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The State of the Race: Circling Monsters, Looking for Redemption

There are still four movies pushing to the center of this year’s Oscar race. They can be divided into two distinct pairs – the epics and the character dramas. Three ...

The State of the Race: Hunting Down the Most Powerful Oscar Narrative

The current Oscar race seems very much like two races in one. Usually, there are two films that dominate and go head-to-head. This year, it feels like there are two ...

The State of the Race: A Long Time Ago in a Galaxy Far, Far Away

The time has come to humbly admit that some of us may have been wrong about Star Wars: The Force Awakens. First, by not seeing how fast it would overtake ...

The State of the Race: Inside the Doomsday Machine

“I think this was a nice idea we had in this country and a nice landscape to experiment with. But I think there comes a time in almost any experimentation ...

The State of the Race: Breaking the Story, Breaking the World

Telluride seems to be the premiere launching pad for the Oscar winning Best Picture.  With very little time for opinions to settle, the earlier films tend to be the ones ...



We’ll be updating live as soon as the ceremony begins.

(Reminder list of the 2016 BAFTA nominees, after the cut)

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Starts at 17:00 GMT
(that’s 8pm Moscow, 3pm Rio, 12 noon NYC, 10am LA, 2am Tokyo, 12 midnight Bangkok)


The WGA Awards are announcing now.

  • bullet points indicate the winners as they come in.

We’re predicting The Big Short and Spotlight to win here.  Anything else will be a big surprise in a season full of surprises. Stay tuned.



  • Spotlight, Written by Josh Singer & Tom McCarthy; Open Road Film


  • The Big Short, Screenplay by Charles Randolph and Adam McKay; Based on the Book by Michael Lewis; Paramount Pictures

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One of the reasons we keep returning to 1976 is that it’s supposedly the one year that many people in the Oscar game point to as one of the worst Best Picture wins in Academy history, when a scrappy little movie called Rocky bested films as impressive as All the President’s Men, Network, Taxi Driver, and Bound for Glory. The more I’ve learned about the Oscars in the years I’ve been covering them, the more I’ve understood why that Rocky win represents a valuable a lesson: it was an inclusive, not an exclusive win. In that the Oscars are better, I think, when they take into account the public at large and do not turn too much inward — as they did pointedly last year, with Birdman — thus very nearly exiling themselves onto Oscar Island. Movies are made for everyday people in the real world. The further the Oscars get away from that, I think, the more they lose their value in terms of defining a snapshot in time of our cinematic culture overall.

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You know it’s a crazy year when even the pundits can’t agree on which movie is going to win Best Picture. Usually by now we have a consensus. If there is any disagreement, usually it’s over one or two films, not three. My best argument for and against each of the three frontrunners winning.

As surprising as it all seems, if any of these three wins Best Picture, it won’t be that surprising. The Revenant? Not a surprise; it won the DGA. Spotlight? Not a surprise; it won the SAG Ensemble award. The Big Short? Not a surprise, it won the PGA. No one is really helping us out here — any kind of traditional stat hunt supports a win for The Big Short. Yet it seems to go against the grain of common sense and the winds of the moment. Here is a quick for and against:

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Load More ...
Renard N. Bansale
Oh yeah, I love The Big Short, but I find its energy de ...
Ryan Adams
they edit it as it's being shot, so I think the UK broa ...
Bob Burns
My comment wasn't entirely snark. Yes, they are all whi ...
Milagros Amondaray
thank you Ryan!
I know but she can't be bothered with us over here. ;)

Contender Tracker


Best PictureNBR top ten/+winner*
NYFCC winner*
LAFC winner+
SAG nominee*
Globe winner+/nominee*
SEFCA winner+/topte*
Critics Choice nominee*
AFI Top Ten+
Ace Eddie noms*
Producers Guild winner+/noms*
ASC Nominations*
WGA win+/nominations*
USC Scripter*
BAFTA nom*
CAS nominee*
DGA win+/Nominees+

The Big Short****++++***
The Revenant+******+
Mad Max: Fury Road+***++****
The Martian*+**+*****
Room**** +
Bridge of Spies***+*****

Best ActoRLeonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant++**
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo**+**
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs+ ****
Matt Damon, The Martian+* **
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl ****

Best ActressBrie Larson, Room++++**
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn+****
Cate Blanchett, Carol****
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years+*+
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy+*

Supporting ActorSylvester Stallone, Creed++*
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies***+*
Christian Bale, The Big Short**
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight**
Tom Hardy, The Revenant*

Supporting ActresS
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl+*
Rooney Mara, Carol***
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs*+* *
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight+***
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight**

Alejandro Inarritu, The Revenant+**+
Adam McKay, The Big Short**
George Miller, Max Max: Fury Road+*+**
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight***
Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Original Screenplay
Spotlight, Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer+*+*++*
Straight Outta Compton, Jonathan Herman and Andrea Berloff*
Bridge of Spies, Charman, the Coens***
Inside Out, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley, Pete Docter**
Ex Machina, Alex Garland**

Adapted ScreenplayAdam McKay, The Big Short**+**
Cariol, Phyllis Nagy++**
Room, Emma Donoghue****
The Martian, Drew Godard+***
Brooklyn, Nick Hornby***

EditingThe Big Short+*+*
Mad Max: Fury Road*+*
The Revenant***
The Force Awakens*
Spotlight *

The Revenant***
Mad Max: Fury Road++***
Carol +*+* *
The Hateful Eight *

Production Design
Mad Max: Fury Road**
The Revenant *
The Martian**
The Danish Girl
Bridge of Spies*

Sound Mixing
The Revenant**
Mad Max: Fury Road**
The Martian*
Bridge of Spies**
Star Wars

Sound Editing
The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Costume Design
The Danish Girl**
Mad Max: Fury Road**
The Revenant

Original Score
The Hateful Eight+*
Star Wars: The Force Awakens*
Bridge of Spies

Foreign Language Feature
Son of Saul+++
Mustang (France)**
Columbia (Embrace of the Serpent)
Theeb (Jordan)
Denmark (A War)

Documentary Feature
Cartel Land
What Happened, Miss Simone?
The Look of Silence
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Animated featureInside Out++++**+
Shaun the Sheep **
When Marine Was There
Boy and the World

Visual Effects
Mad Max: Fury Road**
Star Wars: The Force Awakens*
Ex Machina**
The Martian**
The Revenant*

The Revenant **
Mad Max: Fury Road **
The 100 Year-old-man

Til it Happens to you, The Hunting Ground (Lady Gaga)
Writings on the Wall, Spectre+
Earned it, 50 Shades
Manta Ray, Racing Extinction
Simple Song 3, Youth

Live Action ShortShok
Day One
Everything Will Be Okay
Ave Maria

Animated Short World of Tomorrow
Bear Story
Sanjay's Super Team
We Can't Live without Cosmos

Documentary ShortChau Beyond the Lines
Body Team 12
Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
Last Day of Freedom
A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

The Case For


If you think back over Oscar history and wonder why no films about journalists have ever won Best Picture, it suddenly becomes all too clear how much things have changed. ...

– Sometimes…it’s better for a man just to walk away. – But if you can’t walk away? – I guess that’s when it’s tough. ― Arthur Miller, Death of a ...


Beasts of no nation




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