
Head on over to Gold Derby and check things out.
Sasha this week: “I don’t trust anyone who pretends to know how the Oscar race is going to go until they’ve seen everything. It’s complete insanity, my friends”
Weren’t you saying last week (before any of us have seen The Iron Lady) that Glenn Close will win Best Actress? Didn’t you say, “Can’t lose”???
Sasha this week: “I don’t trust anyone who pretends to know how the Oscar race is going to go until they’ve seen everything. It’s complete insanity, my friends”
Weren’t you saying last week (before any of us have seen The Iron Lady) that Glenn Close will win Best Actress? Didn’t you say, “Can’t lose”???
@Vitaliy I agree. I haven’t seen J. Edgar yet, obvs. But I was disappointed by the trailer since he seemed to have a lot of Leo-isms. But the makeup made me think at lease someone was trying. I also haven’t seen TTSS but I guessed Oldman would do this and went all-in for him earlier in another post. 😀
@Vitaliy I agree. I haven’t seen J. Edgar yet, obvs. But I was disappointed by the trailer since he seemed to have a lot of Leo-isms. But the makeup made me think at lease someone was trying. I also haven’t seen TTSS but I guessed Oldman would do this and went all-in for him earlier in another post. 😀
What a diverse set of critics! Only 2 women and no clear people of color–unless you want to count Feinberg and Musto as being obviously “ethnic” names.
Could the Oscar-watching community be even whiter than the movie industry? Or are there simply that few movie reviewers of color?
Sigh….
What a diverse set of critics! Only 2 women and no clear people of color–unless you want to count Feinberg and Musto as being obviously “ethnic” names.
Could the Oscar-watching community be even whiter than the movie industry? Or are there simply that few movie reviewers of color?
Sigh….
Keifer, those seem like good winners, but will Academy choose all four actors from a 40+ age group? Sounds pretty rare today.
As of now, it does feel like 40-70 year olds (more like 50-80) are getting the buzz, but they will always find a young one, too (often females, often the least deserving of the nominees, I might add).
Keifer, those seem like good winners, but will Academy choose all four actors from a 40+ age group? Sounds pretty rare today.
As of now, it does feel like 40-70 year olds (more like 50-80) are getting the buzz, but they will always find a young one, too (often females, often the least deserving of the nominees, I might add).
I’m routing for Gary Oldman as Best Actor.
I tend to agree with Sasha that Viola Davis will be the favorite for Best Actress. I was so moved by her performance. I hope she wins Best Actress.
Best Supporting Actress? Vanessa Redgrave for Coriolanus (clearly, the winner in my view.
Best Supporting Actor? Good lord, will somebody please give Christopher Plummer an Oscar for Beginners?
And no mention of the last Harry Potter film? One of the best movies of the year.
I’m routing for Gary Oldman as Best Actor.
I tend to agree with Sasha that Viola Davis will be the favorite for Best Actress. I was so moved by her performance. I hope she wins Best Actress.
Best Supporting Actress? Vanessa Redgrave for Coriolanus (clearly, the winner in my view.
Best Supporting Actor? Good lord, will somebody please give Christopher Plummer an Oscar for Beginners?
And no mention of the last Harry Potter film? One of the best movies of the year.
Hey Sasha the only thing that I am interested is when in October are you interviewing Croneneberg? Are you planning to post it over here? I am so jealous!!!! Lucky you 🙂
Hey Sasha the only thing that I am interested is when in October are you interviewing Croneneberg? Are you planning to post it over here? I am so jealous!!!! Lucky you 🙂
Sasha, I don’t know if that “Jesus” comment was aimed at me, but I don’t really find it uncomfortable to predict films I haven’t seen yet, ’cause… I’m not predicting. As I always said, I analyze the buzz I hear/read, the reviews/previews, the trailer, the cast/crew dueness, the theme, etc. Do you really think that when I went on to predict films like Talk to her (which I nailed) or My Life Without Me (which I failed, despite being a success awards-wise in Europe, achieving noms at the big ones) is because I saw and liked them? I loved In the Loop and never thought it would have a chance beyond screenplay and maybe Capaldi for supporting actor. Same last year, I thought TSN was gonna sweep till Toronto skyrocketed TKS. In the end, when you look at this year, you can’t resist noticing the oscarability of War Horse and J Edgar, two projects that seem taylor-made for Oscar, on paper. If it was on my will, to have some movies nominated, movies like The Blair Witch Project, Chasing Amy, The Adventures of Priscilla Queen of the Desert, would have been Best Picture nominees (just to name 3 examples), but you know, I do this for fun, and I use with this “game” the same rules, exactly the same rules, that we use in geography for doing prospective: check out everything and interrelate.
Sasha, I don’t know if that “Jesus” comment was aimed at me, but I don’t really find it uncomfortable to predict films I haven’t seen yet, ’cause… I’m not predicting. As I always said, I analyze the buzz I hear/read, the reviews/previews, the trailer, the cast/crew dueness, the theme, etc. Do you really think that when I went on to predict films like Talk to her (which I nailed) or My Life Without Me (which I failed, despite being a success awards-wise in Europe, achieving noms at the big ones) is because I saw and liked them? I loved In the Loop and never thought it would have a chance beyond screenplay and maybe Capaldi for supporting actor. Same last year, I thought TSN was gonna sweep till Toronto skyrocketed TKS. In the end, when you look at this year, you can’t resist noticing the oscarability of War Horse and J Edgar, two projects that seem taylor-made for Oscar, on paper. If it was on my will, to have some movies nominated, movies like The Blair Witch Project, Chasing Amy, The Adventures of Priscilla Queen of the Desert, would have been Best Picture nominees (just to name 3 examples), but you know, I do this for fun, and I use with this “game” the same rules, exactly the same rules, that we use in geography for doing prospective: check out everything and interrelate.
Last Year best films, I’ll write this year too. it’s ganna be update it.
http://yasserdz.tumblr.com/post/10607477959/2010s-best-films-the-social-network-the
Last Year best films, I’ll write this year too. it’s ganna be update it.
http://yasserdz.tumblr.com/post/10607477959/2010s-best-films-the-social-network-the
Two films came out of the festivals as the most likely nominees – The Artist and The Descendants. They join Midnight in Paris which is, in my opinion, likely to get a BP nom. That’s three films. THE HELP has a long way to go. There are too many unknown factors that could come into the race and knock it down enough notches so that it doesn’t get in — YOUNG ADULT, DRAGON TATTOO, EXTREMELY LOUD, etc. Additionally, the new voting might not help a widely loved film like THE HELP – Instead it could help fuel passion votes for smaller films that voters feel need the help, if voters even understand the complicated voting. It is indeed tough to place what we haven’t seen, but here’s my predix:
1. The Descendants (seen)
2. Midnight in Paris (seen)
3. The Artist (seen)
4. Young Adult (have not seen, but the pedigree is there)
5. War Horse (have not seen, but the pedigree is there)
6. The Ides of March (seen)
7. The Help
The Tree of Life (seen) will fall off these charts. The J. Edgar trailer is an absolute horror show. Terrible. One has to pray the movie is better than the trailer. War Horse is a tough call — could be too saccharine, but certainly when Spielberg makes a film, we should pay attention. Sorry, but Moneyball is a bit snoozy. Remember, too, that many of these movies are seen by AMPAS members on DVD and they can turn them off. Hugo – Scorsese? Who knows? Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close could be something but not sure based on its trailer and even ten years later I’m not sure people are dying to see a movie about 9/11 and a child that loses his father and goes door to door meeting fellow New Yorkers. Super 8 played well over the summer and definitely had a lot of heart and folks worship J.J. Abrams – if enough falls off, that could sneak in there. And frankly, it was one of my most enjoyable cinema experiences of the year thus far so that would please me. But this predicting business is tough work – I’m off to the beach.
Two films came out of the festivals as the most likely nominees – The Artist and The Descendants. They join Midnight in Paris which is, in my opinion, likely to get a BP nom. That’s three films. THE HELP has a long way to go. There are too many unknown factors that could come into the race and knock it down enough notches so that it doesn’t get in — YOUNG ADULT, DRAGON TATTOO, EXTREMELY LOUD, etc. Additionally, the new voting might not help a widely loved film like THE HELP – Instead it could help fuel passion votes for smaller films that voters feel need the help, if voters even understand the complicated voting. It is indeed tough to place what we haven’t seen, but here’s my predix:
1. The Descendants (seen)
2. Midnight in Paris (seen)
3. The Artist (seen)
4. Young Adult (have not seen, but the pedigree is there)
5. War Horse (have not seen, but the pedigree is there)
6. The Ides of March (seen)
7. The Help
The Tree of Life (seen) will fall off these charts. The J. Edgar trailer is an absolute horror show. Terrible. One has to pray the movie is better than the trailer. War Horse is a tough call — could be too saccharine, but certainly when Spielberg makes a film, we should pay attention. Sorry, but Moneyball is a bit snoozy. Remember, too, that many of these movies are seen by AMPAS members on DVD and they can turn them off. Hugo – Scorsese? Who knows? Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close could be something but not sure based on its trailer and even ten years later I’m not sure people are dying to see a movie about 9/11 and a child that loses his father and goes door to door meeting fellow New Yorkers. Super 8 played well over the summer and definitely had a lot of heart and folks worship J.J. Abrams – if enough falls off, that could sneak in there. And frankly, it was one of my most enjoyable cinema experiences of the year thus far so that would please me. But this predicting business is tough work – I’m off to the beach.
The actor has to transform.
Does he have to transform into the real life perosn? No.
But when reading the script, their imagination has to suggest to them a physicality that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN. It has to suggest a manner of expression that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN.. It has to suggest an intonation that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN. It has to suggest a cadence that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN. It has to suggest an outer and internal rhythm that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN.
Neither Leo, nor Pitt do this.
Who does this? Gary Oldman.
The actor has to transform.
Does he have to transform into the real life perosn? No.
But when reading the script, their imagination has to suggest to them a physicality that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN. It has to suggest a manner of expression that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN.. It has to suggest an intonation that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN. It has to suggest a cadence that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN. It has to suggest an outer and internal rhythm that is DIFFERENT FROM THEIR OWN.
Neither Leo, nor Pitt do this.
Who does this? Gary Oldman.
Crazy that Gold Derby doesn’t even have Fassbender in the top 5 of Actor predictions, but Movieline has him as the front-runner due to the industry buzz he’s receiving right now.
That’s an element that is more difficult to quantify. Gold Derby’s ratings seem to be skewed by their own editors’ (outside-the-industry) opinions.
Crazy that Gold Derby doesn’t even have Fassbender in the top 5 of Actor predictions, but Movieline has him as the front-runner due to the industry buzz he’s receiving right now.
That’s an element that is more difficult to quantify. Gold Derby’s ratings seem to be skewed by their own editors’ (outside-the-industry) opinions.
Well clearly we have a different opinion of what constitutes great acting. I think some kind of transformation should be involved and you should be able to see some evidence that work was put in.* I didn’t see that from Pitt in Moneyball. He looked like he rolled out of bed and walked through it. I used to be a huge fan of his when I was in high school and college. Floyd is still my favorite. I was desperate for him to be nominated for Burn After Reading, but every year there is a glut of actors who should be nominated. When a non-performance gets in, it pisses me off. I don’t care who it is. Without having seen almost anything, I can safely bet that there are five performances out there that are more deserving than this one, imo.
But I got what I wanted last year at the Oscars. I was for the 4 winning actors all the way. I don’t expect to get that two years in a row.
*I almost always root for the amount of quality work put in for every category. That’s why if you were tracking me, which I know you all want to do, you’d notice I almost always go with the bigger film that took a lot more work. Unless it’s total crap, I’ll generally be rooting for something that has an ensemble cast and ten minutes of credits over a movie about two people in a room talking. It’s just what I gravitate to.
Well clearly we have a different opinion of what constitutes great acting. I think some kind of transformation should be involved and you should be able to see some evidence that work was put in.* I didn’t see that from Pitt in Moneyball. He looked like he rolled out of bed and walked through it. I used to be a huge fan of his when I was in high school and college. Floyd is still my favorite. I was desperate for him to be nominated for Burn After Reading, but every year there is a glut of actors who should be nominated. When a non-performance gets in, it pisses me off. I don’t care who it is. Without having seen almost anything, I can safely bet that there are five performances out there that are more deserving than this one, imo.
But I got what I wanted last year at the Oscars. I was for the 4 winning actors all the way. I don’t expect to get that two years in a row.
*I almost always root for the amount of quality work put in for every category. That’s why if you were tracking me, which I know you all want to do, you’d notice I almost always go with the bigger film that took a lot more work. Unless it’s total crap, I’ll generally be rooting for something that has an ensemble cast and ten minutes of credits over a movie about two people in a room talking. It’s just what I gravitate to.
So where’s Rachel Weisz love for the beautiful “Deep Blue Sea”? And ditto Marion Cotillard’s sublime turn in “Midnight in Paris”? And Owen Wilson for “Midnight”, too? Dominic Cooper for “Devil’s Double” for playing THREE parts in the same film WITHOUT make-up? And Tom Hiddleston, the co-star of “Deep Blue Sea” and Rachel Weisz’ difficult young lover is ALSO playing the lead British officer who buys the War Horse in “War Horse”? AND he’s playing F. Scott Fitzgerald in “Midnight in Paris”? He could be the only actor competing AGAINST himself with two movies that he didn’t also direct “Midnight” and “War Horse”? Only great call, adding Emily Watson in who’s the mother in “War Horse”. The mother of the boy not the horse.
So where’s Rachel Weisz love for the beautiful “Deep Blue Sea”? And ditto Marion Cotillard’s sublime turn in “Midnight in Paris”? And Owen Wilson for “Midnight”, too? Dominic Cooper for “Devil’s Double” for playing THREE parts in the same film WITHOUT make-up? And Tom Hiddleston, the co-star of “Deep Blue Sea” and Rachel Weisz’ difficult young lover is ALSO playing the lead British officer who buys the War Horse in “War Horse”? AND he’s playing F. Scott Fitzgerald in “Midnight in Paris”? He could be the only actor competing AGAINST himself with two movies that he didn’t also direct “Midnight” and “War Horse”? Only great call, adding Emily Watson in who’s the mother in “War Horse”. The mother of the boy not the horse.
Ryan, so you saying “thank God” Gibson & Costner won for tripe?
nope, mark. The “Thank God” was in response to another reader reminding me that Moneyball is nothing like “epic” Braveheart and Dances with Wolves. I meant Thank God it’s not going to be anything like those movies.
I don’t think Gibson and Costner deserved the Oscars those years. I think those Oscars are mistakes. I’m aware lots of people disagree.
Ryan, so you saying “thank God” Gibson & Costner won for tripe?
nope, mark. The “Thank God” was in response to another reader reminding me that Moneyball is nothing like “epic” Braveheart and Dances with Wolves. I meant Thank God it’s not going to be anything like those movies.
I don’t think Gibson and Costner deserved the Oscars those years. I think those Oscars are mistakes. I’m aware lots of people disagree.
why the “thank god” for Braveheart & Dances with Wolves? Do you really think they were tripe?
Thanks…
mark, they’re two of my least favorite best picture winners. Two movies I doubt I’ll ever watch again.
why the “thank god” for Braveheart & Dances with Wolves? Do you really think they were tripe?
Thanks…
mark, they’re two of my least favorite best picture winners. Two movies I doubt I’ll ever watch again.
I can live with Moneyball getting a Best Picture slot. The Help on the other hand…..
I’m still holding out hope that the Academy wises up and honor the Harry Potter series, but at this point, that has as much chance of happening as Lindsay Lohan getting clean, or Eddie Murphy not sucking as the host for this year’s Oscar telecast.
I can live with Moneyball getting a Best Picture slot. The Help on the other hand…..
I’m still holding out hope that the Academy wises up and honor the Harry Potter series, but at this point, that has as much chance of happening as Lindsay Lohan getting clean, or Eddie Murphy not sucking as the host for this year’s Oscar telecast.
Good grief, Ryan. :p That was for Braveheart and Dances With Wolves. I’m sorry but after seeing Moneyball, I can’t say it’s in league with those films. Those were epic in scale and those guys directed themselves. It’s not even the same thing. If you like Moneyball, fine. I get that the critics like it. And people have had less than 24 hours to see it. When it’s all said and done I expect it to be as popular with the masses as the “embarrassment” The Blind Side. You assumed that by me comparing the two films that I hated TBS as much as you did, and therefore was saying Moneyball is sh*t. But I didn’t and I wasn’t. But perhaps Mr. Congeniality will win two awards for producing and walking around acting like himself. I thought we had an actor heavy season, with real performances, but I guess not. I have no idea what Billy Beane looks, sounds, or acts like. But if he isn’t a doppelganger for Pitt with all the same mannerisms, I really don’t feel like hearing crap about Leo’s old man makeup.
For the record. I thought that Moneyball was decent but bland. A bland sports picture confuses me. I keep reading from the people who loved it, that they don’t like baseball. That also confuses me. But, okay. In a five movie year, I wouldn’t nominate it. Ten? Maybe. I’m trying to adjust to the #1 vote rule. I haven’t seen hardly anything but I would think this could be a movie everyone likes a lot but they all have one or two other movies they like better. Maybe this will be everyone’s favorite. But we just started and I personally was underwhelmed. So I’m guessing this isn’t your Best Picture or your Best Actor. But we’re all guessing for now.
I have no idea what Billy Beane looks, sounds, or acts like. But if he isn’t a doppelganger for Pitt with all the same mannerisms, I really don’t feel like hearing crap about Leo’s old man makeup.
Good grief, I didn’t know a good performance means an actor has to be able to climb into bed with the actual wife of the guy he’s portraying, and his disguise has to be so convincing she’d never realize that’s not her husband.
Why does this have to be an exact impersonation to be effective? It’s not an episode of Mission Impossible c.1969.
It’s fine with me if Faye Dunaway isn’t a doppleganger for Bonnie Parker, aren’t you? It’s fine with me if Leonardo DiCaprio looks absolutely nothing at all like Howard Hughes. I’m forever grateful that Scorsese didn’t have DiCaprio wear a Howard Hughes mask of prosthetic appliances all over his face. That’s not a performance. It’s Halloween.
You have no idea what Billy Beane looks like. Neither do I. Nor do I care. What difference does it make?
Good grief, Ryan. :p That was for Braveheart and Dances With Wolves.
erg, I know. Thank god. I think both those movies are tripe.
Good grief, Ryan. :p That was for Braveheart and Dances With Wolves. I’m sorry but after seeing Moneyball, I can’t say it’s in league with those films. Those were epic in scale and those guys directed themselves. It’s not even the same thing. If you like Moneyball, fine. I get that the critics like it. And people have had less than 24 hours to see it. When it’s all said and done I expect it to be as popular with the masses as the “embarrassment” The Blind Side. You assumed that by me comparing the two films that I hated TBS as much as you did, and therefore was saying Moneyball is sh*t. But I didn’t and I wasn’t. But perhaps Mr. Congeniality will win two awards for producing and walking around acting like himself. I thought we had an actor heavy season, with real performances, but I guess not. I have no idea what Billy Beane looks, sounds, or acts like. But if he isn’t a doppelganger for Pitt with all the same mannerisms, I really don’t feel like hearing crap about Leo’s old man makeup.
For the record. I thought that Moneyball was decent but bland. A bland sports picture confuses me. I keep reading from the people who loved it, that they don’t like baseball. That also confuses me. But, okay. In a five movie year, I wouldn’t nominate it. Ten? Maybe. I’m trying to adjust to the #1 vote rule. I haven’t seen hardly anything but I would think this could be a movie everyone likes a lot but they all have one or two other movies they like better. Maybe this will be everyone’s favorite. But we just started and I personally was underwhelmed. So I’m guessing this isn’t your Best Picture or your Best Actor. But we’re all guessing for now.
I have no idea what Billy Beane looks, sounds, or acts like. But if he isn’t a doppelganger for Pitt with all the same mannerisms, I really don’t feel like hearing crap about Leo’s old man makeup.
Good grief, I didn’t know a good performance means an actor has to be able to climb into bed with the actual wife of the guy he’s portraying, and his disguise has to be so convincing she’d never realize that’s not her husband.
Why does this have to be an exact impersonation to be effective? It’s not an episode of Mission Impossible c.1969.
It’s fine with me if Faye Dunaway isn’t a doppleganger for Bonnie Parker, aren’t you? It’s fine with me if Leonardo DiCaprio looks absolutely nothing at all like Howard Hughes. I’m forever grateful that Scorsese didn’t have DiCaprio wear a Howard Hughes mask of prosthetic appliances all over his face. That’s not a performance. It’s Halloween.
You have no idea what Billy Beane looks like. Neither do I. Nor do I care. What difference does it make?
Good grief, Ryan. :p That was for Braveheart and Dances With Wolves.
erg, I know. Thank god. I think both those movies are tripe.
Yes, many of the movies haven’t even been released yet. I realize critics get screenings at festivals and what not, but we don’t really know who’s sent what and who hasn’t seen what. Very difficult to predict this early. I’m always routing for Streep and hope to see a new trailer soon.
Yes, many of the movies haven’t even been released yet. I realize critics get screenings at festivals and what not, but we don’t really know who’s sent what and who hasn’t seen what. Very difficult to predict this early. I’m always routing for Streep and hope to see a new trailer soon.
Dave Karger’s picks (pronouncements) should be bolded.
Dave Karger’s picks (pronouncements) should be bolded.
The all-over-the-place nature of this list alone assures me that this race will be fun to watch for at least a while–but maybe not forever, if everything goes into a King’s Speech-like stupor.
And some of the lists I see compiled in the above comments tells me there’s a lot to look forward to viewing.
The all-over-the-place nature of this list alone assures me that this race will be fun to watch for at least a while–but maybe not forever, if everything goes into a King’s Speech-like stupor.
And some of the lists I see compiled in the above comments tells me there’s a lot to look forward to viewing.
And, Santa looks great in my imagination and when I sit on his knee as well…
And, Santa looks great in my imagination and when I sit on his knee as well…
We all have the right to expect a “knock it out of the park” performance from Streep. She certainly has the acting chops to do so…
We all have the right to expect a “knock it out of the park” performance from Streep. She certainly has the acting chops to do so…
Sasha,
Streep appears to be the consensus best actress among the so called experts even with you changing your prediction order.
Streep appears to be the consensus best actress among the so called experts even with you changing your prediction order.
Funny that it’s a consensus about a performance no one has seen. Just saying. Santa Claus looks great to me when I imagine him too.
Santa Claus looks great to me when I imagine him too.
Santa never looked authentic to me. I never bought into his act and the global logistics didn’t add up.
But I kept my skepticism to myself so long as the presents kept coming.
Sasha,
Streep appears to be the consensus best actress among the so called experts even with you changing your prediction order.
Streep appears to be the consensus best actress among the so called experts even with you changing your prediction order.
Funny that it’s a consensus about a performance no one has seen. Just saying. Santa Claus looks great to me when I imagine him too.
Santa Claus looks great to me when I imagine him too.
Santa never looked authentic to me. I never bought into his act and the global logistics didn’t add up.
But I kept my skepticism to myself so long as the presents kept coming.
Sasha,
On the gold derby winner predictions for Best Actress you have Streep followed by Davis then Close.
On your site, you have been crowing about how Davis will win followed by Close then Streep.
I don’t get the conflicting predictions — which is it?
On the gold derby winner predictions for Best Actress you have Streep followed by Davis then Close.
That’s a mistake – I sent him my form first and then realized he wanted them ordered. That is my list without them being ordered. I see it as: Davis, Close, Streep.
Sasha,
On the gold derby winner predictions for Best Actress you have Streep followed by Davis then Close.
On your site, you have been crowing about how Davis will win followed by Close then Streep.
I don’t get the conflicting predictions — which is it?
On the gold derby winner predictions for Best Actress you have Streep followed by Davis then Close.
That’s a mistake – I sent him my form first and then realized he wanted them ordered. That is my list without them being ordered. I see it as: Davis, Close, Streep.
I have a question.
Is everyone forgetting Bale for Best Actor? The Flowers of War will be released this year. Or is everyone expecting Bale to give one of those uninteresting quiet performances that he doesn’t excel at?
I have a question.
Is everyone forgetting Bale for Best Actor? The Flowers of War will be released this year. Or is everyone expecting Bale to give one of those uninteresting quiet performances that he doesn’t excel at?
My bets would be…
1. War Horse
2. Moneyball
3. The Help
4. The Descendants
5. J Edgar
———
6. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
7. The Descendants
8. Harry Potter 8
———–
9. Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy
10. The Artist
———-
11. The Tree of Life
12. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
13. My Week with Marilyn
14. The Ides of March
15. Carnage
16. The Iron Lady
17. We Need to Talk About Kevin
18. Midnight in Paris
19. Drive
20. Shame
Jesus, I just get nervous when people predict movies that haven’t yet been seen. Surely you must feel this way too.
My bets would be…
1. War Horse
2. Moneyball
3. The Help
4. The Descendants
5. J Edgar
———
6. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
7. The Descendants
8. Harry Potter 8
———–
9. Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy
10. The Artist
———-
11. The Tree of Life
12. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
13. My Week with Marilyn
14. The Ides of March
15. Carnage
16. The Iron Lady
17. We Need to Talk About Kevin
18. Midnight in Paris
19. Drive
20. Shame
Jesus, I just get nervous when people predict movies that haven’t yet been seen. Surely you must feel this way too.
Hmm… I didn’t check all of the charts out, but I think you guys having Moneyball and Brad Pitt high up are nanners. 🙂 That means you think there is a good possibility that Mr. Pitt will be walking away with two Oscars that night, Best Actor and Best Picture. Yeah he’s this year’s Sandy, imo. But two of the biggest awards on the same night? I can’t see them doing that.
And Moneyball is this year’s The Blind Side. Problem is this isn’t a 10 movie year.
And Moneyball is this year’s The Blind Side. Problem is this isn’t a 10 movie year.
good grief, Antoinette, have you not seen that Moneyball reviews are in the stratosphere? Critic and popular reaction is through the roof.
The Blind Side is widely regarded as a BP embarrassment. The Blind Side is closer to Bridesmaids than it is to Moneyball.
But two of the biggest awards on the same night? I can’t see them doing that.
They did it for Mel Gibson. They did it for Kevin Costner.
Hmm… I didn’t check all of the charts out, but I think you guys having Moneyball and Brad Pitt high up are nanners. 🙂 That means you think there is a good possibility that Mr. Pitt will be walking away with two Oscars that night, Best Actor and Best Picture. Yeah he’s this year’s Sandy, imo. But two of the biggest awards on the same night? I can’t see them doing that.
And Moneyball is this year’s The Blind Side. Problem is this isn’t a 10 movie year.
And Moneyball is this year’s The Blind Side. Problem is this isn’t a 10 movie year.
good grief, Antoinette, have you not seen that Moneyball reviews are in the stratosphere? Critic and popular reaction is through the roof.
The Blind Side is widely regarded as a BP embarrassment. The Blind Side is closer to Bridesmaids than it is to Moneyball.
But two of the biggest awards on the same night? I can’t see them doing that.
They did it for Mel Gibson. They did it for Kevin Costner.
Not only On The Road, but Best Exotic is now a 2012 release as well
Not only On The Road, but Best Exotic is now a 2012 release as well
Thanks, Sasha. There’s one big mistake in the charts that I can’t fix till Monday when my tech guys return to the office. The charts showing our individual predix/ ranking for best picture only show 9 films instead of 10. We all picked 10, of course, but the box is temporarily cropped here:
http://www.goldderby.com/predictions/experts/19/4/#experts-predictions-best-picture.html
Thanks, Sasha. There’s one big mistake in the charts that I can’t fix till Monday when my tech guys return to the office. The charts showing our individual predix/ ranking for best picture only show 9 films instead of 10. We all picked 10, of course, but the box is temporarily cropped here:
http://www.goldderby.com/predictions/experts/19/4/#experts-predictions-best-picture.html
My ten wise roosters for the season…
MICHAEL FASSBENDER from SHAME
JEAN DUJARDIN from THE ARTIST
GARY OLDMAN from TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY
MICHAEL SHANNON from TAKE SHELTER
WOODY HARRELSON from RAMPART
TOM HARDY from THE WARRIOR
JOEL EDGERTON from THE WARRIOR
EWAN MCGREGOR from BEGINNERS
LEONARDO DICAPRIO from J. EDGAR
RYAN GOSLING from DRIVE
and my ten beauty hares for the season….
ELIZABETH OLSEN from MARTHA MARCY MAY MARLENE
GLENN CLOSE from ALBERT NOBBS
KIRSTEN DUNST from MELANCHOLIA
JODIE FOSTER from CARNAGE
TILDA SWINTON from WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN
KRISTEN WIG from BRIDESMAIDS
MICHELLE WILLIAMS from MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
MIA WASIKOWSKA from JANE EYRE
FELICITY JONES from LIKE CRAZY
CHARLIZE THERON from YOUNG ADULT
My ten wise roosters for the season…
MICHAEL FASSBENDER from SHAME
JEAN DUJARDIN from THE ARTIST
GARY OLDMAN from TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY
MICHAEL SHANNON from TAKE SHELTER
WOODY HARRELSON from RAMPART
TOM HARDY from THE WARRIOR
JOEL EDGERTON from THE WARRIOR
EWAN MCGREGOR from BEGINNERS
LEONARDO DICAPRIO from J. EDGAR
RYAN GOSLING from DRIVE
and my ten beauty hares for the season….
ELIZABETH OLSEN from MARTHA MARCY MAY MARLENE
GLENN CLOSE from ALBERT NOBBS
KIRSTEN DUNST from MELANCHOLIA
JODIE FOSTER from CARNAGE
TILDA SWINTON from WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN
KRISTEN WIG from BRIDESMAIDS
MICHELLE WILLIAMS from MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
MIA WASIKOWSKA from JANE EYRE
FELICITY JONES from LIKE CRAZY
CHARLIZE THERON from YOUNG ADULT
By the way ..”career tributes will be awarded to Charlize Theron, director David Cronenberg and Gary Oldman at the 21st Gotham Independent Film Awards on Nov. 28,” according to Deadline.
By the way ..”career tributes will be awarded to Charlize Theron, director David Cronenberg and Gary Oldman at the 21st Gotham Independent Film Awards on Nov. 28,” according to Deadline.
Heck, y’all got further than I did. I quit reading after seeing IDES OF MARCH at #2. Why do they even bother?
Heck, y’all got further than I did. I quit reading after seeing IDES OF MARCH at #2. Why do they even bother?
Why is no one predicting Kristen Wiig!?? She was amazing in “Bridesmaids” and the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Comedy is hers to lose at this point. She should definitely be included in the discussion.
Why is no one predicting Kristen Wiig!?? She was amazing in “Bridesmaids” and the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Comedy is hers to lose at this point. She should definitely be included in the discussion.
These predictions are so bizarre I stopped reading after they put On the Road on the list, (the movie is coming out next year). And I agree with Aaron about the best actress race, pretty ridicoulus and unbelivable! Sorry 🙁
These predictions are so bizarre I stopped reading after they put On the Road on the list, (the movie is coming out next year). And I agree with Aaron about the best actress race, pretty ridicoulus and unbelivable! Sorry 🙁
Seeing them list Super 8 that high makes me uninterested in their entire list.
Seeing them list Super 8 that high makes me uninterested in their entire list.
I’m confused as to why Saoirse Ronan, Anna Kendrick, Emma Stone, etc., are higher than Keira Knightley, Felicity Jones, and Tilda Swinton in the best actress race. That doesn’t make any sense to me.
I’m confused as to why Saoirse Ronan, Anna Kendrick, Emma Stone, etc., are higher than Keira Knightley, Felicity Jones, and Tilda Swinton in the best actress race. That doesn’t make any sense to me.
OT: Synopsis for The Hobbit released: http://screenrant.com/the-hobbit-movie-images-synopsis-sandy-106996/
Now on topic: Hoping that DiCaprio really pushed a sensational performance. He is long overdue. I have a good feeling about Fincher showing up well this year. Maybe Dragon Tattoo will push the boundaries of the Academy’s “approval limit”.
OT: Synopsis for The Hobbit released: http://screenrant.com/the-hobbit-movie-images-synopsis-sandy-106996/
Now on topic: Hoping that DiCaprio really pushed a sensational performance. He is long overdue. I have a good feeling about Fincher showing up well this year. Maybe Dragon Tattoo will push the boundaries of the Academy’s “approval limit”.
Ewan McGregor is higher than Jean Dujardin. I gave up reading after that.
Ewan McGregor is higher than Jean Dujardin. I gave up reading after that.