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Timing and Box Office

Posted by Susan Thea Posnock On January - 1 - 2009

David Poland’s latest column looks at Slumdog, which is the favorite to win Best Picture right now, and how it’s faring at the box office:

Slumdog Millionaire got to $20 million on Monday.  They are still on 614 screens.  Searchlight has slowly rolled out into the places where a foreign language film with no stars is a problem.  Some have worked.  Some less so.  But that $20 million mark puts them behind only Benjamin Button at the box office as the voters settle in.  And they will surely use the Oscar nom to expand to a real wide release… just as they did with Sideways. But they are already wider than Sideways was pre-nom… and way ahead at the box office.  The hope, I suspect, is that they will be over $30 million when the nominations come in and then expand and ride the wave to the second $100 million domestic film of Searchlight’s history… and the first Oscar win.

Movie City News’ Kim Voynar also takes a look at Oscar and gets a case of the “shoulds,” who should be nominated and who shouldn’t.  Eddie Marsan from Happy-Go-Lucky, George Clooney in Burn After Reading, and she makes a big play for some Defiance love, especially with the actors:

Lastly in the Best Supporting Actor category, there’s another strong supporting male performance that’s being greatly overlooked as we head closer to Oscar: Liev Schreiber’s excellent turn as Zus Bielski opposite Daniel Craig as Zus’s older brother, Tuvia, in Ed Zwick’s Defiance. Schreiber has been tearing up the stage for years now, taking home a Tony award in the revival of David Mamet’s Glengarry Glen Ross, but he’s not found an on-screen role big enough for all that talent — until the role of Zus.

More after the cut.

All Schreiber’s fiery passion and considerable talent are poured into this role, and he’s the perfect foil to Craig’s Tuvia. The real-life paths the brothers took provides a great dramatic structure for the film: Where Tuvia opts to fight the Germans by saving as many Jews as possible through armed resistance, Zus chooses to abandon the Bielski partisans for a, while to go join the Russian army and kill as many Germans as possible. Schreiber was ideally cast as Zus, and his performance is largely what drives the film. It’s well worth consideration for Oscar gold, and I hope the Academy voters will recognize it.

Her full list:

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney, Burn After Reading
Heath Ledger
, The Dark Knight
Eddie Marsan
, Happy-Go-Lucky
Liev Schreiber
, Defiance
Michael Shannon
, Revolutionary Road

BEST ACTOR
Jeff Goldblum, Adam Resurrected
Richard Jenkins
, The Visitor
Benicio del Toro
, Che
Brad Pitt
, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke
, The Wrestler

It’s usually around this time of year that people start getting sick of the defacto frontrunners and start looking for a fresh take.    I don’t have a problem with any of her choices except that they leave out some of truly great performances this year – for instance, George Clooney better than Pitt or John Malkovich in Burn After Reading?  Malkovich owns in that movie.  Secondly, Frank Langella in Frost/Nixon?  The only logical reason for that ommission is boredom.  It makes no sense otherwise.  That said, I wouldn’t mind seeing Defiance get some last minute Oscar love.  Oh, and she completely leaves out Ralph Fiennes for his work in In Bruges, The Duchess or The Reader.  Surely he ought to get some recognition. 

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No Response for "Timing and Box Office"

  1. Paddy M January 1st, 2009 at 1:34 pm 1

    Ralph Fiennes has done some of the strongest work of any actor or actress this year, alongside Richard Jenkins, Kate Winslet and Robert Downey Jr., yet he is receiving criminally little buzz. I agree, Sasha, where are his nominations, particularly for his nuanced turn in The Duchess, and his hilarious one in In Bruges?

    His standing as a well-respected thespian in Hollywood may rally Academy voters behind him, so he’ll stand a viable chance as a spoiler right up until the nominations are announced, imo. However, a little more buzz for one performance in particular wouldn’t go amiss, otherwise he may split his vote three ways…

  2. Bill M. January 1st, 2009 at 1:40 pm 2

    Fiennes: The Duchess, The Reader, & In Bruges (in order of the strenghth of his performances).

    Two definite Oscar worthy perf’s in The Duchess & The Reader. The Reader might have category confusion. And the amount of performances he has in one year will likely cancel out his votes.

    His globe nomination came from the Weinstein’s buying Globe nom’s like they always do.

    Does he deserve at least one Oscar nomination? Definitely.

    Will he get one? Unlikely.

    Supp. Actor: Ledger, Brolin, Downey, Hoffman, Patel

  3. Paul Outlaw January 1st, 2009 at 1:44 pm 3

    I like, I like. “Shoulds ‘08″:

    For Best Supporting Actress:
    Hiam Abbass, The Visitor
    Patricia Clarkson, Married Life
    Lena Olin, The Reader
    Emma Thompson, Brideshead Revisited
    Evan Rachel Wood, The Wrestler

    For Best Supporting Actor:
    Ralph Fiennes, In Bruges
    James Franco, Milk
    Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
    Eddie Marsan, Happy-Go-Lucky
    Viggo Mortensen, Appaloosa

    For Best Actress:
    Cate Blanchett, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
    Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
    Meryl Streep, Doubt
    Kristin Scott Thomas, I’ve Loved You So Long
    Kate Winslet, The Reader

    For Best Actor:
    Daniel Craig, Defiance
    Benicio Del Toro, Che
    Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
    Sean Penn, Milk
    Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

    For Best Director:
    Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler
    Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
    David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
    Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
    Gus Van Sant, Milk

    For Best Picture:
    The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
    The Dark Knight
    Defiance
    Milk
    Rachel Getting Married

  4. Robert Hamer January 1st, 2009 at 1:48 pm 4

    I have to be honest at the risk of being flamed to death here; I was not very impressed with Frank Langella in Frost/Nixon and I sincerely hope that Michael Sheen is nominated instead as he was far better in the film. Not only was it the same over-the-top caricature of the former president that has been done ad nauseum before, but I didn’t even think that Langella gave a very good impersonation. When I first saw footage of the movie I struggled to figure out who he was supposed to be and thought he might be imitating Henry Kissinger.

    What is it I’m missing? Is this really that great of a performance, or is it the same biopic mimicry that Oscar voters fawn over every year?

  5. red_wine January 1st, 2009 at 1:49 pm 5

    I finally saw Button and think Brad Pitt is truly unworthy of any recognition. I know this is a very weak year for actors but still, just starring in a movie can hardly be criteria for nominating some-one.

  6. Flapp January 1st, 2009 at 1:51 pm 6

    Man,
    What a weido list.

    Haw te great Fienne scan de out?

    How???

    It´s enough for me.

    But we have more…

    Clooney in “Bunr After Reading”???
    Beyond Malkovick?

    And Langella and Penn out?

    Please…

  7. Noah R. January 1st, 2009 at 2:09 pm 7

    Liev Schreiber is ALWAYS brilliant and alongside Gary Oldman is one of the most deserving actors for a nomination ever. I haven’t seen Defiance yet but I have no doubt that he steals the show. When will the Academy wake up and honor these truly extraordinary talents?

    Robert, I’m not going to flame you for disliking Langella’s performance, but if you look at all the major Nixon portrayals, none of them are like the real Tricky Dick at all. Each one represents a different facet to the most fascinating President in U.S. history. He is a man that cannot easily be pinned down, and the best Nixon performance is still Nixon himself. That in mind, I thought Langella was quite good, though my heart still belongs to Philip Baker Hall in Secret Honor.

  8. Zach January 1st, 2009 at 2:59 pm 8

    I like this, but it’s a little late.

  9. HaroldsMaude January 1st, 2009 at 3:18 pm 9

    red_wine, I agree. I wasn’t that thrilled with Brad Pitt’s performance, even though he had nearly every minute of screen time and was the titular character. His performances last year in “…Jesse James” and even in “Burn After Reading” were better. And I’ll be sad if his presence on the list of nominations means that people like Richard Jenkins are out.

  10. Dominik January 1st, 2009 at 3:38 pm 10

    Eddie Marsan would not be a surprise nominee, I e4xpect him to be on the list.
    And it´s not unlikely the whole movie (Happy-go-lucky) will get a best picture-nom. I bet it´s fighting the fifth spot against “Wall-E”, “TDK” and “Revolutionary Road”.
    And if Happy-go-lucky” is in, and “TDK” not- oh lord, a helluva hate machine breaks free on this side to destroy that little indie… :-)

  11. RichardA January 1st, 2009 at 5:05 pm 11

    SPOILER ON TCOBB!!!

    TCOBB isn’t all that. It would be all right with if it was not nominated for BP. There was a bit of nothingness in Brad Pitt’s performance–it was very Meet Joe Black, very ScarJo. What pisses me off about Brad Pitt was that…all he had to do was look better as he was getting younger. And he has with all that perfect skin. Did he really need this role? Gimme, Abe Vigoda as Benjamin Button, and then we’re talking about the big time Oscars. Too bad, because Pitt is a very capable actor.

    Also, I just wish all the secondary characters were written better with better purpose, and lines. They all just ended up looking like loose ends. I mean, what did BenButtons do when he sees Tilda Swinton on tv? Nothing, really. Julia Ormond could have done something more that’s Oscar worthy, but she was under written. Remember the Oscar nod for James Garner for The Notebook? Totally possible.

    And the button factory scene…could have been better. It could have been more interesting to give insight to that. At least visually. Right? Instead, it was boring. It was his namesake and it did not get metaphorical write up.

    It felt like it just needed to be as schlocky as Forrest Gump to be a better movie. Maybe that was the point, but a meditation on death every 5 minutes got really old. Or young. whatever. Forrest Gump love it or not was an Oscar winner.

    It was a very pretty movie. And the relationship between BB with Queenie and Daisy were the best parts of the movie. I’m pushing it for musical score and art direction.

  12. Joao Mattos January 1st, 2009 at 6:01 pm 12

    Speaking as “deserving actors for a nomination” like Noah said, once upon a time this site has the great “Wall of Shame”, indicates the shameful omitions of great directors, actors and actress that never wins or,worse, not ever be nominated. Why not return with it? Guees o lot people miss it.

    Our beloved Martin Scorsese could no longer be the main attraction of it, but there are several other person to be listed.

    To remember only the not even nominated (the never won is too vast), Oldman wasn’t, but also Mia Farrow and Donald Shuterland in the acting field, Brian De Palma in the directing, Adam Holender and Gerry Fisher for cinematography, Pino Donaggio for the music.

  13. The Natural January 1st, 2009 at 9:18 pm 13

    “Remember the Oscar nod for James Garner for The Notebook?”

    No, I really don’t.

  14. Brian Adams January 1st, 2009 at 11:02 pm 14

    I second comment #13. big time

  15. Noah R. January 2nd, 2009 at 8:20 am 15

    RichardA, I couldn’t agree more. TCCOBB was much ado about nothing, and believe me I take no pleasure in saying that because I really wanted to love it. Both Slumdog and Button have screenplays that are riddled with cliches but one film has heart and the other does not. Slumdog is the former.

  16. RichardA January 2nd, 2009 at 10:48 am 16

    Fact check: James Garner got a nod from SAG not Oscar.


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  • Contender Tracker

    Best Picture
    Up in the Air
    Nine
    The Hurt Locker
    An Education
    Precious: Based on the Novel
    Push by Sapphire

    A Serious Man
    Inglourious Basterds
    Up

    Julie & Julia
    Star Trek
    District 9
    Bright Star
    Where the Wild Things Are
    A Single Man

    Best Actor
    Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
    Colin Firth, A Single Man
    George Clooney, Up in the Air
    Matt Damon, The Informant!
    Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
    Viggo Mortensen, The Road
    Ben Foster, The Messenger
    Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man
    Michael Sheen, The Damned United

    Best Actress
    Gabby Sidibe, Precious
    Carey Mulligan, An Education
    Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
    Abbie Cornish, Bright Star
    Helen Mirren, The Last Station
    Michelle Monaghan, Trucker

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
    Alfred Molina, An Education
    Stanley Tucci, Julie & Julia
    Peter Sarsgaard, An Education
    Robert Duvall, Crazy Heart
    Peter Capaldi, In the Loop
    Zach Galifianakis, The Hangover
    Anthony Mackie, The Hurt Locker
    Brian Geraghty, The Hurt Locker

    Best Supporting Actress
    Mo'Nique,Precious
    Anna Kendrick,Up in the Air
    Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart
    Julianne Moore, A Single Man
    Melanie Laurent, Inglourious Basterds
    Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
    Samantha Morton, The Messenger
    Emma Thompson, An Education
    Cara Seymour, An Education

    Best Director
    Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
    Lee Daniels, Precious
    Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
    Lone Scherfig, An Education
    Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
    Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
    Neill Blomkamp, District 9
    Spike Jonze, Where the Wild Things Are
    Tom Ford, A Single Man
    Jane Campion, Bright Star

    Best Original Screenplay
    Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
    Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
    Jane Campion, Bright Star
    Quentin Tarantino,Inglourious Basterds
    Michael Haneke,White Ribbon
    Bob Peterson, Pete Docter,Up
    Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber, 500 Days of Summer

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
    Nick Hornby, An Education
    Spike Jonze, Dave Eggars, Where the Wild Things Are
    Peter Morgan, The Damned United
    Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire
    Scott Burns, The Informant!
    Tom Ford, A Single Man

    Best Editing

    Chris Innis, Bob Murawski, The Hurt Locker
    Sally Menke, Inglourious Basterds
    Dana E. Glauberman,, Up in the Air
    Joel and Ethan Coen,, A Serious Man

    Best Cinematography
    Greig Fraser,Bright Star
    Robert Richardson,Inglourious Basterds
    Roger Deakins, A Serious Man
    Christian Berger, White Ribbon
    Bruno Delbonnel,Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    Barry Ackroyd, The Hurt Locker

    Best Art Direction

    Where the Wild Things Are
    Julie & Julia
    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    Bright Star
    Inglourious Basterds
    White Ribbon
    District 9
    A Serious Man

    Best Sound Mixing

    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    District 9
    Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
    The Hurt Locker
    Star Trek

    Best Sound Editing

    District 9
    Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
    Star Trek
    Up

    Best Costume Design
    Janet Patterson, Bright Star
    Jany Temime,Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
    Anna B. Sheppard,Inglourious Basterds
    Mary Zophre, A Serious Man
    Colleen Atwood, Public Enemies
    Consolata Boyle,Cheri

    Best Original Score
    Carter Burwell, Karen O,Where the Wild Things Are
    Carter Burwell,A Serious Man
    Michael Giacchino,Up
    Alexandre Desplat, Cheri
    Elliot Goldenthal, Public Enemies

    Best Foreign Language Film (submissions)

    Letters from Father Jacob, Finland
    White Wedding, South Africa
    A Prophet, France
    Dawson, Isla 10, Chile
    Nobody to Watch Over Me, Japan
    Prince of Tears, Hong Kong
    No puedo vivir sin ti, Taiwan
    Kelin, Kazakhstan
    Mother, Korea
    The White Ribbon, Germany
    Silent Army, The Netherlands


    Best Documentary Feature

    The Beaches of Agnes
    Burma VJ
    The Cove
    Every Little Step
    Facing Ali
    Food, Inc.
    Garbage Dreams
    Living in Emergency
    The Most Dangerous Man in America
    Mugabe and the White African
    Sergio
    Soundtrack for a Revolution
    Under Our Skin
    Valentino
    Which Way Home


    Best Animated Feature
    Up
    The Princess and the Frog
    Coraline
    The Fantastic Mr. Fox
    A Christmas Carol
    Mary and Max
    Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
    Ponyo


    Best Visual Effects
    Star Trek
    District 9
    A Christmas Carol
    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    Transformers


    Best Makeup

    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    District 9

    Best Song

    Best Live Action Short

    Best Animated Short

    Best Documentary Short

    China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province
    The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner
    The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant
    Lt. Watada
    Music by Prudence
    Rabbit a la Berlin
    Tell Them Anything You Want: A Portrait of Maurice Sendak
    Woman Rebel

  • Ampas Breakdown

    Actors-1,222
    Producers-462
    Executives-436
    Sound-411
    Writers-388
    Art Directors-373
    Directors-375
    Public Relations-370
    Members at Large-254
    Shorts/Feature Ani-335
    Visual Effects-272
    Music-233
    Editors-227
    Cinematographers-197
    Documentary-145
    Makeup-115
    Total Voting Members -approx 6,000
  • Tuesday, December 1, 2009: Official Screen Credits forms due

    Monday, December 28, 2009: Nominations ballots mailed

    Saturday, January 23, 2010: Nominations polls close 5 p.m. PT

    Tuesday, February 2, 2010: Nominations announced 5:30 a.m. PT, Samuel Goldwyn Theater

    Wednesday, February 10, 2010: Final ballots mailed

    Monday, February 15, 2010: Nominees Luncheon

    Saturday, February 20, 2010: Scientific and Technical Achievement Awards presentation

    Tuesday, March 2, 2010: Final polls close 5 p.m. PT

    Sunday, March 7, 2010: 82nd Annual Academy Awards presentation