BEST PICTURE
*1. Amour (Sony Classics) – 28
2. The Master – 25
3. Zero Dark Thirty – 18
BEST DIRECTOR
*1. Michael Haneke (Amour) – 27
2. Kathryn Bigelow – 24
2. Paul Thomas Anderson – 24
BEST ACTOR
*1. Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln – 59 (Dreamworks/Touchstone)
2. Denis Lavant – 49
2. Joaquin Phoenix – 49
BEST ACTRESS
*1. Emmanuelle Riva – Amour – 50 (Sony Classics)
2. Jennifer Lawrence – 42
3. Jessica Chastain– 32
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
*1. Matthew McConaughey – Magic Mike (Warner Bros.), Bernie (Millennium Entertainment) – 27
2. Tommy Lee Jones – 22
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman – 19
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
*1. Amy Adams – The Master (The Weinstein Co.) – 34
2. Sally Field – 23
3. Anne Hathaway – 13
BEST NONFICTION
*1. The Gatekeepers – Sony Pictures Classics – 53
2. This Is Not a Film – 45
3. Searching for Sugar Man – 23
BEST SCREENPLAY
*1. Lincoln (Dreamworks/Touchstone) – Tony Kushner – 59
2. The Master (P.T. Anderson)– 27
3. Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russell) – 19
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
*1. Master (Mihai Malaimare, Jr. ) – 60
2. Skyfall (Roger Deakins) – 30
3. Zero Dark Thirty (Greig Fraser) – 21
EXPERIMENTAL: This Is Not a Film (Jafar Panahi)
FILM HERITAGE
• To Laurence Kardish, Senior Film Curator at MoMA, for his extraordinary 44 years of service, including this year’s Weimar Cinema retrospective.
• To Milestone Film and Video for their ongoing Shirley Clarke project.
DEDICATION: This year’s awards are dedicated to the late Andrew Sarris, one of the most original and influential American film critics as well as a founding member of the Society.
Previously: Today, most of the most prominent film critics in the country will meet at Sardis in New York and vote for the best film of the year.
The NSFC was established to counter the New York Times’ influence of Bosley Crowther back in the day, and to that end, they have only matched Oscar’s Best Picture five times since they were formed in 1966, 40 years ago: Annie Hall, Schindler’s List, Unforgiven, Million Dollar Baby, The Hurt Locker.
They are among the largest critics group voting on awards with the most peculiar tastes. They could be called, for our purposes, the polar opposite of the Broadcast Film Critics, another large voting body with more mainstream tastes that more closely match the Oscar voters.
The NSFC gave their prize to Melancholia last year, The Social Network the previous year and the The Hurt Locker before that.
They should announce some time around noon but I don’t have any ETA. Perhaps one of you readers does. Their current membership is here, as well as their own definition of who they are.
I really don’t have a clue as to what they will choose but I would not be surprised if it were either Amour or Zero Dark Thirty.
I still stand by my predix that Intouchables, a French contemporary version of The King’s Speech, will beat de facto French film Amour at the Oscars.
you and everyone else who knows anything about the movie and has sense.
On a separate note: I really can’t understand Amour detractors.
Critics of ZDT are not upset at Bigelow for factually depicting torture, but rather for suggesting that torture helped find bin Laden, a position that is disputed by numerous experts. “Artistic License” really is not a defense if the critics are correct, considering that a majority of the public still supports the use of torture.
Amy Adams is getting a nomination. No question.
As always the NSFC is the most interesting.
My biggest hope for the Oscars: This is Not a Film wins Best Doc and Panahi’s son and daughter accepts on his behalf, and then the next day the Iranian Ministry of Culture receives over 1 billion emails from TV viewers demanding that Panahi be released.
North Carolina Film Critics Association nominations:
http://screenonscreen.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/north-carolina-film-critics-association.html
Yeah, Amy has some stiff competition, and her role is less showy than Ann and sally’s. That should not take away from it being a fine, recognition worthy performance. I love how she has morphed from small tv roles (the office, Buffy) to a bubbly talented movie actress, to the range she exhibits today.
That being said, I’ve enjoyed most of the supporting actress roles being discussed. It was a pleasure to watch Helen hunt again this year.
There is some rather telling information in this ranking. The first is the Supporting Actress category. The one thing we’ve all seen over the last few months is that Anne Hathaway had become the darling of the critics with her performance in Les Mis. Yet she barely received enough votes by this group to even really call her a player in the category. I wonder how much of the good will for Les Mis is really based on a damn good performance in TDKR.
The other interesting piece is the tight race for director. But after this morning I think that situation could change. This morning on CBS Good Morning David Edelstein did his usual two minute review. A very very mixed review and a very indicting review. I said a few posts ago that after seeing In the Valley of Elah again the Mark Boal was full of shit regarding his position of not taking a position on torture within Zero. My reason for that was the depiction in Elah of soliders sticking their fingers into the open wound of a prisoner being transported by them and getting off on it. I understand completely that Mark Boal was illustrating a point but his point wasn’t about the ill effects of torture in Elah his point was more about how warped our sensibilities have become regarding torture.
I think Jennifer Lawrence or Emmanuelle Riva will or can thank the press for their now being given a chance at the Oscar over Chastian. For a controversy that was beginning to die down Edelstein threw it right out in the open this morning.
Matthew McConaughey!!! Finally
I also thought Jean-Louis Trintignant deserves more attention than Riva and it’s quite unfair honestly that it’s the latter who’s getting more buzz…
Actually if only they could ditch out Cooper and replace him by Trintignant then the list will be better… But yeah, it’s a crowded category this year with Hawkes, Day-Lewis, Phoenix, Jackaman and Lavant… Just unfair Trintignant is nowhere near the conversation…
Oh yeah Cries and Whispers! That one cut deep! One of my favourite films, like, everrr.
Casey, I don’t think Amy Adams will even be nominated for the Oscar, alas. As for spoiling, no-one’s getting past Anne. No matter how much buzz any of her competitors build up, none of them are getting past her.
The Master was a terrible film, completely unbelievable. You have to be an ex-cult member (or even a current cult member) to really understand how poorly the concept was handled. As far as I’m concerned, it was a cheap imitation of Scientology, the concept had so much potential, but it was wasted. The screenplay was awful.
The performances were all great, but I certainly wouldn’t rank Amy Adams above Sally Field or Anne Hathaway.
I don’t know, Casey! I just don’t think Amy Adams can win for The Master. Besides the fact that people aren’t “warming” to the movie, it’s just not the sort of role the Academy traditionally rewards. I think Adams will be lucky to get nominated.
The only real competition to Hathaway winning, I think, is Sally Field, and I kind of doubt that the Academy is ready to let Field be a three time Oscar winner. Personally, I preferred Field in Lincoln to Hathaway in Les Mis, but I just don’t see AMPAS really, really liking Field enough to give her another win. Either way, I think Adams will go home as bridesmaid yet again.
Casey – possibly. In the strict sense of supporting she nailed it and had a ‘hand’ in elevating the other great performances. She was a little underwritten for me on a personal preference basis – not a criticism.
Mattoc,
No problem! And I actually haven’t thought of “Cries and Whispers” in relation to “Amour”. It’s been a while since i’ve viewed that Bergman film, but i’ll definitely re-watch it ASAP.
Thanks Christiannnw for your considered response.
I very much compare this film to Cries and Whispers. I think they would be a horrible double feature, but both films move me beyond the usual titillation of film and shake me to the core.
For me this is as uplifting as any movie can be. It contains moments of subtlety that are so blink and miss, and also echo my own life experience, that elevate this beyond just a movie. I don’t want to spoil anything for anybody that hasn’t seen it, so I won’t talk specifics. Let me just say that for us film lovers, there may or will be a time when we put ZDT or Lincoln or TDKR or Citizen Kane on the TV and …we just don’t care.
Is it just me or does Amy Adams seem like she could upset at oscars?
Mattoc,
Unfortunately, I am familiar with and have participated in the displays of physical degradation that occur in the film, especially for someone so young (twenty-one years old). I felt that Haneke’s handling of Anne’s decline was overly demonstrative, relying too much on blunt displays of her condition rather than patiently conveying her pain and suffering. Emmanuelle Riva picked up the slack in this regard, as well as Jean-Louis Trintignant’s dignified husband, but Haneke’s clinical and contrived approach (the cutaway from Anne playing the piano to Georges turning the radio off, or that goddamn pigeon) to such a human dilemma betrayed their efforts.
Funnily enough, Isabelle Huppert was the biggest takeaway from the film for me. Eva, having to placate to her parents while managing the responsibilities a working woman must attend to in the contemporary world, was by far the film’s most interesting character, and Huppert conveyed her confusion and anxiety with heartbreaking aplomb.
Christiannnw – you said you are biased towards the subject matter of Amour.
I’m curious (sincerely), because it could be one of many things.
Yes Odee, Trintignant is the equal or in my opinion the better of the two virtuoso performances. And I agree with Tero in that the BA category is stacked. And most of the other performances are in films that are widely seen compared to Amour. Of the potential fringe nominees, Hawkes and possibly Phoenix, both are severely and outwardly damaged. Trintignant’s is subtle – and far more complex.
If I were to rate the BAs, it would be
Denis Lavant, Trintignant, Jackman, Phoenix, Washington or DDL.
I also think Strathairn has been left out of the conversation. That has more to do with the script than his performance. People have short term memories and while he excelled at the start, his character went missing. Lesson for Spielberg – don’t hire Picasso to paint your front door.
I’m going to break protocol and commend these anonymous condemnations ridden with broken english and poorly hidden agendas. Proper english is so pre-mayan humanity, and these comments promise an exciting new era full of dyslexic mudslinging and cutthroat Nicole Kidman fanaticism.
I’m pretty happy with these choices, save for “Amour” (i’m one of it’s few non-fans, but I’m extremely biased towards the film’s subject matter). I’m a little disconcerted by Jessica Chastain’s second runner up citation below Jennifer Lawrence, and I’m sensing she’s losing steam as Lawrence’s profile grows by the day. However, I’m excited with Sally Field trumping Anne Hathaway, and it’s surprising that a self-consciously critic-y critics’ group would pass up such a ballyhooed performance. I know these things don’t have a huge impact on the season’s conclusion, by they’re a momentary snapshot nonetheless.
No award for Middle of Nowhere??? Those critics!!! “Their Middle of Nowhere hate is typical thinly veiled racism and sexism all rolled in one.”
Danemychal, an American Box Office hit will take BP, for sure. No question about it. This should make PaulH happy.
“Anyone who has seen Amour will tell you that Jean-Louis Trintignant is every bit the equal of Riva in that film, but strangely, no one seems to think that he’s any good.”
Trintignant is not forgotten, but male lead category is about 10 times more crowdy than female. That’s the only reason.
From the trailer, AMOUR looks like something relatively quiet and subtle, well-crafted and at times emotional; I am eagerly looking forward to it.
Looks like a cup of tea for elderly voters (Oscars) as well – I won’t be surprised if the film’s just popped up into the final ten- or fewer BP nom list, not to mention the female lead actor et al.
“The troll using multiple screen names types with consistently broken English and poor grammar.”
Not worry. “Last call” in Moscow. Should be quiet soon. Time to go home and search for articles.
JJ – Between Lincoln, ZDT and Argo I think America has a great shot to “bring it home” for the USA this year. It has been an uncommon theme lately though.
That’s what I was thinking. The troll using multiple screen names types with consistently broken English and poor grammar.
I guess I have to now see Amour. Christ. Is this a repeat of Frenchie Artist winning last year? I hope not. Can we award a fockin’ American film for once? Like The Social Network instead of Kings Speech. Or The Descendants over The Artist. And the Amy Adams in The Master thing I will NEVER understand. NEVER.
Reno, I have had Intouchables winning since the summer. The critic hype for Amour only emboldened my resolve. I think Intouchables starts winning at GG.
Just watched Killer Joe, and Matthew McConaughey is amazing. I wasnt a huge fan of him, but after that performance Im a huge fan. He was brilliant in every scene he was in, he has such a strong presence in this role. I think he deserves Best Actor for it, its just flat out awesome work.
What’s happening here?
OMG this is so embarrassing! I can’t believe I just told you all that I’m a member of the tea party! LMAO! What am I like?!?
I mean, as far as petty, unprovoked insults go, it’s pretty unimaginative and pretty poorly delivered, but there are few things I’d less rather be than a member of the tea party. One such thing, though, is karl.
Mattoc, if Amour doesn’t win Best Foreign Language Film, I doubt it’ll be because Beyond the Hills has beaten it. More likely The Intouchables. The arthouse crowd will push hard for Amour to win there – it probably won’t be in for either Picture or Director, and they’ll want badly for Haneke to win an Oscar.
Also, no way does Holy Motors have a better chance at getting into Best Picture than Amour. More Academy members will have heard of Amour, more will have seen Amour and more will have liked Amour. Holy Motors is so not their bag.
I’m member of tea party!!!! yeah!!!!!!!!
I’m not sure about voting for a body of work (ie MMC) for a major award. I’d rather they single them out for a special achievement.
What I think is happening with McConaughey is that he can’t win Best Actor for KILLER JOE which is definitely his best role this year. If they gave out a second Best Actor award they would probably give it to him for that. Since they have the opportunity to award him elsewhere, they’re using the more universally seen MAGIC MIKE to do it.
The first time I recognized this phenomenon was when Clooney won the Best Supporting Actor Oscar. IMO, it was a second Best Director Oscar because they had to award ANG LEE the real one. Had to. So they gave Clooney the Oscar for SYRIANA when really they loved his direction of GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.
I didn’t like it then, but I’m fine with the McConaughey shenanigans. lol That’s why I put him everywhere I could on my fake ballot.
You know now that I think about it, they should do the Oscars like the Olympics. Give a gold, silver, and bronze Oscar. That way more people get something. There are just too many great movies and performances.
I also think Amour will lose BFF, but not sure it will go French. Maybe Romanian.
I would be very surprised if it got a BP nom also. It clearly should, but it won’t. I have more faith in Holy Motors for a BP nom. It won NSOFC yesterday, but lost today to Amour. Tomorrow will be interesting.
And Nina Hoss? Where is she?
Why Paddy comment about other comments? please buy a life, gosh!
Anyone know if it’s going to expand beyond 3 theaters. lol *headdesk*
Anyone else know the odds on Oscar going French two years in a row?
I still stand by my predix that Intouchables, a French contemporary version of The King’s Speech, will beat de facto French film Amour at the Oscars.
P.S. The Houston Film Critics Society has announced its winners:
http://screenonscreen.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/houston-film-critics-society-winners.html
Goodness me, mill / mike / Tom / Richard / andrew / elbow / silvana / memphis / karl / brack / george. Someone’s got their schizo knickers in a twist!
Count yourselves lucky I’m the only apparent ‘tyrant’ around here. Your split personalities would be having a much harder time were Bryce our Lord and Ruler, if the above comment is anything to go by!
lol at the last ten posts saying the same thing about cotillard and are written the exact same way. shame when people post under different names just to make their point.:)
Someone clearly can’t write english is using different screennames. Same speech pattern lololololol hey little cunt LEARN ENGLISH!
Well, now you do…no harm done.
didn’t know to write here had to ask permission to paddy, don’t know there is a tyrant
“didn’t know to write here had to ask permission to paddy, don’t know there is a tyrant”
You don’t need permission to comment, if you do it right, but we’re going to notice when someone we never met before today shows up and comments using a dozen different IDs
I’m not saying ‘dozen’ to be vague. I’m saying dozen as in exactly 12 different IDs. (so far)
Since you’re maybe new here, karl, I should let you know that when we see that many bogus IDs on one topic we consider it to be spamming. We don’t allow it.
We have to wonder what’s the purpose of making up so many different identities, and the most obvious explanation is that somebody is trying to sound like a gang of like-minded protesters. That’s not a tactic we can permit — even when it’s so transparent it’s almost amusing.
To let you know how easy it is for us to see which 12 people are all sharing you’re laptop, I won’t list the IDs — but instead invite other observant readers to peel away the 12 sides of your personality, one layer at time.
Just please choose one ID and stick with it, ok?
(You know, don’t even try asking permission to keep this up. Permission denied in advance. Any other comments you make with a different ID will be automatically deleted.)
Thank God NSFC not vote in academy awards!
cotillard has to be nominated to academy awards
kidman is better than adams
I’d like to thanks NSFC for all support to The Master, PTA (twice), Phoenix, Hoffman and Adams.
Great work!
😀
Does anyone know anything, btw, on the Houston Film Critics Society? They were supposed to have announced by now, i thought. OT-ish, but they don’t seem a very tech-savvy bunch.
Marion Cotillard is the best, i hope she be nominated this time to academy awards for rust and bone
well it’s not rare nsfc named amour best film. Amour is one of the best film of 2012 but zero dark thirty is better. riva or cotillard are my favourites and phoenix and mikkelsen in actors
I prefer marion cotillard or naomi watts than riva, i don’t understand how nominee jennifer lawrence, she shouldn’t being nominated
If by coven, steve, you mean one idiot using several different IDs to try to peddle the notion that there are many such idiots who agree with them, then yes, a coven.
i think there is a problem of some guys with the motherhood. They want a mother and desperetely vote for old women trying to find own mother, pathetic
“Always nice to see what the intelligentsia thinks”
I was going to say something similar when I noticed there’s a coven of them, so I had second thoughts.
marion cotillard had to win this award because her performance was better than riva’s performance.
What stupid, Riva isn’t the best female performance of this year
ridiculous awards. other time nsfc not know to reward
Amour overrated and NSFC stupid like always
Always nice to see what the intelligentsia thinks
the master should be win, marion cotillard in best actress, nicole kidman in best supporting actress, and not nominee jennifer lawrence or anne hathaway overrated both
Amour overrated and NSFC stupid like always
Have you ever wondered how some brilliant performances are completely ignored? Anyone who has seen Amour will tell you that Jean-Louis Trintignant is every bit the equal of Riva in that film, but strangely, no one seems to think that he’s any good and his performance is as good as any male actor being predicted and that includes Daniel Day-Lewis.
Then, there’s all the rave over Tommy Lee Jones in Lincoln, when David Strathairn has the 2nd best role after Day-Lewis among the men and plays it to the hilt, yet no one’s talking about him! And I won’t even get started on Wallis. I guess if she were 15 years old, then maybe, someone would believe that she’s giving a performance and not being prodded by the director. Give me a break! Just watch Beast. Clearly, one of the few Oscar worthy performances this year, along with Riva, Cotillard, and Watts to name a few. Lawrence and Chastain are good, but hardly Oscar worthy, given the competition.
It appears that, in the last ten years or so, it’s become a game of most critics picking who they “think” will win, and then everyone else following along. This is why the Golden Globes have become important, when they were considered a joke in the early years. Can we please go back to it being just about the acting? That would be so great and while we’re at it, teach people to get over that line that I hear so much these days about certain critics groups picking no-name people. It’s about the acting and not the name, or it’s suppose to be. And just because you were six when you gave a great performance does not mean that you should be ignored. I certainly hope that the actor’s branch are wise enough and vote in big enough groups that Wallis makes the final five. It will be a new low for Oscar if she does not and ditto for Henry. Benh Zeitlin has a shot at three Oscar nominations. Let’s hope he can pull off at least one of them.
ridiculous awards. other time nsfc not know to reward
What stupid, Riva isn’t the best female performance of this year, less jennifer lawrence, it seems national society members don’t see marion cotillard in rust and bone or naomi watts in the impossible because I don’t understand how they rewarding to lawrence, chastain or riva
Cool choices for BSActress and BSActor.
“Is Amour reaching high buzz as past films like Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon and Life is Beautiful to be nominated Best Picture?”
No.
Looks like Amour could get in for BP this year at the Oscars. I don’t think they would have a problem throwing Moonrise Kingdom out of bp, in favor of Amour. Only if there are 9 nominees though. I’m predicting 8 at the moment.
Bryce, It has been released on BR.
These almost matched up perfectly with the Los Angeles Society of Film Critics… They loved Amour, The Master, Amy Adams, Jennifer Lawrence, and The Gatekeepers… Go see! http://awardsbreach.com/old/precursor13.html
I think they’re just happy to have MMC back and sweating on the screen again. Nobody sweats better than he does, not even Burt Young.
I have only seen him in Bernie, which I liked. I find it strange that Shirley MacLaine has been left completely out of the Bernie conversation though…very strange.
Amour and Lincoln like a bawse!!!!! I gotta see Holy Motors asap. Is the blu-ray out in France or the UK already?
This is definitely the best day of the season for me. Amour and The Master are my top two films of the year. Well done.
* votes
NYFCC did the same, Mattoc. And anyway, it was likely more for Magic Mike. Bernie probably didn’t bring that much to the party in comparison – maybe more than the five voted he had over Tommy Lee Jones, though.
Is it just me, or did Matthew McConaughey play the same person four times this year? Maybe the same person at different stages in his life? Maybe four brothers? Maybe Cloud Atlas-style reincarnation.
DDL? Check. Kushner? Check. If they call only these two names Oscar night, I’ll die happy.
Happy to see The Master making an appearance. And although I haven’t seen Amour yet, Haneke is my favorite director. ALL the awards for him…ALWAYS. 🙂
Happy for the amour and master love. Hope it transitions to oscars
Happy to see The Master get some love – any love.
I’m glad to see that Hathaway came in third. I really like her, but I didn’t think her good albeit brief performance in Les Mis is oscar worthy.
I’d like to see Sally Field take that award on Oscar night.
I’m not sure about voting for a body of work (ie MMC) for a major award. I’d rather they single them out for a special achievement.
Having said that, I would put the house on Benedict Cumberbatch for a Supp. Nomination next year in this category.
Knew The Master would rock most categories but I didn’t expect McCounaghey to show up here. That’s a pleasant surprise.
Is Amour reaching high buzz as past films like Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon and Life is Beautiful to be nominated Best Picture?
I’ve done some research – and a foreign film mostly has to nominated for Best Directing to reach a Best Picture nomination. The only time a directing nomination was not given was to Grand Illusion. Now, Best Picture was the only nomination for that film – so those were different times.
Lincoln rocks here too! 4 awards (2 runner-ups) So surprising.
If the Oscars hadn’t pushed up the voting, McConaughey could have really benefited from that. Of course Brooks wasn’t nominated last year, so who knows. But that still could have helped him sneak in at #5.
Aye, predictable, but commendable all the same. Amour, The Master, Zero Dark Thirty, Lincoln, all popular, all as expected. Nothing for Argo, which doesn’t surprise me.
Of course, PaulH knows better than 58 of the most respected film critics in the world.
Move along, then, nothing to see here…
Indeed, Paul, nothing for you to see. You might have to engage your brain if you do!
Love me some Amy Adams. A true supporting performance. That red headed honey child deserved it.
Predictable picks for the NSFC to be fair. But that’s a good thing; agreement is telling.
Check out my above prediction being exactly right for all three movies
Amour, The Master, Zero Dark Thirty – well whaddaya know!
Move along, then, nothing to see here…
Confirmed: https://twitter.com/SamuelAAdams/status/287657823066791936
Also…”NSFC protocol is to vote picture first, and if a foreign film wins, no separate foreign-language award is given.”
DDL!!!!!!!
PERFORMANCE IS JUST UNDENIABLE!
Think those are defs the winners. Wonder when we’ll get official confirmation inc. second and third placings.
Sam Adams @SamuelAAdams
Nat’l Soc. of Film Critics winners: AMOUR, Haneke, Kushner, Day-Lewis, Riva, McConaughey, Adams, Malaimare, THE GATEKEEPERS.
The Deep Blue Sea, Amour, or Zero Dark Thirty could win this bp.
I love some of their choices for Best Film in the past: Life is Sweet! The Dead! Yi Yi!
Definitely a hoax, yes lol.
So yesterday’s announcement on another thread here that HOLY MOTORS won the NSFC Best Picture prize and so on was a HOAX then?
Is that right?
Also, the thought that Les Mis will do well at the NSFC is almost equally ridiculous.
@kasper
Don’t give him too much credit, he forgot Buñuel
Doesn’t one need the ability to detect playful insincerity when watching Godard?
@Connor McVay
I think scotty is just fucking around, unless he’s not in which case he ought to be raped in the ears
Dear Scotty, Breathless was a groundbreaking film that has influenced countless auteurs such as Martin Scorsese and Leos Craxx. Breathless was an example of a film under complete control of the director and was one of the first French wave movies. It’s influence on cinema is monumental, mainly because it was one of the first films to utilize jump cuts for artistic purposes. Les Miserables is a second class oscar bait film that brings nothing new to the table, to compare it to Breathless is like comparing Justin Bieber to Michael Jackson. Please do not spread your fan boy propaganda.
Sincerely
Connor McVay
Do I rly need another commenter on here to hate?
Hooper > Godard + Hitch + Bergman + Kurosawa + Fellini + Visconti + De Sica + Ozu + Tarkovsky.
The collective latter have never won a competitive Oscar for direction. Cheers!
🙂
I’ve been saying it all along scotty, there will be a before and after LES MIZ in world cinema…we’re about to have a Tom Hooper era just like there was a John Ford era
Hooper>Ford, and then some
Speaking of sweeping, that would be a good job for Tom Hooper.
then say bye to its Oscar chances, Scotty 🙂
EMMANUELLE RIVA FOR THE WIN !!!!
AND HERE’S HOPING JEAN LOUIS AND ISABELLE HUPPERT GET IN TOO !
I am smelling a Les Mis sweep. Film is breathtaking and in years it will be regarded as the Breathless of the 21st century.
roflolmao
No.
I predict the winner will be “Get a life, Sasha”
lol
They awarded “Drugstore Cowboy” in 1989 so they’re okay with me.
I wouldn’t be surprised by an “Amour” sweep. It’s their kind of film, it’s foreign, and they have never awarded Haneke… oh, yes, and it’s also pretty good, which doesn’t hurt
Nothing would surprise me with the NSFC.
I think it’s between Zero Dark Thirty, Amour, and The Master. Anything else would surprise me!
I think it’s high time Beasts of the Southern Wild won a Best Picture award from a prominent group, much less at all, so I hope it wins here. Perhaps after that, Bigelow for Director, Wallis for Actress, someone other than DDL for Actor such as Cooper/Hawkes/Washington or an outside choice like Lerman; Dowd or Adams for supporting actress and Henry or whomever for supporting actor.
By far the group with the best choices; historically speaking
I can’t get on to their website atm. Service temporarily unavailable – maintenance downtime. Looks good!
The Master is a likely candidate considering how much they’ve liked Anderson’s previous movies (they were one of the few organizations to give their award to There Will Be Blood as opposed to the Coen brothers’ film), and also considering that it hasn’t won a single Best Picture prize yet (they also like to reward films that haven’t won anywhere else: Capote, Melancholia, Breaking the Waves, etc.)
They’re also more likely to reward foreign-language films than others are, so Amour could also take it. The Hurt Locker won big with them too, so Zero Dark Thirty is a possible contender (they may feel a greater need to support it as its awards momentum has flagged recently because of the torture controversy).
I won’t predict their top choice, but I will predict that those three will be their finalists.
I have no basis for these predictions but here goes: The Master, Joaquin or Denis Lavant, Emmanuelle Riva or Nina Hoss (Barbara), Philip Seymour Hoffman or Matthew McConaughey, and Amy Adams or Ann Dowd.
Some stats to bide the time:
In the past ten years, 47% of films in the NSFC’s Top 3 have been nominated for the Best Picture Oscar. In the past three years, since Oscar moved to ten, that increases to 56%. Only once in the past ten years have they failed to include any of the Academy’s nominees in their Top 3 (not that they’ve been trying lol). In the acting categories, they’re most reliable in Best Actor, least reliable in Best Actress.
Based on who will be voting for the winners I believe The Master will win either Bp or best director. Most of the critics who are voting are big fans of the master including Peter Travers and some critics from L.A publications.
i’ll die if dowd wins here! sooo excited to see her name pop up again! as for picture i think they’ll go for either beasts, master, or amour!
No Guts predictions – 2013 and the NSOFC could just be the ticket for this.
Best Picture: Beast
Direction: Argo
Actor: Phoenix-The Master
Actress: Wallis-Beast
Supporting Actor: Hoffman-The Master/Henry-Beast
Supporting Actress: Dowd-Compliance
Cinematography: The Hobbit
Besides, Wallis is due some recognition by now. Had she been a little older, one wonders whether or not we would have seen more awards go her way?
Due to the shifting tide I’m predicting Argo to take picture but 0D30 to take director and cinematography. I believe The Master will have a strong showing in most categories, including runner up, with a win for Hoffman in the bag.
Does anyone know where they’ll post their results? Just on their site? They don’t seem to have any representation on Twitter.