Right now, Scott Feinberg over at Hollywood Reporter, has Lincoln winning four Oscars: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor and Best Adapted Screenplay. If it wins those four it shows broad support but it will share the record with the King’s Speech for lowest Oscars won with 12 nominations. But it makes sense in year where there are more than five nominees.
How many Oscars a film wins depends on how much competition it has and where that competition is coming from. It goes without saying, of course, that history was meant to be broken. Before the King’s Speech won only four Oscars no film with 12 had ever won that few.
Since there have only been 14 films nominated for Best Picture with 12 nominations, I thought I’d take a look back at those races and how they turned out.
But first, let’s look at the changing landscape of the Best Picture race itself.