The thing over at Gold Derby is to make predicting a game so why not put your predictions out front before anyone has seen anything and/or Telluride has hit. Premature expectations, though, can mostly guarantee that the movies in question will be obliterated come awards time. That doesn’t mean it will happen that way this year; it just means that whatever movie people put out front early on usually has trouble living up to those expectations.
But…
Buzz on The Revenant is off the charts. We hear – from reliable sources – that this might be unlike anything we’ve ever seen from Alejandro G. Inarritu. It will make Birdman seem like the appetizer. Not that the two movies are in any way comparable, just that it’s supposed to be the masterpiece that Birdman almost was. Don’t believe the rumors about so-called troubles on the set. From what I’ve heard from various sources it was all in the name of serving authenticity.
But …
One has to also assume that Gold Derby users are probably on the youngish side. They are also probably caught up, like so many are, with the ongoing lament: when will Leonardo DiCaprio finally win an Oscar? Will this be that year? Jeff Wells throws it out there that, in fact, maybe.
Funny story: when I was a very young woman I was wooed by a would-be filmmaker who made schlocky horror movies. He spent the whole night telling me how great the sex was going to be and how blown away I’d be. Rather impressed with him in general (I had never spent much time with any filmmakers, schlocky or otherwise), I was willing to go along for the ride. When the deed finally arrived I’m gonna say it was the worst I’ve ever had or close to it. I learned an important lesson that night before finally put the kibosh on the whole thing: high expectations and talking up things before they happen can usually lead to disappointing results. Not to dampen the mood or anything.
It’s important that all expectations on The Revenant be based on seeing just what DiCaprio/Inarritu and Chivo can do when put to the test. It’s one of my most highly anticipated films of the year, along with Spotlight, Joy, Danish Girl, Black Mass…Make of it what you will.
Lawd can we please stop putting David O. Russell up on this pedestal? I can’t handle his white mediocrity let alone another one of his films starring Jennifer Lawrence and Bradley Cooper.
Nick, you wrote: “Why are none of those people predicting The Walk or The Force Awakens!?”
The Walk does have a puncher’s chance, especially Joseph Gordon Levitt. I can’t wait for that to come out. TFA, sci-fi bias and nothing more. Except that it’s gonna make a mint in its first 2 hours and could be the first billion-dollar domestic boxoffice champ. But it’s gotta bowl over critics, too. If it does, then Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay should be assured. We’d have t see about acting nominations.
Hahaha Sasha! That’s one of your best anecdotes. But, just to be fair, Inarritu gave us a nice hard fuck last year with Birdman. Then, there’s Biutiful, so….
[**The Revenant]
I just want to make it clearer that in my first comment [this being the second one on the thread] I was simply talking about how I’ve been **recently pretty excited about the p-r-o-s-p-e-c-t of the Revenant being of superior quality, possibly even so to Birdman, the latter of which I also adore, as opposed to the “buzz”.
And I was not being sarcastic towards the [quoting my own word] “so-called” reliable sources either. That’s why I’ve said something to the effect of the response shown in my first comment; now, […] to make sure I was not rubbing off wrongly on people unnecessarily. And this has got nothing to do with the “dislike” given to the first comment even though I’d like to know why (only in this case#). It’s got nothing to do with ego or anything like that; I assume, the (only) person (so far) who down-voted my first comment might simply find #Birdman overrated (with which I entirely disagree – I adore the film and that’s why I’m pretty excited about this imaginative thing or the “guessing game” and the buzz around the Revenant created by people over there [at least it’s fun to see something new coming your way from someone who’d brought something good/great (Birdman) last year to the theaters across the globe]).
**I had initially ignored the film because I assumed (+wrongly (?)) that the main character is more or less based upon the real-life hunter for +pleasure rather than one for living [trading, etc.]. (I’ve got no problem in general with those who hunt for living, either directly for their own food or selling the hunted animals to the market, etc. But hunting for pleasure is inhumane to me — just saying.)
[Maan . . . Before you knew it: another long rant]
Anyway, looking forward to the Revenant.
I’ve read an article from HR and the notion that the Mexican director reportedly seems to have been viewed by some of his own crew members (some quit; others were fired) as someone difficult to work with somehow increasingly draws me in. Because there’s always a 50/50 chance, at least, that these so-called difficult people are simply misunderstood geniuses.
I did some research on the picks that the Gold Derby Experts had made at this time last year and found the following: Of the eventual 7 BP nominees, only 2 (Boyhood and Birdman) were predicted within the top 10 by a majority of them. (Foxcatcher, Fury, Gone Girl, Inherent Vice, Interstellar, and Unbroken were the other popular titles). Sasha was pretty alone in predicting American Sniper that early and Keith Simanton at IMDB was the only one predicting Whiplash at the time. The Imitation Game, Selma and The Theory of Everything were still off most people’s radars and The Grand Budapest Hotel was on about a third of the predix. This all changed drastically after the fall fests (with specific regard to TIG and TTOE).
Of the 11 GD Experts that have weighed in so far this year (Sasha included), the films that all of them have placed in their top 10 (omitting Anne Thompson bc she’s only predicting ones she’s seen) are: The Danish Girl, Joy and The Revenant. No one has placed The Revenant lower than 4 and Joy only has one below 5. Other majority, but not all vote-getters are: Black Mass, Carol, The Hateful Eight, Inside Out and Steve Jobs. I find it most curious that Bridge of Spies and Suffragette weren’t picked more often than they were and that no one picked Snowden, The Martian or The Walk yet.
Why are none of those people predicting The Walk or The Force Awakens!?
Benutty, now you I completely agree with. Talking about Oscars and playing the game so early can ruin the fun of Oscar night. Let’s also consider one thing which is very ironic, not many actually care about the best movies winning. It’s about who deserves what more, what win means something to a group of people and (my “favorite”) those who want different people winning at different critics groups/awards bodies. Those people want the race exciting and fresh. At so many wins it was getting boring seeing Boyhood winning so many best picture awards. People bitched. Then Birdman swooped in and won the Oscars and people bitched again saying it was unworthy (this isn’t directed at those who dislike Birdman as I know many of you advocate for the best movies to win and don’t care about the race being shaken up for your own amusement). I don’t mind making SOME predictions so early on because the race really starts when the year begins. There’s a science to it all…damn it.
Not to completely agree with AD’s resident uber super studio troll, but The Force Awakens should be considered for some serious stuff. I really think it’ll make a splash at least in the tech categories, which means it can be considered for best picture, which means it can be considered for best adapted screenplay. If it picks up even a few early nominations like the WGA (Guardians of the Galaxy, Star Trek) it can make it to the big show.
Okay, so in Gold Derby’s defense–these are USER odds. Not pundits, not bloggers, not critics. So take them with a grain of salt. Let’s also be a little honest here and admit that the films those users have placed in the top tier are not that different from the ones I’ve seen many of you keep in your various lists here for the last 2+ months.
For any of the commenters here to bash on the idea of people “predicting” the race already is absurdly hypocritical considering we all do it here all year long. And we do it because it’s fun to think about, talk about, argue about, etc. Gold Derby’s service allows us to judge our own ideas against the ideas of a “consensus” opinion. I, and I may be alone here in this, think that’s really fucking fun.
What I *DO* have a problem with, is critics and pundits playing this game this early especially when they choose to narrow their lists down so quickly. Pundits and critics are the ones that strategists pay attention to. But in the last few years it has become apparent that many of them are being paid to be more right than their peers and that has resulted in them omitting longshots and playing it very safe. And *that* results in an awful fucking slate of nominees like we had last year. So let’s not throw stones at the users of Gold Derby or the commenters on sites like this one. How droll.
That being said, I agree that playing the guessing game so early in the year ultimately ruins the fun come Oscar night. But let’s keep in mind that we’re having that fun now instead, and in a different way. Any of you could easily stop perusing awards sites all season long in order to gift yourself a more unpredictable Oscar telecast. So do that instead of spoiling it for yourself then and for everyone else now.
“in neither movie do we see Jennifer Lawrence because it’s in the wilderness.”
I JUST SCREAMED
You gotta admit, Ryan, the trailer for the Revenant has a Jeremiah Johnson feel to it. And what’s Trumbo?
– the trailer for the Revenant has a Jeremiah Johnson feel to it.
there’s a site called Amazon. they have things called books. go investigate.
– And what’s Trumbo?
there’s a site called IMDb. go investigate.
In Jeremiah Johnson, Robert Redford has a beard because he’s in the wilderness
In The Revenant, Leonardo DiCaprio has a beard because he’s in the wilderness
in both movies there’s bears because it’s in the wilderness
in both movies we see lots of trees because it’s in the wilderness
in neither movie do we see Iron Man because it’s in the wilderness
in neither movie do we see Jennifer Lawrence because it’s in the wilderness
If that’s the level of the depth of your threshold for same same same same sameness, then I have trouble understanding how all the Marvel movies you’re always raving about don’t all look alike to you.
In case you missed the point of what I said earlier, Jeremiah Johnson is a fine film. so similarities of time period and location make me more interested, not less interested.
But if that’s not your cup of tea, then fine, you shouldn’t go see it. Wait 3 or 4 days. Every 3 or 4 days there will be another movie with Iron Man in it.
I told you guys about THE GIFT two weeks ago. But would you listen to me? Noooooo… 😛 Edgerton should get some sort of nomination. When we see BLACK MASS we’ll have a better grasp of the situation.
Can we at least wait until he movie’s actually in the can to launch the cringe-inducing servile PR?
My Best Picture Predictions and bold metacritic score predictions
1. Suffragette 100/100 (the winner)
2. The Danish Girl 97/100
3. The Revenant 94/100
4. Carol 94/100
5. Joy 89/100
6. Bridge of Spies 80/100
7. Steve Jobs 76/100
—————————
8. Beasts of No Nation 83/100
9. The Hateful Eight 79/100
10. Everest 79/100
11. Brooklyn 77/100
12. The Program 78/100
Alt. Trumbo
Revenant looks like Jeremiah Johnson meets the Indians from The Lone Ranger. Probably 3 butt-numbing hrs long and depressing as hell.
Revenant looks like Jeremiah Johnson meets the Indians from The Lone Ranger.
You should stay home and watch trailers on youtube all year and miss every movie that “looks like” anything else that you can wisecrack about.
Keep watching trailers to see if they remind of things you don’t like and judge every movie that way. Watch youtube and pout about trailers all night long on Oscar night.
Also, stop it with your buttnumbingly boring comments. Your shallowness is depressing as hell on a site where people come to discuss actual movies and not what a trailer sort of “looks like.”
One more thing. Jeremiah Johnson is a deeper smarter better movie than 4 of the last 5 BP winners.
A lot of the movies being predicted just look so… dull. Especially anything with David O. Russell’s name on it.
No The Force Awakens, no cred. Time to take back the Oscars from the arthouse stuff that has poisoned these awards far too much for the past 5 years.
The revenant will not win bp but dicAprio is overdue for an Oscar. My eye is on 5 films this year Carol, the hateful eight, strata out Compton, steve jobs and bridge of spies the other 4 will be Star Wars episode 7, freeheld, suffragette and beasts of no nation and then maybe grandma or inside out if there’s a 10th spot.
There have only been two back to back winners for Best Director: John Ford and Joseph L Mankiewicz. I think the Revenant would need to be extra ordinarily outstanding (or the field being exceptionally weak) for AGI to get his second Director Oscar.
If Birdman was the appetizer, then I would walk out of the restaurant immediately and never turn back. Having said that, as much as I despised BM, I am interested in seeing The Rev.
I think the big overhyped turkey could be The Danish Girl, and Tom Hooper’s luck may finally run out.
Black Mass and Our Brand is Crisis could surprise.
And at this point a few years ago, all bets for the win were on Peter Jackson and The Lovely Bones.
If Inarritu hadn’t just walked away with a whopping THREE Oscars for the same movie, the idea of The Revenant winning Best Picture would be more believable to me (though, of course, it’s definitely possible). For me, Birdman was the “comeback” Inarritu needed after descending into relentless tragedy with Babel and Biutiful (though the performances in those two movies were incredibly strong). The Revenant seems more like the latter two and less like Birdman, but if Inarritu can avoid his earlier pitfalls, it could easily be something great.
My most anticipated of the prestige movies are The Danish Girl, Joy, The Revenant, Steve Jobs, and Carol. I imagine I will probably enjoy all five. Any potential awards for them would just be the cherry on top.
OT: I just got back from The Gift, and I thought it was great. A late summer surprise for sure. It’s great to see the thriller genre producing some gems with Gone Girl, Ex Machina, It Follows, and now this.
Robin, my “guess” is you’re probably gonna be right. Mad Max: Fury Road seems like this year’s Gravity from 2 years ago. But then again, that was nominated for both Best Picture and Best Director, so you never know. I think it would be fun to see a Best Picture lineup like this:
Carol
In the Heart of the Sea
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
Steve Jobs
Straight Outta Compton
Suffragette
The Hateful Eight
The Martian
The Revenant
I think Mad Max: Fury Road has the legs to stay strong throughout, or naturally go quiet then regain some he buzz. The big categories would be grand, but I am going to “guess” it might define itself in the techs. As for Ex Machina, it just feels like it will just disappear into the night and be tomorrow’s garbage. Possibly my favorite release of this year, I hope, I hope I am very very wrong.
“Imagine flying to Mars, watching all the nominated films, coming back having had no involvement whatsoever with the build up or race (and no internet access), and watch the Oscars. Now that’s exciting.”
Robin, that would be one of the best things ever! Too bad I can’t do that for real. My biggest problem is that I’m like an addict, who when they have their addiction in front of them, they can’t not ______ it.
Robin, Antoinette, you both make great points with truly valid reasons. I can’t argue against any of them, and I in fact, agree whole heartedly with them. I just get discouraged sometimes because I see what others think and I feel like a man on an island with no one to share my excitement with.
I really wish that what you both said wasn’t true, and that the voters didn’t cement their opinions so damn early, and then ignore all others as well, because then we might finally see a truly diverse group of films get the recognition they deserve.
So far this year, I’ve seen some that I think deserve some awards recognition. Ex Machina, Mad Max: Fury Road, Dope, Straight Outta Compton, and to lesser degrees, Kingsman, Furious 7, and Southpaw. Will any of them find their way into the Oscar higherarchy? Probably not. 🙁
I hope I don’t think of changing my name to SUFFRAGETTE while I’m sitting through it. 🙂
Al, the problem with early Oscar predictions is that people take them as more than guesses, which they are. If people saw the films and then only predicted that quality pictures get nominated that would be great. But because people are guessing, sometimes a film gets undeserved buzz that it rides right into an Oscar nomination, while quality movies get cast aside because not enough people mentioned them even though they had been seen and should have been deemed worthy.
For example, take your list. Suppose everyone started saying the same films and then those became the chosen ones. And they carried their buzz through campaign season. Then when you got around to seeing them all, you thought 3 of them weren’t very good. Well because people were narrowing their list down to ten this early they left off movies they liked very much like INSIDE OUT or STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON, because they’re not obvious “Oscar movies”. At the end of the year it’s too late to get movies back in the race that were left off because of the assumption that other “Oscar season” movies would be better. So one might feel bad if they contributed buzz to a crap movie, if one of their favorites of the year, something like INSIDE OUT doesn’t make it.
I mean as far as predicting goes you might be exactly right. But those of us who want quality BP winners have seen over the last few years that early predictions become self-fulfilling prophecies which leave great films on the sidelines. I want the best movies to win, that’s why I always say I’m rooting for movies instead of predicting them to win. I’d rather champion what I’ve seen and believe to be good. But it’s usually too late by then.
@AL
We all love the Oscars and the build up, but over the years the guessing game has got so intense that by the time you get to the actual night the anticipation has kind of wilted. Imagine flying to Mars, watching all the nominated films, coming back having had no involvement whatsoever with the build up or race (and no internet access), and watch the Oscars. Now that’s exciting.
You mention the upcoming festivals and critics groups, this is a real buzz for me until they start copying each other or following the same trend. Sorry, people’s tastes are not that similar. I hate the certainties too, when the race is over (no offense Julianne Moore and JK Simmons). Last year when the National Board of Review announced wins for A Most Violent Year (Film, Actor, Supporting Actress) I was well and truly buzzing. But we already kind of knew then that film would not go to the Oscars (Chastain gave possibly the best Supporting performance of last year). I take each awards group individually if I can without trying to equate it to the race. Which is hard.
I get excited about the movies. It is about the movies. If that translates into the awards season race the my excitement levels rise accordingly. But mostly, the movies I love either don’t feature with AMPAS or they are beaten to death in the race.
“I require the two idiots who gave Watermelon’s comment a “dislike” to come forward.”
Just thought the same.
Also : If we are talking sight unseen stuff, I would like to officially guess that if Suffragette is at least decent (in that theoryofimitation kind of seventy-ish Metacritic kind of way), it will be a major threat for the win in the end. In a year when people are finally REALLY talking about women in film, Suffragette may just be the perfect contender to go all the way.
Should I quit making such early Oscar predictions?
When I read this post last night, I got excited, and decided to make my “early” list, hoping in part that others would feel like I did and want to do the same. Instead I discover that predictions are the last thing that people want right now. Which I admit, I understand, and yet really don’t. Already, the Toronto and New York Film Festivals have been announcing their lineups, and in a few more days the Telluride Film Festival will start, and all of the “Oscar positioning” will commence. It seems to me like we should be getting excited right now instead of the other.
“Buzz on The Revenant is off the charts. We hear – from reliable sources – that this might be unlike anything we’ve ever seen from Alejandro G. Inarritu. It will make Birdman seem like the appetizer.”
OMG . . . Sasha, you’re killing me softly with this song.
I’m (almost literally) drooling right now — in hope that the so-called reliable sources are correct and their opinions are objective enough to possibly help me reach another round of the cinematic orgasm once again.
I require the two idiots who gave Watermelon’s comment a “dislike” to come forward.
Right now, my top 9 is exactly theirs, but nos exactly in that order.
If the Academy had (correctly, in my opinion) awarded Boyhood, Linklater and Keaton, I would easily pick Revenant, Iñarritu and Redmayne as early frontrunners. Since they didn’t, I’m divided between Joy and The Hateful Eight, with two very respected and overdue directors. And If The Revenant is very well received, as I’m predicting, Leo will have a clear path to the victory finally.
I’m very curious for Miles Ahead and how the industry will handle Netlix’s first awards atrelar with Beasts of no Nation. Bota could be something big.
THE REVENANT probably won’t make its holiday release date. If it does, I can’t see it being nominated.
THE REVENANT probably won’t make its holiday release date. If it does, I can’t see it being nominated.
🙁 email me whenever you want me to delete this comment, which is full of all kinds of wrong.
The reasons The Revenant is slated for “Limited Release” on Dec 25th are twofold. First, obviously to meet Academy eligibility requirements. Second, obviously so 20th Fox won’t have two movies competing and undermining each other on Christmas Day. Fox knows that Joy is more of Family Christmas movie so they’re giving it the wide-release for the holidays and saving The Revenant for a classic Art Film platform launch.
The Revenant will not only be ready for the Holidays — it will be ready for critics to see by late November, so that it can make it into the NBR and other year-end critics lists.
The Revenant will not only be nominated. It will be nominated in at least 6 categories, maybe more.
So I should just come back next year then, since this one’s over already? lol This crap gets worse every year. I used to play that prediction game over there but they start so early that they choose who to put in and narrow the field before it even gets going. That’s not how it once was. Even a few years ago.
Predicting the Oscars this early is almost as bad as having a two-year presidential election – can’t take either even remotely seriously. When the award becomes more important than the field of mostly unseen/untested competitors, Houston, we’ve got a problem.
“The major question at this point of time is if not ‘The Revenant’, then what ?”
I humbly submit The Dressmaker, a new feature film starring Oscar champion and performing arts legend Kate ‘the GREAT’ Winslet (Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, Heavenly Creatures) for consideration as the unseen front runner
– Watermelons
Weird that I saw this now I tweeted about it moments ago and have opened up a debate (a good one I hope). Predicting the Oscars has become a real source of bitterness for me. Kills the whole excitement of the race, and we are now even hating movies that do well because of their coverage and out-gunning our own favorites. How many Oscar films do we dislike because they won. The whole race fiasco drills this into us more than it would normally. I used to love the Oscars, but now by the time the big night arrives I am feeling flat and uninspired. A lot of the movie coverage nowadays is terrific (this site for me is still right up there with the best and has been in my eyes for 15+ years), but this obsession (and it feels crazed now, right?) with predicting the winners earlier and earlier and over and over is a bore to me. Sorry. I like a good guessing game, and will no doubt have my own favorites, but it is just too intense now. More than I did last year, with my site I really want to keep buzz alive for those movies / actors / actresses we love and don’t do well come awards season (more often than not) – whether they head into the Oscar race or not. There is nothing much exciting about a foregone conclusion.
with predicting the winners earlier and earlier and over and over is a bore to me.
Sasha pinpointed the root of the absurdity in her post here, but it bears underlining. It’s mind-numbing to watch people GUESS about Oscar winners before they have seen these “winners.”
“Predicting” movies that have not been seen turns the Oscars and the entire Year In Film into a guessing-game, a literal “horse race” — except at least in a horse race people are gambling on entities they have seen perform somewhere.
Year after year these people who “predict” Oscar winners based on pedigree pull silly boners like “All the Kings Men will sweep!” “Dreamgirls will sweep!” “Sweeney Todd will sweep!” (I mention these last two because both were “BP frontrunners” that Tom O’Neil himself famously clung to right up till Oscar night as if they were the only flotsam afloat after his ship sunk. )
The worst part of this roll-the-dice mentality? There are hundreds — maybe a 1000 — actual Oscar voters who are just as lazy and careless. They’re not a lot different than the people who pick Donald Trump in polls because he’s the only name they’ve heard about.
And this “hearing about” thing is made worse by outlets like Gold Derby. Headlines about The Revenant sweeping are the kind of dumb noise that drowns out all the other thoughtful discussion. It disrespects the most basic thing we love about movies: WATCHING the MOVIES!
===
Hey, I think The Revenant will be great. I said so on Oscar Podcast back in February. But that was based on having read the terrific novel several years ago, then getting my hands on the screenplay in January and seeing how well the screenwriters had done the novel justice. I said I was really excited about The Revenant in spite of my disdain for Birdman, but nobody wanted to hear about it in February. I got severely shot down, and I guess rightly so, because there was no reason to trust me at that point. Great novels fail to become great movies every year.
(I don’t even know if my enthusiasm even made it into the podcast because The Revenant wasn’t relevant and there was some friction, so Sasha might have cut that out to do what she does so well: help us stay focused and keep the podcast on point.) (I didn’t listen to the final cut of that episode because I was bummed out 🙁 poor me 🙂 )
Plus: There’s a high chance of a Best Picture and Director combo for “Hateful Eight”. The blueprint of the film, seems to be John Carpenter’s masterpiece, “The Thing”, only without aliens and set in the western genre.
Birdman was hardly a masterpiece, but a stunt. Really, the only thing I enjoyed in the film, was the acting, specially Keaton’s.
The major question at this point of time is if not ‘The Revenant’, then what ? Yes, ‘The Danish Girl’ and ‘Steve Jobs’ have potential to win on paper, but frankly, Danny Boyle and Tom Hooper don’t inspire much confidence. The fact that they have already won, also, makes me think if the Academy would be willing to give either of them two Oscars for Best Picture. Are Boyle and Hooper so talented ? I think Academy would be more comfortable awarding Inarritu with two BP Oscars than either of them — assuming The Revenant turns out to be as good as, if not better, than ‘The Danish Girl’ and ‘Steve Jobs’
The second question is what if ‘The Revenant’ is actually better than ‘Birdman’ ? What will Academy do then ?
Sight unseen, I feel ‘The Revenant’ deserves the frontrunner status. Unless there is a wild card — something like Beasts of No Nation which can surprise everyone– in waiting, ‘The Revenant’ is going to enjoy the frontrunner status till the people see that film.
The second question is what if ‘The Revenant’ is actually better than ‘Birdman’ ?
I’m gonna go ahead and say the answer to this question is YES.
Funny story: when I was a very young woman I was wooed by a would-be filmmaker who made schlocky horror movies. He spent the whole night tell me how great the sex was going to be and how blown away I’d be. Rather impressed with him in general (I had never spent much time with any filmmakers, schlocky or otherwise) and so I was willing to go along with this. When the deed finally arrived I’m gonna say it was the worst I’ve ever had or close to it.
In other words, “His thang was a thang, not what he said about that thang.”
This story is more meaningful than anything we saw in Birdman and (I’m assuming) Lubezki didn’t even shoot it.
surely drugs were involved. hopefully.
I’m worried that The Revenant will still be wet in late December. I hope it will make it to it’s Christmas Day release date, but we might start hearing the same rumblings that happened to The Wolf of Wall Street 2 years ago.
Given all the films, I predict right now that Trumbo wins Best Picture.
My guess for Best Picture chances:
1. Trumbo
2. Carol
3. Joy
4. The Danish Girl
5. Steve Jobs
6. The Hateful Eight
7. Suffragette
8. Bridge of Spies
9. I Saw the Light
*The Revenant
*Miles Ahead