Final SAG Predictions and No Guts, No Glory
Final SAG predictions and a No Guts, No Glory — up to three only please!
My problem is this: I don’t think The Artist is going to go home empty handed tonight. So, if The Help is going to win ensemble, Jean Dujardin is going to win Best Actor. The King’s Speech and Slumdog Millionaire both won SAG ensemble. Therefore, my final predictions are:
Best Actor: George Clooney, The Descendants
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (I will die if it’s Davis, but alas, I don’t feel it will happen)
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer for The Help
Ensemble — impossibly, but I think: The Artist
And therein are my final predictions.
No Guts, No Glory: Jean DuJardin wins for Best Actor
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Predictions:
Leading Actor: George Clooney
Leading Actress: Meryl Streep
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Ensemble Cast: The Help
Stunt Ensemble: Harry Potter
NGNG:
Jessica Chastain wins Supporting Actress
Sasha why would it surprise you if Davis won, I would be surprised if she didnt win. Her and Clooney are near locks to win at this point. Im not saying Davis will win the Oscar, but SAG is in the bag at this point. I think now you are just playing the underdog card.
Predictions:
Leading Actor: George Clooney
Leading Actress: Meryl Streep
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Ensemble Cast: The Artist
NGNG:
Leading Actor: Brad Pitt
Supporting Actress: Melissa McCarthy
Ensemble Cast: Bridesmaids
Best Actor: George Clooney, The Descendants
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Supporting Actress: Jessica Chastain, The Help
Best Ensemble: The Descendants
NGNG:
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Actor: Pitt
Actress: Davis
Supporting Actor: Plummer
Supporting Actress: McCarthy
Ensemble: The Help
NGNG: Ensemble Bridesmaids
I may be naive, but I keep reminding myself what a huge body SAG is and how all the people I personally know who are SAG members aren’t even working actors…they are more in tune with the general population and their tastes and might just make some surprising choices.
Of all the awards for The Artist to win, Best Actor is what it most deserves. I really hope for an upset with Jean Dujardin.
Leading Actor: Jean Du Jardin
Leading Actress: Michelle Williams
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer (but she won’t win the Oscar)
Ensemble: Bridesmaids
–
NGNG: Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
I think now you are just playing the underdog card.
I genuinely think Streep is going to win.
I think SAG is definitely between Streep and Davis, and it may be a question if voters feel that Davis is too much a part of the ensemble of The Help, which I think will win Best Ensemble. I am predicting Davis, but would not be surprised if Streep wins.
Best Actor: George Clooney
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting: Octavia Spensor
Best Supporting actor: Christopher Plummer
Best Ensemble: The Help
NGNG: Melisa MaCarthy
I don’t think Bridesmaids is going home without something so its either Ensemble or Supporting Actress leaning towards Ensemble
My Predictions and NGNG:
ACTOR: LEONARDO DI CAPRIO (ALSO NGNG)
ACTRESS: Meryl Streep
Sup ACTOR: Plummer
Sup ACTRESS: Spencer
NGNG: Jessica Chastain – M.Williams
Agree with all your predictions, Sasha. The Artist will win because the Ensemble prize is Best Picture, not actually Best Ensemble (although some years the two coincide).
NGNG: Bridesmaids for Best Ensemble (I WISH)
Actor – Brad Pitt
Actress – Glenn Close
Sup Actor – Plummer
Sup Actress – Spencer
Ensemble – The Help
NGNG – Close, McCarthy, and Midnight in Paris
Actor-Dujardin
Actress-Davis
Sup. Actor-plummer
sup. Actress-Spencer
NGNG
Bechir for best actor
Predictions:
Clooney
Davis
Plummer
Spencer
The Help
NGNG: McCarthy
What’s weird to me is that viola Davis and Octavia spencer both have the same size part essentially and neither one is truly a lead in that film as its a true ensemble (emma stone is the closest to a true lead part). I’d give the help an ensemble win, spencer the supporting win and Streep lead actress because her role is indisputably the lead part in her film and a great performance. Or Michelle Williams!
damn.
My ensemble pick is The Help.
Actor – Clooney
Actress – Davis
Sup. Actor – Plummer
sup. Actress – Spencer
NGNG
Bejo wins Best Supporting Actress (The Help vote splits)
NGNG: Pitt wins, Williams wins, artist wins
@Dane M
To me The Help is a dual lead movie with Emma Stone and Viola Davis as the leads. Viola Davis is a lead mainly because of the way it begins and ends.
Predictions:
Leading Actor: George Clooney
Leading Actress: Viola Davis
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Ensemble Cast: The Artist
NGNG:
Leading Actor: Jean DuJardin
Supporting Actress: Melissa McCarthy
Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh
Ensemble Cast: Bridesmaids
Streep won it for Doubt, I think the SAG is Davis’s to lose. I would love to see Michelle pulling an upset. Also, Clooney’s win is a walk in a park. The Help gets 2 wins, so it can lose best ensemble, which will go The Artist and we can close shop, the Oscar race has officially ended.
The Oscars need to have a biopic role win an Oscar. Yah, Plummer’s Hal is based on director Mike Mills’ father, but that hardly counts as his father was not famous. This year, we have 3 biopic roles that stand out — Pitt, Streep and Williams. All three have won something on this circuit, but it is perhaps Streep’s year at last. Or maybe Michelle Williams, fresh off her sexy magazine stint. Plus, Williams looks good to win off her critics and GG victories, as well as her role in potential flop “Oz: The Great and Powerful,” which, at $200m, is her biggest film to date by far…and a likely flop. She could easily follow in the foot-steps of last year’s winner…child-star turned Oscar-winner turned biggest post-Oscar disappointment.
Streep or Williams will follow the likes of Julia Roberts, Marcia Gay Harden, Jim Broadbent, Jennifer Connelly, Adrien Brody, Nicole Kidman, Chris Cooper, Charlize Theron, Jamie Foxx, Cate Blanchett, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Reese Witherspoon, Forest Whitaker, Helen Mirren, Marion Cotillard, Sean Penn, Sandra Bullock, Colin Firth, Christian Bale and Melissa Leo….all of whom won Oscars in the past 10 years for playing real-life people, famous or not.
Remember in 2008, when Julie Christie was deemed worthy of a comeback Oscar for Away from Her, which also surprised many by popping up for Adadapted Screenplay? Well, she was upset by Cotillard, winner of the GG and BAFTA, who had played a real-life person. Same thing happened when SAG winner Sean Penn upset critical favorite and GG/BAFTA winner Mickey Rourke in 2009.
In the cases of 2010 when Sandy won over Streep, in 2002 when Jim Broadbent won over Jon Voight, and in 2003 when Nicole Kidman won over Salma Hayek…we had two real-life roles competing with the most broad, generic performance coming out the victor. Yah, My Week with Marilyn may be the better film, but it is Streep’s Margaret Thatcher that is really the more pointed and most distinct. Williams is an actress whom I have watched grow up from what I call a teeny-bopper to perhaps the best young actress working. This past year, she delivered really poignant performances in Meek’s Cutoff and Take This Waltz, but it is her broad characterization that simple-minded audiences take hold of, because this is a character that they are all too familiar with. It is a personality they love to like and love to dismantle. It is these same people, a generation or three ago, that consumed her and presumably lead to her untimely death.
By giving Williams a SAG Actor award, as well as an Oscar, they would finally be making amends for robbing perhaps one of the most underrated talents and beauties of the biggest prize in Hollywood.
ACTOR: Jean Dujardin
ACTRESS: Meryl Streep
SUP. ACTOR: Christopher Plummer
SUP. ACTRESS: Melissa McCarthy
ENSEMBLE: The Artist
NGNG: Viola Davis for Actress, Jessica Chastain for Sup. Actress
Meryl will win since every actor adores her.
And McCarthy will be backed by the TV people.
The Help will win ensemble and Supporting actress. People will not want to give THe Help a third award for Davis, so they will vote for Streep.
While this will make Streep the frontrunner for the Oscar, voters may be okay giving both Supporting actress and best actress to The Help there, since there is little chance it will win Best Picture (the equivalent of Best Ensemble). So Streep will be the favourite, but Davis will still have a strong chance. That’s how it is going to play out!!
Oooh this is exciting.
Predictions:
Actor – George Clooney (The Descendants)
Actress – Viola Davis (The Help)
Supporting Actor – Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Supporting Actress – Octavia Spencer (The Help)
Best Ensemble: The Help
No Guts, No Glory: Melissa McCarthy wins Supporting Actress, Jean Dujardin wins Best Actor, Midnight in Paris wins Best Ensemble
My Preferences:
Best Actor – Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Best Actress – Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin) or Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)
Best Supporting Actor – Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Best Supporting Actress – Jessica Chastain (The Help)
Best Ensemble – Midnight in Paris
My No Guts No Glory choices are people that are most deserving: Leonardo DiCaprio and Michelle Williams.
Seriously, the way Best Actress going, I couldn’t be happier. I would be happy for any of those women winning. They are all wonderful and deserving in their own way.
NGNG: Glenn Close for Best Actress; Jean Dujardin for Best Actor; Melissa McCarthy for BSA (is it even NGNG???)
Best Ensemble: “The Artist”
Best Actor: Clooney
Best Actress: Williams
Best Supporting Actor: Plummer
Best Supporting Actress: Spencer
I am only one predicting Williams here, even though she’s won more Best Actress trophies this year than Davis and Streep combined.
Streep won it for Doubt, I think the SAG is Davis’s to lose.
Weinstein Co is never going to let that happen.
Predictions:
Actor: Clooney
Actress: Davis
Supp. Actor: Plummer
Supp. Actress: Spencer
Ensemble: The Artist
NGNG:
Actor: Pitt
Actress: Swinton
Supp. Actor: Nolte
Supp. Actress: McCarthy
Ensemble: Bridesmaids
Also, Davis (though great in a supporting role) is far from the best of this year. Let’s call it what it is, people. A great supporting role getting pushed through as a lead.
Does anyone know where I could watch the SAG awards online tonight? Once again, no TV over here…
Weinstein takes everything except supporting actor.
Best Ensemble: The Help
Best Actor: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Best Actress: Viola Davis, The Help
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Supporting Actress: Jessica Chastain, The Help
NGNG:
Best Actor: Brad Pitt, Moneyball
“Same thing happened when SAG winner Sean Penn upset critical favorite and GG/BAFTA winner Mickey Rourke in 2009.”
I find it hard to understand why people have this misconception that Mickey Rourke was the critical favorite for Best Actor over Sean Penn back in 2008 (for movie year 2008). It was the exact opposite. Sean Penn won far more many critical prizes than Mickey Rourke did. Sean Penn won NYFC. He won LAFC and National Society of Film Critics. He won Boston, he won BFCA, he won a whole slew of smaller critical prizes. Mickey Rourke was left way in the dust when it came to critic awards, at least when it came to the high profile ones. True that Rourke had the GG/BAFTA, but Penn had the SAG and the BFCA. I remember the race seemed pretty even going into the home stretch, with a slight advantage going to Penn. I don’t know where this idea has come from that Penn was this huge upset winner over “critical favorite” Rourke, which is just not accurate.
Best Actor: Jean Dujardin
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Best Ensemble: The Artist
NGNG: Melissa McCarthy
NGNG:
Pitt, Williams, Chastain, Hill, Midnight in Paris
Predictions:
Clooney, Davis, Spencer, Plummer, The Help
I voted for Streep, buti i really think Viola is winning this!
“Streep won it for Doubt, I think the SAG is Davis’s to lose.”
sasha: “Weinstein Co is never going to let that happen.”
excuse me, I find offensive for both Davis and Streep suggesting a win is something W co permit or not. It is offensive also for all Sag Members. W is a strong campaigner but suggesting Davis is going to lose for a W manipulation is too much.
Actor: Jean Dujardin
Actress: Viola Davis
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Melissa McCarthy
Ensemble: The Artist
NGNG: Jessica Chastain
NGNG: Weinstein goes home completely empty handed, making the SAG awards the only awards in town not bought out by Harvey Weinstein. Let there please be one…
I would not complain if Harvey Weinstein produced a good film, which is what Gangs of New York could have been sans Cameron Diaz, who was oddly nominated at the GG for her “performance”
predictions:
Actor: Clooney
Actress: Davis
S. Actor: Plummer
S. Actress: McCarthy (game change on her way to her surprise oscar win)
NGNG: Jonah Hill
excuse me, I find offensive for both Davis and Streep suggesting a win is something W co permit or not. It is offensive also for all Sag Members. W is a strong campaigner but suggesting Davis is going to lose for a W manipulation is to
“He OWNS the police.”
Will win
Ensemble: The help
Actor: George Clooney
Actress: Viola Davis
Sup. actor: Christopher Plummer
Sup. actress: Octavia Spencer
Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio
Actress: Meryl Streep
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Melissa McCarthy
Ensemble: The Descendants
NGNG:
Actor: Brad Pitt
Actress: Charlize Theron
Supporting Actor: Armie Hammer
Supporting Actress: Jessica Chastain
Ensemble: The Help
Pitt, Streep, Plummer, Chastain, The Artist
I voted for Streep, buti i really think Viola is winning this! – Heath87
And thanks for your vote kkkk but agree with you, Viola Davis is this in the bag, but i hope i be wrong kkkk
All i can say for sure is that Benigni and i vored for Streep!
Don’t ask me why, but i’m a Sag member since i was 18 and Benigni is one of my family’s friends from decades! ^^
All i can say for sure is that Benigni and i vored for Streep! Heath87
Benigni vote in Meryl Streep?? So great!! kkkk
yes, i know it for sure…i also remember he said he voted for The Hartist but i dind’t understand in which categoy!
Cloony, Streep, Spencer, Plummer, The help for ensemble.
@sasha:
If there was some so and so actress clearly not deserving a win treated as a front runner I could understand your argument. But we are talking about Meryl Streep – The Actress – we are talking about Meryl Steep in The Iron Lady – amazing performance – Such a great work cannot be placed in a “Weinstein makes it happen” file. Streep is making her own fortune with her marvelous work, Mr.W is supporting and in my opinion sometime he is damaging. Monique said it best: I thank the Academy for making it about the performance and not about the politics.
If you think Bullock won over Streep two years ago for a mediocre movie that made million dollars in USA, ther you have SAG Awards winner Viola Davis…that is my thought! ^^
Ensemble: The Help
Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio
Actress: Meryl Streep
S. Actor: Christopher Plummer
S. Actress: Octavia Spencer
Ensemble : The Help
Actor : Clooney
Actress : Streep
Supp actor : Plummer
Supp actress : Spencer
Awarding The Help with 3 SAG is not gonna happen.
Clooney, Davis, Plummer, Spencer
The Artist best ensemble
NGNG: Pitt, Williams, and Bridesmaids
If Meryl wins the SAG award, she will become the first female to win two Lead Actress in a film SAG Awards. No other actress has won two. If Viola wins she will become the second african actress to win lead actress SAG after Halle Berry.
PS- my “over the moon”s are Bichir or Pitt for Best Actor, or Jessica Chastain.
Predictions:
Leading Actor: George Clooney
Leading Actress: Meryl Streep
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Ensemble Cast: The Help
NGNG:
Leading Actor: Demián Bichir
Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh
Ensemble Cast: Midnight in Paris
Predictions: Clooney. Davis. Plummer. Spencer. The Help.
NGNG: Pitt. Williams. Nolte. Chastain. Bridesmaids
Predix:
Clooney, Streep, Plummer, Spencer, The Artist
NGNG:
McCarthy for Best Supporting Actress
Bridesmaids for Ensemble
Predictions:
Leading Actor: George Clooney
Leading Actress: Viola Davis
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Ensemble Cast: The Artist
Stunt Ensemble: Harry Potter
Actor: Clooney
Actress: Streep
Support Actor: Plummer
Support Actress: Spencer
Ensemble: The Help (because that’s what it is, an ensemble piece)
3 of 4 have double letters in their last name. Who knew?
No Guts No Glory: Michelle Williams
Davis wins the SAG, because Streep won it recently. Then people can blog and write that we have a race, we don’t. Streep will win the BAFTA and the Oscar, The Help clearly wasn’t that liked by the Academy. We can only say that things aren’t going this way if Williams upsets tonight.
Alfred, I think the only sure thing we can say as bloggers is “The Artist will win Best Picture, director, and score”.
Best actor will mostly likely go to Clooney, but best actress is up for grass.
Best Cast: The Help
Best Male Actor in a Leading Role: George Clooney, The Descedants
Best Female Actor in a Leading Role: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role: Octavia Spencer, The Help
Best Stunt Ensemble: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Predictions
Actor: Clooney
Actress: Davis
Supp Actor: Plummer
Supp Actress: Spencer
Ensemble: The Help
NGNG: Close, Pitt, and McCarthy
I really hope Streep doesn’t win the Oscar for playing Thatcher this year. After all that she needs to have 3 Oscars narrative for so long, it’d be such an underwhelming ending to it.
Plus, if Meryl wins for playing a real character with an accent, that goes from strong to dementia in a tailor made biopic, which is kind of the very definition of Oscar bait. Would that put an end to that kind of movie? I mean, if you know you’re not going to top Streep and it won’t automatically grant you an Oscar? Why bother? And from the voter’s point of view. If you have voted for Meryl Streep in this kind of role, will you ever find another one that you think is at the same level?
Just my random thoughts of the day. Well, I have others, but unrelated
to this topic.
NGNG Cast Bridesmaids, Actress Williams, Actor Pitt, Supp Actress mcCarthy
It’s been since 1993 where all four acting awards went to actors who played fictional characters. Just something to think about.
Golden Collar Nominees!
http://thescreenteen.blogspot.com/2012/01/golden-collar-noms.html
PREDICTIONS:
ACTOR: CLOONEY
ACTRESS: VIOLA DAVIS
SUPPORTING ACTOR: PLUMMER
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: SPENCER
NO GUTS NO GLORY: GLENN CLOSE; MIDNIGHT IN PARIS ; JANET McTEER
Actor – George Clooney
Actress – Viola Davis
Supp. Actor – Christopher Plummer
Supp. Actress – Octavia Spencer
Ensemble – The Descendants
NGNG – Midnight In Paris wins Ensemble, McCarthy Wins supp. actress, Glenn Close Wins actress
and don’t be so sure The Artist wont go home empty handed The Hurt Locker went home empty handed at SAG the year it won BP and swept the other major guilds
Actor – George Clooney
Actress – Viola Davis
Supp. Actor – Christopher Plummer
Supp. Actress – Octavia Spencer
Ensemble – The Help
NGNG – The Artist or Bridesmaids for Ensemble
The year I thought Inglourious Basterds truly was the best film, Harvey couldn’t pull off the win. Probably because it wasn’t safe like TKS, The Artist, Shakespeare in Love, etc.
Actor – George Clooney
Actress – Viola Davis
Supp. Actor – Christopher Plummer
Supp. Actress – Octavia Spencer
Ensemble – The Help
NGNG – Leonardo Di Caprio – Best Actor
Actor: Dujardin
Actress: Davis
S Actor: Plummer
S Actress: McCarthy
Ensemble: Artist
NGNG:
Pitt, Williams, Bejo
Boy, I really wanted Meryl Streep to win here. That would officially mean she’s the frontrunner. But I’m not feeling it. I say Viola wins Best Actress, and The Artist wins Ensemble.
NGNG: Glenn Close
a Davis win would make this all right.
Pitt was my fave here, but that wasn’t gonna happen.
OMG Viola!
Good call on Jean Dujardin NGNG. Although for some reason I am still on the Clooney bandwagon. After all, Johnny Depp won a SAG for Captain Jack Sparrow too, but lost to Sean Penn and it was THE comedic performance. I don’t think they would give the Oscar to Dujardin, despite the fact that I loved his performance. The Descendants however seems to be this year’s Up in the Air. I am really really rooting for Gary Oldman, what a great surprise that would be!