Tonight’s Ace Eddie awards (Editors Guild) will test the power of Gravity – does it have massive pull to continue to dominate this awards season? That will show up tonight when the editors hand out their prize. DGA + Eddie is a powerful combination, as is SAG ensemble + Eddie if American Hustle wins in the comedy category. Gravity is expected to win tonight – should any other film win in the drama department that could mean Best Picture really is up in the air.
But when was the last time a film won Best Picture without a screenplay or a SAG ensemble nod? It has never happened in the history of the Screen Actors Guild, going back to 1995. The only film to win Best Picture without a SAG ensemble nod was Braveheart. These are some of the ways a Gravity win would mark a significant break with history where stats are concerned. Last year’s Argo win broke one of the biggest stats — looking back over the last few years The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo’s editing win at the Oscars was one of the weirdest things I’ve ever seen, meaning, in a year with nine nominees and a preferential ballot, the film that wins editing wasn’t even nominated for Picture.