For our 12th Annual No Guts, No Glory you can name three potential upsets — like serious upsets — that might happen tomorrow morning. They have to be near impossibilities. But still within the realm of reality. Pick up to 3.

My three are:

1. Harry Potter for ensemble
2. Drive for ensemble
3. Demian Bechir for Best Actor

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  • Gabriel D.

    Hilary Swank for The Resident OR New Year’s Eve

  • Dee

    Andy Serkis for best supporting actor

  • Jake

    I think this is more of a possibility than anything else– Charlize Theron for Best Actress and Patton Oswalt for Best Supporting Actor. That means Glenn Close is out and we never have to discuss her horrible film again.

  • Harold & Kumar

    1) Ides of March, Best Ensemble
    2) Ryan Gosling (Drive) Best Actor
    3) Brad Pitt (Tree of Life) Best Supporting Actor

  • 1) Hunter McCracken (The Tree of Life), Best Supporting Actor
    2) Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids), Best Actress
    3) Ryan Gosling (Crazy, Stupid, Love.), Best Supporting Actor

  • GBalcanquel

    Ryan Gosling for Ides of March

  • Lead Actress – Emma Stone (The Help)
    Lead Actor – Thomas Horn (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    Supporting Actor – Ralph Fiennes (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows)
    Supporting Actress – Cate Blanchett (Hanna)
    Ensemble – Contagion

  • Jake / Dee

    Theron, Oswalt and Serkis have just received BFCA-nominations, so how are they NGNG-material ?

  • Ugh, I got carried away and picked 5, my top3 are :

    Emma Stone
    Ralph Fiennes
    Cate Blanchett

  • 1. Saoirse Ronan for actress
    2. Patton Oswalt for supporting actor
    3. Win Win for ensemble

  • 1). Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia), Best Actress
    2). John Hawkes (Martha, Marcy, May, Marlene), Best Supp. Actor
    3). Contagion, Best Ensemble

    I guess Dunst would have the most realistic shot of these…

  • Vincent

    Sandra Bullock: Best Supporting Actress “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close”
    Kate Winslet: Best Supporting Actress “Carnage”

  • Question Mark

    Jonah Hill is snubbed for Supporting Actor
    Carey Mulligan (Shame) for Supporting Actress
    Corey Stoll (Midnight In Paris) for Supporting Actor

  • Richard

    Best actor: Joseph Gordon-Levitt for 50/50
    Best actor: Chris Evans for Capatain America
    Best film Source Code

  • knee_play

    1. Melancholia for ensemble
    2. Viggo Mortensen for A Dangerous Method
    3. Emily Browning for Sleeping Beauty

  • Macy

    Best Ensemble: Harry Potter (wouldn’t it be shockingly great if it actually managed to get nominated?!?)

    Best Actor: Thomas Horn (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

    Best Actress: Mia Wasikowska (Jane Eyre)

    Best Supporting Actor: Sean Penn (The Tree of Life) (I would’ve gone for Alan Rickman for ‘Harry Potter’ but that would’ve been too excess since my NGNG Ensemble if for ‘Potter’)

    Best Supporting Actress: Evan Rachel Wood (The Ides of March)

  • Macy

    Out of the five I’ve picked, the three that would qualify for NGNG would be:

    Ensemble: Harry Potter
    Actor: Thomas Horn
    Actress: Mia Wasikowska

  • Macy

    Great call on Wasikowska…had her film been released later, she could be a serious contender now with all those great reviews, decent art-house-Box-Office and remarkably Academy-friendly role.

  • Macy

    @phantom: The fact that Michael Fassbender is part of that film might help Wasikowska’s chances too.

  • Monica

    1. The Ides of March for ensemble

    2. Kirsten Dunst for Best Actress

    3. Brad Pitt for best supporting actor

  • Tye-Grr

    My NG, NG picks:

    Kirsten Dunst, ‘Melancholia’ (Best Actress)

    Ryan Gosling, ‘Drive’ (Best Actor)

    Elle Fanning, ‘Super 8’ (Best Supporting Actress)

    Andy Serkis, ‘Rise of the Planet of the Apes’ (Best Supporting Actor)

    ‘Super 8’ (Best Ensemble)

  • 1). Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs) , Best Actress
    2). John Hawkes (Martha, Marcy, May, Marlene), Best Supp. Actor
    3). Carnage, Best Ensemble

  • Stellan Skarsgard – The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
    Tom Hanks – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
    Carey Mulligan – Drive

  • Oh shit, how could I miss my favorite one:

    Andy Serkis – Rise of the Planet of the Apes


  • Zac

    Best Actor:Thomas Horn-Extremely-Loud and Incredibly Close
    Best Supporting Actor:Tom Hanks-Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
    Best Actor: Joseph Gordon-Levitt-50/50

  • Olivia Coleman – Best Actress for Tyrannosaur
    My week with Marilyn – Best Ensemble
    Woody Harrelson – Best Actor for Rampart

  • Pat

    Best Supporting Actor: Robert Forster, ‘The Descendants’
    Best Supporting Actress: Anjelica Huston, ’50/50′
    Best Actor: Mel Gibson, ‘The Beaver’

  • forg

    1. Thomas Horn(Best Supporting Actor – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

    2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Best Supporting Actor – The Ides of March

    3. Marion Cotillard (Best Supporting Actress – Midnight in Paris)

    4. Colin Firth (Best Supporting Actor – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)

    5. Tom Hanks (Best Supporting Actor – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

  • Harry Potter makes int in Ensemble
    Ryan Gosling for Best Actor
    Jonah Hill gets nominated for Best Supporting Actor

  • Macy

    @forg: Thomas Horn is credited as the Lead Actor foe EL&IC…and I don’t think his character is a ‘supporting’ character

  • Outtabucks

    Ronan, Harry Potter, Serkis

  • Alan G.

    No Guts, No Glory.

    Ewan McGregor for Beginners because his performance was great, the movie is great and it’s not just about Plummer.

  • forg

    @Macy yup I know, he is clearLy the lead but I’m thinking if would be like the case of Hailee Steinfeld in True Grit in which they placed her in supporting presumably because she’s a new, young actress and has veteran actors as co-stars. Anyway, that’s why I placed him in the No Guts, No Glory prediction

  • Dan M.

    Best Actor: Owen Wilson(Midnight in Paris)
    Best Supporting Actor: Jonah Hill(Moneyball)
    Best Ensemble: J. Edgar

  • brandz

    Ryan Gosling Best Actor (Drive)
    Jim Broadbent Best Supporting Actor (The Iron Lady)
    No nomination for Glenn Close

  • forg

    Keira Knightley (Best Actress/Supporting Actress – A Dangerous Method)

    Rose Byrne (Best Supporting Actress – Bridesmaids)

  • Gabriel D.

    1. Carla Bruni-Sarkozy for supporting actress in Midnight in Paris
    2. The dog that motion captures Snowy in Tintin for best supporting actor (after Serkis, eveyrthing’s possible)
    3. Sean Penn for supporting actor in The Tree of Life (he was in the final editing, right?)

  • Casey

    Kirsten Dunst and Kristin Wiig for best actress.

    Ellen Barkin for best actress (THIS SHOULD HAPPEN)

  • Macy

    @Gabriel D.: The French first lady…that sounds fun!!

  • Geremy

    George Clooney for Best Actor
    Meryl Streep for Best Actress
    The Help for Best Ensemble

    Just kidding! Here’s my real NGNG:

    1) Beginners for Best Ensemble
    2) Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes) for Best Actor~~The upset is no category fraud.
    3) Corey Stoll (Midnight in Paris) for Best Supporting Actor

  • Macy

    @Gabriel D.: I don’t know if SAG gives awards to animals (would require Dr. Dolittle to translate the dog’s speech!). Maybe, Sasha Stone would know better about his…

  • Dan M.

    @Gabriel D.

    That’s hilarious I say

    Best Actor: Joey(aka the horse)-War Horse

  • onopacto10

    1. Judy Greer-The Descendants for Supp. Actress

    2. Kevin Spacey-Margin Call for Supp. Actor

    3. Rampart for Best Ensemble

  • steve50

    Serkis(Apes), Mulligan(Shame), Drive (ensemble)

  • Harry Potter for Ensemble is NG, NG? I definitely think that will happen. Cripes. lol Now I gotta do one.

    1. Carnage – Ensemble
    2. Tom Hardy, Warrior – Actor
    3. Rupert Grint, Harry Potter 7pt2 – Supporting Actor

  • Geremy

    @Alan G.

    You are absolutely right. Beginners is easily in my top 3 of 2011 and I still think that McGregor gave a career best performance that deserves a nomination, but alas is far too subtle for Oscar.

  • Logan

    (2nd attempt to post)
    Michael Shannon, Take Shelter – Actor;
    Charlotte Gainsboroug, Melancholia – Supporting Actress (terrific & totally overlooked;
    Emily Watson, War Horse – Supporting Actress
    Margin Call – Ensemble

  • Jay

    Armie Hammer–Supporting Actor
    Bridesmaids–Best Ensemble
    Ben Kingsley–Actor

  • Ryan B

    Demi Moore, Margin Call (Supporting Actress)
    Crazy Stupid Love (Ensemble)
    Michelle Williams, Meek’s Cutoff (Best Actress)

  • Lead Actress–Ellen Barkin for ANOTHER HAPPY DAY
    Lead Actor–Michael Shannon for TAKE SHELTER
    Supporting Actor–Ezra Miller for WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN

  • Joao Mattos

    Best Supporting Actor – Ron Perlman for Drive

    Double nods for Christopher Plummer as Supporting Actor – Beginers and Girl With The Dragon Tatoo

    Best Actress – Juliette Binoche for Copie Conforme

  • N




  • Macy

    @Antoinette: The Ensemble nominations are expected to be: The Artist, The Descendants, The Help, EL&IC, and TTSS/Bridesmaids/Beginners. And after what happened with BFCA, Harry Potter is definitely NGNG.

  • Roger the Shrubber

    Alan Rickman for Best Supporting Actor for “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2”
    Kirsten Dunst for Best Lead Actress for “Melancholia”
    Any individual “War Horse” performer getting nominated

  • cineJAB

    Armie Hammer, Supporting Actor
    Corey Stoll, Supporting Actor
    Midnight In Paris, Ensemble

  • Paul8148

    Best Lead Actor Woody Henderson (Rampant)
    Supporting Actress Judy Geer
    Supporting Actress Robin Wright Penn (Rampant)
    Best Ensemble Crazy Stupid Love
    Best Ensemble Win Win…

  • Zach

    Viola Davis in supporting where she belongs. Coriolanus for Best Ensemble. New Year’s Eve for Best Ensemble..OMG, DID I?

  • SAG Actor

    I hate to burst some bubbles here, but these people were not even on the ballot: Ezra Miller (for Kevin although he’s in leading for Happy Day) and Olivia Coleman. Hunter McCracken, Rupert Grint and Charlotte Gainsbourg were all in leading (although McCracken is not in the ensemble list for TREE). We got the screener for Planet of the Apes on the last day of voting. I’m not sure people saw it in time.

    Here’s my NGNG:

    Ensemble: 50/50
    S. Actor: Niels Arestrump, War Horse
    S. Actor: Alan Rickman, Harry Potter

  • jio

    Harry Potter for Ensemble
    Thomas Horn for ELIC
    Kirsten Dunst for Melancholia

  • Stephanie

    Alan Rickman – Best Supporting Actor
    Beginners – Best Ensemble
    Judy Greer – Best Supporting Actress

  • Cristobal Slobodzian

    1.) No Michael Fassbender Nom
    2.) Amy Ryan for “Win Win”
    3.) Christoph Waltz for “Carnage”

  • marshall1

    1) supporting actor:Alan Rickman for Harry Potter
    2)supporting actress: Emily Watson for War Horse
    3) ensemble: Bridesmaids

  • MacTheMovieguy

    My no guts no glory:

    1) No nominations for Shame, including a snub for Michael Fassbender.
    2) Alan Rickman for Harry Potter
    3) Jessica Chastain for Tree of Life instead of The Help.

  • Austin Lee

    1. Corey Stoll (Supporting Actor) for “Midnight In Paris”
    2. Thomas Horn (Actor) for “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close”
    3. “Shame” shut out.

  • wabbit

    Margin Call – Supporting Actor – Jeremy Irons
    Young Adult – Actress – Charlize Theron
    The Ides of March – Ensemble – Ryan Gosling, George Clooney, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Paul Giamatti, Marisa Tomei, Jeffrey Wright, Evan Rachel Wood

  • john b

    posted this in wrong comments section but here we go take 2.

    Jonah Hill for Supporting Actor in Moneyball
    Joseph Gordon Levitt for Actor in 50/50
    Judi Dench for Supporting Actress in J. Edgar

  • RyanT

    1. Maggie Smith for Best Supporting Actress
    2. Corey Stoll for Best Supporting Actor
    3. Carnage for Best Ensemble

    My list is hilarious. Good times.

  • dylan

    1. Keira Knightly – Best Actress (A Dangerous Method)
    2. Andy Serkis – Best Supp. Actor (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)
    3. Kirsten Dunst – Best Actress (Melancholia)

  • Regina

    1. Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady) for Supporting Actor
    2. HP7.2 for Acting Ensemble
    3. No Clooney, Pitt and Dujardin for Best Actor

  • Goblin King

    Tom Hardy- Best Actor for Warrior
    Colin Farrell- Best Supporting Actor for Horrible Bosses
    Best Ensemble- X-Men: First Class

    Ok, I know the last two seem ridiculous but guessing Brad Pitt or Ryan Gosling for anything does not take guts. Just saying. Can’t wait to see what happens!

  • Roel

    Brad Pitt, Best Supporting Actor, Tree of Life
    Cicely Tyson, Best Supporting Actress, The Help
    Kate Winslet, Best Actress, The Carnage

    Multiple nominations for 3 of the following:

    Ryan Gosling
    Brad Pitt
    Jessica Chastain
    Carey Mulligan
    Viola Davis
    George Clooney

  • Jake G.

    I hope hope hope hope hope Young Adult gets nominated Best Ensemble!

  • Bridesmaids for Best Ensemble
    Ryan Gosling for Ides of March
    Mia Wasikowska for Jane Eyre

  • ofer liebergall

    1. No Meryl Streep Nom
    2. Margin Call Best Ensemble
    3. Anna Paquin Best Actress For Margaret

  • Shannon for Lead Actor
    Jane Eyre for Ensemble
    Bridesmaids for Ensemble

  • msan

    1. Michelle Yeoh – The Lady (Actress)
    2. Keira Knightley – A Dangerous Method (Actress)
    3. Conatgion (Ensemble)

  • manrico1967

    No Glenn Close.
    Melissa McCarthy gets in instead of Vanessa Redgrave.
    Brad Pitt gets best actor and best supporting actor noms.

  • Lenny

    Kirsten Dunst gets a Best Actress nomination for Melancholia

    Brad Pitt is a double nominee for Moneyball and The Tree of Life

    Melissa McCarthy gets a Best Supporting Actress nomination for Bridesmaids

  • Macy

    If ‘Harry Potter’ gets nominated for stunt ensemble (which I think it will), its chances of getting in some decent nominations at the Oscars will DEFINITELY deteriorate further as the Academy will surely look at it as a film which is good enough only for good old action stuff, and nothing else, no plot (typical Hollywood action film). The final third of the film (before the flash-forward scene) suggested exactly that (no plot whatsoever, just plain action). And more, it’s going to be even funnier ‘cos it will be nominated in a category that will have NO bearing on how the award season will further progress. Quite humorous!!

  • Sean

    Leonardo DiCaprio: Best Actor – J. Edgar

    Alex Shaffer: Best Supporting Actor – Win Win

    Chloe Grace Moretz: Best Supporting Actress – Hugo

  • Matt Neglia

    1. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo for ensemble
    2. Woody harrelson for rampart
    3. Alan rickman for supporting actor

  • Glenn

    Harry Potter – Best Picture
    Entire cast of Carnage in acting categories
    Tom Hanks – Supporting – EL&IC

  • :: Rickman for supporting actor;
    :: THE TREE OF LIFE for ensemble;
    :: and McTeer for supporting actress.

  • johndyfed

    Rooney Mara for Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
    Carey Mulligan for Shame (supporting)
    Double nomination for Brad Pitt – Tree of Life and Moneyball

  • 1) Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia), Best Actress
    2) Demi Moore (Margin Call), Best Supp. Actress
    3) Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50), Best Actor

  • Manuel

    Vanessa Redgrave – best supporting actress
    Alan Rickman – best supporting actor
    Martha Marcy May Marlene best picture

  • George H.

    Warrior for Ensemble
    Stellan Skarsgård for Supporting Actor – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
    A Separation for Ensemble

  • This is less a NGNG list than a wishlist. In so doing, I think I’ve formed my most gutsy, glorious NGNG list to date…

    – Michael Parks for Red State
    – Paul Bettany for Margin Call
    – Udo Kier for Melancholia

    And they’re all in Supporting Actor, which makes it even more likely obvs…

  • Adam

    Judi Dench – J.Edgar (Supporting Actress)
    Alan Rickman – HP7.2 (Supporting Actor)
    Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close – Ensemble

  • Telperion

    Just One:

    “Carnage” for Ensemble

  • Telperion

    Oh Sorry, forgot another one:

    Viggo Mortensen – Supporting Actor for “A Dangerous Method”

  • Props to CineJab for NGNG guesses.

    Looks like there were a lot of opportunities that were overlooked: Bichir, Nolte, Brooks (not getting in), Woodley (not getting in)

  • Whoops, except for Sasha’s call for Bichir!

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