Talking Best Supporting Actor

For another in our ongoing series, Thelma Adams, Susan Wloszczyna and I discuss the preliminary stage of the Best Supporting Actor race. It could and will likely shift, but how I believed it is standing right now is:

Jonah Hill
Christopher Plummer
Albert Brooks
Nick Nolte
Max Von Sydow
Von Sydow wins. Best guess right now.
SUSAN: I would give it to Max, too, performance unseen. He should have gotten one for Hannah and The Exorcist let alone his Bergman classics.
Oh, and Mr. Brooks wants to win. He even stuck a fork in it.
THELMA: Sasha’s right: in this category, we still have too many gaps in knowledge, although I think we’ve covered pretty much what we’ve seen so far in 2011. Is there a problem when an actor wants the Oscar so badly — you should look like you want it, and shake every old Academy member’s hand, and yet be humble, and praise every body else. It’s such an act — and Colin Firth nailed it last year.

Head on over to Thelmadams.com and read the rest.

0 Comments on this Post

  1. phantom

    POTENTIAL FRONTRUNNERS

    1. Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    2. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)
    3. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
    4. Christopher Plummer (Beginners OR The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    5. Ralph Fiennes (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II)
    6. Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    7. Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
    8. Armie Hammer (J.Edgar)
    9. Alan Rickman (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II)
    10. Albert Brooks (Drive)

    STRONG CONTENDERS
    11. Christoph Waltz (Carnage)
    12. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
    13. Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
    14. Ezra Miller (We need to talk about Kevin)
    15. Hunter McCracken (The Tree of Life)
    16. Sean Penn (The Tree of Life)
    17. Gerard Butler (Coriolanus)
    18. Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)
    19. Stellan Skarsgard (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    20. George Clooney (The Ides of March)

    LONG SHOTS

    21. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March OR Moneyball)
    22. Paul Giamatti (The Ides of March)
    23. Tom Hardy (Tinker, Tailor Soldier, Spy)
    24. Colin Firth (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
    25. Benedict Cumberbatch (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy OR War Horse)

    OUT (for now)

    Jude Law (Contagion OR Hugo)
    David Thewlis (War Horse)
    Peter Mullan (War Horse OR Tyrannosaur)
    Eddie Marsan (War Horse OR Tyrannosaur)
    David Kross (War Horse)
    Toby Kebbel (War Horse)
    Josh Lucas (J.Edgar)
    Dermot Mulroney (J.Edgar)
    Jeffrey Donovan (J.Edgar)
    Ben Kingsley (Hugo)
    Michael Stuhlbarg (Hugo)
    Richard Griffiths (Hugo)
    Sasha Baron Cohen (Hugo)
    Christopher Lee (Hugo)
    Vincent Cassel (A Dangerous Method)
    John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene OR Contagion)
    Geoffrey Rush (The Eye of the Storm)
    Ryan Gosling (Crazy, Stupid, Love)
    John C. Reilly (Carnage OR We need to talk about Kevin)
    Gary Oldman (The Wettest County in the World)
    Guy Pearce (The Wettest County in the World)
    Shia Labeouf (The Wettest County in the World)
    Seth Rogen (50 / 50)
    Alex Schaffer (Win Win)
    Patrick Wilson (Young Adult)
    Brian Cranston (Contagion)
    Laurence Fishburne (Contagion)
    Thomas Haden Church (We bought a Zoo)
    Brian Cox (Coriolanus)
    Patrick Fugit (We bought a Zoo)
    Bruce Greenwood (Meek’s Cutoff)
    Cillian Murphy (In Time)
    Tom Hollander (Hanna)
    James Gandolfini (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    John Goodman (The Artist OR Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    James Cromwell (The Artist)

  2. phantom

    POTENTIAL FRONTRUNNERS

    1. Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    2. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)
    3. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
    4. Christopher Plummer (Beginners OR The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    5. Ralph Fiennes (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II)
    6. Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    7. Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
    8. Armie Hammer (J.Edgar)
    9. Alan Rickman (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II)
    10. Albert Brooks (Drive)

    STRONG CONTENDERS
    11. Christoph Waltz (Carnage)
    12. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
    13. Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
    14. Ezra Miller (We need to talk about Kevin)
    15. Hunter McCracken (The Tree of Life)
    16. Sean Penn (The Tree of Life)
    17. Gerard Butler (Coriolanus)
    18. Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)
    19. Stellan Skarsgard (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    20. George Clooney (The Ides of March)

    LONG SHOTS

    21. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March OR Moneyball)
    22. Paul Giamatti (The Ides of March)
    23. Tom Hardy (Tinker, Tailor Soldier, Spy)
    24. Colin Firth (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
    25. Benedict Cumberbatch (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy OR War Horse)

    OUT (for now)

    Jude Law (Contagion OR Hugo)
    David Thewlis (War Horse)
    Peter Mullan (War Horse OR Tyrannosaur)
    Eddie Marsan (War Horse OR Tyrannosaur)
    David Kross (War Horse)
    Toby Kebbel (War Horse)
    Josh Lucas (J.Edgar)
    Dermot Mulroney (J.Edgar)
    Jeffrey Donovan (J.Edgar)
    Ben Kingsley (Hugo)
    Michael Stuhlbarg (Hugo)
    Richard Griffiths (Hugo)
    Sasha Baron Cohen (Hugo)
    Christopher Lee (Hugo)
    Vincent Cassel (A Dangerous Method)
    John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene OR Contagion)
    Geoffrey Rush (The Eye of the Storm)
    Ryan Gosling (Crazy, Stupid, Love)
    John C. Reilly (Carnage OR We need to talk about Kevin)
    Gary Oldman (The Wettest County in the World)
    Guy Pearce (The Wettest County in the World)
    Shia Labeouf (The Wettest County in the World)
    Seth Rogen (50 / 50)
    Alex Schaffer (Win Win)
    Patrick Wilson (Young Adult)
    Brian Cranston (Contagion)
    Laurence Fishburne (Contagion)
    Thomas Haden Church (We bought a Zoo)
    Brian Cox (Coriolanus)
    Patrick Fugit (We bought a Zoo)
    Bruce Greenwood (Meek’s Cutoff)
    Cillian Murphy (In Time)
    Tom Hollander (Hanna)
    James Gandolfini (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    John Goodman (The Artist OR Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    James Cromwell (The Artist)

  3. Brooks and Plummer are locks and who I predict will battle it out in the end. I am not buying the von Sydow buzz until the film is seen. Personally I think Brooks deserves it for his brilliant performance, but I am also bias in that he is my favorite actor of all-time.

  4. Brooks and Plummer are locks and who I predict will battle it out in the end. I am not buying the von Sydow buzz until the film is seen. Personally I think Brooks deserves it for his brilliant performance, but I am also bias in that he is my favorite actor of all-time.

  5. this is one that will probably look vastly different at the end of the year than we expect now. I hope Albert Brooks gets in though. He was way better than William Hurt in a similar role that was nominated.

  6. this is one that will probably look vastly different at the end of the year than we expect now. I hope Albert Brooks gets in though. He was way better than William Hurt in a similar role that was nominated.

  7. Brooks may be up there, I just dont see why. If Jack couldnt get in for The Departed, I don’t see Brooks making it in, but he may be along for the ride during Oscar Season.

  8. Brooks may be up there, I just dont see why. If Jack couldnt get in for The Departed, I don’t see Brooks making it in, but he may be along for the ride during Oscar Season.

  9. @Phantom: If you have Alan Rickman and Ralph Fiennes in “frontrunners” while Philip Seymour Hoffman goes in “long shots,” you’re crazy. I will literally eat my own shoe if Harry Potter gets an acting nomination.

  10. @Phantom: If you have Alan Rickman and Ralph Fiennes in “frontrunners” while Philip Seymour Hoffman goes in “long shots,” you’re crazy. I will literally eat my own shoe if Harry Potter gets an acting nomination.

  11. Benjamin Forestieri

    Brooks (Drive) better than Hurt (A History of Violence)? Ha nice try, but not even close

  12. Benjamin Forestieri

    Brooks (Drive) better than Hurt (A History of Violence)? Ha nice try, but not even close

  13. Benjamin Forestieri

    Max von Sydow all the way! :)

  14. Benjamin Forestieri

    Max von Sydow all the way! :)

  15. phantom

    John G.

    I listed the contenders in the ‘Potential Frontrunners’ section who could actually WIN in my opinion and for now, based on simple Math (critics scores, Box Office, Academy demos it covers etc.), HP8 could easily have enough love in the end to get an acting nomination and maybe even a win for the whole franchise, especially if it is an iconic character.

    My ‘Strong Contenders’ are the ones who might pull off a nomination without a hitch, but probably won’t even come close to the win, typical strong 3rd-4th slots.

    And my ‘Long Shots’ are the ones who IMO are not strong enough to win OR even to get the nod.

  16. phantom

    John G.

    I listed the contenders in the ‘Potential Frontrunners’ section who could actually WIN in my opinion and for now, based on simple Math (critics scores, Box Office, Academy demos it covers etc.), HP8 could easily have enough love in the end to get an acting nomination and maybe even a win for the whole franchise, especially if it is an iconic character.

    My ‘Strong Contenders’ are the ones who might pull off a nomination without a hitch, but probably won’t even come close to the win, typical strong 3rd-4th slots.

    And my ‘Long Shots’ are the ones who IMO are not strong enough to win OR even to get the nod.

  17. phantom

    …oh, and “I will literally eat my own shoe if Harry Potter gets an acting nomination.”…I will remember that. Sure, you could be easily right, but I definitely don’t think it’s THIS impossible.

  18. phantom

    …oh, and “I will literally eat my own shoe if Harry Potter gets an acting nomination.”…I will remember that. Sure, you could be easily right, but I definitely don’t think it’s THIS impossible.

  19. Am I the only one who holds out hope for Corey Stoll’s work in ‘Midnight in Paris’? Sigh. “Hemingway for the win!”

    Would love to see Plummer take it, though. And BEGINNERS is a nice, worthy turn if his one-man show Barrymore doesn’t make a splash.

  20. Am I the only one who holds out hope for Corey Stoll’s work in ‘Midnight in Paris’? Sigh. “Hemingway for the win!”

    Would love to see Plummer take it, though. And BEGINNERS is a nice, worthy turn if his one-man show Barrymore doesn’t make a splash.

  21. 1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners OR The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    2. Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    3. Nick Nolte (Warrior)
    4. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)
    5. Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
    6. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
    7. Albert Brooks (Drive)
    8. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
    9. Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
    10. Armie Hammer (J.Edgar)

    STRONG CONTENDERS
    11. Tom Hardy (Tinker, Tailor Soldier, Spy)
    12. Ezra Miller (We Need to Talk about Kevin)
    13. Christoph Waltz (Carnage) (will probably go lead)
    14. Niels Arestrup (War Horse)
    15. Hunter McCracken (The Tree of Life) (might go lead)
    16. Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    17. Gerard Butler (Coriolanus)
    18. Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)
    19. Stellan Skarsgard (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    20. George Clooney (The Ides of March)

    LONG SHOTS

    21. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March OR Moneyball)
    22. Paul Giamatti (The Ides of March)
    23. Benedict Cumberbatch (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy OR War Horse)
    24. Colin Firth (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
    25. Kiefer Sutherland (Melancholia)

  22. 1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners OR The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    2. Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    3. Nick Nolte (Warrior)
    4. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)
    5. Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
    6. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
    7. Albert Brooks (Drive)
    8. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
    9. Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
    10. Armie Hammer (J.Edgar)

    STRONG CONTENDERS
    11. Tom Hardy (Tinker, Tailor Soldier, Spy)
    12. Ezra Miller (We Need to Talk about Kevin)
    13. Christoph Waltz (Carnage) (will probably go lead)
    14. Niels Arestrup (War Horse)
    15. Hunter McCracken (The Tree of Life) (might go lead)
    16. Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
    17. Gerard Butler (Coriolanus)
    18. Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)
    19. Stellan Skarsgard (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
    20. George Clooney (The Ides of March)

    LONG SHOTS

    21. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March OR Moneyball)
    22. Paul Giamatti (The Ides of March)
    23. Benedict Cumberbatch (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy OR War Horse)
    24. Colin Firth (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
    25. Kiefer Sutherland (Melancholia)

  23. 1. John Hawkes, Martha Marcy May Marlene (WINNER)
    2. Christopher Plummer, Beginners
    3. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
    4. Gerard Butler, Coriolanus
    5. Albert Brooks, Drive

  24. 1. John Hawkes, Martha Marcy May Marlene (WINNER)
    2. Christopher Plummer, Beginners
    3. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
    4. Gerard Butler, Coriolanus
    5. Albert Brooks, Drive

  25. I’ll be very satisfied if either Branagh or Von Sydow go home with an Oscar.

  26. I’ll be very satisfied if either Branagh or Von Sydow go home with an Oscar.

  27. This category is too wide open to predict at the moment. I would agree that Plummer and Brooks are the near-locks at this point. But some are underestimating Brad Pitt in The Tree of Life. I can see the Academy awarding him for that performance.

    Now onto Jonah Hill and Moneyball. Neither one deserves a nomination. I saw this film today…and it wasn’t that great. Pitt was fine, but I’m just not seeing it. It is the flavor of the week. It was good film, but nothing spectacular. I could see Cinematography and Score; that would be enough.

  28. This category is too wide open to predict at the moment. I would agree that Plummer and Brooks are the near-locks at this point. But some are underestimating Brad Pitt in The Tree of Life. I can see the Academy awarding him for that performance.

    Now onto Jonah Hill and Moneyball. Neither one deserves a nomination. I saw this film today…and it wasn’t that great. Pitt was fine, but I’m just not seeing it. It is the flavor of the week. It was good film, but nothing spectacular. I could see Cinematography and Score; that would be enough.

  29. I was criticized by Sasha for commenting on a consensus seems to be building around Streep for a Lead Actress win (finally), as her performance has NOT been seen yet and here she goes putting Max von Sydow (I loved him in Pelle) as the leader for Best Supporting Actor, sight unseen. Go figure.

  30. I was criticized by Sasha for commenting on a consensus seems to be building around Streep for a Lead Actress win (finally), as her performance has NOT been seen yet and here she goes putting Max von Sydow (I loved him in Pelle) as the leader for Best Supporting Actor, sight unseen. Go figure.

  31. Billyboy

    @Pat No, you’re not alone. A few of us think he deserves a nomination. (Jeff Wells at HE and Kris Tapley at Incontention have mentioned him this week)

    He could gain some track considering how loved the film still is. But my guess is either Von Sydow or Plummer will take it.

  32. Billyboy

    @Pat No, you’re not alone. A few of us think he deserves a nomination. (Jeff Wells at HE and Kris Tapley at Incontention have mentioned him this week)

    He could gain some track considering how loved the film still is. But my guess is either Von Sydow or Plummer will take it.

  33. steve50

    I see this as the sentimental, he’s-got-it-coming category this year, which means it will be between Plummer and von Sydow, with MVS squeezing out the win. I don’t think (although I don’t kow for certain) that there are any flashy mega-performances (like Chris Waltz in IB or Javier Bardem in NCFOM) on the horizon, so it will mean rewarding the unrewarded in this category this year.

  34. steve50

    I see this as the sentimental, he’s-got-it-coming category this year, which means it will be between Plummer and von Sydow, with MVS squeezing out the win. I don’t think (although I don’t kow for certain) that there are any flashy mega-performances (like Chris Waltz in IB or Javier Bardem in NCFOM) on the horizon, so it will mean rewarding the unrewarded in this category this year.

  35. @phantom

    Why Armie Hammer? I’m not disagreeing. I just have only seen him in TSN so I don’t know that we should necessarily expect things from him yet. And I thought no one had seen J. Edgar? So how does he get to be a frontrunner.

    Anywho, Supporting Actor is my favorite category. It’s also the one that usually crushes me on nomination morning. It’s way too early for me to know yet. The only person I’ve seen so far that seems like a good bet is Nolte. I’m afraid of Albert Brooks now, but that doesn’t mean I’d necessarily nominate him. I love Jonah Hill but I wouldn’t nominate him for Moneyball, if that’s what we’re talking about. Maybe The Sitter? lol

    (I still have to read through everybody’s lists. They’re really long.)

  36. @phantom

    Why Armie Hammer? I’m not disagreeing. I just have only seen him in TSN so I don’t know that we should necessarily expect things from him yet. And I thought no one had seen J. Edgar? So how does he get to be a frontrunner.

    Anywho, Supporting Actor is my favorite category. It’s also the one that usually crushes me on nomination morning. It’s way too early for me to know yet. The only person I’ve seen so far that seems like a good bet is Nolte. I’m afraid of Albert Brooks now, but that doesn’t mean I’d necessarily nominate him. I love Jonah Hill but I wouldn’t nominate him for Moneyball, if that’s what we’re talking about. Maybe The Sitter? lol

    (I still have to read through everybody’s lists. They’re really long.)

  37. Beth Stevens

    Currently I’m going with:

    Albert Brooks – Drive
    Christopher Plummer – Beginners
    Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method
    Brad Pitt – Tree of Life
    John Hawkes – Martha Marcy May Marlene

    Von Sydow would be cool, though!

  38. Beth Stevens

    Currently I’m going with:

    Albert Brooks – Drive
    Christopher Plummer – Beginners
    Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method
    Brad Pitt – Tree of Life
    John Hawkes – Martha Marcy May Marlene

    Von Sydow would be cool, though!

  39. Tye-Grr

    As of now I’m predicting:

    Kenneth Branagh, ‘My Week With Marilyn’
    Jonah Hill, ‘Moneyball’
    Brad Pitt, ‘The Tree of Life’
    Christopher Plummer, ‘Beginners’
    Max von Sydow, ‘Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close’

    I know some have yet to be seen, but that comes with the territory of the Oscar guessing game. I’ll change my prediction accordingly as the season progresses.

  40. Tye-Grr

    As of now I’m predicting:

    Kenneth Branagh, ‘My Week With Marilyn’
    Jonah Hill, ‘Moneyball’
    Brad Pitt, ‘The Tree of Life’
    Christopher Plummer, ‘Beginners’
    Max von Sydow, ‘Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close’

    I know some have yet to be seen, but that comes with the territory of the Oscar guessing game. I’ll change my prediction accordingly as the season progresses.

  41. Ok. I totally down with Corey Stoll upsetting your predictions apple cart for his great role as Ernest Hemingway in “Midnight in Paris.” “Midnight in Paris” is still the one to beat IMHO. Every time I talk to an actual academy member, the LOVE and the intensity of the LOVE for Woody’s late career come-back reminds me of nothing so much as how much passion there was LAST year whenever anybody talked of “The King’s Speech.”

    And Marion Cotillard’s name keeps coming up again and again.

    I think Thelma’s chat with Sasha and Susan are a hoot and a half. Very original. And fun.

    But the main thing I got from both of her columns on Supporting Actor and Actress is actually how thin the fields are in BOTH categories.

    Jonah Hill was not nomination-worthy, IMHO, but Phillip Seymour Hoffman in “Moneyball” WAS. I didn’t recognize him at all for the longest time! And “Moneyball” will stay around for the long haul and be much discussed as other supposed Oscar pictures go down. As will likely happen with “The Ides of March.” And others will likely follow suit.

    And who would’ve thought “Drive” would be a non-starter? Comics going rogue, and scarey is something the Academy likes, as much as it DISLIKES comedy. And Melissa McCarthy is a comedienne in their minds, and as Anne Thompson points out, the Academy are snobs. Espcecially when it comes to comedy.

    They just don’t really LIKE comedy. Period. I think it has something to do with the fact that comedians in Hollywood are so highly paid whereas “serious” actors, not so much. USUALLY.

    And if it’s really Michael Sheen year, might they not nominate him in Supporting for his doomed junkie BFF to Gerard Butler in “Machine Gun Preacher”? And oh yes, there’s Gerard Butler in “Coriolanus”, too. Doing a damn good job as the villain and arch-enemy of all of Rome.

    And to go back to Corey Stoll for a moment, SPC is trotting him out all over the place, just in time to be considered for “MIP”. See Jeff Wells’ rave in “Hollywood-Elsewhere.” Corey’s not known and I thought the raves he got coming out of Cannes would carry him through, and as a matter of fact, they are.

    SPC just has to keep the Corey and Cotillard balls rolling. “Hannah and her Sisters” Woody’s last BIG hit got two WINS for Dianne Weist and Michael Caine in Supporting. And people said Penelope Cruz in his “Vicky Cristina Barcellona” was too small a part. AND SHE WON!

  42. Ok. I totally down with Corey Stoll upsetting your predictions apple cart for his great role as Ernest Hemingway in “Midnight in Paris.” “Midnight in Paris” is still the one to beat IMHO. Every time I talk to an actual academy member, the LOVE and the intensity of the LOVE for Woody’s late career come-back reminds me of nothing so much as how much passion there was LAST year whenever anybody talked of “The King’s Speech.”

    And Marion Cotillard’s name keeps coming up again and again.

    I think Thelma’s chat with Sasha and Susan are a hoot and a half. Very original. And fun.

    But the main thing I got from both of her columns on Supporting Actor and Actress is actually how thin the fields are in BOTH categories.

    Jonah Hill was not nomination-worthy, IMHO, but Phillip Seymour Hoffman in “Moneyball” WAS. I didn’t recognize him at all for the longest time! And “Moneyball” will stay around for the long haul and be much discussed as other supposed Oscar pictures go down. As will likely happen with “The Ides of March.” And others will likely follow suit.

    And who would’ve thought “Drive” would be a non-starter? Comics going rogue, and scarey is something the Academy likes, as much as it DISLIKES comedy. And Melissa McCarthy is a comedienne in their minds, and as Anne Thompson points out, the Academy are snobs. Espcecially when it comes to comedy.

    They just don’t really LIKE comedy. Period. I think it has something to do with the fact that comedians in Hollywood are so highly paid whereas “serious” actors, not so much. USUALLY.

    And if it’s really Michael Sheen year, might they not nominate him in Supporting for his doomed junkie BFF to Gerard Butler in “Machine Gun Preacher”? And oh yes, there’s Gerard Butler in “Coriolanus”, too. Doing a damn good job as the villain and arch-enemy of all of Rome.

    And to go back to Corey Stoll for a moment, SPC is trotting him out all over the place, just in time to be considered for “MIP”. See Jeff Wells’ rave in “Hollywood-Elsewhere.” Corey’s not known and I thought the raves he got coming out of Cannes would carry him through, and as a matter of fact, they are.

    SPC just has to keep the Corey and Cotillard balls rolling. “Hannah and her Sisters” Woody’s last BIG hit got two WINS for Dianne Weist and Michael Caine in Supporting. And people said Penelope Cruz in his “Vicky Cristina Barcellona” was too small a part. AND SHE WON!

  43. Tero Heikkinen

    Stephen, so Academy DISLIKES comedy, but LOVES Midnight in Paris?

    I know what you meant, but I’ll say it out loud. They love Woody’s writing and his supporting actors and actresses – more than the movies as a whole.

  44. Tero Heikkinen

    Stephen, so Academy DISLIKES comedy, but LOVES Midnight in Paris?

    I know what you meant, but I’ll say it out loud. They love Woody’s writing and his supporting actors and actresses – more than the movies as a whole.

  45. julian the emperor

    Phantom, nice list, but why on earth have you put Sean Penn in there???? That is as unlikely to happen as the earth being hit by a planet called Melancholia before Oscar time…

    Corey Stoll’s role is just to small to be recognized, imo. I just cannot picture it happen (even though he is, indeed, mighty mighty good – and in that sense, deserving of the praise).

    the frontrunners right now, imo:

    1. Plummer
    2. Branagh
    3. Pitt
    4. Brooks
    5. Hawkes

  46. julian the emperor

    Phantom, nice list, but why on earth have you put Sean Penn in there???? That is as unlikely to happen as the earth being hit by a planet called Melancholia before Oscar time…

    Corey Stoll’s role is just to small to be recognized, imo. I just cannot picture it happen (even though he is, indeed, mighty mighty good – and in that sense, deserving of the praise).

    the frontrunners right now, imo:

    1. Plummer
    2. Branagh
    3. Pitt
    4. Brooks
    5. Hawkes

  47. Yes, the academy disdains comedy but they LOVE Woody Allen! Esp. THIS Woody. “Midnight in Paris” Woody. And the biggest competish for “MIP” is “The Artist” ANOTHER comedy! And also French! Voila!

    SPC has to do what they did RIGHT last year for Jacquie Weaver, and NOT do what they did WRONG for the wonderful Leslie Manville, last year.

    What did they do wrong with Ms. Manville? They put her in lead…

    Which just goes to show that every Oscar campaign is different.

    With Corey Stoll and Marion Cotillard, they just have to get them out there on the stump. And Owen Wilson, too, for that matter.

    I know. I’ve seen it EIGHT TIMES! I just can’t stop going to it every chance I get. I have never reacted to a film that way in MY ENTIRE LIFE!

    Why? Somebody asked me that the day before yesterday at the NYFF and I could only answer “It makes me happy.”

    Would Corey or Marion or even Owen for that matter win if nominated? Well, as Sasha so sagely says in Thelma’s column, Sometimes they give one supporting or acting award to the film as a whole, and the film doesn’t win, but they like it. They really like it.

    So get on the ball Sony Pictures Classics!

  48. Yes, the academy disdains comedy but they LOVE Woody Allen! Esp. THIS Woody. “Midnight in Paris” Woody. And the biggest competish for “MIP” is “The Artist” ANOTHER comedy! And also French! Voila!

    SPC has to do what they did RIGHT last year for Jacquie Weaver, and NOT do what they did WRONG for the wonderful Leslie Manville, last year.

    What did they do wrong with Ms. Manville? They put her in lead…

    Which just goes to show that every Oscar campaign is different.

    With Corey Stoll and Marion Cotillard, they just have to get them out there on the stump. And Owen Wilson, too, for that matter.

    I know. I’ve seen it EIGHT TIMES! I just can’t stop going to it every chance I get. I have never reacted to a film that way in MY ENTIRE LIFE!

    Why? Somebody asked me that the day before yesterday at the NYFF and I could only answer “It makes me happy.”

    Would Corey or Marion or even Owen for that matter win if nominated? Well, as Sasha so sagely says in Thelma’s column, Sometimes they give one supporting or acting award to the film as a whole, and the film doesn’t win, but they like it. They really like it.

    So get on the ball Sony Pictures Classics!

  49. Tero Heikkinen

    Btw, something really bugs me about this possibility:

    ACADEMY AWARD NOMINEE JONAH HILL

    But if he’s that good, so be it.

  50. Tero Heikkinen

    Btw, something really bugs me about this possibility:

    ACADEMY AWARD NOMINEE JONAH HILL

    But if he’s that good, so be it.

  51. SPC has to do what they did RIGHT last year for Jacquie Weaver, and NOT do what they did WRONG for the wonderful Leslie Manville, last year.

    Stephen, Surely you know that Sony Pictures Classics has no authority to insist the actors branch put any performance in any category. Each individual voter in the actor’s branch makes that choice on his own nomination ballot.

    I’m sure many voters nominated Hailee Steinfeld in the Lead Actress category. But many many more put her in Supporting. If she had enough backing from the Academy to be be put forward in Lead then that’s where she would have ended up.

    The same for Leslie Manville and Jackie Weaver. The voters themselves decide individually in which category to put a performance. All a studio can do is suggest.

  52. SPC has to do what they did RIGHT last year for Jacquie Weaver, and NOT do what they did WRONG for the wonderful Leslie Manville, last year.

    Stephen, Surely you know that Sony Pictures Classics has no authority to insist the actors branch put any performance in any category. Each individual voter in the actor’s branch makes that choice on his own nomination ballot.

    I’m sure many voters nominated Hailee Steinfeld in the Lead Actress category. But many many more put her in Supporting. If she had enough backing from the Academy to be be put forward in Lead then that’s where she would have ended up.

    The same for Leslie Manville and Jackie Weaver. The voters themselves decide individually in which category to put a performance. All a studio can do is suggest.

  53. Billyboy

    @Stephen.

    So they love Marion Cotillard too? Wow, I didn’t saw that one coming. She’s charming, beautiful, but it never crossed my mind she could be considered for the Supporting Actress race.

    Right now I’m predicting Midnight In Paris will take the Oscar for Original Screenplay. Woody’s fourth Oscar. And as usual, he won’t be there. Somehow that makes me happy.

  54. Billyboy

    @Stephen.

    So they love Marion Cotillard too? Wow, I didn’t saw that one coming. She’s charming, beautiful, but it never crossed my mind she could be considered for the Supporting Actress race.

    Right now I’m predicting Midnight In Paris will take the Oscar for Original Screenplay. Woody’s fourth Oscar. And as usual, he won’t be there. Somehow that makes me happy.

  55. Stephen, Surely you know that Sony Pictures Classics has no authority to insist the actors branch put any performance in any category. Each individual voter in the actor’s branch makes that choice on his own nomination ballot.

    I did not know this. This is important information.

    So they love Marion Cotillard too? Wow, I didn’t saw that one coming. She’s charming, beautiful, but it never crossed my mind she could be considered for the Supporting Actress race.

    If I had to nominate someone from MIP for acting, it’d be Marion. Unless there was a category for cameos. Because Adrien Brody was my favorite thing in it, tbqh.

  56. Stephen, Surely you know that Sony Pictures Classics has no authority to insist the actors branch put any performance in any category. Each individual voter in the actor’s branch makes that choice on his own nomination ballot.

    I did not know this. This is important information.

    So they love Marion Cotillard too? Wow, I didn’t saw that one coming. She’s charming, beautiful, but it never crossed my mind she could be considered for the Supporting Actress race.

    If I had to nominate someone from MIP for acting, it’d be Marion. Unless there was a category for cameos. Because Adrien Brody was my favorite thing in it, tbqh.

  57. Glad to see support for Stoll! And La Marion… fingers crossed she wears flapper gear to the Oscars. (PS: discussed ‘Manhattan’ with my film 1000 classes this week… can Oscars 2011 please spark a Streep/Woody reunion?)

  58. Glad to see support for Stoll! And La Marion… fingers crossed she wears flapper gear to the Oscars. (PS: discussed ‘Manhattan’ with my film 1000 classes this week… can Oscars 2011 please spark a Streep/Woody reunion?)

  59. phantom

    Antoinette

    I agree, Armie Hammer has NOT shown anything yet, I thought he was remarkably overrated in ‘The Social Network’ BUT J.Edgar is different. He is probably a supporting player with plenty of screentime, it’s Eastwood and Eastwood’s supporting men are remarkably succesful (Oscar wins for Gene Hackman, Tim Robbins, Morgan Freeman), so he kind of has the precedent on his side, as well, and the film seems VERY Academy-friendly, plus it looks like he has that typical over-the-top-shouty-loud ‘Oscar-scene’ every contender pretty much needs to be recognized (it was featured in the trailer). So all in all, I think, he could be easily a nominee and if the film is well-received enough, who knows, maybe ANOTHER supporting actor who wins for an Eastwood film.

    julian the emperor

    Mentioning Sean Penn was just a formality. Do I think he will get the nod ? No. Do I think he could be written down now ? No…he is a ‘name’ contender, even if we don’t consider him, the Academy might…they LOVE the ‘name’ contenders…

  60. phantom

    Antoinette

    I agree, Armie Hammer has NOT shown anything yet, I thought he was remarkably overrated in ‘The Social Network’ BUT J.Edgar is different. He is probably a supporting player with plenty of screentime, it’s Eastwood and Eastwood’s supporting men are remarkably succesful (Oscar wins for Gene Hackman, Tim Robbins, Morgan Freeman), so he kind of has the precedent on his side, as well, and the film seems VERY Academy-friendly, plus it looks like he has that typical over-the-top-shouty-loud ‘Oscar-scene’ every contender pretty much needs to be recognized (it was featured in the trailer). So all in all, I think, he could be easily a nominee and if the film is well-received enough, who knows, maybe ANOTHER supporting actor who wins for an Eastwood film.

    julian the emperor

    Mentioning Sean Penn was just a formality. Do I think he will get the nod ? No. Do I think he could be written down now ? No…he is a ‘name’ contender, even if we don’t consider him, the Academy might…they LOVE the ‘name’ contenders…

  61. Plummer SHOULD have won for his brilliant turn as Mike Wallace in Mann’s The Insider, but wasn’t even nominated. It’s make-up time.

  62. Plummer SHOULD have won for his brilliant turn as Mike Wallace in Mann’s The Insider, but wasn’t even nominated. It’s make-up time.

  63. Simon Warrasch

    Max von Sydow! Are you serious? There is no way that Christopher Plummer will loose! Christopher Plummer is one of our greatest! He is long overdue for a win! And this year we all can see his brilliant acting in “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”, “Beginners” and “Barrymore”! With three amazing performances in one year he is definitely a lock for a nomination and a win! For Sure!

  64. Simon Warrasch

    Max von Sydow! Are you serious? There is no way that Christopher Plummer will loose! Christopher Plummer is one of our greatest! He is long overdue for a win! And this year we all can see his brilliant acting in “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”, “Beginners” and “Barrymore”! With three amazing performances in one year he is definitely a lock for a nomination and a win! For Sure!

  65. What Plummer has going for him (aside from being long overdue and wonderful, endearing and courageous in “Beginners”) is that he’s been nominated recently in this category, and he has two other major films this year – one very high-profile destined to be a box office hit and the other a reprise of his Tony-winning performance. I don’t know how much screen time von Sydow has in Extremely Loud, or how much he does with it, but it’s going to have to be a LOT to beat that combo, imo.

  66. What Plummer has going for him (aside from being long overdue and wonderful, endearing and courageous in “Beginners”) is that he’s been nominated recently in this category, and he has two other major films this year – one very high-profile destined to be a box office hit and the other a reprise of his Tony-winning performance. I don’t know how much screen time von Sydow has in Extremely Loud, or how much he does with it, but it’s going to have to be a LOT to beat that combo, imo.

  67. Vitaliy

    I thought Albert Brooks was mediocre in Drive. I think nowadays people get hyped up on any actor who plays a villain. It only works when the actor makes interesting choices in the performance.

    One actor who I think is ignorantly being left out of discussion is Rhys Ifans. He looks fantastic in Anonymous. There’s a chance he can creep into the race

    as for the other culprits, I’ll say Plummer (Dragon Tattoo), Max Von Sydow, Nick Nolte, Branagh, Waltz, Skarsgaard, Hardy, Broadbent

  68. Vitaliy

    I thought Albert Brooks was mediocre in Drive. I think nowadays people get hyped up on any actor who plays a villain. It only works when the actor makes interesting choices in the performance.

    One actor who I think is ignorantly being left out of discussion is Rhys Ifans. He looks fantastic in Anonymous. There’s a chance he can creep into the race

    as for the other culprits, I’ll say Plummer (Dragon Tattoo), Max Von Sydow, Nick Nolte, Branagh, Waltz, Skarsgaard, Hardy, Broadbent

Leave a Comment

Warning: Do not abuse your right to comment here. You will be deleted.