Tomorrow, the National Board of Review announces its top ten. Although the New York Film Critics stole their thunder, and many of my colleagues write them off as being irrelevant, it’s hard not to notice their track record. They’ve been awarding films headed for Best Picture for many a decade. It’s extremely rare to win the NBR and not at least be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars. The same can’t be said for either the NYFCC or LAFCA. Like them or not, they are one of the most powerful predictors of the Oscars.
Last year, when the Social Network swept the awards, it became the first time one film won as many NBR awards but didn’t go on to win the Best Picture Oscar. Let’s not rehash it.
They seem to love Clint Eastwood and Steven Spielberg. This is why I think War Horse will win the National Board of Review tomorrow and Steven Spielberg Best Director, launching it into the race, if it wasn’t in the race already. The only other film I think might win would be The Artist. The Descendants has a chance too. Anything else winning would be a surprise.
My No Guts, No Glory pick for Best Picture at the NBR is Moneyball, which has virtually no shot.
For BEST ACTOR I think it will be either Brad Pitt for Moneyball or George Clooney for The Descendants. BEST ACTRESS I think is either going to be Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady or Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn. SUPPORTING ACTRESS I think will be Jessica Chastain again, and Supporting Actor I will guess Albert Brooks again.
If you’d like to enter our contest predicting the NBR you may do so HERE. If you already entered in the previous contest, you don’t have to do it twice. CLICK HERE
My top ten predictions and the films that have been nominated for the National Board of Review after the cut.