National Board of Review Preview and Predictions

Enter our Contest!

The National Board of Review announces Wednesday.  While most people go on and on about how they don’t matter, the truth is that yes, they DO matter.  Any major awards precursor matters because they give a contender publicity and legitimacy, no matter who they are.   The National Board of Review really pushed Hugo into the race last year and set The Social Network up for its sweep of the critics awards.  To date, it’s the only film that ever won Film, Director and Screenplay; usually they split up the awards. Will NBR recognize a woman with their best director award for the first time in their 77 year history, or give Spielberg his first win there since Empire of the Sun. Will DDL also finally win Best Actor there?

According to our Oscar wonk, Marshall Flores:

Historically, NBR Best Film winners have an average total haul of two wins, and it’s more likely that the best film winner takes an acting award with it instead of director or screenplay; unlike LAFCA or NYFCC, where pic and director match more than half the time (56% at NYFCC, 60% at LAFCA), pic and director/screenplay match only 33% of the time at the NBR, so splits are more common here. Also worth noting: No Country for Old Men is the only film in NBR history to win both Best Film and Best Ensemble, while The Social Network is the only film to have won Film, Director, and a screenplay award.

Finally, it is uncommon (though not rare) for both the NBR and the NYFCC to select the same Best Film winner – this has occurred 25% of the time in the past 67 years (although this match frequency is twice as high compared to NBR and LAFCA). Eleven of the 17 films NBR and NYFCC both agreed on for Best Film did go on to win the Best Picture Oscar; however, the last time this occurred was back in 1993 with Schindler’s List. Take from these stats and trends what you will.

You got that last part? When they DO match, that movie, unless it’s something brave and exceptional like LA Confidential or The Social Network it goes on to win Best Picture. If Zero Dark Thirty wins the NBR and Los Angeles, we now know it could still not win Best Picture, as The Social Network proved. To win the Oscar you have to win the guild awards, specifically the DGA (not always, but it helps).

The Best Picture winner has been on NBR’s list 9 out of the last 12 years. Only twice have they matched Best Picture with Oscar since 2000- No Country for Old Men and Slumdog Millionaire.  Since 1934, 19 NBR winners have won the Best Picture Oscar.  Since 2001, all of their winners have at least gone on to be nominated for Best Picture.

But something tells me the NBR will not go for Zero Thirty, although it’s certainly possible. In 2009, for instance, they didn’t go for The Hurt Locker. They don’t really have any specific taste but tend to be more general audience friendly than the NYFCC.  They used to be the first critics group that announced until the New York Film Critics cockblocked them.  Usually this would be considered too early to start deciding winners but everything has been shifted back and Oscar voters get their ballots on the 17th.

To that end, egads, I’m going to predict the winner and then the ten best. For our contest, you will do the same. I didn’t add the other categories in the previous versions of the contest so we’ll just leave it at the 11.

Best Picture winner
Argo (alt Les Miserables)
Top Ten:
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Les Miserables (alt Argo)
Zero Dark Thirty
Moonrise Kingdom
Silver Linings Playbook
Cloud Atlas
The Dark Knight Rises
Beasts of the Southern Wild

The past winners:

2000:
*Quills
Traffic
Croupier
You Can Count On Me
Billy Elliot
Before Night Falls
Gladiator 
Wonder Boys
Sunshine
Dancer in the Dark

2001:
*Moulin Rouge!
In the Bedroom
Ocean’s Eleven
Memento
Monster’s Ball
Black Hawk Down
The Man Who Wasn’t There
A.I. Artificial Intelligence
The Pledge
Mulholland Drive

2002:
*The Hours
Chicago 
Gangs of New York
The Quiet American
Adaptation.
Rabbit-Proof Fence
The Pianist
Far from Heaven
Thirteen Conversations About One Thing
Frida

2003:
*Mystic River
The Last Samurai
The Station Agent
21 Grams
House of Sand and Fog
Lost in Translation
Cold Mountain
In America
Seabiscuit
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

2004:
*Finding Neverland
The Aviator
Closer
Million Dollar Baby 
Sideways
Kinsey
Vera Drake
Ray
Collateral
Hotel Rwanda

2005:
*Good Night, and Good Luck
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash 
A History of Violence
Match Point
Memoirs of a Geisha
Munich
Syriana
Walk the Line

2006: 
*Letters from Iwo Jima
Babel
Blood Diamond
The Departed 
The Devil Wears Prada
Flags of Our Fathers
The History Boys
Little Miss Sunshine
Notes on a Scandal
The Painted Veil

2007:
*No Country for Old Men
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Bucket List
Into the Wild
Juno
The Kite Runner
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

2008:
*Slumdog Millionaire  
Burn After Reading
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Defiance
Frost/Nixon
Gran Torino
Milk
WALL-E
The Wrestler

2009:
*Up in the Air
(500) Days of Summer
An Education
The Hurt Locker  
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
The Messenger
A Serious Man
Star Trek
Up
Where the Wild Things Are

2010:

*The Social Network
Another Year
The Fighter
Hereafter
Inception
The King’s Speech
Shutter Island
The Town
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone

2011: (in alphabetical order except for 1)
Hugo
The Artist
The Descendants
Drive
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
The Ides of March
J. Edgar
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Just winners

2011 Hugo
2010 The Social Network
2009 Up in the Air
2008 Slumdog Millionaire
2007 No Country for Old Men

2006 Letters from Iwo Jima
2005 Good Night, And Good Luck
2004 Finding Neverland
2003 Mystic River 
2002 The Hours 
2001 Moulin Rouge 
2000 Quills
1999 American Beauty 
1998 Gods and Monsters
1997 L.A. Confidential 
1996 Shine 
1995 Sense & Sensibility 
1994 Pulp Fiction
1993 Schindler’s List
1992 Howards End
1991 The Silence of the Lambs
1990 Dances With Wolves
1989 Driving Miss Daisy
1987 Empire of the Sun
1986 A Room with a View
1985 The Color Purple
1984 A Passage to India
1983 Betrayal
1982 Gandhi
1981 Chariots of Fire
1980 Ordinary People
1979 Manhattan
1978 Days of Heaven
1977 The Turning Point
1976 All the President´s Men
1975 Nashville
1974 The Conversation
1973 The Sting
1972 Cabaret
1971 Macbeth
1970 Patton
1969 They Shoot Horses, Don´t They?
1968 The Shoes of the Fisherman
1967 Far From the Madding Crowd
1966 A Man for All Seasons
1965 The Eleanor Roosevelt Story
1964 Becket
1963 Tom Jones
1962 The Longest Day
1961 Question 7
1960 Sons and Lovers
1959 The Nun´s Story
1958 The Old Man and the Sea
1957 The Bridge on the River Kwai
1956 Around the World in 80 Days
1955 Marty
1954 On the Waterfront
1953 Julius Caesar
1952 The Quiet Man
1951 A Place in the Sun
1950 Sunset Boulevard
1949 The Bicycle Thief
1948 Paisan
1947 Monsieur Verdoux
1946 Henry V
1945 The True Glory
1944 None But the Lonely Heart
1943 The Ox-Bow Incident
1942 In Which We Serve
1941 Citizen Kane
1940 The Grapes of Wrath
1939 Confessions of a Nazi Spy
1938 The Citadel
1937 Night Must Fall
1936 Mr. Deeds Goes to Town
1935 The Informer
1934 It Happened One Night

Predict the New York Film Critics, Los Angeles Film Critics and National Board of Review

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Zero Dark Thirty tops the National Board of Review Awards

48 Comments

  1. Ivan
    December 3, 2012

    Something tells me that the NBR will go for Lincoln. If not that then probably Argo.

  2. Bball_Jake
    December 3, 2012

    The Dark Knight Rises
    Lincoln
    Les Miserables
    Argo
    Django Unchained
    The Hobbit
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Life of Pi
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Beasts of the Southern Wild

  3. Aaron
    December 3, 2012

    Winner: Lincoln
    Top 10:
    Amour
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Django Unchained
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    The Master
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Trouble with the Curve (they always have something bizarre in the top ten, and they love Clint regardless of the quality of his work. So there).
    Zero Dark Thirty

    (there are so many other worthy contenders that it’s hard to predict a top ten. The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises, Moonrise Kingdom, The Hobbit, Cloud Atlas, Rust and Bone, Skyfall, The Impossible, The Hunger Games, Anna Karenina, etc., are all very plausible, too).

    Director:
    Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

    Actor:
    Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

    Actress:
    Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina

    Supporting Actor:
    Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

    Supporting Actress:
    Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables and The Dark Knight Rises

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Tony Kushner, Lincoln

    Best Breakthrough Performance:
    Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

  4. Chris138
    December 3, 2012

    I have a hard time believing that Cloud Atlas will make it. Not even too sure about TDKR. I could see either of them (or perhaps both) being taken out for Skyfall.

  5. idrosak
    December 3, 2012

    it’s really impossible to predict the winners based on the trend.. most of the winners were unexpected (including acting categories)..even i don’t see any actors from musical film won something (for the past decades) .. So i don’t see Anne Hathaway to win for supporting category..

  6. Dylan
    December 3, 2012

    Winner – Lincoln

    top 10

    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    The Dark Knight Rises
    Flight
    Killing Them Softly
    Life of Pi
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Skyfall
    Zero Dark Thirty

  7. Idrosak
    December 3, 2012

    Director:
    Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

    Actor:
    Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

    Actress:
    Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
    Naomi Watts, The Impossible

    Supporting Actor:
    Tommy Lee Jones , Lincoln

    Supporting Actress:
    Sally Field, Lincoln

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Tony Kushner, Lincoln

    Best Breakthrough Performance:
    Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

    Top 10:
    Amour
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Django Unchained
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    The Master
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Zero Dark Thirty

    I could see how much they love Clint Eastwood

  8. JJ
    December 3, 2012

    We need a rallying cry for Beasts of the Southern Wild – it was the most original and visually-told film of the year. I think it trumps the well-made but far more conventional movies topping the lists.

  9. Winston F
    December 3, 2012

    How many fucking Clint Eastwood movies did they recognize?! Talk about overrated!!!

  10. PJ
    December 3, 2012

    Winner: Argo

    Top 10
    Argo
    SLP
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    ZDT
    Les Miserables
    The Master
    Beasts of Southern Wild
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Django Unchained.

  11. Jerry
    December 3, 2012

    Best Picture Winner: Lincoln
    Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    Actor: DDL, Lincoln
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, SLP, THG
    Sup Actor: PSH, The Master
    Sup Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Mis, TDKR

    Top 10:
    Les Miserables
    Argo
    Life of Pi
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Moonrise Kingdom
    The Hobbit
    TDKR
    Skyfall

  12. Al Robinson
    December 3, 2012

    Winner – Argo

    Top 10 (alphabetical order):

    Argo
    Django Unchained
    Flight
    The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    The Master
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty

  13. Mikhail
    December 3, 2012
  14. Al Robinson
    December 3, 2012

    I also, keep wondering where in the best picture race The Great Gatsby would be right now if it was never pushed back to 2013.

    Sasha, do you think it could have been a front-runner?

  15. Ernst Dante
    December 4, 2012

    I watched all five clips of Les Miserables and the production looks amazing! Looks like a Producer’s Guild winner and Screen Actor’s Guild as well, which obviously bodes well for Oscar. Maybe I’m jumping the gun, but I’m picking it as NBR winner with Lincoln as alt.

  16. JamDenTel
    December 4, 2012

    The NBR is one of the more unpredictable groups and I could see any number of unexpected entries here. A few possible surprises:

    The Deep Blue Sea
    Seven Psychopaths
    Anna Karenina
    Bernie
    Magic Mike
    The Avengers

  17. December 4, 2012

    Winner: Lincoln

    Top 10:
    Lincoln
    Argo
    Zero Dark Thirty
    The Silver Linings Playbook
    Moonrise Kingdom
    The Hobbit
    Flight
    Life Of Pi
    Les Miserables
    The Impossible
    Beasts Of The Southern Wild

  18. Glenn UK
    December 4, 2012

    I am hoping that we have a year of “spread the wealth”. It’s been such a fantastic movie year that to have a two horse race at this stage would be totally deflating. I’m really looking forward to seeing ZDT – its my kind of subject matter but I certainly do not want it to sweep. My feelings for Les Miz are so strong but I adore the stage show, so I am biased there. But it has an epic feel and epic is what the Academy usually pushes. Argo is a great film and I would love to see Ben win Director. Life of Pi I have not seen but again looks epic but in the style of Avatar, ie visually stunning. Lincoln I feel mixed about. As someone said yesterday, its like having a great dinner but being told to eat your sprouts and I really don’t like sprouts. But I adore Sally and I will go and see it just to see her. It’s truly a bumper year and I would love to see it all mixed up and see how the Guilds decide to fall. I know Sasha thinks the critics have a place in the race but I sense a divide between the critics and the Guilds. Yes there will always be exceptions but on the whole there is a split at the moment. Wonder if this year will bring them back into alignment?

  19. vv
    December 4, 2012

    I loved this from the Hollywood Awards site:

    HOLLYWOOD ENSEMBLE AWARD: The cast of “The Help” – BEN AFFLECK, BRYAN CRANSTON, ALAN ARKIN, JOHN GOODMAN

  20. Jack Traven II
    December 4, 2012

    Best Picture Winner:
    Lincoln

    Top Ten:
    Lincoln
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Skyfall
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Life of Pi
    The Dictator
    The Master
    The Dark Knight Rises
    Hyde Park on Hudson

    Director: Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin, Argo
    Supporting Actress: Ann Dowd, Compliance
    Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln
    Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty

  21. December 4, 2012

    My feeling is that they’ve been somewhat unreliable of late in regard to gauging the consensus of the season due to their position in said season. They’ve gone first, while other major groups have held back and had the time to see what directions the race was taking, enabling them either to follow suit and contribute towards the success of the frontrunners or to give a struggling contender a significant push. NBR has never had such strategic advantages. Other groups have been able to ignore their choices very easily, although that might be more to do with the fact that their choices have been easy to want to ignore…

    They may not be first out of the gate any more, but they’re still very early in the race, so things probably won’t have changed much these past two years.

  22. steve50
    December 4, 2012

    The NBR looks to be the most “literate” of the groups in that a huge percentage of their winners are adaptations of books or films that contain strong historical or biographical elements in the narrative. This is probably due to the tastes of the primarily academic membership of the NBR.

    Given that past winners include Finding Neverland, Moulin Rouge, Quills, and Gods and Monsters, I think this will boost films like Cloud Atlas and Les Miserables. In the end, though, I’m guessing that Lincoln or Life of Pi will benefit the most, with the latter having a sight edge.

    Winner – Life of Pi

    top 10
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Cloud Atlas
    Les Miserables
    Lincoln
    The Master
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Sessions
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty

  23. Bob Burns
    December 4, 2012

    Lincoln and Silver Linings Playbook

  24. Astarisborn
    December 4, 2012

    What time does this stare today?

  25. GoOnNow
    December 4, 2012

    me smells an Emmanuelle Riva victory for Best Actrees at NBR

  26. Nic V
    December 4, 2012

    I personally think that the NBR will either select Lincoln or Argo. Both are very good films but technically Lincoln surpasses Argo. The other issue is that Affleck shows he has become a “director” and doesn’t need to prove himself to anyone anymore but his performance in Argo leaves a bit to be desired. He manages to exude the worn and tired emotion but that’s about all he manages to bring across the screen. His performance comes off more like a “job” than anything more important than that and perhaps that’s exactly what he wanted to communicate but I can’t imagine being involved in such an endeavor and not becoming emotionally involved in the process. That’s the only fault I can find with Argo.

    NBR Best Picture Lincoln

    Argo
    The Master
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Life of Pi
    Amour
    Looper
    Les Miserables
    Silver Lining Playbook

  27. Evelyn Garver
    December 4, 2012

    For Glenn and anyone else who fears that LINCOLN is dull or didactic, the film is witty, moving and funny. I live in the Shenandoah valley of Virginia, not a hotbed of film sophistication, and audiences here have embraced the film with sold out showings. People were weeping at the end when we saw it. It is in no way a boring history lesson. It deserves every award it can get, especially the incomparable DDL.

  28. Radich
    December 4, 2012

    Somewhat confirming the post above from Evelyn…

    OT: new prints of Lincoln are headed to theaters to meet the demand.

    http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/4e67281c3f754d0696fbfdee0f3f1469/Article_2012-12-03-Film-Lincoln/id-d9b066e4966d4f68aa5f3815d64f2218

    Against naysayers, Lincoln is a complete success critically and commercially, Oscar or not. Sweet. I completely embrace my ‘fangirling’ for this film. I believe I will like the others I haven’t seen yet, mostly 0D30 and Les Mis, but Lincoln settled in my heart and will not go away. Sue me. :D

  29. rufussondheim
    December 4, 2012

    To: One of the Niks – I think the completely fictional scene in which Ben Affleck was panicked about the plane tickets shows how emotionally invested he was.

    As for the meat of the thread, I kind of have to agree with Steve50. They awarded Hugo last year and not too long ago they gave the award to The Hours. Both of these are major award winning books that were made into strong films. Neither were BP Frontrunners either.

    So when another major award winner comes along and is made into a strong film it shouldn’t be discounted. And it was an extremely faithful adaption of a book that when you read it you say to yourself “They could never make this into a film!” and yet it’s a very good film.

    I have a sneaking suspicion the award will go to Life of Pi.

  30. Maxim
    December 4, 2012

    Sasha is putting entirely too much stock into NYFCC results at this point.

    Then KFCSC will come along with their own set and will be largely ignored despite being the second oldest critics group organization in the country.

  31. Casey
    December 4, 2012

    Lincoln
    Argo
    Holy motors
    Les miz
    Cloud atlas
    Django unchained
    The master
    Dark knight rises
    Beasts of the southern wild
    Life of pi
    Moonrise kingdom

    Winner – zero dark thirty

  32. Casey
    December 4, 2012

    Actor – Daniel day Lewis
    Actress – Jessica chastain
    S actor – Matthew m – magic mike
    S actress – Ann dowd

  33. Daveylow
    December 4, 2012

    Expect a lot of love for Beasts of the Southern Wild. I don’t think NBR will go for Zero Dark Thirty either. I am hoping Life of Pi wins something here!

  34. rufussondheim
    December 4, 2012

    For those not in the know KFCSC = Kentucky Fried Chicken Society of Critics. It’s a collection of critics that weigh 300 pounds. Their Best Pick is expected to go to Searching for Sugar Man.

  35. Kale
    December 4, 2012

    Best Picture winner
    Life of Pi

    Top Ten:
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Bernie
    Lincoln
    Les Miserables
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Skyfall
    Zero Dark Thirty

  36. DaneM
    December 4, 2012

    Winner:
    Lincoln

    Top 10:
    Lincoln
    Les Miserables
    Argo
    Zero Dark Thirty
    The Sessions
    Amour
    Life of Pi
    Moonrise Kingdom
    The Master
    Bernie

  37. Astarisborn
    December 4, 2012

    I have a gut feeling its going to be Lincoln or Life of Pi.

  38. superkk
    December 4, 2012

    NBR is so hard to predict. they always award to someone out of the blue

  39. Kelly
    December 4, 2012

    Winner: The Master
    Director: Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
    Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
    Actress: Emmannuelle Riva, Amour
    Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Original Screenplay: The Master

    Top Ten:
    Amour
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Flight
    The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Les Miserables
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty

  40. December 4, 2012

    PICTURE: Lincoln
    DIRECTOR: Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
    ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence, The Silver Linings Playbook
    SUPPORTING ACTOR: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
    SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Amy Adams, The Master
    SCREENPLAY: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
    FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM: Amour
    DOCUMENTARY: The Invisible War

    TOP TEN:
    Lincoln
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Life of Pi
    Amour
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Les Miserables
    Argo
    The Master
    The Sessions

  41. Ricky
    December 4, 2012

    Hey it seems that you, like most people, forgot that A Serious Man was nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars as well. Toy Story 3 too

  42. Ricky
    December 4, 2012

    Also, hilarious that the Hollywood Film Awards have awarded best ensemble to:

    The cast of “The Help” – BEN AFFLECK, BRYAN CRANSTON, ALAN ARKIN, JOHN GOODMAN

  43. danemychal
    December 4, 2012

    In addition to those Ricky mentioned that should be highlighted in blue: Seabiscuit was also nommed for BP.

  44. Goodvibe61
    December 4, 2012

    Best Film: Lincoln

    Top 10:

    Amour
    Anna Karenina
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Django Unchained
    The Impossible
    Les Miz
    Life of Pi
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Actor: Daniel Day Lewis
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Screenplay: Tony Kushner
    Screenplay is split Original: Quentin Tarantino
    Foreign Film: Amour

  45. willchangethislater
    December 4, 2012

    Lincoln
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Argo
    The Master
    Les Miserables
    Silver Linings Playbook
    The Sessions
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    The Perks of Being A Wallflower
    Skyfall

    ALT:
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Life of Pi
    Cloud Atlas
    The Avengers

  46. December 4, 2012

    picture:lincoln;actor daniel day-lewis;actress jessica chastain;s.actor matthew mcconaughey;s.actress anne hathaway;director steven spielberg;o.screenplay moonrise kingdom;a.screenplay lincoln;animated frankenweenie;foreign amour;documentary theinvisible war.

  47. Conor Bresnan
    December 4, 2012

    FYI, They only have 10 films total on their year-end lists, including the winner (unless there is a tie). So it should be 1 winner and 9 nominees.

    Predictions:

    1. Lincoln

    Others:
    Argo
    Zero Dark Thirty
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    The Hunger Games
    Skyfall
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    End of Watch
    Silver Linings Playbook

  48. Evan
    December 5, 2012

    Lots of people mentioning The Hobbit. They never went for LOTR so I don’t see why they’d go for it this time.

    My list:
    Winner: Lincoln
    Top Ten:
    Argo- my alternate win pick
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    The Dark Knight Rises
    Flight
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    Magic Mike
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Trouble with the Curve
    Zero Dark Thirty

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