David Carr has posted his Oscar predictions article:
You may not have seen all the movies this year, but as the Carpetbagger, a daily blogger for The New York Times Oscar Web site, I have spent much of this increasingly long award season staring into precursor awards and pundit prognostications and am here to help you separate the contenders from the pretenders. Oscar intelligence, if there is such a thing, might help you come up with that surprise pick in the supporting actress category to make the Monday afterward seem a bit brighter. There’s nothing like having a little skin in the game to make your night at the Oscars a diverting one.
You can read his explanations for this – supporting actress is a toss-up, turns out. And we’ll list them after the cut.
Best Picture: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Director: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Best Actor: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Best Actress: Kate Winslet, The Reader
Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger
Supporting Actress: Viola Davis (a hunch, and nothing more, he says)
Adapted Screenplay: Slumdog Millionaire
Art Direction: Benjamin Button
Cinematography: Slumdog Millionaire
Original Screenplay: Wall-E (tough call, that)
Ani Feature: Wall-E
Foreign: Waltz with Bashir
Doc: Man on Wire
Sound Mixing: Dark Knight
Sound Editing: Dark Knight
Editing: Slumdog
Score: Slumdog
Song: Jai Ho
Makeup: Benjamin Button
Ani-Short: Presto
Doc Short: Smile Pinki
Live Action Short: The Pig or Toyland