Directors Guild Preview and Contest

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For the first time in probably their entire history, the DGA will announce their five nominees after the Oscar ballots have been turned in. That means that they can’t be counted to on as a “true north” this time.  Some people don’t think they ever were but I have a feeling they lend legitimacy to an otherwise fringe contender.  I could be wrong, of course.

The DGA membership is huge — 14, 500 members, where Oscar’s directing branch is much smaller, less than 500.   That accounts for the disconnect between the DGA and Oscar most years.  You can easily figure out three of the Best Director contenders this year.  Right now, the hot three are:

Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ben Affleck Argo

It looks like the fourth name might be:

Ang Lee, Life of Pi

From there, you have one slot and three names:
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables

Wild cards: Michael Haneke, Amour; Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master, Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Rises (thanks, readers, I had forgotten him but you’re right…could sneak in there)

The truth is that I have no idea, nor does anyone else, what five names the thousands of DGA members will pick. My instinct is to go for David O. Russell because I really think Silver Linings Playbook is likable enough to get a large consensus vote like that. DGA ballots have a longer time to gestate than Oscar ballots so those members will have more time to see the later breaking films, like Zero Dark Thirty, Les Mis and Zero Dark Thirty.

But that slot could go to any of these three.  According to Anne Thompson, Life is Pi is popular with voters.  Neither David O. Russell nor Tom Hooper are particularly well liked, not as well liked as Ang Lee and Quentin Tarantino, both of whom are beloved in the industry.

Finally, a twist: the Golden Globe hasn’t matched Oscar 5/5 for many years.  I think it’s 1977 when last they matched 100%.

 

I will post my final predictions as we get closer to the date.

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

2012

Steven Spielberg, Lincoln Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ben Affleck, Argo Ben Affleck, Argo
Ang Lee, Life of Pi Ang Lee, Life of Pi
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables

2011

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist* Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist+
Martin Scorsese, Hugo Martin Scorsese, Hugo Martin Scorsese, Hugo Martin Scorsese, Hugo*
Alexander Payne, The Descendants Alexander Payne, The Descendants Alexander Payne, The Descendants Alexander Payne, The Descendants*
Stephen Daldry, Loud/Close Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris*
Steven Spielberg, War Horse George Clooney, Ides of March David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo Terrence Malick, Tree of Life*
Refn, Drive

2010

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Tom Hooper The King’s Speech Tom Hooper The King’s Speech Tom Hooper the King’s Speech+ Tom Hooper the King’s Speech+
David Fincher, Social Network David Fincher, Social Network David Fincher, Social Network David Fincher, Social Network*
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan* Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan*
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours David O’Russell, The Fighter David O’Russell, The Fighter David O’Russell, The Fighter*
Christopher Nolan, Inception Christopher Nolan, Inception Christopher Nolan, Inception
The Coens, True Grit The Coens, True Grit*

2009

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker Bigelow, Hurt Locker+ Bigelow, Hurt Locker+
Lee Daniels, Precious Lee Daniels, Precious* Lee Daniels, Precious Lee Daniels, Precious*
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air Jason Reitman, Up in the Air* Jason Reitman, Up in the Air Jason Reitman, Up in the Air*
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds Clint Eastwood Invictus Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds*
Eastwood, Invictus
Jim Cameron, Avatar Jim Cameron, Avatar* Jim Cameron, Avatar Jim Cameron, Avatar*

2008

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Danny Boyle, Slumdog Danny Boyle, Slumdog Danny Boyle, Slumdog+
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon* Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon*
Gus Van Sant, Milk Sam Mendes, RR Gus Van Sant, Milk Gus Van Sant, Milk*
David Fincher, Benjamin Button David Fincher, Benjamin Button* David Fincher, Benjamin Button David Fincher, Benjamin Button*
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Stephen Daldry, The Reader* Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Stephen Daldry, The Reader*

2007

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country+ Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country+
Sean Penn, Into the Wild Ridley Scott, American Gangster Sean Penn, Into the Wild Jason Reitman, Juno*
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright, Atonement* Joe Wright, Atonement* Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton*
Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood*

2006

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Stephen Frears, The Queen Stephen Frears, The Queen Stephen Frears, The Queen Stephen Frears, The Queen*
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel* Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel*
Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima* Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima* Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima*
Paul Greengrass, United 93 Paul Greengrass, United 93 Faris and Dayton, Little Miss Sunshine* Paul Greengrass, United 93
Martin Scorsese, The Departed Martin Scorsese, The Departed+ Martin Scorsese, The Departed Martin Scorsese, The Departed+
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls Clint Eastwood Flags of Our Fathers Bill Condon, Dreamgirls

2005

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain* Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain *
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck* George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck*
Paul Haggis, Crash Meirelles, Gardener Paul Haggis, Crash Paul Haggis, Crash+
Woody Allen, Match Point
Ron Howard, Cinderella Man Peter Jackson, King Kong Bennett Miller, Capote Bennett Miller, Capote*
Steven Spielberg, Munich Steven Spielberg, Munich * Steven Spielberg, Munich Steven Spielberg, Munich *

2004

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Alexander Payne for Sideways Alexander Payne for Sideways* Alexander Payne for Sideways Alexander Payne for Sideways*
Martin Scorsese for The Aviator Martin Scorsese for The Aviator* Martin Scorsese for The Aviator Martin Scorsese for The Aviator*
Taylor Hackford for Ray Mike Nichols, Closer Taylor Hackford for Ray Taylor Hackford for Ray*
Marc Forster for Finding Neverland* Marc Forster for Finding Neverland* Marc Forster for Finding Neverland* Mike Leigh for Vera Drake
Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby+ Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby+

2003

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation* Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation*
Clint Eastwood, Mystic River Clint Eastwood, Mystic River* Clint Eastwood, Mystic River Clint Eastwood, Mystic River*
Peter Jackson, ROTK Peter Jackson, ROTK+ Peter Jackson, ROTK Peter Jackson, ROTK+
Tim Burton, Big Fish Peter Weir, Master and Commander* Peter Weir, Master and Commander Peter Weir, Master and Commander*
Jim Sheridan, In America Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain Gary Ross, Seabiscuit* Fernando Merielles, City of God

2002

BFCA | Globes | DGA | Oscar

Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York Martin Scorsese*
Peter Jackson, Lord of the Rings* Peter Jackson, Lord of the Rings* Pedro Almodovar
Alexander Payne, About Schmidt Roman Polanski, The Pianist Roman Polanski*
Spike Jonze, Adaptation
Rob Marshall+ Rob Marshall, Chicago Rob Marshall+
Steven Daldry* Steven Daldry, The Hours Steven Daldry*

2001

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Ron Howard, A Beautiful Mind Ron Howard, A Beautiful Mind Ron Howard, A Beautiful Mind+
Peter Jackson, Lord of the Rings Peter Jackson, Lord of the Rings Peter Jackson, LOTR*
Robert Altman, Gosford Park Robert Altman, Gosford Park*
A.I. Artificial Intelligence Steven Spielberg Christopher Nolan, Memento Ridley Scott, Black Hawk Down
David Lynch, Mulholland Drive Ridley Scott, Black Hawk Down David Lynch, Mulholland Drive
Baz Luhrmann, Moulin Rouge* Baz Luhrmann, Moulin Rouge*

2000

Globes | DGA | Oscar

István Szabó, Sunshine Cameron Crowe, Almost Famous Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot*
Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon*
Ridley Scott, Gladiator Ridley Scott, Gladiator Ridley Scott, Gladiator+
Steven Soderbergh, Erin Brockovich Steven Soderbergh, Erin Brockovich Steven Soderbergh, Erin Brockovich *
Steven Soderbergh, Traffic Steven Soderbergh, Traffic Steven Soderbergh, Traffic*

1999

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Neil Jordan, The End of the Affair Frank Darabont, The Green Mile* Lasse Hallstrom, Cider House Rules*
Anthony Minghella, The Talented Mr. Ripley Spike Jonze, Being John Malkovich Spike Jonze, Being John Malkovich
Michael Mann, The Insider Michael Mann, The Insider Michael Mann, The Insider*
Sam Mendes, American Beauty Sam Mendes, American Beauty Sam Mendes, American Beauty+
Norman Jewison,The Hurricane M. Night Shyamalan, The Sixth Sense M. Night Shyamalan, The Sixth Sense*

1998

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Shekhar Kapur,Elizabeth Peter Weir, Truman Show Peter Weir, Truman Show
Robert Redford,The Horse Whisperer Terrence Malick, Thin Red Line Terrence Malick, Thin Red Line
John Madden, Shakes in Love John Madden, Shakes in Love John Madden, Shakes in Love*
Steven Spielberg, SPR Steven Spielberg, SPR Steven Spielberg, SPR
Peter Weir, The Truman Show Roberto Benigni, Life is Beautiful Roberto Benigni, Life is Beautiful

1997

Globes | DGA | Oscar

James L. Brooks As Good As It Gets James L. Brooks As Good As It Gets* Peter Cattaneo, The Full Monty*
Steven Spielberg Amistad Steven Spielberg Amistad Atom Egoyan, The Sweet Hereafter
Jim Sheridan, The Boxer Gus Van Sant, Good Will Hunting Gus Van Sant, Good Will Hunting*
James Cameron, Titanic James Cameron, Titanic James Cameron, Titanic+
Curtis Hanson, L.A. Confidential Curtis Hanson, L.A. Confidential Curtis Hanson, L.A. Confidential*

1996

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Alan Parker, Evita Cameron Crowe, Jerry Maguire* Milos Forman for The People vs. Larry Flynt
Joel Coen, Fargo Joel Coen, Fargo Joel Coen, Fargo*
Milos Foreman, Larry Flint Mike Leigh, Secrets & Lies Mike Leigh, Secrets & Lies *
Anthony Minghella, The English Patient Anthony Minghella, The English Patient Anthony Minghella, The English Patient+
Scott Hicks, Shine Scott Hicks, Shine Scott Hicks, Shine*

1995

Globes | DGA | Oscar

The American Pres, Rob Reiner Mike Figgis for Leaving Las Vegas Mike Figgis for Leaving Las Vegas
Mel Gibson for Braveheart Mel Gibson for Braveheart Mel Gibson for Braveheart+
Ron Howard for Apollo 13 Ron Howard for Apollo 13* Chris Noonan for Babe*
Ang Lee for Sense and Sensibility Ang Lee for Sense and Sensibility* Tim Robbins for Dead Man Walking
Casino, Martin Scorsese Michael Radford for Il Postino Michael Radford for Il Postino*

1994

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Ed Zwick, Legends of Fall Mike Newell for Four Weddings and a Funeral* Woody Allen for Bullets Over Broadway
Oliver Stone, NBK Frank Darabont for The Shawshank Redemption* Krzysztof Kieslowski for Red
Robert Redford for Quiz Show Robert Redford for Quiz Show Robert Redford for Quiz Show*
Quentin Tarantino for Pulp Fiction Quentin Tarantino for Pulp Fiction Quentin Tarantino for Pulp Fiction*
Robert Zemeckis for Forrest Gump Robert Zemeckis for Forrest Gump Robert Zemeckis for Forrest Gump+

1993

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Andrew Davis for The Fugitive* Andrew Davis for The Fugitive* Robert Altman for Short Cuts
Jane Campion for The Piano Jane Campion for The Piano Jane Campion for The Piano*
James Ivory for The Remains Of the Day James Ivory for The Remains Of the Day James Ivory for The Remains Of the Day*
Martin Scorsese for The Age Of Innocence Martin Scorsese for The Age Of Innocence Jim Sheridan for In the Name Of the Father*
Steven Spielberg for Schindler’s List Steven Spielberg for Schindler’s List Steven Spielberg for Schindler’s List+

1992

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Robert Altman, The Player Robert Altman, The Player Robert Altman, The Player
Rob Reiner for A Few Good Men* Rob Reiner for A Few Good Men* Martin Brest for Scent Of a Woman*
Clint Eastwood for Unforgiven Clint Eastwood for Unforgiven Clint Eastwood for Unforgiven+
James Ivory for Howards End James Ivory for Howards End James Ivory for Howards End*
Through It Robert Redford, A River Runs Neil Jordan for The Crying Game Neil Jordan for The Crying Game*

1991

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Barbra Streisand for The Prince Of Tides* Barbra Streisand for The Prince Of Tides* John Singleton for Boyz N the Hood
Oliver Stone for JFK Oliver Stone for JFK Oliver Stone for JFK*
Terry Gilliam, The Fisher King Ridley Scott for Thelma & Louise Ridley Scott for Thelma & Louise
Barry Levinson for Bugsy Barry Levinson for Bugsy Barry Levinson for Bugsy*
Jonathan Demme for The Silence Of the Lambs Jonathan Demme for The Silence Of the Lambs Jonathan Demme for The Silence Of the Lambs+

1990

Globes | DGA | Oscar

Francis Ford Coppola for The Godfather Part III Francis Ford Coppola for The Godfather Part III Francis Ford Coppola for The Godfather Part III*
Kevin Costner for Dances With Wolves Kevin Costner for Dances With Wolves Kevin Costner for Dances With Wolves+
Bernardo Bertolucci, The Sheltering Sky Barry Levinson for Avalon Stephen Frears for The Grifters
Martin Scorsese for GoodFellas Martin Scorsese for GoodFellas Martin Scorsese for GoodFellas*
Barbet Schroeder for Reversal Of Fortune Giuseppe Tornatore for Cinema Paradiso Barbet Schroeder for Reversal Of Fortune

For the win only

Globes | DGA | Oscar

+also won Best Picture

1989 Oliver Stone, Born on the Fourth of July Oliver Stone, Born on the Fourth of July Oliver Stone, Born on the Fourth of July (Driving Miss Daisy – director Beresford not nommed for Oscar or DGA)
1988 Clint Eastwood, Bird Barry Levinson, Rain Man Barry Levinson, Rain Man+
1987 Bernardo Bertolucci, Last Emperor Bernardo Bertolucci, Last Emperor Bernardo Bertolucci, Last Emperor+
1986 Oliver Stone, Platoon Oliver Stone, Platoon Oliver Stone, Platoon+
1985 John Huston, Prizzi’s Honor Steven Spielberg, Color Purple Sidney Pollack, Out of Africa+
1984: Milos Forman, Amadeus Milos Forman, Amadeus Milos Forman, Amadeus+
1983: Barbra Streisand, Yentl James Brooks, Terms of Endearment James Brooks, Terms of Endearment+
1982: Richard Attenborough, Gandhi Richard Attenborough, Gandhi Richard Attenborough, Gandhi+
1981: Warren Beatty, Reds Warren Beatty, Reds Warren Beatty, Reds (Chariots of Fire)
1980: Robert Redford, Ordinary People Robert Redford, Ordinary People Robert Redford, Ordinary People+
1979: Frances Ford Coppola, Apocalypse Now Robert Benton, Kramer Vs. Kramer Robert Benton, Kramer Vs. Kramer+
1978: Michael Cimino, Deer Hunter Michael Cimino, Deer Hunter Michael Cimino, Deer Hunter+
1977: Herbert Ross, The Turning Point Woody Allen, Annie Hall Woody Allen, Annie Hall+
1976: Sidney Lumet, Network John Avildson, Rocky John Avildson, Rocky+
1975: Milos Foreman, One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest Milos Foreman, One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest Milos Foreman, One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest+
1974: William Friedkin, The Exorcist Frances Coppola, Godfather II Frances Coppola, Godfather II+
1973: George Roy Hill, The Sting George Roy Hill, The Sting George Roy Hill+
1972: Frances Coppola, The Godfather Frances Coppola, The Godfather Bob Fosse, Cabaret (Godfather)
1971: William Friedkin, The French Connection William Friedkin, The French Connection William Friedkin, The French Connection+
1970: Arthur Hiller, Love Story Franklin J. Schaffner, Patton Franklin J. Schaffner , Patton+
1969: Charles Jarott, Anne of a Thousand Days John Schlesinger, Midnight Cowboy John Schlesinger, Midnight Cowboy+
1968: Paul Newman, Rachel Rachel Anthony Harvey, Lion in Winter Carol Reed, Oliver+
1967: Mike Nichols, The Graduate Mike Nichols, The Graduate Mike Nichols, The Graduate (In Heat of the Night)
1966: Fred Zinneman, A Man for all Seasons Fred Zinneman, A Man for all Seasons Fred Zinneman, A Man for all Seasons+
1965: David Lean, Doctor Zhivago Robert Wise, The Sound of Music Robert Wise, the Sound of Music+
1964: George Cukor, My Fair Lady George Cukor, My Fair Lady George Cukor, My Fair Lady+
1963: Elia Kazan, America America Tony Richardson, Tom Jones Tony Richardson, Tom Jones+
1962: David Lean, Lawrence of Arabia David Lean, Lawrence of Arabia David Lean, Lawrence of Arabia+
1961: Stanley Kramer, Judgment at Nuremberg Jerome Robbins, Robert Wise, West Side Story Jerome Robbins, Robert Wise, West Side Story+
1960: Jack Cardiff, Sons and Lovers Billy Wilder, The Apartment Billy Wilder, The Apartment+
1959: William Wyler, Ben Hur William Wyler, Ben Hur William Wyler, Ben Hur+
1958: Vincent Minnelli, Gigi Vincent Minnelli, Gigi Vincent Minnelli, Gigi+
1957: David Lean, Bridge on the River Kwai David Lean, Bridge on the River Kwai David Lean, Bridge on the River Kwai+
1956: George Stevens, Giant George Stevens, Giant George Stevens, Giant (Around/World in 80 Days)
1955: Joshua Logan, Picnic/Elia Kazan, Baby Doll Delbert Mann, Marty Delbert Mann, Marty+
1954: Elia Kazan, On the Waterfront Elia Kazan, On the Waterfront Elia Kazan, On the Waterfront+
1953: Fred Zinnemann, From here to Eternity Fred Zinnemann, From here to Eternity Fred Zinnemann, From here to Eternity+
1952: Cecil B Demille Greatest Show on Earth John Ford, The Quiet Man John Ford, The Quiet Man (Greatest Show on Earth)
1951: László Benedek, Death of a Salesman George Stevens, A Place in the Sun George Stevens, A Place in the Sun (An American in Paris)
1950: Billy Wilder, Sunset Blvd. Joseph L. Mankiewicz, All About Eve Joseph L. Mankiewicz, All About Eve+
1949: Robert Rossen, All the King’s Men Robert Rossen, All the King’s Men Joseph L. Mankiewicz for A Letter To Three Wives (All the King’s Men)
1948: John Huston, Treasure of Sierra Madre Joseph L. Mankiewicz for A Letter To Three Wives John Huston, Treasure of the Sierra Madre (Hamlet)
1947 Elia Kaza for Gentleman’s Agreement Elia Kaza for Gentleman’s Agreement Elia Kaza for Gentleman’s Agreement
1946 Frank Capra, It’s a Wonderful Life William Wyler for The Best Years of Our Lives William Wyler for The Best Years of Our Lives
1945 Billy Wilder for The Lost Weekend Billy Wilder for The Lost Weekend Billy Wilder for The Lost Weekend
1944 Leo McCary for Going My Way Leo McCary for Going My Way Leo McCary for Going My Way
1943 Henry King, Song of Bernadette Michael Curtiz for Casablanca Michael Curtiz for Casablanca

59 Comments on this Post

  1. Jesse Crall

    Prediction:

    Bigelow
    Spielberg
    Tarantino
    Russell
    Affleck

    My own infinitely valuable opinion:

    1. Bigelow
    2. Russell
    3. Zemeckis
    4. Tarantino
    5. Joe Wright

  2. The Japanese Viewer

    My DGA prediction (for the contest):

    Spielberg
    Bigelow
    Affleck
    (Ang) Lee
    Tarantino

  3. Scottish Jellyfish

    In order:
    Spielberg
    Affleck
    Bigelow

    The rest is merely filling. Replace Bigelow with Lee if the guild is not willing to deal with the controversy surrounding ZD30.

  4. Joe Clinton

    The real answer is:

    Spielberg

    Bigelow

    Affleck

    Russell

    Tarantino

  5. The Japanese Viewer

    And thanks for the preview and stats.

    I love Almost Famous, Jerry Maguire, as well as the Prince of Tide. So, I am glad to see here that DGA’s also recognized Cameron Crowe for both films, and Barbra Streisand for the Prince of Tide, as part of the final list for Best Director category in their respective years.

  6. Bryce Forestieri

    PREDICTION:

    1.Steven Spielberg
    2.Kathryn Bigelow
    3.Ben Affleck
    4.Tom Hooper
    5.David O. Russel

    WISH:

    1.Michael Haneke
    2.Steven Spielberg
    3.Quentin Tarantino
    4.Paul Thomas Anderson
    5.Wes Anderson or Rian Johnson

    *Haven’t seen ZDT

  7. Predictions:

    1) Steven Spielberg
    2) Kathryn Bigelow
    3) Ben Affleck
    4) Tom Hooper
    5) Quentin Tarantino

    Runners-Up:

    6) Paul Thomas Anderson
    7) Ang Lee
    8) Michael Haneke

  8. Will probably just predict my Oscar 5

    Russell
    Affleck
    Spielberg
    Tarantino
    Bigelow

  9. Prediction:

    1. Spielberg (winner)
    2. Ben Affleck
    3. Kathryn Bigelow
    4. Ang Lee
    5. Tom Hooper

  10. Jesse Crall

    Now I feel like a tool for not mentioning Mendes and Dominik. And P.T. And Rian Johnson. Which is how it should be, a stacked year with plenty of deserving candidates.

  11. I just don’t see how Ang Lee wouldn’t be recognized by the Academy. Life of Pi is just phenomenal piece of art. I think he did a better job than Spielberg, who leaned heavily on his incredible line-up of actors.

    I really appreciate what Tarantino does, but it is “more of the same” from him. Lee always seems to be trying something new, and succeeding at it.

    My five would be:
    -Spielberg
    -Bigelow
    -Lee
    -Affleck
    -Russell

  12. Bball_Jake

    The DGA nominees will be:
    Steven Spielberg Lincoln
    Ben Affleck Argo
    Christopher Nolan TDKR
    Kathryn Bigelow ZD30
    Ang Lee Lifr of Pi

  13. Oh dear God, please do not nominate Tom Hooper over Wes Anderson, Paul Thomas Anderson or even Joe Wright! The direction and editing in Les Miz is appallingly bad.

    In fact, after seeing Anna Karinina I think Wright should have directed Les MIz.

    I’m in the directors guild and it should be Bigelow, Spielberg, Paul Thomas Anderson…and then either Tarantino, Wes Anderson, Affleck, Lee or Haneke. NOT O Russell or Hooper puh-lease!!!

  14. There’s a mistake in the 2009 list- Lee Daniels wasn’t nominated for a GG, Tarantino was.

  15. It’s ridiculous how many people have lost faith in Life of Pi. But there’s always at least one film like that in the mix every year, one which hasn’t ignited any conversation about it potentially winning, one which has had its moment at the box office (although Pi is continuing to rake in strong grosses), one which hasn’t had a last-minute surge, one which isn’t a ‘sexy’ pick – a PG film about a guy finding God on a boat with a tiger called Richard Parker… not a ‘sexy’ pick, no. A great film? Yes. And I’d bet Anne Thompson is right. Life of Pi will probably be very popular with voters.

  16. Jerry Grant

    Man oh man my opinion keeps changing on this. A few days ago I decided it would be Hooper and Russell that would get in, because I think those might, at the end of the day, be the most well-liked movies. But now I think that would be the wrong choice, especially for the DGA. I’m leaving Hooper off.

    I think the craze for “Django” is just beginning. I want to put Tarantino. I want to put Lee. But gosh people also really really love “Silver Linings,” and deservingly.

    For now, my predictions:
    DGA:
    Affleck
    Bigelow
    Lee
    Russell
    Spielberg

    Oscars:
    Affleck
    Bigelow
    Lee
    Spielberg
    Tarantino

    Bottom line: Russell gets in for DGA over Tarantino. But Tarantino gets in over Russell come Oscar-time, rewarding Russell instead for actors and screenplay nominations. “Django” will do well at Oscars. Absence of nomination for Hooper at Oscar-time will hurt its chances at winning BP.

  17. Heads up: Empire magazine has posted their Top 20 of 2012. I won’t link you to it. If you want to see it, that’s your business. Amour is at #19. The Avengers is at #1.

  18. Prediction:
    Spielberg (Lincoln)
    Affleck (Argo)
    Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)
    Tarantino (Django Unchained)
    Lee (Life of Pi)
    (Absolute worst case scenario – Hooper gets in)

    Choice (the REAL artists)
    Carax (Holy Motors)
    Lee (Life of Pi)
    PT Anderson (The Master)
    Gomes (Tabu)
    Haneke (Amour)
    (haven’t seen ZDT, so can’t/won’t add Bigelow)

    So basically, my hopes hang on one director – Ang Lee.

  19. I’d switch Tarantino and Lee on those lists. I think PTA could get in a la Malick last year. The Master won’t resonate with the Academy as a whole, but I think the directors might want to recognize his incredible work.

  20. ChrisFlick

    If you are talking the true achievements in directing this year I don’t see how the list can be anything but Bigelow, Lee, Spielberg, Affleck, and Anderson. Seems simple, so expect a wild card.

  21. Oh I know, steve. I so hope Ang Lee gets in. If he and Paul Thomas Anderson get nominated, I’ll jizz my pants.

  22. My Predictions:

    Ben Affleck, Argo
    Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
    Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
    Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

  23. They love Nolan… They even nominate him for Memento so i think his in… My predictions:

    Steven S.
    Ben A.
    C. Nolan
    K. Bigelow
    Ang Lee

    Alt. R. Jhonston and Leo Carax

  24. Me, too, Paddy. Handling TWO directors in the finals is something I can’t remember coping with before (at least in a very long time).

  25. Nolan? For what movie?

  26. There’s one problem with Chris Nolan getting a nomination for The Dark Knight Rises — The Dark Knight Rises sucks balls. Quite frankly, one of the worst directed movies in recent memory. It’s a special effects extravaganza to be sure, but as far as directing goes, it’s a total mess.

  27. @ Luis: Nolan will NOT be nominated.

  28. uninformed prediction:

    Bigelow
    Spielberg
    Affleck
    Russell
    Tarantino

    having not seen everything, the most compelling directing i’ve seen this year:

    Sarah Polley, Take this Waltz
    Joachim Trier, Oslo August 31st
    David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
    Leos Carax, Holy Motors
    Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom

  29. danemychal

    My guesses were:

    1. Spielberg
    2. Bigelow
    3. Affleck
    4. Russell
    5. Lee

    My only personal preference would be if Tarantino sneaks in at the expense of Russell or Lee. It’s conceivable.

  30. Connor McVay

    Paul Thomas Anderson wasn’t nominated by the globes or BFCA for director for there will be blood, but he still got a DGA and Oscar nom. Do u think tht his exclusive use of 70mm film and directors like Darren Aronoskofy and Christopher Nolan saying how much they liked and appreciated the master will help his chances? He could pull nom like mailick last year. Then again, the oscars didn’t nominate Scorsese for directing Taxi Driver, so they can be idiots from time to time.

  31. these things almost make face palm at the lack of understanding of what entails being a director. Are we just voting for our favorite films, or actually the perceived notion of the work and skill that went into directing a film?

    Nolan
    Ang Lee
    Wright
    Paul Thomas Anderson
    Hooper

  32. SLP projected to finish above Life of Pi this weekend in 433 less theaters and without 3D. It will also projected have the 4th best PTA in the top 12. Yeah, audiences aren’t responding to it…. LOL

  33. These are the best efforts that I have seen this year. I can only go by what I have seen. At least 4 of these I can imagine will make their way onto the Sight and Sound list one day – not sure about the frontrunners.

    Ben Zeitlin
    Michael Haneke
    Leos Carax
    Wes Anderson
    Ang Lee or Peter Jackson

  34. representDLV

    1. Spielberg
    2. Bigalow
    3. Tarantino
    4. Hooper
    5. Affleck

  35. My predictions:

    Spielberg
    Bigelow
    Affleck
    Lee
    Russell

    My preferences:
    Haneke
    Carax
    Anderson (a movie that is more visually stunning but still intimate, take that Hooper! haha)
    Lee
    PTA
    Runner-up: Spielberg
    (haven’t seen Bigelow’s yet)

  36. Connor McVay:

    I too think PTA has a decent shot at a DGA nod, for the reasons you mentioned. I think he’s out of the AMPAS hunt though.

  37. Steven Spielberg
    Ben Affleck
    Kathryn Bigelow
    Tom Hooper
    Quentin Tarantino

  38. Walter Neto

    My DGA prediction for the contest:

    Spielberg
    Bigelow
    Affleck
    Ang Lee
    Leos Carax

  39. Spielberg
    Bigelow
    Affleck
    Tarantino
    Hanecke

  40. I think Benh Zeitlin for Beasts has an outside shot. The lore surrounding its filming should not be underestimated.

  41. Affleck
    Tarantino
    Bigelow
    Haneke
    Speilberg

    (Hoping for PTA)

  42. Tom Hooper not well liked?! He won this trophy 2 years ago! The DGA is also full of TV directors who are likely to vote Hooper because that’s where he started.

    I predict…
    Spielberg
    Bigelow
    Affleck
    Hooper
    Russell (alt. Lee)

  43. I am now certain of two things:

    1) Hooper is out. His direction of Les Miz was awful. The DGA and AMPAS are going to pass on him.

    2) Mrs. Hathaway is this year’s best supporting actress winner, sorry Sally Field.

  44. Lucas Prata

    My predictions are for:

    Kathryn Bigelow
    Ben Affleck
    Ang Lee
    Quentin Tarantino
    Steven Spielberg

  45. I went for a limb and predicted…

    Ben Affleck
    Kathryn Bigelow
    Steven Spielberg
    David O’ Russell
    PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON

  46. Spielberg, Affleck, Bigelow, Lee, with that 5th slot going to Tarantino, Russell or PTA.
    I’d love to see Mendes or Wright in this derby but that’s just not going to happen. I admire Hooper’s bio-pics but Les Miz is a mess, salvaged by a few good performances.

  47. Nolan, for The Dark Knight Rises?

    HAHAHAAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Nice joke…

  48. Joao Mattos

    Flapp, Flapp olha que a zebra pode acontecer….

    My prediction

    Bigelow
    Spielberg
    Affleck
    Lee
    Tarantino

    alt: Nolan replaces Lee

    Spielberg for the win, Spielberg for the Oscar, but “Les Miz” for B. Picture with no nomination for Hooper, repeating “Miss Daisy” 23 yearsafter.

    PTA and “The Master” dissapearance of the radar (at least in this moment) stays the most dramatic thing of this race so far.

  49. João Marcelo!!!!!!!!!
    Qua saudades de poder aflar com vc nessa época…
    Já fez um Facebook, caro?

    Nolan? Francamente, isso seria masi que uma zebra, e sim um zoológico inteiro…
    Kkkkkkkkkkk!!!!!!!!!!

  50. —-STILL MORE over produced, over designed, over promoted
    predictive programming and PC moral alibis for capstone ‘things unfolding’. . .

  51. Tonybiigood

    I’ll bet on P.T.Anderson for the fifth slot. But Tarantino is not too far from him, in my opinion.

  52. The DGA list will be very much like the Globes BD list looking at previous years. Last year David Fincher was able to make the cut with a non-BP film so there can be some surprises. That surprise can come from PTA, Hooper, Haneke, Russell, Zeitlin, Wright, Zemeckis – so it is wide open.

    The DGA list:

    Bigelow
    Spielberg
    Tarantino
    Lee
    Affleck

    My wish:

    Wright
    Lee
    Anderson
    Haneke
    Zeitlin

  53. My prediction:

    Spielberg
    Bigelow
    O’ Russell
    Affleck
    Hooper

    My wish:

    Tykwer & Wachowskis
    Bigelow
    Lee
    Affleck
    Tarantino

  54. Prakshid Meshram

    My DGA prediction:
    Spielberg
    Bigelow
    Affleck
    Lee
    Tarantino

  55. DGA Predictions:
    1. Affleck
    2. Spielberg
    3. Bigelow
    4. Hooper
    5. Tarantino

    Oscar Predictions:
    1. Affleck
    2. Spielberg
    3. Bigelow
    4. Hooper
    5. Haneke

    Personal Preferences:
    1. Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
    2. Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
    3. Michael Haneke – Amour
    4. Ben Affleck – Argo
    5. Andy Wachowski, Tom Tykwer & Lana Wachowski – Cloud Atlas

    (Haven’t seen Zero Dark Thirty yet)

  56. Comment

  57. Tom Hooper is well-liked enough at least heading into this race, having won recently over some heavy-hitters. Is Tarantino really that liked? He’s only won once for his Pulp Fiction screenplay. I can’t listen to him speak for more than 5 minutes at a time because he’s so full of himself, douchy, and manic. I’d say they respect him and like his movies more than they like him.

  58. Steven Spielberg
    Ben Affleck
    Kathryn Bigelow
    Ang Lee
    Tom Hooper

  59. Predictions
    1. Bigelow
    2. Affleck
    3. Spielberg
    4. Lee
    5. O’Russell

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