The Broadcast Film Critics Association, or Critics Choice, has announced this year’s nominations and for the first time we have an idea of how the Oscar cards might be dealt this year. The Critics Choice are less inclined towards backroom debates over legacy because they attend to their personal ballots at home and each member simply fills out his or her ballot in privacy, free from peer pressure, like Oscar voters and the guilds do. To that end, the Critics Choice is most useful, I’ve found of late, in predicting the categories that the whole of the Academy choose rather than those left to the discretion of the individual branches. The Best Picture lineup, for instance, is usually a fairly reliable indicator, even if we don’t yet know how many films Oscar will choose for that lineup.
The other categories have a pretty good track record for matching too, but maybe that’s because, unlike Oscar, they get to pick 6 instead of 5. My take-away from these nominations is that they really liked Lincoln. But that doesn’t necessarily mean it will their winner. Stats for this after the nominations.
The Critics Choice Awards will air on January 10, 2012
NOMINATIONS FOR THE 18th ANNUAL CRITICS’ CHOICE MOVIE AWARDS
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty