It’s an odd sort of situation we find ourselves in right now. Did you know that in all of SAG/DGA/Oscar history, no DGA winner has ever predicted Best Picture without a SAG ensemble nomination? Yes, even Ye Auld Braveheart stat must get out of the way because Ron Howard, not Mel Gibson, won the DGA that year. That takes us all the way back to the beginning to break this stat.
It could happen. Here is my quick and dirty reasoning why this stat might not break this year — and of course, I could be wrong, mind you:
Why Shape might win and, thus, break the SAG stat:
I think that it’s probably down to Three Billboards or Get Out, which is why I’m predicting one for Picture and one for Original Screenplay because I do sort of think that the screenplay may NOT go along with Best Picture this year. More analysis on that later today. I’m gonna go with Three Billboards for Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor — I do think it could also win Original Screenplay and maybe something else: it does have below the line nominations in Editing and Score. But I’ll go with Get Out for Original Screenplay, which could win Picture and Screenplay like Spotlight did.
YES we are putting up our Big Fat Predictions Chart later today too.
Here’s a chart: