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The Producers Guild Awards Tonight

Posted by Sasha Stone On January - 24 - 2009

With all of the shock and disgust awe of the Oscar nominations I’d completely forgotten about the PGA.  Tom O’Neil has cornered the market on gathering predictions for these big awards – but we have our little rag tag group of pals anyway.  If you are interested in what the Gold Derby folks are predicting, here is the way it’s going down.  As I recall, these awards come late, like 11pm or something like that.

Most are predicting Slumdog to take it, but a few are predicting Benjamin Button (which I think is astute, considering its producers).

PRODUCERS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS: PREDICTIONS
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” David Carr, Carpetbagger
“The Dark Knight” - Sasha Stone, Kris Tapley
“Frost/Nixon”
“Milk”
“Slumdog Millionaire” – (expected winner), Damien Bona (Inside Oscar) Steve Mason, (Big Hollywood)

Curiously, no one is predicting The Dark Knight. Why? Because it was just given the old heave-ho by the Academy. Could that have really impacted how the PGA voted? If The Dark Knight had been in I can guarantee you more people would be predicting it for this honor and I think I might predict it just to be obstinate because sometimes being a bitch is all a woman has to hold on to (psst. Slumdog will probably win). Hell, Milk might win. One never knows these things.

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52 Responses for "The Producers Guild Awards Tonight"

  1. red_wine January 24th, 2009 at 2:11 pm 1

    From now on in the season, I will be surprised everytime Slumdog misses somewhere where it was nominated for the big prize.

  2. Daniel Kenealy January 24th, 2009 at 2:12 pm 2

    Gonna have to predict SLUMDOG here …

  3. Nyc Oscar Buff January 24th, 2009 at 2:14 pm 3

    Should it even be close? The production value on CCOBB, bigger name producers, 150 million budget grossing 110 million by the end of the weekend. Slumdog can’t even match half of CCOBB’s box office gross.

    Love Slumdog but let CCOBB reign supreme.

  4. Free January 24th, 2009 at 2:16 pm 4

    Hell, Milk might win. One never knows these things.

    -Yeah, we know Slumdog’s going to win. The thing is, I was lucky enough to see all the ones nominated, and if I had a vote, I WOULD vote for “Milk.” I thought it was the best film of the year.

  5. shirley January 24th, 2009 at 2:17 pm 5

    no slumdog!

  6. Paul Outlaw January 24th, 2009 at 2:29 pm 6

    The Curious Case of Benjamin Button would please me immensely.
    PREDICTION: The Dark Knight would put a smile on my face.
    Frost/Nixon would not be the end of the world.
    Milk would move me deeply.
    Slumdog Millionaire would be acceptable.

  7. Nick K. January 24th, 2009 at 2:45 pm 7

    I’m hoping for a Dark Knight win here, so the guild can send out a collective Fuck You to the Academy.

  8. Haifa January 24th, 2009 at 2:47 pm 8

    I actually think TDK is still gonna take this one.

  9. a.m.j January 24th, 2009 at 2:56 pm 9

    the oscar really made a huge mistake by not nominating the dark knight every person i talked to are angry and are planning to boycott the oscar, and ever website is pised, even peter travers (rolling stone critic) is pissed that the reader get in over the dark knight. At In contention they’re trying to cool off. Even the variety are a little puzzled by this. Hell even E! are trying to fiqure out this one . I think the oscar really did it this time! I hope they get the messege when they see their rating.

  10. Googooboo January 24th, 2009 at 3:14 pm 10

    I really hope the guilds flip the bird to AMPAS and give TDK the PGA and DGA. At least the DGA gave Spielberg and Howard the awards after they were snubbed for BD in 85 and 95, so there’s some precedent here at least for Nolan winning (though granted, both their films were BP nominees).

  11. Jesus Alonso January 24th, 2009 at 3:36 pm 11

    the natural pick would be The Dark Knight, from a producer’s point of view. However the momentum of Slumdog Millionaire makes it the frontrunner.

    I’m going with the caped crusader, but I’m really torn here.

    If Benjamin Buttom wins this and then gets the DGA, game over.

  12. Gentle Benj January 24th, 2009 at 3:37 pm 12

    I’m saying Slumdog.

    If it’s Button, I promise a spectacular meltdown.

  13. ZACH January 24th, 2009 at 3:47 pm 13

    The PGAs got it right

  14. Lily January 24th, 2009 at 4:02 pm 14

    TDK is probably not being predicted to win PGA because it didn’t win BP at GG or CC and it’s not the frontrunner for any other guild awards. I think PGA is the best shot TDK has at a guild win. Though if the guild was to go with a big production they can reward BB. My guess is they will give the PGA to “Slumdog Millionaire”.

  15. Ben January 24th, 2009 at 4:15 pm 15

    A.M.J.:

    Sign me up. I’ve been boycotting the Oscars since they snubbed Brokeback, not because it was the year’s best picture (it was), and not because they chose a lousy instead, but because they broke every precedent in their 77 year history in order to snub it because, as members Tony Curtis and Ernest Borgnine and “all their friends” (in the Academy) openly, unapologetically said, they wouldn’t even watch the overwhelming frontrunner because “John Wayne would roll over in his grave”. I suspect at least one member of the Academy would have been outraged had they said they wouldn’t watch Dreamgirls or Do the Right Thing because George Wallace or some KKK member would roll over in his grave, but not a peepfrom the Academy on the gay film. Brokeback is the only film to win the Directors, Producers and Writers Guild awards and to lose the Oscar. It is the only film with the most nominations, New York and Los Angeles to lose the Oscar. There are numerous additional permutations and combinations along these lines with Brokeback also winning the Globe, Broadcast crix, most crix Picture/Director prizes ever from Boston to Utah and almost everywhere else to lose the Oscar. It had the highest box office of the nominees too, was the boxofficemojo.com story of the year, and a cultural zeitgeist. I can go on. I’m glad that many are no longer watching on account of The Dark Knight snub – and you should be equally angry by the Wall-E snub – but you should be most outraged by the Brokeback loss whether you likd the film or not, because there is OJ-style overwhelming evidence that Brokeback lost on account of California Prop 8 style prejudice (and/or fear of being perceived as gay-friendly, equally bad and cowardly), which is unacceptable.

  16. Paul Outlaw January 24th, 2009 at 4:23 pm 16

    I’m saying Slumdog.

    If it’s Button, I promise a spectacular meltdown.

    Benj, I’d hate to have my vindication at your expense.

    So, for your sake, I hope Milk wins the PGA.

  17. Flapp January 24th, 2009 at 4:24 pm 17

    It´s Button ou Slumdog.

    I vote for Button victory.

  18. Chung Cheng Fang January 24th, 2009 at 4:25 pm 18

    I think Sasha is being subjective without being realistic again, it is obvious that she thinks TDK is the best film of all this year, but to predict TDK as the winner of PGA is a bit of a stretch tonight, I would still say Slumdog will be the winner tonight, but if there was a dark horse, I have a feeling it could be milk, but if TDK gets it, that will be fine too, at least that will stop the tears of the TDK fan boys for a little bit and let them have a chance to continue bashing AMPAS. Oh well

  19. Jake January 24th, 2009 at 5:04 pm 19

    A@ #7, Nick K.,

    I absolutely agree. Other than sending a message (the Joker would be proud!), the film honestly deserves it.

  20. Flapp January 24th, 2009 at 5:05 pm 20

    Why TDK should win?

  21. Jake January 24th, 2009 at 5:23 pm 21

    For the same reasons it should have gotten a Best Picture nomination. Not only is it a successful blockbuster, but it is film that has surpassed its genre in unexpectedly brilliant ways. To make a film on such a grand scale as The Dark Knight is, for one thing, daring. For said film to make millions and to be critically well received is another. TDK has more praise from critics than any other film on the list (save Slumdog), and has made more than quadruple the amount of the second highest grosser (Button’s $103).

    The PGA awards are for film productions. If The Dark Knight doesn’t win, I would think Benjamin Button would be the second logical choice. Of course, it depends. They could have seen Slumdog as a small, independent film (which it is) that has grown into a huge mammoth with critics and audiences (which it has), and therefore feel inclined to award it instead of the aforementioned, which are quite lavish in comparison.

  22. Paddy M January 24th, 2009 at 5:25 pm 22

    I liked Slumdog Millionaire. I liked it, I didn’t love it. I don’t resent its’ success – I’m so glad to see Danny Boyle getting all this attention, at least!

    But I don’t mind who wins this…except Slumdog. Now is the time that the guilds have the opportunity to really shake things up. All eyes turn to them, and that is ALL eyes, with only the BAFTA wins to wait upon before the Oscars themselves, and there’s ages to wait for the BAFTAs. Please, please, please, please, please, PGA, anything but Slumdog. I might cry with happiness if it’s either TDK or Milk.

  23. Deniz January 24th, 2009 at 5:29 pm 23

    I can’t find the answer on there site, so i’ll ask here…
    when will the winner be revelead?

  24. Bobby C January 24th, 2009 at 5:38 pm 24

    I’m with Nick, here’s to TDK for the win at PGA– not only because I think it’s the best of the five — but an UP YOURS to the Academy!

  25. Jake January 24th, 2009 at 5:42 pm 25

    Deniz, Sasha said that the announcement will probably come late tonight, perhaps around 11pm.

  26. Sasha Stone January 24th, 2009 at 6:08 pm 26

    The producers don’t want to say “up yours” to the Academy, quite the contrary. For some reason their taste is still considered the highest in the land. At any rate, Slumdog will win this and go on to win the DGA and then the Oscar. It is a done deal.

  27. Stephen Holt January 24th, 2009 at 6:18 pm 27

    Not if Harvey Weinstein has anything to say about it!

  28. Lee January 24th, 2009 at 6:21 pm 28

    The announcement would be around 11pm on the West coast? Is that correct?

  29. Sasha Stone January 24th, 2009 at 6:57 pm 29

    I wouldn’t mind any of these five winning, actually. I agree with Paul Outlaw’s lineup. There isn’t one that would enrage me and make me think it didn’t deserve it. I can’t think of a year when that happened.

  30. Flapp January 24th, 2009 at 7:20 pm 30

    I still think Button is the frontrunner.

    After it, Slumdog.

    But, whoo knows?

    In the end.. Nobody knows anything.

  31. Alex Pizziolo January 24th, 2009 at 7:24 pm 31

    I think that the winner would be Benjamin Button, the production of the film is espectacular and none of the others deserves more then BB!

  32. James January 24th, 2009 at 9:25 pm 32

    Slumdog Millionaire at the PGAs.

    At the SAGs, Double win for Kate Winslet, Mickey Rourke for lead actor, Heath Ledger for supporting actor, Doubt for ensemble.

    Hey, where’s predict the SAGs contest? This is my last log for today, I won’t be able to join.

  33. Drew January 24th, 2009 at 9:45 pm 33

    Definitely Slumdog will and should win. It’s quite a cinematic achievement, telling what on the surface seems to be a ridiculous story into a masterpiece. I would also be happy if Milk won, but I don’t think it deserves it as much.

    TDK is good, and it is also quite a cinematic achievement. I wouldn’t mind if it won, but honestly, do people on here feel it should win because it’s the best or just because the academy didn’t nominate it? And what’s with all the “and it made more money than any other movie this year” crap. I don’t even want to go into what kind of movies would have been up for best picture over the years if that was the criteria.

  34. Hebrew January 24th, 2009 at 10:01 pm 34

    You’re gonna bitch about The Dark Knight in all of your posts from now on right? As someone writing in a so called serious website, you should respect the fact that not everyone is as disgusted as you by The Dark Knight being snubbed.

  35. Gentle Benj January 24th, 2009 at 10:15 pm 35

    If you slap a troll named “Hebrew,” is it a hate crime?

  36. Hebrew January 24th, 2009 at 10:18 pm 36

    Yeah troll… I don’t really give a shit if you get worked up over what I posted, sorry to break it to you.

  37. Andrew January 24th, 2009 at 10:26 pm 37

    I kinda agree with Hebrew. TDK didnt make it at the Oscars, youve had your dummy spits and time to move on…

  38. Gentle Benj January 24th, 2009 at 10:27 pm 38

    …to another website!

  39. Edward Douglas January 24th, 2009 at 10:33 pm 39

    So basically you’re saying that everything but Frost/Nixon might win? :)

  40. Free January 24th, 2009 at 10:36 pm 40

    Well, I know not everyone is as outraged at TDK missing out. That’s fine. That’s only half, maybe even a fourth, of why I’m so angry. I’m livid because I saw THE READER last weekend, and it is beyond me why it was nominated for either Picture or Director, not to mention both.

    There are a good ten films that are better than this. Winslet was great, so was the (snubbed) makeup. But the movie and the direction were forgettable. And when you compare it to TDK, yeah, people, myself included, will continue to bitch about this for a while, because it’s just so damn stupid.

  41. Haifa January 24th, 2009 at 10:42 pm 41

    Geez, when are these things announced?

  42. Brian January 24th, 2009 at 10:51 pm 42

    Oscar snubs for your favorite films and actors hurt. Doubly so when it appears something as eh as The Reader is what kept a fav out. I’m not even a TDK fan and I feel the Academy played it ridiculously safe to the point of noticeability. Similar to how I felt after BBM lost to Crash, even though I thought BBM was tremendously overrated. The Academy will do what the Academy will do, but believing that isn’t the same as accepting what they do uncoditionally.

  43. Sasha Stone January 24th, 2009 at 10:54 pm 43

    As someone writing in a so called serious website, you should respect the fact that not everyone is as disgusted as you by The Dark Knight being snubbed.

    I never claimed this was a serious website. Did I? Serious is not a word I would use to describe Oscar blogging. I can think of a lot of masturbation metaphors though.

  44. Mr. Big January 24th, 2009 at 11:00 pm 44

    ” I can think of a lot of masturbation metaphors though.”

    I’m listening…

  45. Waltizzle!!! January 24th, 2009 at 11:07 pm 45

    Someone informed Oscar Buzz that Wall*E, John Adams, and 30 Rock won so far!!!!!!

  46. Gentle Benj January 24th, 2009 at 11:15 pm 46

    Is this anything?

    If I’m reading the trophy right, that’s the award we’re interested in. Not sure if that’s Christian Colson, but Slumdog Millionaire is the only nominee with just one credited producer.

    But I can’t read the date! I don’t even know if it’s the right year.

  47. Gentle Benj January 24th, 2009 at 11:21 pm 47

    Okay, I’m pretty sure that’s not him. Must be another year.

  48. Sasha Stone January 24th, 2009 at 11:21 pm 48

    Thank you Waltizzle!

  49. Sasha Stone January 24th, 2009 at 11:28 pm 49

    I don’t know Benj. Could be. Looks weird though. Nomination plaque?

  50. Craig Boyer January 24th, 2009 at 11:28 pm 50

    That shot IS dated.

    That’s Doug Wick when he won for Gladiator.

  51. Gentle Benj January 24th, 2009 at 11:29 pm 51

    Remember when the DGA spazzed us out with the photos of nomination plaques, that one year? As I recall, a lot of us flew into a tizzy thinking P. Jackson had won for FOTR. What a letdown that was.

    @ Craig: Oh, wow. I was going through old winners, looking up photos to compare, but I didn’t even go back that far. Thanks for the info.

  52. Andrewa January 24th, 2009 at 11:32 pm 52

    so theyre on NOW?? Is there a live blog or webcast???


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  • Contender Tracker

    Best Picture
    Up in the Air
    Nine
    The Hurt Locker
    An Education
    Precious: Based on the Novel
    Push by Sapphire

    A Serious Man
    Inglourious Basterds
    Up

    Julie & Julia
    Star Trek
    District 9
    Bright Star
    Where the Wild Things Are
    A Single Man

    Best Actor
    Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
    Colin Firth, A Single Man
    George Clooney, Up in the Air
    Matt Damon, The Informant!
    Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
    Viggo Mortensen, The Road
    Ben Foster, The Messenger
    Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man
    Michael Sheen, The Damned United

    Best Actress
    Gabby Sidibe, Precious
    Carey Mulligan, An Education
    Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
    Abbie Cornish, Bright Star
    Helen Mirren, The Last Station
    Michelle Monaghan, Trucker

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
    Alfred Molina, An Education
    Stanley Tucci, Julie & Julia
    Peter Sarsgaard, An Education
    Robert Duvall, Crazy Heart
    Peter Capaldi, In the Loop
    Zach Galifianakis, The Hangover
    Anthony Mackie, The Hurt Locker
    Brian Geraghty, The Hurt Locker

    Best Supporting Actress
    Mo'Nique,Precious
    Anna Kendrick,Up in the Air
    Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart
    Julianne Moore, A Single Man
    Melanie Laurent, Inglourious Basterds
    Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
    Samantha Morton, The Messenger
    Emma Thompson, An Education
    Cara Seymour, An Education

    Best Director
    Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
    Lee Daniels, Precious
    Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
    Lone Scherfig, An Education
    Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
    Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
    Neill Blomkamp, District 9
    Spike Jonze, Where the Wild Things Are
    Tom Ford, A Single Man
    Jane Campion, Bright Star

    Best Original Screenplay
    Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
    Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
    Jane Campion, Bright Star
    Quentin Tarantino,Inglourious Basterds
    Michael Haneke,White Ribbon
    Bob Peterson, Pete Docter,Up
    Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber, 500 Days of Summer

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
    Nick Hornby, An Education
    Spike Jonze, Dave Eggars, Where the Wild Things Are
    Peter Morgan, The Damned United
    Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire
    Scott Burns, The Informant!
    Tom Ford, A Single Man

    Best Editing

    Chris Innis, Bob Murawski, The Hurt Locker
    Sally Menke, Inglourious Basterds
    Dana E. Glauberman,, Up in the Air
    Joel and Ethan Coen,, A Serious Man

    Best Cinematography
    Greig Fraser,Bright Star
    Robert Richardson,Inglourious Basterds
    Roger Deakins, A Serious Man
    Christian Berger, White Ribbon
    Bruno Delbonnel,Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    Barry Ackroyd, The Hurt Locker

    Best Art Direction

    Where the Wild Things Are
    Julie & Julia
    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    Bright Star
    Inglourious Basterds
    White Ribbon
    District 9
    A Serious Man

    Best Sound Mixing

    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    District 9
    Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
    The Hurt Locker
    Star Trek

    Best Sound Editing

    District 9
    Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
    Star Trek
    Up

    Best Costume Design
    Janet Patterson, Bright Star
    Jany Temime,Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
    Anna B. Sheppard,Inglourious Basterds
    Mary Zophre, A Serious Man
    Colleen Atwood, Public Enemies
    Consolata Boyle,Cheri

    Best Original Score
    Carter Burwell, Karen O,Where the Wild Things Are
    Carter Burwell,A Serious Man
    Michael Giacchino,Up
    Alexandre Desplat, Cheri
    Elliot Goldenthal, Public Enemies

    Best Foreign Language Film (submissions)

    Letters from Father Jacob, Finland
    White Wedding, South Africa
    A Prophet, France
    Dawson, Isla 10, Chile
    Nobody to Watch Over Me, Japan
    Prince of Tears, Hong Kong
    No puedo vivir sin ti, Taiwan
    Kelin, Kazakhstan
    Mother, Korea
    The White Ribbon, Germany
    Silent Army, The Netherlands


    Best Documentary Feature

    The Beaches of Agnes
    Burma VJ
    The Cove
    Every Little Step
    Facing Ali
    Food, Inc.
    Garbage Dreams
    Living in Emergency
    The Most Dangerous Man in America
    Mugabe and the White African
    Sergio
    Soundtrack for a Revolution
    Under Our Skin
    Valentino
    Which Way Home


    Best Animated Feature
    Up
    The Princess and the Frog
    Coraline
    The Fantastic Mr. Fox
    A Christmas Carol
    Mary and Max
    Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
    Ponyo


    Best Visual Effects
    Star Trek
    District 9
    A Christmas Carol
    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    Transformers


    Best Makeup

    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
    District 9

    Best Song

    Best Live Action Short

    Best Animated Short

    Best Documentary Short

    China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province
    The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner
    The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant
    Lt. Watada
    Music by Prudence
    Rabbit a la Berlin
    Tell Them Anything You Want: A Portrait of Maurice Sendak
    Woman Rebel

  • Ampas Breakdown

    Actors-1,222
    Producers-462
    Executives-436
    Sound-411
    Writers-388
    Art Directors-373
    Directors-375
    Public Relations-370
    Members at Large-254
    Shorts/Feature Ani-335
    Visual Effects-272
    Music-233
    Editors-227
    Cinematographers-197
    Documentary-145
    Makeup-115
    Total Voting Members -approx 6,000
  • Tuesday, December 1, 2009: Official Screen Credits forms due

    Monday, December 28, 2009: Nominations ballots mailed

    Saturday, January 23, 2010: Nominations polls close 5 p.m. PT

    Tuesday, February 2, 2010: Nominations announced 5:30 a.m. PT, Samuel Goldwyn Theater

    Wednesday, February 10, 2010: Final ballots mailed

    Monday, February 15, 2010: Nominees Luncheon

    Saturday, February 20, 2010: Scientific and Technical Achievement Awards presentation

    Tuesday, March 2, 2010: Final polls close 5 p.m. PT

    Sunday, March 7, 2010: 82nd Annual Academy Awards presentation