It’s all come down to this, folks. I’d be lying if I said this was an easy year. It was anything but. Most of that is to do with the election, though. There isn’t much to complain about with the Oscars – one fun party tonight and we all begin anew.
So, here’s your chance to make your bold predictions of what might happen. Don’t forget, the Oscars could go two different ways. 1) business as usual, La La Land sweeps – happy fun predictable night. 2) It doesn’t go as planned at all. Turns out the membership shake-up mattered more than anyone figured. Turns out the election had an impact on votes. Turns out all of the pundits were wrong. Turns out no one predicted it would go the way it went. The BAFTAs were slightly surprising, which might be an early signal that things could go awry. That said, it should be a fun No Guts, No Glory year.
I’ve actually switched my Best Picture prediction over at Gold Derby to Moonlight, which is the No Guts, No Glory to beat all others. Moonlight is a film whose momentum hit as the season came to a close. So not winning any BAFTAs then winning the WGA shows that it’s a late breaking frontrunner. Its win would defy every rule we know except it DOES have a SAG ensemble nomination and it did win the Globe. Preferential ballot is a tricky thing – it rewards films people feel good about and want to push to the top of their ballot. It came out on top of our Awards Daily poll but also on my own Facebook polls. So it’s a good risky bet that it COULD win but probably it’s La La Land’s to lose.
So here are my three (other than Moonlight):
Kubo and Zootopia split the vote and The Red Turtle wins Animated Feature
Moonlight wins Cinematography and Editing
La La Land wins Sound Editing