I have been doing Academy Award Predictions actively since I first had the thrill of being the only person at my Oscar Party to correctly pick Shakespeare in Love over Saving Private Ryan (even though it was an inferior movie). This year is FAR AND AWAY the strangest I have EVER experienced. Every year gives us a few surprises (usually a couple in Acting, maybe a Director or Writer), but I have identified A DOZEN this year that stand out…
A Dozen Surprises (in order of WOW factor)…
Best Picture… Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close … I had a dozen films “Ahead” of it on my Board… (Alphabetical Order) Bridesmaids, Drive, 50/50, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows Pt. 2, The Ides of March, J. Edgar, Melancholia, My Week With Marilyn, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Win Win, and Young Adult.
Lead Actress… Rooney Mara in The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo nominated over Tilda Swinton in We Need To Talk About Kevin.
Animated Feature… A Cat in Paris and Chico & Rita nominated over The Adventures of Tintin (plus Arthur Christmas).
Supporting Actor… Max von Sydow (ZERO Pre-noms) in Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close nominated over Albert Brooks in Drive.
Lead Actor… Demian Bechir in A Better Life and Gary Oldman in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy nominated over Michael Fassbender in Shame and Leonardo DiCaprio in J. Edgar.
Documentary Feature… Hell and Back Again and If A Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front nominated over Project Nim (Shortlisted) and Cave of Forgotten Dreams & Senna (Neither even Shortlisted).
Original Screenplay… Margin Call (ZERO Pre-noms) nominated over 50/50 and Win Win.
Music (Score)… The Adventures of Tintin nominated over The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (plus Drive).
Music (Original Song)… “Real in Rio” from Rio nominated over “Hello Hello” from Gnomeo and Juliet, “Lay Your Head Down” from Albert Nobbs, “Life’s A Happy Song” from The Muppets and “The Living Proof” from The Help.
Film Editing… Moneyball nominated over Drive and War Horse.
Costume Design… W.E. nominated over My Week with Marilyn.
Adapted Screenplay… The Ides of March nominated over The Help.
Other “Notable Absences”…
Nicolas Winding Refn for Directing Drive
Shailene Woodley for Supporting Actress in The Descendants
Drive for Cinematography
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy for Art Direction
Super 8 and War Horse for Visual Effects
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows Pt. 2 for BOTH Sound Categories
My Week with Marilyn for Makeup
Pina for Foreign Language Film (It was nominated for Documentary Feature instead)
VA:F [1.9.17_1161]
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Mattenroe / January 25, 2012
Drive wasn’t eligible for score
Think I agree more with your notable absences than anything else! Harry Potter getting sound snubs and TTSS missing out on art direction is incredible. The editing in Moneyball was terrific though. Gonna have to disagree with you there.
Among the surprises, and I would say one of the biggest, there’s Asghar Farhadi’s A Separation in Original Screenplay, no? Sure, it had won tree important critics (Los Angeles, London, New York), but people were mostly expecting Win Win, 50/50, Young Adult or even Margaret before it.
VA:F [1.9.17_1161]
Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
ryan / January 26, 2012
When do we find out the results of the Oscar nomination contest?
I have been doing Academy Award Predictions actively since I first had the thrill of being the only person at my Oscar Party to correctly pick Shakespeare in Love over Saving Private Ryan (even though it was an inferior movie). This year is FAR AND AWAY the strangest I have EVER experienced. Every year gives us a few surprises (usually a couple in Acting, maybe a Director or Writer), but I have identified A DOZEN this year that stand out…
A Dozen Surprises (in order of WOW factor)…
Best Picture… Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close … I had a dozen films “Ahead” of it on my Board… (Alphabetical Order) Bridesmaids, Drive, 50/50, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows Pt. 2, The Ides of March, J. Edgar, Melancholia, My Week With Marilyn, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Win Win, and Young Adult.
Lead Actress… Rooney Mara in The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo nominated over Tilda Swinton in We Need To Talk About Kevin.
Animated Feature… A Cat in Paris and Chico & Rita nominated over The Adventures of Tintin (plus Arthur Christmas).
Supporting Actor… Max von Sydow (ZERO Pre-noms) in Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close nominated over Albert Brooks in Drive.
Lead Actor… Demian Bechir in A Better Life and Gary Oldman in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy nominated over Michael Fassbender in Shame and Leonardo DiCaprio in J. Edgar.
Documentary Feature… Hell and Back Again and If A Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front nominated over Project Nim (Shortlisted) and Cave of Forgotten Dreams & Senna (Neither even Shortlisted).
Original Screenplay… Margin Call (ZERO Pre-noms) nominated over 50/50 and Win Win.
Music (Score)… The Adventures of Tintin nominated over The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (plus Drive).
Music (Original Song)… “Real in Rio” from Rio nominated over “Hello Hello” from Gnomeo and Juliet, “Lay Your Head Down” from Albert Nobbs, “Life’s A Happy Song” from The Muppets and “The Living Proof” from The Help.
Film Editing… Moneyball nominated over Drive and War Horse.
Costume Design… W.E. nominated over My Week with Marilyn.
Adapted Screenplay… The Ides of March nominated over The Help.
Other “Notable Absences”…
Nicolas Winding Refn for Directing Drive
Shailene Woodley for Supporting Actress in The Descendants
Drive for Cinematography
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy for Art Direction
Super 8 and War Horse for Visual Effects
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows Pt. 2 for BOTH Sound Categories
My Week with Marilyn for Makeup
Pina for Foreign Language Film (It was nominated for Documentary Feature instead)
Drive wasn’t eligible for score
Think I agree more with your notable absences than anything else! Harry Potter getting sound snubs and TTSS missing out on art direction is incredible. The editing in Moneyball was terrific though. Gonna have to disagree with you there.
Good breakdown though!
TTSS missing out on art direction is incredible.
Mattenroe, ridiculous, isn’t it?
Instead they nominate a DisneyWorld Paris with generic hotel rooms, and pre-war England that looks like Babe in Middle Earth.
Great Video.
Step 1 links to the Ballot from last year.
Among the surprises, and I would say one of the biggest, there’s Asghar Farhadi’s A Separation in Original Screenplay, no? Sure, it had won tree important critics (Los Angeles, London, New York), but people were mostly expecting Win Win, 50/50, Young Adult or even Margaret before it.
When do we find out the results of the Oscar nomination contest?