You have to go all the way back to Sunset Boulevard to find an Oscar nominated Best Picture winner with four acting nominations that didn’t win. I know most people assume Jennifer Lawrence will be that winner, besting 85 year-old Emmanuelle Riva. Though Lawrence will likely be the clear winner in our poll, I’m still going to ask which of the four nominees will win?
[polldaddy poll=6914736]
daveinprogress has it spot-on:
ZERO wins for SLP: Emmanuelle Riva and Tommy Lee Jones have those awards. Director to Spielberg or Lee, and Adapted Screenplay to Argo, and Editing to Argo.
3-4 wins for Life of Pi
3-4 wins for Lincoln
3 wins for Argo
3 wins for Amour
1-3 wins for Les Miserables
zero wins for Silver Linings Playbook
zero wins for Zero Dark Thirty
zero wins for Django Unchained
zero wins for Beasts of the Southern Wild
@Pierre – I agree. SLP is not a BP material film and Jennifer Lawrence’s performance is good but not Oscar worthy. I see it will be gone empty handed.
Ryan- And De Niro is also starring a Stallone film, trailer just released today.
And I’m still thinking everyone predicting De Niro doesn’t know what they are talking about. Sorry.
I also don’t think it’s a coincidence he disappeared from the press after Waltz won the BAFTA.
Oh, great. Now everybody’s saying LIFE OF PI and Ang Lee. 😛 I never liked it but I always thought it was well-liked and more harmless than something like ARGO even. I’d still rather SLP win but I do think it’s a likely outcome.
And by the way, SLP isn’t as good as any of the films in that chart, and that also includes Tom Jones.
I can see SLP going home empty handed or with just one win — JLaw — but I’m hoping that Riva the dark horse will get the Oscar.
Is it me, or have Russell and Co. been campaigning too hard? It’s a bit unseemly.
I hope we see more de Niro, yes
Of the films with four acting noms, I only care about
ALL ABOUT EVE, A STREETCAR NAMED DESIRE, NETWORK, and BONNIE AND CLYDE
The rest ranges from passable trash(REDS, WHO’S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOLF), forgettable/forgotten mistakes(GUESS WHO’S COMING TO DINNER) to pretty good movies(SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK)
Well, Ryan, if they feel this may be Bobby’s swan song, it’s also his Oscar to lose.
But I don’t still get why Bobby has so many noms and 2 Oscars while Travolta has only 2 noms and so many snubs. I’d rather hire Travolta to Bobby, any day, for my film. Less histrionism. de Niro is a master, but he’s not that waaaay over plenty of still-waiting stars, which a similar track record of iconic performances.
Well, Ryan, if they feel this may be Bobby’s swan song, it’s also his Oscar to lose.
But if they feel this is Bobby’s swan song, I hope they’re wrong, don’t you?
I see what you’re saying, Jesus. I’m not disagreeing that this is one of the best movies De Niro has landed in a decade — but we know he’s capable of so much more.
The Academy doesn’t ever seem to care much about Peter O’Toole’s swan songs …
🙁
The heightened suspense of an out-of-nowhere surprise win really is building for Sunday night. I’d really love to see PSHoffman win for The Master…Guess my face will really be glued to watch AH if anybody else’s name is selected. Now that would be great ‘live’ watching.
I don’t see how Hathaway can lose to anyone, so Weaver is a no-go for me. Cooper, same… if Daniel loses to anyone, it would be to Hugh. Lawrence, Riva and Chastain are probably on a neck to neck but I got the feeling that the combo of dueness and connections of Watts will give the surprise of the night. That leaves one fact: Robert de Niro, if losing, will have LESS Oscars than Streep, Nicholson and Day-Lewis, and it arguably has been a de Niro comeback. In doubt of giving a second to Waltz, Jones, Arkin or Hoffman, and giving the third to Robert de Niro, plus giving a big one to Silver Linings, I think is de Niro to lose… If I would have to make my picks, 48 hours in advance, I’d bet on…
Picture: Life of Pi (yes)
Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Actress: Naomi Watts, The Impossible (’cause of the huge lobbying, reminds me of Denzel’s second and Bullock’s)
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Supp. Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Supp. Actor: Robert de Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Animated Feature: Frankenweenie
Foreign Film: Amour
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay: Life of Pi
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Art Direction: Les Miserables
Costume: Anna Karerina
Film Editing: Life of Pi
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Make Up: Les Miserables
Score: Life of Pi
Song: Skyfall
I may be completely wrong, but Life of Pi is a quite irresistible film, to be honest. Well, I don’t really care, as long as Zero Dark 30 gets emptyhanded, and Argo, too, if possible. Wishful thinking.
and it arguably has been a de Niro comeback.
If SLP is De Niro’s comeback, he sure turned around and left to go back to junk pretty fast. He’s starring in “The Hangover, Low-Testorerone Edition” coming out in a few months, which looks like The Bucket List with a little less cancer.
De Niro couple of pretty interesting crime movies in coming months too, one directed by Luc Besson too though, so I’m keeping an open mind.
Antoinette, is that your nightmare scenario? It would be mine. I doubt even in the Actor category, that the ‘someone else will vote for them..’. thought prevails. If I was an AMPAS voter, and my ego was as i suspect their egos are – they vote exactly how THEY want. Their biases and favorites show up in whom they vote for, not whom they DONT.
In my predictions, i have 6 of the BP films emerging as oscar winners:
Amour (Actress, Foreign Film),
Pi (Cinematography, score, sound edt, visuals),
Lincoln (Director, Actor, Supp Actor, ProdDesign)
Argo (BP,Screen,Editing)
Les Miz (Anne and sound mix),
Zero Dark (screenplay)
I too can see Silver Linings Playbook going home with nothing. The same is true for all the Best Picture nominees save Amour, Life of Pi and Lincoln. Now that’s something.
What if nobody votes for DDL because they figure everyone else will so they all vote down the line for SLP and it’s all four actors and Best Director and Best Picture?
Zipp-o-dee-doo-dah! Nada. Zilch. Gornisht. Zero. Naught. Nothing. Tumbleweeds.
One word for each Oscar nomination that Silver Linings will take home.
No room at the Inn.
Argo – Spielberg/Lee – Daniel Day, Emmanuelle, Tommy Lee, Anne, Argo, Argo
Picture, Director, Lead Actor, Lead Actress, S. Actor, S. Actres, Screen, Edit
I don’t know how the Academy feels but so many of my friends and coworkers can’t stop talking about how good Silver Linings was. Especially Jennifer Lawrence. They all go like that girl in Hunger Games was amazing blah blah blah. People really love this movie a lot which boggles my mind.
Are they for real with Jacki Weaver and Robert Dinero?
Penelope Milford went on to heathers. Call me when the shuttle lands.
the big all-time loser with the most acting nominations (tho not in all four categories) was TOM JONES. Albert Finney, Hugh Griffith and three (three!) supp actresses–Joyce Redmond, Dame Edith Evans and Diane Cilento. all went home empty handed even tho it won Best Picture. and CMG, i agree. it’s great that Judy Holliday bested Davis and Swanson that year. all three were great, but you can’t fault Holliday as she was equally as good as the other 2.
Holden in Sunset Boulevard losing to Ferrer is a head-scratcher. You understand SB not winning in Supporting Actress and objectively you can see the Best Actress and Supporting Actors going to Holiday (I will always defend that pick, even if Bette and Gloria were transcendent) and Sanders having good turns but wow.
If Beatrice Straight won for Network so can my home girl Jacki. If this hot mess happens I want SLP to just win everything so that the entire night is just a giant hot mess express.
Jackie Weaver will be the only SLP winner because Oscar always chooses the most worthy performance.
Obviously Lawrence is the one who has the best chance, and more than a few will say that she will be joined by DeNiro at the podium, but I can seriously see the film coming away empty.