Adapted Screenplay — The Scripter and the WGA Preview and Predictions
This weekend, the Eddie, the Scripter and the WGA awards will all go down. In many respects, adapted screenplay is still up for grabs. If most think Original will go The Artist’s way, the rest are mostly figuring on The Descendants winning in adapted. Probably it’s going to have to win the WGA first, I’m guessing, and maybe the Scripter too.
First up, the Scripter (2/18):
A Dangerous Method
The Descendants
Jane Eyre
Moneyball
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy.
Weirdly, it seems to come down to Moneyball vs. The Descendants, with Tinker Tailor also a strong contender. I’m going to be that the Scripter goes for The Descendants.
Next up the WGA (2/19):
The question was asked whether not being eligible for the WGA (The Artist, A Separation) hurts the film winning an Oscar. Not really – last year’s The King’s Speech won handily.
Original Screenplay
50/50
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
Win Win
Young Adult
Of these, only two are up for the Oscar – Midnight in Paris and Bridesmaids. While it would be cool if it went to Bridesmaids, gotta figure the Woodman gets it.
Prediction: Midnight in Paris
Spoiler: Bridesmaids
Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Usually if it isn’t Oscar nominated, it isn’t going to win. It just sort of works that way. So that leaves three – Moneyball, Hugo, The Descendants.
Prediction: The Descendants
Spoiler: Moneyball
Their TV and doc noms here.
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At what point did we stop assuming MiP had original in the bag? When The Artist won BAFTA? Serious question, I’m trying to determine when this all made a sudden swing and how so.
The Artist will no doubt take home the screenplay Oscar, but I think people are seriously underestimating Hugo for a screenplay win here. Zallian & Sorkin may have people’s brains, but Logan has people’s hearts. Much like Precious upset Up in the Air, I’m betting on Hugo to upset both The Descendants and Moneyball. Boom.
What made the Precious screenplay amazing, was that the book felt, to me, impossible to turn into a film. And not only did they do it, they did it well. Blew me away they were able to do it. I think you had to read the book to really appreciate the screenplay. Like I think you had to read TGWTDT to get how great the screenplay was to pull it all together.
I still think Woody Allen is going to take home the Oscar for best original screenplay. The love for The Artist at BAFTA was just blown out of proportion. Just because it won BAFTA doesn’t mean it is taking home the Oscar. BAFTA has always tried to predict and influence the Oscars anyway, the objectivity is lost at BAFTA for sure.
“The Artist will no doubt take home the screenplay Oscar”
Because of BAFTA??
Oh please.
“I still think Woody Allen is going to take home the Oscar for best original screenplay. The love for The Artist at BAFTA was just blown out of proportion.”
I don’t. Over the last 5 years, we have seen the Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Screenplay winner (original or adapted) go to the same film. Since the beginning of the 21 century, the Best Director and Best Screenplay winner have matched at the Oscars in 10/11 tries.
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http://awardstoday.blogspot.com/ Please join!!
My predix:
Original- Midnight in Paris
Adapted: Moneyball
For Woody: his film has dialogue; his reputation proceeds him; it’s actually the sharpest script and most complex story among the nominees.
Against Woody: he’s won before; he never shows up; The Artist is the Best Picture favorite and has Harvey Weinstein.
I don’t know. You would think The Artist doesn’t have to win Best Screenplay to win Best Picture (like Gladiator and Million Dollar Baby, which had much better scripts), but it depends on how passionately the Academy is in its favor. My head and heart say The Artist doesn’t win this one because it’s a director’s film with a weak storyline.
MONEYBALL takes the Scripter, the WGA, and the Oscar. MIDNIGHT IN PARIS takes the WGA and the Oscar. THE DESCENDANTS’s momentum has slowed, despite its terrific box office.
yes please
hope you’re right, Benj
For all the Italian Language AD readers, take a look at this new awards blog, the first one in its genre all in italian language!!
http://awardstoday.blogspot.com/
My Picks. Midnight in Paris, Hugo