The Oscars, the Films and everything in between.
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I predict against the tide that both Spielberg and Woody Allen may get snubbed, because the majority of voters might agree that “War Horse” and “Midnight in Paris” are both far from their best work. They might still get a Best Picture-nominee (very likely), but no mention for their Directors.
I only see three locks here and at the Oscars: Hazanavicius, Scorsese and Payne. The rest is pretty much up in the air.
The DGA has a tendency to vote more mainstream than the Academy, quite surprisingly (Atom Egoyan for example, anyone?). So if Terrence Malick has a chance, probably not here.
I´m guessing Bennett Miller and – little shocker – David Fincher for the two remaining slots, but I´m far from confident about it (Dragon Tattoo did have a good running with the Guilds, indeed).
I predict the veteran directors, Allen, Mallick, Scorsese and Spielberg, get the nods with Havanicius the only newcomer.
I’m gonna say (though I may change my mind tomorrow):
Beth, that’s my pick too, although I won’t be entirely surprised if Spielberg takes Taylor’s spot. The love for The Help by the BAFTAs indicates what we already know about that movie=it is BELOVED. I watched it again yesterday and despite the non-pc aspects to it, due to Viola Davis and Octavia Spencer (Emma Stone and Jessica Chastain too) you can’t help but be taken in by it. Or I couldn’t. I even cried and I didn’t cry the first time i saw it. So go figure.
I was hoping for David Yates to be on the list
hahaha that comment was funny OCO300. You are kidding, I know that
Oops, I misspelled Hazanavicius’ name. My bad.
Sasha – My sister and brother-in-law are pretty good Oscar barometers, and they absolutely loved The Help. Their other favorite movie: Hugo.
I suspect that Refn (whose directing style was probably the most talked about this year) and Malick (to reward its no-compromise constant attitude) will join the locks (Hazanavicius, Scorsese and Payne).
No he’s not, besides why not cause he directed Harry Potter(4-8)?
The help is a lovely movie but Tate Taylor for best director?? I hope no…
I am sure that he does. Because David yates is one of the worst thing that have touched to that saga
@castle David Yates is one of the founding members of Directors UK, which was established in June 2008, and has been a key participant at award ceremonies in association with the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including the First Light Awards and the BAFTA Rising Star Awards, where he sits on the judging panel.
And he’s an English filmmaker who rose to mainstream prominence directing the final four films in the Harry Potter film series. He helmed the series’ fifth, sixth, seventh and eighth installments, all of which became an instant blockbuster success and made him the most commercially successful British director in recent years. His final Harry Potter film garnered the highest critical acclaim of the series and his direction of the four films gained him accolades, such as the BAFTA Britannia Award for Artistic Excellence in Directing and the Art Directors Guild Award for Outstanding Contribution to Cinematic Imagery; he shares the latter with the Harry Potter principal creative team.
Refn, Scorsese, Hazanavicius, Malick and Payne. i’m not sure about Malick, but, believe me, the other four will be nominated. Spielberg and Allen are the “dark horses”.
Hugo is very well loved out there in the regular world, so unusual for a Scorsese movie (except The Departed) – and same with me – my mom and daughter are the two best Oscar barometers I know and natch, they both loved The Help. I think Viola Davis sells it ultimately.
David Yated did a bad job in the saga, that is true. And ready
THE TREE OF LIFE is controversial from a screenplay point of view, but I can’t imagine a director NOT being blown away by the work. There are segments of the movie that are astonishing and from a director’s point of view, it’s flawless.
Therefore, I think DGA snubs Woody Allen, but the Academy Directors will find a spot for him.
I have probably missed it, but who got the beautiful Dragon Tattoo razor blade thingy?
Terrence Malick (alt: Steven Spielberg)
If Tate Taylor is nominated for that garbage movie, I will never stop vomiting.
I agree that Allen and Spielberg might not make it. I replaced them with Fincher and Taylor. I feel the locks at this point are Haz, Payne and Scorsese. But who knows!
Well, we will probably all be barfing. White people love the SHIT out of that movie b/c it makes them feel so damn good about themselves while thinking they look like they are actually championing people of color. The whole film and phenomenon is disgusting. It’s as disgusting as The Blind Side, but worse b/c that shit really is a strong BP contender. Wouldn’t be surprised if it takes it.
Tate Taylor? Two words: Tom Hooper.
Tate Taylor? Two words: Tom Hooper.
I’ll go you one better.
Tate Taylor is the gay John G. Avildsen
Not that there’s anything wrong with that. It is what it is.
I’d be happy to being proven wrong.
Captain Miller’s dying words: “Earn this.”
I feel like I should really have predicted Tate Taylor just because the DGA has a history of going with the Oscar top 5, but I felt like taking a bit more of a chance with my guesses. Hazanavicius, Payne, and Scorsese are IN, and a snub for any of them would be a shocker. I predicted Woody Allen even though the DGA has historically not been quite as good to him as the Academy has (6 Oscar nominations for Best Director vs. 4 DGA nods). And I also went with Bennett Miller, who was surprisingly not included on your poll.
@John-Paul – I have added Bennett Miller.
Am I the only one desperately hoping for some love for A Separation ? Farhadis direction and writing is so superb I am almost ready to un into the nearest wall because of the almost universal snubbing in other categories except foreign language. The brits shitted on themselves when nominating Bridesmaid for original script while leaving Farhadi out.
I’m black and I think The Help is a great movie. All my black/multicultural friends think it’s a great movie also.
I’m not quite sure why people claim only white people like The Help…
@castle if David Yates did a bad job on HP movies he wouldn’t be nominated or won any director awards, his movies wouldn’t make any monie, no one would see it, and his HP movies would get all bad reviews from critics would it?
I didn’t say only white people, just that white people love it.
Michel Hanazavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne,The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Steven Spielberg, War Horse
David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Nicolas Winding Refn, Drive
hahaha tell me who helped that the movies were seen in the cinema?? the books, the fans that read those good books. And that award that won was which award??? any important. Those good reviews that you name, just was the nostalgia for the time. Nothing important.
He didnt win nothing with his job.. Was the writter that helped to him. So sorry, you are wrong.
Rememeber that transformers earned so much money as well, and it is considered as the worst movie. So the money doesnt care in awards.
The books made that harry potter movies were important for the fans
@Castle if it nominated JK ROwling would that be good?
ohh you dont undertand club. Forget it. Harry potter wont get nothing
MY STANDARD QUESTION ON THESE GUILD NOMINATIONS APPLIES ON THE DGA: PREFERENTIAL BALLOT, OR THE TRADITIONAL WEIGHTED TOP FIVE BALLOT? IT MAKES A DIFFERENCE, FOLKS. ANYBODY KNOW A VOTING DGA MEMBER WHO WILL ANSWER THE QUESTION?
@Mel: I agree with you about The Help and Tate Taylor. I will be disgusted and not take the directing category seriously if he gets nominated over Spielberg, Malick, Fincher, and even Bennett Miller. I would also be horrified if Clooney ends up outing those guys. The fact that The Help has so many possible nominations on the BAFTA’s longlist is a bad sign. Gosh, I really hope it doesn’t get any BAFTA nods. Only in this screwed up year, would The Help be taken seriously as a top contender for Best Picture. It was a bad sign that the WGA nominated The Help over War Horse. I have ranted about this before but I can’t believe that The Help and Bridesmaids have taken such a stronghold. I hope The Academy shuts out at least one of those movies. Bridesmaids’s social impact is more harmless and doesn’t involve racial politics or mind games.
I really thought Spielberg was a lock but then he got snubbed at the GG’s and I was stunned that War Horse didn’t get the nomination for Best Adapted Screenplay.
Not to get in another big diatribe about Potter since people are trolling the fans so much… I think Yates would have been a viable & worthy contender if HP was still in the running which is isn’t anymore. He did receive the Britannia Award which is affiliated with the BAFTA’s. The DGA’s tend to correlate with the PGA’s but Malick or Refn may be an exception. David Yates had similar credentials pre-Potter as Tom Hooper.
I am actually worried that even the BAFTA’s will snub Potter because it has become fashionable by the industry to do so. Most of the awards races don’t like to break from the pack and go along with everybody else so they can match up to the Academy. It is a shame because I know the AMPAS screening of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 seemed to have a great reception but it just seems that the industry is writing the franchise off.
Tree of Life and HP are in serious trouble. Refn really needs the DGA nod for Drive for it to be solidified as a contender.
At this point it such a mess, I am just rooting that Spielberg will be able to make the cut. I really thought that Payne, Spielberg, and Scorsese would be locks but the WGA changed the direction.
I think Michel H and Refn are in consideration but one of them might be snubbed for David Fincher, Terence Malick, Woody Allen, or Bennett Miller. Fincher, Miller, and Allen have the advantage because they also got WGA and PGA noms. Bennett and Woody also got SAG noms for their movies.
@Blue: Well, I know alot of multicultural groups, minorities, and African-Americans who were strongly offended by The Help. Read past posts on this site as to why that is the case as well as review the premise of white exploitation in films, sugar-coating history, and cultural stereotyping. It is sentimental and social manipulation at its worset. I cannot tolerate that movie winning because of spin and a disgusting campaign. The DGA needs to consider its legacy. The movie itself was not impressively directed. I will be horrified if The Help continues to dominate like this. Though it won’t be suprising since it received nominations from all of the other guilds.
I hope The DGA doesn’t just blindly follow the precursors. The Academy deviates from the PGA and WGA always with a few nominations but it tends to usually strongly correlate with the DGA. I hope the DGA doesn’t mess it up!
@Mel: I agree with you about The Help and Tate Taylor. I will be disgusted and not take the directing category seriously if he gets nominated over Spielberg, Malick, Fincher, and even Bennett Miller. I would also be horrified if Clooney ends up outing those superior directors.
@Blue: Well, I know alot of multicultural groups, minorities, and African-Americans who were strongly offended by The Help. Read past posts on this site as to why that is the case as well as review the premise of white exploitation in films, sugar-coating history, and cultural stereotyping. It is sentimental and social manipulation at its worst. I cannot tolerate that movie winning because of spin and a disgusting campaign. The DGA needs to consider its legacy.
I had to re-submit due to bad typos. The DGA’s better not be turned into a joke. I hope there is one daring snub and inclusion. Spielberg deserves to make the cut.
Well, I guess we know different people then…
Honestly, I rather have a movie with a strong black cast cause some controversy, than a movie with only white people in it (because those movies never get attacked…which is why 99% of the movies made nowadays only have white people and don’t discuss race and racism). In my opinion, Tate Taylor took a big risk making a movie like this and I wouldn’t mind if he got recognition for it. I can’t say he’s in my top 5, but I wouldn’t be disgusted if he got a nom.
Some women were offended with Bridesmaids. I bet if horses could talk, they’d be offended with War Horse.
I think Spielberg is a lock (sadly) simply because he IS Spielberg. Also he did a pretty decent job with the bad script that was handed to him so, he’s a lock for me. I just had to go with Malick though. Really feels like someone who PGA members might pick. No chance for Tate Taylor in my book.
Is a movie that doesn’t really discuss race and racism, and only glosses over it in a feel-good white savior way really beneficial? The Help wasn’t controversial at all really. Only to thinking people who said, “waaaaait a minute” and realized what was going on. My Mom watched The Help and thought it was just wonderful all the black people’s problems are solved today and all of that bathroom business was in the past!
Terry Malick, YES WE CAN!
I too am going to predict a Spielberg snub.
edit: Same list as Duke, above. Well done!
Nicolas Winding Refn
-It would be awesome if Terrence Malick made it but unfortunately i dont think it’s gonna happen.
Can castle and OCO/SClub88(pretty obvious you are the same person) please shut up. Your horrible grammar hurts my brain.
I don’t understand why there are some bloggers here still think Malick has a chance. Wake up, no WGA, no PGA, no, SAG, nothing. If it had any momentum, if would have reflected on the at least one nomination from trio of industry guilds. Sorry, “no, you can’t, Malick.
Time to be realistic.
My DGA prediction:
Midnight in Paris, or possible upset David Fincher or Steven Spielberg.
I wouldn’t be at all be surprised if Woody and/or Taylor got in, but I’ll predict these:
“I don’t understand why there are some bloggers here still think Malick has a chance. Wake up, no WGA, no PGA, no, SAG, nothing. If it had any momentum, if would have reflected on the at least one nomination from trio of industry guilds. Sorry, “no, you can’t, Malick”.
“Yes you can Malick!” Robert, sorry but your reasoning doesn’t seem to make much sense. This is the DGA, not the WGA, PGA, SAG or the others you seem to think have a bearing on this category. TREE OF LIFE’s strongest component in the eye’s of these guilds is surely Malick himself, and the film’s direction is teh one category they can show it’s creativity. There is no stronger chance for the film than in the director category.
I personally think everyone here has it called right, and you have it called wrong.
“TREE OF LIFE’s strongest component in the eye’s of these guilds is surely Malick himself, and the film’s direction is teh one category they can show it’s creativity.”
Oh, the director himself, uh? Then why there are no nods from PGA, WGA, or SAG?? You can keep justifying all you want. The face of the matter is Tree of Life is out of the race. The lack of PGA, SAG, WGA, all of a sudden, has become a non issue for Malick fans. Tree of life’s has no strong component, if it does, PGA would have squeezed the film as one of the top 10. There is a difference between your opinion and being realistic, my friend. Why set yourself for failure? You will know on Monday. Malick won’t be one of the 5 directors for DGA nomination.
The lack of PGA,WGA,SAG is good enough of a consensus from the film industry that Tree of Life’s lack of buzz and momentum. It is as simple as that. If Malick, by some miracle, got a DGA nod(I doubt it), it will still very hard to get a best picture nomination. TOL’s chances are pretty much dead. Time to wake up and be realistic.
I would say that Malick is going to pull a Blue Velvet, but the cinematography will surely be nominated. I think it will be the two nominations for the film, I just don’t see the film getting a Best Picture nom at the moment. I’m still disgusted that Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy isn’t getting any love. It should be nominated for everything.
“I wouldn’t be at all be surprised if Woody and/or Taylor got in, but I’ll predict these:”
Your basing Malick’s DGA chance by your own opinion, you totally disregard the importance of WGA, PGA, and SAG.
Taylor is in, Woody is in. Not Malick.
Malick is not going to pull a Blue Velet.
Tree of life would have pushed out Bridesmaids at PGA if it had even a bit buzz and love.
No guts no glory I would put Ramsay in there – yep a dream but the film is highly regarded and you wouldn’t expect it to fit the other guilds – artistic design, cinematography etc but I still secretly desire a Director, Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor and screenplay nod! Heaven in fact.
“Malick is not going to pull a Blue Velet.”
That’s what I said.
”The lack of PGA,WGA,SAG is good enough of a consensus from the film industry that Tree of Life’s lack of buzz and momentum. It is as simple as that. If Malick, by some miracle, got a DGA nod(I doubt it), it will still very hard to get a best picture nomination. TOL’s chances are pretty much dead. Time to wake up and be realistic.”
Perfect. And the supporters of HP (I’m one of them) have to know that it’s quite obvious it’s not getting in either. The critics’ darling and the public’s darling are out.
Regarding the DGA nominations, I would not say Malick is out. But he has a much better chance to score a lone-spot at the Oscars than at the DGA. Remember: in the DGA, somehow, the name of the film USUALLY matters more than the name of the director, like it is at the Oscars. Little Miss Sunshine for example got the PGA, but Greengrass got the Oscar nod.
ChrisW, you wrote:
“I would say that Malick is going to pull a Blue Velvet, but the cinematography will surely be nominated.”
Exactly. Which means he’s not going to pull a Blue Velvet.
JP, sure, Malick might have a chance at the Oscars for best directing nomination, but I just don’t think it is very likely. United 93 was a provocative, and extremely well directed film, and it also won NY Film Critics for Best Picture, and Greengrass also won best directing at Los Angeles film critics, and got a WGA nod. Tree of life has none of these. That is why its chances are pretty much dead in my opinion. Could I be wrong? Or course, but at this point, it is pretty much dead in the water in terms of DGA nod, but Oscar nod, it is very unlikely. As to Harry Potter,,it is just not going to pick up any major nominations, it is just the way it is no matter how much HP fans want to twist it and justify it.
Chris, David Lynch was nominated for best director for Blue Velvet.
Yes, and nothing else.
Therefore if the film is nominated for cinematography, which it surely will be, it can’t pull a Blue Velvet.
But Malick is not going to pull a Blue Velvet because his chances of getting an Oscar nod is very slim in my opinion.
That may be. I’m not that big of a fan for the film. I just have a feeling he’ll sneak his way in. Just a gut feeling.
OCO, David Yates is not going to be on the list, nor he is going to be on Oscars’ best directing list.
@Craig Z. i’m not OCO 300, and I would like an apology for suspecting that?
Shout out to all TOL and HP fans: these films are dead in the water. Sorry
13th -annual Golden Tomatoes Awards!
Spot on, Andrew.
gbpo, that is a dream list of DGA prediction.
Michel Hazanavicius, Alexander Payne, Tate Taylor, Martin Scorsese and Woody Allen
I don’t see a good reason, not even one, from a director point of view, not to place malick’s name on a five spots list. If a member of the D Guild is voting in good conscience and knows a little about his/her own job cannot avoid Malick achievement among the top five of the year. It’s not a matter of taste, even if you don’t connect to his film, even if you find it a bit arrogant here and there, it is undeniably a monumental work on the language of Cinema, the kind of work that pushes the art forward.
Michel Hazanavicius, “The Artist”
Alexander Payne, “The Descendants”
Tate Taylor, “The Help”
Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”
Terrence Malick, “The Tree of Life”
I’ll be horrified if they snub Allen. It’s one of his best films, on so many levels…
“It’s not a matter of taste, even if you don’t connect to his film, even if you find it a bit arrogant here and there, it is undeniably a monumental work on the language of Cinema, the kind of work that pushes the art forward.”
It is not a matter of tastes? Of course it is a matter of taste and opinion. One of Malick’s main problems as a filmmaker is he dwells too much on style and visual over story and character development. He’d better of becoming a cinematographer rather than a director. He doesn’t push the art forward, he pushes the art too far in dwelling on style. That is why he keeps missing out all the main nods from those big guilds in the industry. Malick is out of the race whether you like it or not, that is the sad part for you.
At this point, you are not being realistic if you keep pretending and telling yourself that Malick will be on the list of DGA Monday morning.
Michel Hazanavicius, “The Artist”
Alexander Payne, “The Descendants”
Tate Taylor, “The Help”
Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”
Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris”
Robert, TOL of life is missing out because voters just arent that into it. Simple as that. I personally wanted to love it, and thought the first 15 minutes extraordinary. In the end I thought it was too pretentious and agree with you that the character and story development were sacrificed over visual beauty. Whatever you think of the film though, its just not the style and type of film than win voters over in any case
Bright and early Monday morning, so that’s 5:30 AM Pacific time? Again?
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Steven Spielberg – War Horse
Cmon DGA, resurrect The Tree of Life.
“a monumental work on the language of Cinema, the kind of work that pushes the art forward.”
Yes, that is why we have “the best cinematography”!!
DGA is not going to resurrect The Tree of Life.
“Robert, TOL of life is missing out because voters just arent that into it. Simple as that.”
Spot on! That is why it missed out PGA, SAG, WGA.
Tree of Life is DEAD. Just a crumbling old stump. Move on.
Fielding, exactly. Tree of Life is just as dead as Harry Potter.
Uh, that’s why I’m pleading for them to RESURRECT it.
for the record, Fielding, that’s the first comment in your last 20 comments that hasn’t been humping the leg of Midnight in Paris. Glad to see you expanding your repertoire.
@castle. If David Yates was bad, why would Warner Brothers even have him direct the final ones? Plenty of directors wanted to direct the series but they stuck with Yates. I think he did a great job directing the films. And it’s not just the books that gave it all its money in the theater. My mother saw all the movies before reading all the books. I’m sure there are plenty of people out there that did the same thing. I didn’t read the books until after Half Blood Prince.
That being said, no David Yates should be on the list for in contention. He did a great job, especially with the pacing of the film. From the start it was exciting, fun, and brought out the best acting in the whole series.
You have the right to you opinion, as do I and everyone else. Don’t tell someone they are “wrong” just because you don’t agree with someone.
But James, it is probably not going to happen,,,,
The one who keeps on humping must be a studio plant.
I wish I were a studio plant. It is all about being realistic.
if Fielding is a PR agent, then he’s more polite and less obtrusive than most.
Fielding, we never saw you at AD until July when you first came to share this good news:
Meanwhile, Midnight in Paris has crossed the $60 million mark worldwide – from just 7 countries.
45 comments later is a comfortable dispersal, but no kidding, 41 of those 45 have been in praise of Midnight in Paris.
That’s fine — we all have our favorite movies. I’d actually rather read you praising Midnight in Paris rather than your new tactic this week of sabotaging and trash-talking other movies you think might stand in Woody’s way.
I’m not picking on you, Fielding. Just teasing. OCO300 catches all kinds of grief for boosting his favorite, so I’m only making an observation that constant hammering the same message can be counterproductive.
Maybe David Fincher could sneak in, if that happened, I would not mind.
For Christ sakes Robert if people want to predict Malick let them. You are obsessed.
I have made my point clear. Leave me alone.
@Matt well I guess HP:DH 2 is a great film
Come on, Ryan, Tree of Life is hardly in Woody’s way!
I’m talking about Malick being in line ahead of Woody. Which may or may not be true. But if you could push Malick under the bus for Woody to walk over him, I think you’d do it.
You weren’t making a point Robert, you were heckling people who dissagree with you.
I think Malick is pretty much out of it (sadly), but he did have a strong run with critics’ awards. As director, he won LAFCA, San Francisco, Toronto, Chicago and OFCS. Tree of Life was runner-up for Best Film at LAFCA, plus winning Cannes, Gothams, San Francisco, African American, Toronto, Chicago and OFCS, and making the NBR, AFI and BFCA top ten lists. Only GG and the guilds have snubbed it. However, that’s probably enough snubbage to do it in. *sigh*
Its sort of suprising Beth. Malick will probably be the first director in over 20 years to win the LAFC Best Director but not be nominated for the Oscar
Well, Craig, he is one of a kind, lol. Crazy little Texas auteur. Who else would make a poetic meditation encompassing Life, the Universe and Everything (complete with Dinosaurs!)??
God, I love that man!
Totally agree w/ gbpo. My gut says:
Would love to see Steve McQueen sneak in there though…
Anybody think Scorcese has a chance to win this thing?
HP8 lovers: when the final battle was over, and V exploded in the sky, we cut to a mostly silent scene of Harry walking awkwardly through a room filled with people drinking tea. Awkward hug with Hadgrid. Three best friends walking awkwardly on the bridge…
Did we just see the conclusion to the greatest battle ever? Or did they leave the cameras on the cast before they started the next scene? David Yates made poor, poor decisions with ending the Battle of Hogwarts. (And don’t get my started about the poor interpretation of how the battle REALLY ended in the book. David Yates chose a wordless Ghostbusters-beam duel over the amazing dialogue between Harry and Voldemort that took place in the book. Bad director! Bad! No treat for you!) Tell me these last scenes didn’t feel off in the slightest.
You love the movie. Fine. Stop and think for a moment about many of the director’s choices throughout the film(s). Not that great. He was never recognized for this other films, this one is no different.
I would be thrilled if Scorsese won DGA. Seems like Hazanavicius is the smart bet, though, at this point. We’ll see how the race develops.
@ Craig Z
I think he really does. In Hollywood’s dream, I guess, they would award Spielberg in picture, Scorsese in Directing, Clooney in Actor and Streep in Actress, all of the 4 part of the Hollywood ”majesty”. But as War Horse is kind of fading and The Iron Lady is not a good film, I think they will have to change their minds.
For me, BP is The Artist vs. Hugo… these 2 films will have tough duels in many categories… lots of technicals and Best Directing, and they both are film tributes.
They will have no, they MAY change their minds. I still think Streep is the frontrunner.
I feel like Allen, Hazanavicius, Payne, Scorsese and Spielberg are too safe; where’s the fun in that. Therefore, in a balls-out pick, (which really isnt as balls-out as you’d think anymore, considering the strong week the film has had) I’ll go with David Fincher instead of Spielberg (or maybe Allen.)
feels as if it’s down to Scorsese & Hazanavicius, doesn’t it?
Oh yeah? CraigZ, like you have not heckled OCO and others, and told them to shut up? Don’t be a hypocrite.
Robert, I haven’t posted 30 times in the same thread about the same thing. I told them to shut up ONCE.
Yeah Ryan it really feels as if it is between those two but is this one of those things where Hazavanavicous really is a lock but we are saying Scorcese has a chance just to make it interesting?
There has been no indication up to now that Tate Taylor could be nominated. I am going with:
1. Michel Hazanavicius
2. Martin Scorsese
3. Steven Spielberg
4. David Fincher
5. Woody Allen
For the Academy Awards I would replace Fincher with Malick. I also don’t think War Horse’s chances are fading…I just get the feeling it will take Best Picture with Hazanavicius taking Best Director.
Not talking about Directors, I just don’t understand how Harry Potter 7.2 was overlooked by the Academy and the critics association?
OCO, I’ll give you an honest answer…. Because not enough of them vote it the best film
I know you are gonna ask why. We don’t know. Ask them. We cannot think on their behalf
CraigZ, it doesn’t really matter you only told them to shut up once, that is just rude enough. I don’t accuse OCO and Sclubofficial being the same person and tell them to shut up. I even told OCO i admire his passion for HP8. Just let them have hope and support H8, and mind your own business. You are not making your point either, you heckled them, and you attacked them. I have never done any of that except using facts to argue with them. Drop it.
“Can castle and OCO/SClub88(pretty obvious you are the same person) please shut up. Your horrible grammar hurts my brain.”
CraigZ, this is more than heckling, this is personal attack plus heckling.
I have never told anyone to shut up and criticized their grammar.
So don’t try to defend yourself by the “frequency” of my posts here. I explain why Malick doesn’t have a chance, I don’t tell people to shut up and say their grammar hurts my brain.
OCO300, it is because HP8 doesn’t have enough votes. It is a matter of opinion, it doesn’t change your passion for H8 or the greatness of it though. The industry just doesn’t care much about it.
You tell me to drop it then make a whole other post about it?
Yes, why should you have the last word? I was merely defending myself, just like you. Now, you want to drop it or you want to keep going, uh? GraizZ.
I was refering to your two consecutive posts six minutes apart both directed at me when you told me to drop it in the first one….
It doesn’t matter. I decided to quote what you wrote and the evidence of your rudeness, so what? You want to drop it or not?
I’m not ever sure what you are freaking out about honestly….
whatever I’m going to bed. I don’t care if you have the “last word”
….. I’m sure you will have plenty to say anyways. Goodnight
Not freaking out, just dealing with you. It is morning here by the way.
wishful thinking view
Terrence Malick and the tree of life are resurrected by a surprise monday morning nomination at the DGA
things go the way they have been going for the past week and TOL gets another snub come monday morning
Scorsese, Refn, Payne, Hazanavicius, Miller. Although I wouldn’t be surprised if Taylor takes Refn or Miller’s spot. I don’t think Malick is a very likely option, but it could happen.
I’m sorry…do you know what time will the National Society of Film Critics announce its winners??
The announced right around 12 noon LA time last year. Should be hearing from them in a couple of hours.
Thank you Ryan!
So, as of now….the three major groups have declared:
NYFCC: The Artist
LAFCA: The Descendants
What about the fourth…?? I’m betting The Artist is gonna take the NSFC in a walk!
I didn´t know the National Society announces today, always been one of my favourite groups of the Awards season. They often have a soft spot for foreign language films, so “A Separation” could surprise here.
“The Artist” would be a great choice too!
People are sleeping on Bennett Miller. Guilds love to vindicate past newcomers when they succeed a second time.
OCO, you forgot one thing. It will be very hard for the industry to vote for the second half of a sequel to 7 films that were never nominated for anything major.
My dream list of DGA nominations Monday, yeah, it is my wishful thinking
I’ll be kicking myself after the announcement, but why not have fun?
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Bennett Miller, Moneyball
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Steve Spielberg, War Horse
Spielberg gets DGA love (3 wins off 10 nominations) even when the Oscars (2 wins off 6 nominations) give in the cold shoulder: Jaws, The Color Purple, Empire of the Sun, and Amistad all got him a DGA nom (even winning for The Color Purple), but no Oscar invite.
Okay, okay, so 3/10 and 2/6 is a statisical tie, but the raw data is quite compelling.
I think Malick has his core support, as does Payne. Hazanvicius is the new “great” director with a charming film. And I think Miller is proving himself to be one of the gang. Capote was a fantastic film with incredibly subtle direction, and Moneyball shows there’s more to him than just the guy behind the camera.
Living in Brazil I couldn’t watch most of the films in the race yet, as they normally are released in january/february but I just saw War Horse and I thought it was brilliant. Conventional film-making, yes, but just so plain good. I really liked Midnight in Paris too, but if it were up to me, between Spielberg and Allen, I’d choose the first. Allen can get a screenplay nod.
My predictions got to be blind, since I haven’t seen most of them but I think it will be something like this:
Alternative: Woody Allen or Nicholas Winding Refn
I would love to see Fincher in the mix as well, but I don’t think Dragon Tattoo has any momentum at all.
I went with…
Kinda rooting for Fincher to get in!
@RobertlowercaseA how do you explain Lord of the Rings, Star Wars, Toy Story 3, Spiderman, and Batman?
you dont understand club88official, right’?? Harry Potter is not good enough for getting nominations or awards.
Harry Potter unnoticed in the awards. Because some lack in the movies, it is not strong enough, because of the way that the directors take in the project. Or just look the answers in your head, and think .. why your movie doesnt win anything important.
What about BAFTA
Bafta ignored to your movie in the queen category. And it wont win in british film. So Nothing is sure.
I cringe whenever a neophyte gets this always – always – at the expense of someone else who has made film after film and come up with a masterpiece. Redford over Scorsese, Gibson over Figgis, Costner over Frears/Schroeder/Scorsese – again, or Hooper over anybody. Tate made a good film – not a great film – and to include him this time will do a disservice to him and the rest of the pack. But we’ve heard that sermon before.
I want Fincher in so bad
Ehh, The Thin Red Line everybody!!
Failed at the PGA, WGA, SAG, no BAFTA or GG…
BUT it did get a DGA nod and got 7 Oscar noms, including Best Director, Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay.)
Malick definitely has a chance here. (he also just won Best Director at the National Society Film Awards)
Malick (please save the tree of life!)
Lord of the Rings, Star Wars, all nominated for Best Picture when the the first one came out. Harry Potter didn’t, and they are all much better films than HP films.
The Thin Red Line is a WW2 films, and there were only 5 nominees. TOL could not even squeeze itself to top 10 of PGA this year, not to mention the lack of WGA, and SAG. It is not comparable to TOL.
Tree of life is like a feast for cinematographers. It is style over substance, I think that is why it keeps missing out major nominations. The Thin Redline also won best director at NYFCC which TOL failed to get, so basically, it is really not comparable to Tree of Life. The race of TOL is pretty much over.
I think The Help for DGA is inevitable. There is no way that Malick will push out Tator, sorry.
How is it over? Tree of Life already won more awards than Thin Red Line and even won LA, where it’s director win was always nominated for best director. If malick missed he’ll be the first in 20 years.
And how is it not comparable? They are both by Malick and, again Thin Red Line also missed the WGA, PGa and SAG but did get in with the DGA. Malick can definitely pull a Thin Red Line here.
You probably hate TOL, which is why you are hoping it misses out. It ain’t over till it’s over man!
I don’t hate TOL, but you totally ignore the fact that there are 10 best picture nods at PGA, you ignore that TOL is not a WW2 drama. The Thin Red Line won Best Director at New York Film Critics. It is not comparable. You also ignore voters might not be as thrilled about TOL as they were to The Thin Red Line.
If TOL was really that loved, it would have been nominated for Best Picture by PGA this year. It could not even get to the top 10 of PGA. Remember, there was only 5 best picture nods when TRL came out.
Each year is different, Slyc. You tried to justify the TOL’s lack of recognition from the major guilds by comparing TOL to the Thin Red Line. You can rationalize all you want. Anything is possible, but it is just not very likely this year for Tree of Life.
You could be right, and I’m not saying TOL will go big at the Oscars but it could definitely pull the lone director spot. It actually has more chance at the Oscars than with the DGA. I guess we’ll just have to wait and see but definitely should not rule it out. I think you underestimate how much of a respected director he is. He might even get in for just being Malick. TOL is anyway really a director’s achievement, and I hope they will recognize it. And if be misses, at least NOT over Taylor! That would be a crime.I’ll be more happy with Spielberg or Fincher.
Fair enough, I guess we just have to wait and see.
I want Fincher in so bad ”
That’s what she said! (she being Ceán Chaffin)
Ok, after that lame LAME joke (I love you, Steve Carrell) I have to confess I also want Fincher in…into the Best Director race, that is.
The Dream Team!
There’ll be a great deal of star frakking with this list, so I’m going with Paul Feig as my NGNG pick.
The French guy
i’m thinking its gonna be
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Woody Allen – Midnight In Paris
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Nicolas Winding Refn – Drive
though i hope Malick, Almodovar, and McQueen get in over Refn, Allen, and Scorsese but i doubt thats gonna happen
Anybody else think “The Tree of Life” will gain some momentum if Malick gets a DGA nomination?
If Malick got a DGA nod on Monday, sure, TOL would surely get some momentum, but still not good enough to secure a best picture nomination as the lack of PGA, WGA, SAG would still hurt it in my opinion. If TOL were to pull a The Thin Red line, it would have had to be nominated by PGA as one of the top 10.
“That’s what she said! (she being Ceán Chaffin)(…)Ok, after that lame LAME joke”
I knew someone was going to do this^^
@Zach – I do. Late surges usually end up with the best results. Being realistic though TOL could do some damage in the tech awards come oscar time.
@Slyc- Never thought about it that way maybe your onto something. We really could be looking at The Thin Red Line all over again, which i think would be an amazing sight for sore eyes.
How about a Spielberg snub?
Just learned Michel Hazanavicius and Berenice Bejo are husband and wife. How nice.
Feig (his TV directorial credits spread far and wide and should pull him some votes from that section of the guild)
AJ, your prediction is about as realistic as it gets.
Cronenberg and McCarthy deserve nominations more than Malick.
Would love to see Refn or von Trier to make it.
Best of the year – Malick – is not going to happen
I think I’ll go with:
Alt 1: Woody Allen
Alt 2: Terrence Malick
The first two are locks. Payne is close to a lock, just because it’d be weird seeing him left out of the movie’s mix. I’m thinking Spielberg has a good chance here just because the DGA slobbers all over him for kicks.
And for the last spot, I’m going to go out on a limb and say Fincher ousts Allen. Firstly I think that when it comes to Woody, even for a big comeback movie like this, the guilds and the Academy will still be perfectly fine with just giving him props for writing.
Meanwhile, all year long I have had this aching feeling that the industry will be feeling at least a little bit of guilt for f-ing Fincher over last year. I mean “Dragon Tattoo” is great, but it’s pretty obvious what he should have won for. Anyway, considering the run that “TGWTDT” has had with the guilds thus far, I feel that residual respect vote continuing over into the DGA.
Spielberg, Payne, Hazanavicius, Scorsese and my
NGNG pick, Clooney.
Alt. Spielber, Fincher, Refn, Miller
My picks in a wtf world:
Allen and Spielberg out — Malick, Bennett, Payne, Hazanavicius, Scorsese in.
Well at the last minute I’m gonna say…
I honestly don’t really understand why so many on here think Taylor is such a certainly. He hasn’t gotten a single director nod yet(desides Sattelites, but they aren’t exactly the best Oscar predictors). I know you guys keep saying that he will get in because his film has good BP prospects but so do Moneyball and Midnight in Paris and War Horse.
I think Spielberg is in…DGA loves this guy. But for the oscars, not sure at all.
Hazanavicius, Payne, Allen, Taylor and Scorsese
I sincerely hope Payne gets shut out. While I concede that The Descendants is extremely well-written I think that’s all that is on screen. There isn’t a lot of acting on display and the direction is rarely more than the script on film; it doesn’t flourish as a director’s project, it’s always about the words and the occasional quirky visual, like Clooney running in flip-flops to his neighbour’s house. Too much of the film is voice over and internal – SPOILER the major climax involves a woman in a coma dying and a man deciding not to make a decision. It’s nice, it’s kinda pretty but it’s ultimately a bit bland and full of navel-gazing… though I appreciated that it tried to be more.
“I sincerely hope Payne gets shut out”
” There isn’t a lot of acting on display and the direction is rarely more than the script on film; it doesn’t flourish as a director’s project, it’s always about the words and the occasional quirky visual, like Clooney running in flip-flops to his neighbour’s house. Too much of the film is voice over and internal”
Obviously, that is your opinion, and you don’t know much about directing, screenwriting. It is always about the words? This film’s got some of the best acting, it has character development. You hope Payne gets shut out? Sorry, it is not going to happen.
What time’s the announcement?
I went to the website and checked, it doesn’t really say anything about what time the announcement will be. I guess it will be sometimes around 9 or 10AM in Los Angeles.
Last minute predictions:
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Tate Taylor (The Help)
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Hold on, hold on Spielberg fans! He is not gonna miss it!
This one is easy. 3 legendary directors, america’s most overdue director and the director of the presumptive Best Picture Frontrunner.
No guts no glory again – Ramsay will make it!!!
The gut/glory side of me says Fincher and Spielberg will get in. Tate Taylor (hopefully) and Woody Allen (unfortunately) will be left out.
I TOLD YOU SO…. Now I am proud….
The ghost of easter says:
January 6, 2012 at 6:38 pm
[EDIT: deserves to be bold – Ryan]
I am pretty please with myself for calling Fincher and not including Taylor. If only I didn’t think Spielberg was a sure bet (and I don’t even care for WAR HORSE; just thought DGA does care for Spielberg)…