Peter Knegt at IndieWire takes a swing at forecasting tomorrow’s Gotham nominees, and comes up with this list of likelys for Best Feature.
- The Descendants
- Martha Marcy May Marlene
- Take Shelter
- The Tree of Life
Peter names these alternative possibilities: Midnight in Paris, We Need To Talk About Kevin, Like Crazy, Pariah, Win Win, Rampart, Jane Eyre, Beginners. Surprisingly (or not), he’s rather quick to write off Oscar hopes for any Indies other than The Descendants, Midnight in Paris and Tree of Life. (He lists altogether 16 films that he thinks will figure significantly in tomorrow’s Gotham categories, after the cut.)
He notes that the Gothams allow for Indies with bigger budgets — a bar that will exclude Tree of Life and Midnight in Paris from the Spirit Awards. Likewise, international indies like Shame and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy are probably ineligible for Gotham nominations because their rules stipulate films “must be directed and/or produced by a US born or based filmmaker.”