14th Annual No Guts, No Glory Oscar Nominations Edition – Shit Just Got Real

Well, as Iggy Pop would say, it will all be over soon.  There are so many weird surprises that could take place tomorrow since all of the nominations came after Oscar ballots were turned in. BAFTA did their voting completely differently this year and for the first time ever we’re making our nominations for the editing category without the Ace Eddie nominations!

Honestly, though, this year? It’s one long No Guts, No Glory since none of us has a clue how this will turn out. But that’s what kind of great about it. We’re all going to forgive one another if any stupid mistakes are made.  It’s been a great year, dear readers.

To that end, please pick three potential upsets.  Here are mine:

1. Benh Zeitlin for Best Director
2. One major film will be left off the Best Picture nominees list that will horrify all involved. 

2. The Impossible gets a surprise Best Picture nomination
3. There will only be five Best Picture nominees.

Your turn.

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224 Comments

  1. Joshua
    January 9, 2013

    1. Helen Hunt is nominated in LEAD Actress.
    2. Judi Dench makes it in for supporting.
    3. Skyfall leads all nominations.

  2. phantom
    January 9, 2013

    MY OFFICIAL NGNG PICKS
    1. Keira Knightley (Last time she played an iconic lead role, the Academy nominated her without SAG or even BAFTA love.)
    2. Amanda Seyfried (She is a charming presence who has been at every awards screening and Q&A possible, it MIGHT pay off.)
    3. Ewan McGregor (He seems to have exactly the kind of passionate industry support that garnered Oldman and Bardem their recent nominations.)

    VAGUE SHOCK-THEORIES (JUST FOR FUN)
    1. Lincoln or Les Misérables tie the record 14 nominations (All About Eve, Titanic) OR even break that record.
    2. Sally Field receives the nomination in Lead and/or Gloria Reuben makes the cut in supporting.
    3. Les Misérables receives at least three acting nominations ( Redmayne and/or Seyfried and/or Barks and/or Crowe ).
    4. Anna Karenina receives a nomination in at least one main category (Picture, Director, Screenplay, Acting) .
    5. The Dark Knight Rises or Skyfall or The Hobbit surprises in Picture and shocks in Adapted Screenplay and/or Director ( Nolan / Mendes / Jackson ).
    6. The Perks of Being a Wallflower and/or The Impossible sneaks into Picture and/or Actor ( Lerman, Holland ) and/or Supporting Actor ( Miller / McGregor ).
    7. Cloud Atlas and/or The Sessions shock in Picture and/or Adapted Screenplay.
    8. A completely ignored Best Actor player from a strong BP-contender will shock ( Affleck, Foxx, Sharma ). OK, so Affleck is not ‘completely ignored’ anymore…
    9. Django Unchained shocks in Supporting Actress ( Washington ) or in Supporting Actor with multiple nominations ( DiCaprio, Waltz, Jackson ).
    10. Anthony Hopkins receives a Best Actor nomination for Hitchcock .

  3. Walter Neto
    January 9, 2013

    1. J. A Bayona for Best Director
    2. The Impossible for best film.
    3. Weisz and Naomi as actress.

  4. Micheal
    January 9, 2013

    No Phoenix for best actor
    Perks of Being a Wallflower for best adapted screenplay
    Ann Dowd gets best supporting actress nod

  5. keifer
    January 9, 2013

    My 3 weird upsets:

    1. “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel” will obtain a Best Picture nomination.
    2. Jean-Louis Trintignant will be nominated for Best Actor for “Amour” (not so out of the ballpark but his co-star has been getting most of the attention).
    3. Steven Spielberg will not be nominated for Best Director (remember “The Color Purple” in 1985? 11 noms. Nada for Spielberg.)

    Thanks for a great year of prognosticating Sasha! I just love this site.

  6. TB
    January 9, 2013

    Haneke for director
    Dowd for supporting actress
    TDKR for best picture

  7. Rodrigo
    January 9, 2013

    Michael Pena – End of Watch — best supporting actor
    Jean-Louis Trintignant – Amour — best actor
    Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook — best supporting actress

  8. Will Davies
    January 9, 2013

    Skyfall for picture and two acting awards
    Lincoln is shut out of the best picture race

  9. KP
    January 9, 2013

    1. Emily Blunt gets nominated for Supporting Actress for Looper
    2. Katy Perry gets nominated for Best Original Song
    3. Alan Arkin isn’t nominated for Supporting Actor

  10. david leary
    January 9, 2013

    I’ve been waiting for this

    1.June temple gets best actress nom for little birds
    2.Liam neesom gets best acting nom
    3. Colin Farrell gets a best acting nom
    4. The day gets a best picture nom

    now that’s a no guys no glory predictions

  11. Eric
    January 9, 2013

    1. Jennifer Ehle, Supporting Actress
    2. Zero Dark Thirty, Production Design
    3. Anthony Hopkins, Lead Actor

  12. Chmoye
    January 9, 2013

    1. The Impossible for Best Picture
    2. Ben Affleck for Argo
    3. Eddie Redmayne for Best Supporting Actor

  13. david leary
    January 9, 2013

    Sorry about my spelling

  14. January 9, 2013

    1. Life of Pi nominated for Best Score
    2. Cloud Atlas not nominated for Best Picture
    3. Indie Game The Movie not nominated for Best Documentary

  15. Edkargir
    January 9, 2013

    Les mis no bp. Rachael Weisz best actress. Holy motors bp

  16. Kevin Landry
    January 9, 2013

    1. Denis Lavant – Holy Motors – Best Actor
    2. Amour gets snubbed out of Foreign Film, but still gets Best Picture, Best Actress and Best Original Screenplay
    3. Beasts of the Southern Wild gets the big five : Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actress, Best Actor (or supporting), Best Screenplay (Adapted)

  17. Kevin Landry
    January 9, 2013

    SoundtrackNerd : Indie Game – The Movie isn’t even a finalist for Best Documentary

  18. Ace Galaxy
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG

    1. Both Waltz and DiCaprio are nominated for BSA (a la globes)
    2. Paul Thomas Anderson for Best Director
    3. Holy Motors will get some type of nomination (Either technical, or in Actor)

  19. January 9, 2013

    Best Picture: THE PAPERBOY.

  20. January 9, 2013

    Michael Fassbender for Best Supporting Actor for “Prometheus”
    Jean-Louis Trintignant for Best Actor for “Amour”
    “The Dark Knight Rises” for Best Picture

  21. brendon
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG: The first-out-of-the-box screener gambit pays off and The Intouchables gets an anomalous Best Picture nomination.

  22. micahs
    January 9, 2013

    Bigelow makes history by winning second oscar for a female director. Tdkr best picture lol. Phoenix gets best actor and he sets the statuette on fire lol. Dicaprio wins best supporting actor and in his speech he says “finally!”

  23. Moses Valenzuela
    January 9, 2013

    Supporting Actor, Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
    Cinematography, Wally Pfister, The Dark Knight Rises
    Actor, Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock

    I really hope there are ONLY 5 Best Picture nominations:
    Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty, Argo, Les Miserables

  24. Raymond
    January 9, 2013

    1. No best picture nomination for Les Mis
    2. Spielberg snubbed
    3. Ben Affleck – Best Actor
    4. The Dark Knight Rises – Best Picture

  25. PJ
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG Ewan MacGregor needs to happen.

  26. Marwan
    January 9, 2013

    1- No Wes Anderson recognition.
    2- Amour being this year’s The Artist.
    3- Overlooking Wallis’ performance in Beasts.

  27. Zach
    January 9, 2013

    Some people’s NGNG are my predictions! Not that I’m going for 100% accuracy in a year like this one.

    1. No above-the-line nods for Django, but The Impossible shows in Best Picture (I’m being liberal with this whole “keep it to 3″ thing…sue me)

    2. Ann Dowd or the Middle of Nowhere star in LEAD Actress in LEAD Actress (it’s called NGNG for a reason)

    3. Kelly Reilly for Flight

    3.

  28. Moses Valenzuela
    January 9, 2013

    I too really hope Leonardo DiCaprio is nominated, He is waaaay overdue!!! When Best Actor for Blood Diamond he should have really been nominated for Best Supporting Actor for The Departed. He would have had his Oscar by now!

  29. OLIN
    January 9, 2013

    Aaron Tveit nominated on behalf of raw, sexual magnetism.

  30. Joey
    January 9, 2013

    Mine are kinda tame.

    1. Cloud Atlas nominated for Best Picture.

    2. “Skyfall” not nominated for Original Song.

    3. Meryl Streep nominated for Hope Springs for Best Actress.

  31. Joey
    January 9, 2013

    OLIN…Aaron is all kinds of sexy. I applaud your post. When I dreamed a dream…it’s of Aaron Tveit getting a surprise Oscar nomination. Then taking his shirt off.

  32. The ghost of easter
    January 9, 2013

    1. Hooper gets in, Spielberg doesn’t.
    2. 4kids dominates best animated picture again.
    3. We actually have 5 best song-nominees for a change.

  33. arjay
    January 9, 2013

    Anne Dowd – best actress
    The Master – best film
    Looper – screenplay

  34. Gustavo Silva
    January 9, 2013

    PSH for Best Actor
    Wes Anderson for Director
    Rust and Bone gets something other than Cotillard, like Cinematography or Screenplay

  35. Ryan B
    January 9, 2013

    Michael Caine for Supporting Actor
    Looper for Best Picture
    Rebel Wilson for Supporting Actress

  36. ben
    January 9, 2013

    judi for skyfall

    matthew for magic mike

    gere for arbitrage

  37. Jacob M
    January 9, 2013

    1. The Sessions for Best Picture
    2. John Goodman for Flight
    3. Safety Not Guaranteed for Best Original Song “Big Machine”

  38. January 9, 2013

    Looper gets in for Best Picture
    Keira Knightly is nominated for Best Actress
    Flight is nominated for Original Screenplay

  39. Bridget von Hammersmarck
    January 9, 2013

    1. 8 Best Picture nominations; Beasts is snubbed.
    2. Best Actress: Quebooboo Wallis is snubbed, Rachel Weisz gets in.
    3. Best Supporting Actor: Robert DeNiro is snubbed; Ewan McGregor gets in.

  40. Chris78
    January 9, 2013

    Michael Haneke for Best Director.
    Les Miserables gets snubbed for Picture.
    Skyfall gets at least 7 noms including Picture.

  41. David Lindsey
    January 9, 2013

    Tommy Lee Jones gets nominated….not for LINCOLN, but as best actor for HOPE SPRINGS.
    Doona Bae is nominated for best supporting actress CLOUD ATLAS.
    Christoph, Leo, and Sam L. all get a nod for DJANGO UNCHAINED.

  42. Samuel Coffey
    January 9, 2013

    Q. Wallis pops up in Supporting
    Django leads the nomination #s
    The Master gets 0 nominations

  43. KT
    January 9, 2013

    Alan Arkin is not nominated. Jason Clarke (ZDT) surprises and gets in for Best Supporting Actor as the newbie.

  44. Jake
    January 9, 2013

    1. Ann Dowd for Supporting Actress
    2. Looper makes it into Screenplay, surprises in Picture
    3. Skyfall or The Master make it into Picture.
    (Not sure if that last one is REALLY NGNG, so one more…)
    4. “Arbitrage” makes it into Actor and Original Screenplay

  45. January 9, 2013

    I actually think there will only be 5 and I will be very upset so I really hope that your #3 doesn’t happen. Anyhoo my horrible guesses…

    1) No LINCOLN for BP
    2) LOOPER gets in for BP in a field of five
    3) Matthew McConaughey gets a double nomination

    Aaron Tveit nominated on behalf of raw, sexual magnetism.

    These are the kind of nominations that happen in my head.

  46. Doug
    January 9, 2013

    1. Hitchcock gets nominated for Best Picture, Actor, Actress
    2. Ezra Miller for Best Supporting Actor
    3. Emily Blunt gets a surprise nod for Looper

  47. Castle Wilson
    January 9, 2013

    1. Best Supporting Actor – Michael Fassbender, Prometheus
    2. Best Actor – Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
    3. Best Supporting Actress – Kerry Washington, Django Unchained

  48. Bondisteve
    January 9, 2013

    1. Amour gets noms for both BP and BD
    2. Tom Holland gets a nom in Best Actor
    3. Both Riva and Cotillard receive Best Actress noms

  49. Free
    January 9, 2013

    1. BEST PICTURE – The Master
    2. DIRECTOR – Paul Thomas Anderson
    3. SUPPORTING ACTOR – Samuel L. Jackson

  50. Epi
    January 9, 2013

    1. (Picture)
    Django Unchained OUT, Best Exotic Marigold Hotel IN

    2. (Director)
    Spielberg OUT, PT Anderson IN

    3. (Actor)
    Hugh Jackman OUT, Richard Gere IN

  51. steve50
    January 9, 2013

    1. Holy Motors takes the slot reserved for Les Mis in BP, chaos ensues
    2. Jean Louis Trintingant and Denis Lavant get in the BA; DDL does not (everybody thought everybody else was voting for him)
    3. Best Song gets cancelled because there were too many blank votes.

  52. Chris138
    January 9, 2013

    1. Richard Gere gets a Best Actor nomination for Arbitrage
    2. The Dark Knight Rises gets a Best Picture nomination
    3. Matthew McConaughey gets a Best Supporting Actor nomination for Magic Mike

  53. kasper
    January 9, 2013

    1. Jack Black gets in for Bernie
    2. Marion Cotillard, Denzel Washington get snubbed
    3. Keira Knightley gets in for Anna Karenina

  54. Jorge
    January 9, 2013

    Weisz in
    Dwight in
    Adams out
    Nicole And dowd in
    Riva instead of cotillard

  55. alan of montreal
    January 9, 2013

    1. Emayatzy Corinealdi gets a best actress nod.
    2. Samantha Barks gets a supporting actress nod
    3. Steven Spielberg fails to get a directing nod

  56. Harry
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG – Pitch Perfect edition!

    Actress – Anna Kendrick
    Supporting Actress – Rebel Wilson
    Adapted Screenplay – Kay Cannon

  57. Cinemateo
    January 9, 2013

    1. Dwight Henry gets in for Supporting Actor.

    2. Jackman is the one to miss out in Lead Actor.

    3. Django gets 2 Original Song nominations.

  58. Adam
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG:

    Cloud Atlas – Best Picture
    Kerry Washington – Supporting Actress
    Ezra Miller – Supporting Actor

    and Looper for Original Screenplay and Ann Dowd for Supporting Actress are NOT No Guts, No Glory. Come on people. Live a little.

  59. HephLo
    January 9, 2013

    1. The Perks of Being a Wallflower will get more nominations than expected.
    2. Beasts of the Southern Wild will get less nominations than expected.
    3. Controversy will not affect Zero Dark Thirty’s nominations. Awards will be a different matter.

    Sorry, this is specific as I can get. :)

  60. Bill F
    January 9, 2013

    1. Michael Haneke get nominated for Best Director
    2. Moonrise Kingdom only gets Screenplay nod
    3. Cloud Atlas gets nominated for Editing

  61. Will Valenti
    January 9, 2013

    1. PSH nominated for Best Actor for The Master instead of Supporting!!!

  62. Jim
    January 9, 2013

    1) Richard Gere in, John Hawkes out
    2) Ewan McGregor for Supporting Actor
    3) Jennifer Ehle for Best Supporting Actress

  63. Bill W.
    January 9, 2013

    Wishful thinking haha:

    Ann Dowd gets in for lead

    Jennifer Lawrence in supporting

    10 movies nomd for the Big One

  64. Jim
    January 9, 2013

    Actually, gonna trade my third one for Beasts of the Southern Wild completely snubbed, no nominations

  65. January 9, 2013

    1. Marion Cotillard gets snubbed for Best Actress

    2. The Impossible gets nominated for Best Picture

    3. Ang Lee gets snubbed for Best Director

  66. rufussondheim
    January 9, 2013

    I normally don’t like NGNGs because too many people pick things that will likely happen!

    But I am going for things that no one stated.

    1) Arcade Fire for Best Song for Abraham’s Daughter.
    2) The Sessions for Best Picture
    3) Beasts of the Southern Wild getting no nominations.

  67. rufussondheim
    January 9, 2013

    Jim just stole mine so I need a new #3.

    Hmm…

    Michelle Williams for Best Actress!

  68. HephLo
    January 9, 2013

    OK, I feel bad for not being as specific as everyone else.

    1. Emma Watson, BSA, The Perks of Being a Wallflower
    2. Emayatzy Corinealdi, BA, Middle of Nowhere
    3. James Gandolfini, BSA, Zero Dark Thirty :)

  69. Bryce Forestieri
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG Tim Hooper for Best Director*

    *a confirmed impossibility hence the mother of all NGNG’s

  70. January 9, 2013

    1. Sup. Actor: Samuel L. Jackson – Django Unchained
    2. Costume Design – Farewell, My Queen
    3. Skyfall collects five nominations, but not BP

  71. Alan Wong
    January 9, 2013
  72. January 9, 2013

    Well, I always enjoy this yearly post because I can make wild predictions that have little chance of coming true. Here’s my three this year

    1. “The Dark Rises” gets nominated for Best Picture
    2. Javier Bardem and Matthew McConaughey get Best Supporting Actor nominations for “Skyfall” and “Magic Mike” (respectively)
    3. “Brave” gets shut out of the Best Animated Feature category for more obscure films like “The Painting” and “Up on Poppy Hill.”

  73. Jim
    January 9, 2013

    Wait, I don’t get it. If this is supposed to be a joke because his name is Tom you are the world’s unfunniest person.

  74. montfort
    January 9, 2013

    Three unlikely things that could happen (of the many)

    Eddie Redmayne gets a Best Supporting Actor nom Les Miz
    Keira Knightly winds up with Best Actress nom for A.K.
    Ben Affleck gets shout out for Best Actor

    And I will hope that the big surprise is not LIFE OF PI being swept aside.

  75. d2
    January 9, 2013

    1. Seven Psychopaths gets in for Original Screenplay
    2. Dwight Henry, Matthew McConaughey or Eddie Redmayne inject some much need newbie blood into the supporting actor race
    3. Lincoln snubbed for editing

  76. Cory
    January 9, 2013

    1. Christoph Waltz nommed for Best Actor
    2. Jacki Weaver for Best Supporting Actress
    3. Tom Holland for Best Actor

  77. m1
    January 9, 2013

    1. Ang Lee misses out on a directing nomination.
    2. Django Unchained gets neither a BP nor an original screenplay nomination.
    3. Dwight Henry gets a supporting actor nomination.

  78. Mike Meyers
    January 9, 2013

    1. The Hobbit For Best Picture
    2. Cloud Atlas For Best Picture
    3. The Dark Knight Rises For Best Picture

  79. Seany T.
    January 9, 2013

    * Paul Thomas Anderson gets nominated for Best Director, but The Master doesn’t get a Best Picture nomination (the true lone wolf…though The Master really was the best film of 2012)

    * Leonardo DiCaprio and Christoph Waltz in for Supporting Actor (knocking out Arkin and Bardem)

    * Rachel Weisz gets in for Best Actress

    On that note, I will be VERY disappointed if the Academy snubs Joaquin Phoenix, which seems to be the consensus prediction. How in the world could they really snub perhaps the greatest performance of the past few years, in my opinion??

  80. Patrick
    January 9, 2013

    1. Sound Editing/Mixing – The Impossible
    2. Original Screenplay – The Cabin In The Woods
    3. Actor – Omar Sy (The Intouchables)

  81. Andrew
    January 9, 2013

    1. The Perks of Being a Wallflower nominated for Best Picture.
    2. The Master is nominated for Best Picture AND original screenplay.
    3. Eddie Redmayne grabs a Best Supporting Actor nom.

  82. Nigel
    January 9, 2013

    1. Sam Mendes for Best Director
    2. Argo for Production Design
    3. Life of Pi shut out of everything as punishment for having Coldplay in the trailer.

  83. chrisw
    January 9, 2013

    1. Skyfall for nominations in Picture, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress

    2. A member of The Dark Knight Rises cast receives a nomination, for NGNG sake I will choose Michael Caine over Oldman and Hardy

    3. Arkin not nominated

  84. Josh
    January 9, 2013

    1) No noms for Hawkes or Hunt
    2) Gere nominated for Arbitrage
    3) Waltz, DiCaprio, Jackson all nominated

  85. JP
    January 9, 2013

    SOME NGNG
    * Beasts of the Southern Wild is completely shut out. (among the main 15, let’s say, contenders this is, after Marigold Hotel, this is BY FAR the one that’s really more vulnerable to a total shut out)
    * The Master scores Picture, Actor and Cinematography nominations.
    * The Impossible enters the race with 4 nods: Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Score.
    * Django pulls a Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and misses BP.
    * Katy Perry is nominated for Best Original Song along with Adele.
    * Cloud Atlas scores Production Design, Costumes and Visual Effects.
    * There are only 7 BP nominees and Moonrise Kingdom is one of them.
    * Judi Dench gets in for Skyfall.
    * Alan Arkin misses in favor of either the Django combo or Eddie Redmayne.
    * Lincoln scores 14 Oscars nominations and Argo only 6.
    * Both Looper and Perks are script nominees (this are the NGNG I’m really predicting).

  86. david leary
    January 9, 2013

    More ngng predictions:
    Kay panabaker gets a best supporting actress nom for little birds Sam Rockwell gets a best supporting actor nom for seven psychopaths and seven psychopaths gets a best picture nomination hows that for ngng predictions

  87. January 9, 2013

    1. Dowd for Supporting Actress
    2. Tom Holland for Supporting Actor
    3. Cabin in the Woods for Original Screenplay.

  88. J.P., Esquire
    January 9, 2013

    1. All 10 Best Picture slots filled – Skyfall and Amour in, Beasts still snubbed.
    2. Perks of Being a Wallflower for Best Adapted Screenplay
    3. Ben Affleck for Best Director and Best Actor – Argo

  89. JimG.
    January 9, 2013

    Bigelow gets snubbed bringing back the “all-boys club” of the Directing Branch.

    One of the nominated films in Directing won’t have a corresponding Picture nod.

    The Hobbit nominated for Picture.

  90. srun
    January 9, 2013

    Kidman gets in for Lead.

  91. Mel
    January 9, 2013

    Judi Dench nominated in supporting for Skyfall
    Skyfall nominated for BP
    Wes Anderson nominated for BD

  92. Mark F.
    January 9, 2013

    Waltz, Gere and Affleck all nominated in Best Actor category
    Di Caprio and Jackson both nominated in Best Supporting Actor category
    Les Miserables not nominated for Best Picture

  93. January 9, 2013

    1. End of Watch gets in for Editing.
    2. The Hunger Games gets in for Costume Design.
    3. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel gets in for Production Design.

  94. Astarisborn
    January 9, 2013

    Best Actress Naomi Watts
    Best Actor Ben Afleck
    Best S Actress tie Field and Hathaway
    Best Director Ang Lee
    Best Picture Life of Pi

  95. Jack
    January 9, 2013

    Ang Lee misses Director.

    Both Hooper and PTA make it into Director.

    Django misses out for Picture.

    Beasts of the Southern Wild misses Picture.

    Joaquin Phoenix is nominated.

  96. Kate
    January 9, 2013

    I’m a little confused by predictions of category swaps (i.e. Helen Hunt for Lead instead of Supporting)…don’t studios campaign for the specific category? I don’t see any scenario where one of these supporting contenders actually gets in Lead; if anything that scenario will just split votes and get them nowhere.

    I’m a little new to this, though. Have there been notable instances where someone campaigns for one category but gets a nom in another?

    Anyway, my NGNG:
    1. Tom Holland for Best Supporting Actor
    2. Emayatzy Corinealdi for Best Actress
    3. Jack Black for Best Actor instead of Hugh Jackman

  97. RobinTMP
    January 9, 2013

    1. Shirley McLaine, BSA for Bernie
    2. Cabin in the Woods gets a Screenplay nomination
    3. There are 7 BP nominees; SLP isn’t one of them, but a genre movie (TDKR, Avengers, The Hobbit, or, for major shits & giggles, The Bourne Legacy) does.
    3a: Someone from said genre picture gets an acting nomination, thereby bumping someone else who was supposed to be a Sure Thing; say, Andy Serkis finally gets a BSA nod for playing Gollum and bumps DeNiro, or Anne Hathaway’s BSA nod is for TDKR and not Les Miz.

    (Because really, isn’t there always at least one serious “WTF?!?” in the nominations every year?)

  98. rAr
    January 9, 2013

    Lawrence gets Actress nod for Hunger Games not Silver Linings.
    Shirley MacLaine gets a supporting nomination for Bernie.
    Bruce Willis supporting for Moonrise Kingdom.

  99. david leary
    January 9, 2013

    How bout this one: Shawn ashemore get best acting nod for the day

  100. daniel
    January 9, 2013

    1. Only 7 best picture nominees
    2. British girls Watts and Weisz get nominated
    3. Anna Karenina surprise with at least one major nod (my pick Best Picture)

  101. Gentle Benj
    January 9, 2013

    1. THE MASTER gets more nominations than DJANGO UNCHAINED.
    2. All five of the Best Song nominees are from animated films.
    3. SKYFALL gets 10+ nominations.

  102. LSUduck
    January 9, 2013

    Cloud Atlas for Best Picture (Would say The Impossible but too many have it as an alt for me to say it’s a fair NGNG)
    Denis Lavant for Best Actor
    The Hunger Games for Best Production Design

  103. Bob Burns
    January 9, 2013

    1, Weaver nommed
    2. Les Miz – editing
    3. Hobbit – art

  104. Kyle J.
    January 9, 2013

    1) Matthew McConaughey – Best Supporting Actor for “Magic Mike”

    2) Michael Haneke – Best Director for “Amour”

    3) Denis Lavant – Best Actor for “Holy Motors”

  105. January 9, 2013

    here are my predictions for Best Picture from my movie blog:

    http://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/01/09/final-oscar-predictions-best-picture/

    Upsets: The Master gets Pic nom
    Ann Dowd gets Supp Actress nod
    Joaquin Phoenix nominated over Bradley Cooper

  106. January 9, 2013

    1. zero nominations for The Sessions (John Hawkes & Helen Hunt)
    2. Take This Waltz nominated for Original Screenplay
    3. Samantha Barks for Supporting Actress

  107. Patryk
    January 9, 2013

    1) All 5 Supporting Actors are first time nominees.

    2) Dames Judi and Maggie each receive their 7th acting nomination.

    3) “Keep the Lights On,” receives a Best Original Screenplay nomination.

  108. David
    January 9, 2013

    1. Tom Wilkinson, Best Supporting Actor (Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
    2. Two Snow White movies for Costume Design: Mirror Mirror and Snow White and the Huntsmen
    3. Les Mis will get the third-most nominations (after Lincoln and Life of Pi), but will get neither a Directing nor a Screenplay nod
    4. Complete (or near complete) shut-outs for:
    Cloud Atlas (no nominations)
    The Dark Knight Rises (Visual Effects only)
    Django Unchained (Sound Effects Editing only)

  109. The Japanese Viewer
    January 9, 2013

    “Shit Just Got Real”

    We didn’t start the fire; it was always burning since the world’s been turning….xD

    -

    My three potential upsets:

    1) Les Mis [the camerapersons involved] to garner Best Cinematography nom given other seemingly competitive, robust players;
    2) Michael Haneke for Best Director nod, thus joining my own personal locks of the great four (not that I mind it but that would be a pleasant surprise): Spielberg, Bigelow, Affleck and (Ang) Lee
    3) (Consciously following your pattern) Instead of nine or ten BP nominees, unfortunately, there will only be six or seven Best Picture nominees.

    Well, this way I am hoping we are all balanced together dog and butterfly….

    -

    Big thanks for all relevant stats, charts, analyses, interviews, Sasha, Ryan et al.

  110. Bball_Jake
    January 9, 2013

    1) The Dark Knight Rises or The Hobbit come out of nowhere to get a BP nod.
    2) Anna Karenina gets a BP nod
    3) The Master gets 9 nominations including BP

  111. superkk
    January 9, 2013

    i already posted my wishfuls in the other thread so lets just do snubs*evil grin*

    1. helen mirren doesnt show up AT ALL.
    2. alan arkin makes zero appearance on the list.
    3. nicole kidman has a botox appointment and cant attend this year.

    overrated.overrated.overrated :)

  112. Daveylow
    January 9, 2013

    Life of Pi gets an acting nomination and best song nomination
    The Master gets 0 nominations
    Moonrise Kingdom gets an acting nomination and art direction nomination
    Desplat gets two score nominations
    Ewan McGregor gets supporting acting nomination

  113. CT
    January 9, 2013

    Skyfall for Picture

    Bardem for Supporting Actor

    Beasts of the Southern Wild completely shut out

  114. Brandon
    January 9, 2013

    1. Eddie Redmayne gets a Best Supporting Actor nomination for Les Mis
    2. No nominations for The Master (not even Philip Seymour Hoffman)
    3. Only 7 Best Pictures noms…and Skyfall is one of them!

  115. Matt
    January 9, 2013

    -The Dark Knight Rise gets nominated for any major oscars
    -Ted get a best original screenplay nod
    - Looper for Best Picture

  116. Scott
    January 9, 2013

    Yeah, thank you Sasha and Ryan for making the whole Oscaring process more interesting. You guys are the best!

  117. January 9, 2013

    Fabinho Flapp´s NGNG:

    Only 3? It´s hard… ok.

    1. Ben Affleck nomimated for Best Actor in “Argo”

    2. “The Perks of Being a Wallflower” nomimated for Best Picture and Director for Chbosky (Adapted Screenplat, of course, it´s IN).

    3. Tom Holland nomimated for Best Supporting Actor or Leading Actor for “The Impossible” (he should be a frontrunner, but let´s consider this a NGNG).

  118. christiannnw
    January 9, 2013

    Oh, may as well go cuckoo for this NGNG:

    1) “The Color Wheel” nominated for Best Original Screenplay (because, you know, incest is right up AMPAS’ alley)

    2) Rachel Weisz nominated for Best Actress for her performance in “The Deep Blue Sea” (not a crazy choice by conventional wisdom, but no performance in a Terence Davies’ film has gained awards traction like Rachel’s. The film is a challenging sit as well).

    3) Isabelle Huppert nominated for Best Supporting Actress for her performance in “Amour” (I’ve expressed this hope in several posts before, and in my opinion, it would be a disgrace if the Academy ignored a portrayal that rivals her best, particularly her efforts in “The Piano Teacher” and “Merci pour le chocolat”))

  119. Joao Mattos
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG:

    Django Unchained repeats The Godfather Parts I and II and has 3 actors nominated in the supporting actor category. (Of course they will be Di Caprio, Waltz and Samuel L. Jackson).

    The Master got only one nod: Supporting Actor or Original Screenplay.

    Supporting Actor category only has previous Oscar winners: Waltz, De Niro, Hoffman, Lee Jones and Bardem

  120. Kjbacon
    January 9, 2013

    1. Spielberg out
    2. McConaughey in
    3. 7 Best Pictures

  121. Phil
    January 9, 2013

    Picture – The Impossible
    Supporting Actress – Samantha Barks, Les Miserables
    Supporting Actor – Matthew McConoughey, Magic Mike

  122. PaulH
    January 9, 2013

    Offtopic: People’s Choice Awards movie winners tonight: A great night for populist/critical acclaim fare (save for one misstep; you’ll know what it is when you read it):

    FAVORITE MOVIE: The Hunger Games
    FAVORITE ACTOR: Robert Downey Jr., The Avengers
    FAVORITE ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games
    FAVORITE MOVIE ICON: Meryl Streep
    FAVORITE ACTION MOVIE: The Hunger Games
    FAVORITE ACTION MOVIE STAR: Chris Hemsworth
    FAVORITE FACE OF HEROISM: Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games
    FAVORITE COMEDY Ted
    FAVORITE COMEDIC MOVIE ACTOR: Adam Sandler, That’s My Boy
    FAVORITE COMEDIC MOVIE ACTRESS: Jennifer Aniston, Wanderlust
    FAVORITE DRAMATIC MOVIE: The Perks of Being a Wallflower
    FAVORITE DRAMATIC MOVIE ACTOR: Zac Efron, The Lucky One
    FAVORITE DRAMATIC MOVIE ACTRESS: Emma Watson, The Perks of Being a Wallflower
    FAVORITE MOVIE FRANCHISE: The Hunger Games
    FAVORITE MOVIE SUPERHERO: Robert Downey Jr., Iron Man, The Avengers
    FAVORITE ONSCREEN CHEMISTRY: Jennifer Lawrence/Josh Hutcherson/Liam Hemsworth, The Hunger Games
    FAVORITE MOVIE FAN FOLLOWING: Twi-hards, Twilight

    That’s 6 awards for The Hunger Games, trying to check out if that’s a new PCA record for wins. I can go to sleep a happy guy, no matter what AMPAS throws at us tomorrow. This was my Oscars and the PCA’s for the most part, got it RIGHT.

  123. TakomaTony
    January 9, 2013

    James Badge Dale (the cancer patient in FLIGHT) for Best Supporting Actor.

  124. January 9, 2013

    1. Anna Karenina in Best Picture
    2. Judi Dench as Best Actress for Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
    3. The Hobbit in Best Picture

  125. Jony
    January 9, 2013

    Haneke in Best Director

  126. Jim
    January 9, 2013

    The fact that an awards show whose target audience is tween girls who #cut4bieber is your Oscars tells a lot about you.

  127. SAG Actor
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG:
    Actress: Keira Knightly – Anna Karenina
    S. Actress: Judi Dench – Skyfall
    S. Actress: Tilda Swinton – Moonrise Kingdom

  128. Paul W.
    January 9, 2013

    Three nominations for Django in the Supporting Actor category (Leonardo DiCaprio, Christoph Waltz, and Samuel L. Jackson)

    Ann Dowd nominated for Lead Actress for Compliance

    Flight nominated for Best Picture

  129. January 9, 2013

    Would love to see some attention for Tom Holland, Eddie Redmayne and Rachel Weisz.

  130. PaulH
    January 9, 2013

    Don’t shoot the messenger, dooshbag. And Ryan, I believe he’s using my screen name to deceive folks.

  131. Tye-Grr
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG:

    -Jason Clarke nominated for Best Supporting Actor for ‘Zero Dark Thirty’
    -’The Impossible’ nominated for Best Picture
    -Rachel Weisz nominated for Best Actress for ‘The Deep Blue Sea’

  132. Dcr25
    January 9, 2013

    1. Life of Pi will get snubbed
    2. Samuel L. Jackson gets in from Django.
    3. Meryl Streep gets in for Hope Springs.

  133. The Japanese Viewer
    January 9, 2013

    And to continue from my first comment recently regarding one of my potential upsets, alternatively for Michael Haneke to garner the BP nod as a NGNG pick, the fifth slot in my book had always been one of my favorite directors/writers Quentin Tarantino until recently – regardless of NGNG pick, I am now being torn between Tarantino and Hooper (or O. Russell for that matter). But my gut told me there’s always been a good chance for Haneke [I am not rooting for him or Hooper; I am always rooting for Tarantino to get into what I believe to be the final slot as I believe Spielberg, Bigelow, Affleck and Lee are always the locks] to pull an upset given the Academy’s demographics info.

  134. Zach
    January 9, 2013

    •Skyfall best pic
    •The master gets shut out of all major categories
    •Leonardo DiCaprio isn’t nominated
    •Christoph waltz is nominated for supporting actor instead of Leo

  135. Matt
    January 9, 2013

    Best Supporting Actor – Samuel L. Jackson
    Best Costume – The Hunger Games
    Best Cinematography – The Grey

  136. JKD
    January 9, 2013

    1. Ann Dowd – Support
    2. McConaughey – Support
    3. Weisz – Actress

  137. Zach
    January 9, 2013

    Oh! And one more.
    • Skyfall gets 9 nominations

  138. Goyo el pollo
    January 9, 2013

    NGNG
    1.- Les Mis out BP
    2.- Skyfall in BP
    3.- Tom Hanks Supporting Actor.

  139. filmfemme
    January 9, 2013

    1- Leo nominated for supporting actor in “Django”
    2- Quvenzhane Wallis snubbed for actress (which will make me very sad); that slot goes to Naomi Watts for “The Impossible.”
    3- “Beasts of the Southern Wild” snubbed for Best Picture

  140. January 9, 2013

    THE HOBBIT for Best Picture
    Samuel L. Jackson for Best Supporting Actor
    THE HOBBIT for Best Original Score

  141. Omar
    January 9, 2013

    Honestly…..the way I am seeing things on the web tonight….there might be a dark horse.
    The Dark Knight Rises with a shocking Best Picture Nomination.
    Its been done before, I think we will be in for a shock tomorrow.
    Moonrise KIngdom, Beasts of the Southern Wild or Les Miserables to get snubbed.

  142. Blake B
    January 9, 2013

    1) The Master receives nominations for Best Picture and Best Director.
    2) Alexandre Desplat is a double nominee in Original Score for Argo and Zero Dark Thirty
    3) Snow White and the Huntsman receives a nomination for Visual Effects

  143. The Japanese Viewer
    January 9, 2013

    PaulH,

    Thanks for sharing the latest from People’s Choice Awards. And good for you to keep it real. Kudos.

  144. CoreyFS
    January 9, 2013

    1. Supporting Actor: Christopher Walken, Seven Psychopaths
    2. Actress: Rachel Weiz, Deep Blue Sea
    3. Supporting Actress: Judi Dench, Skyfall

  145. January 9, 2013

    Jim. you’re putting your @’s in the wrong slot and it has the effect of hiding who you are.

    Our screen IDs are a personal thing to all of us. Please just use your own, ok? And you really have to stop using the IDs of other people as a mask for you to wear when you attack them. That’s just creepy, dude.

  146. Ben T
    January 9, 2013

    1. Django Unchained gets two Best Song nominations.

    2. TDKR squeaks in as the 9th or 10th (ugh…) Best Picture Nom

    3. Jack Black gets nominated for Best Actor!

  147. January 9, 2013

    Cloud Atlas for best picture
    Halle Berry for best actress
    Michael Haneke for best director

  148. Free
    January 9, 2013

    @Kate: It happened with Kate Winslet (THE READER). Pretty sure she was campaigned as supporting but was nominated as lead anyway.

  149. unlikely hood
    January 9, 2013

    I like how Phantom was sitting around waiting for this post to get posted. No way did he suddenly bold all those words and produce that entry from scratch before anyone else (save one) had a chance to chime in. Phantom you sly dog you.

    The Impossible for BP
    Samuel L. Jackson for BSA (on his way to a win)
    Anna Karenina gets 4 nominations

    It’s been a great year guys. See you after halftime is over.

  150. Geremy
    January 9, 2013

    Cloud Atlas best picture
    Jamie Foxx best actor
    Jack Black best actor
    Beast of the Southern Wild leads total nominations

  151. January 9, 2013

    Skyfall for BEST PICTURE
    Richard Gere for BEST ACTOR
    Samuel L. Jackson for BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  152. The Japanese Viewer
    January 9, 2013

    unlikely hood,

    Brilliant observation as always. [Just to be clear: no sarcasm intended.]

    -

    -

    Anyway, regarding phantom’s comments, I enjoy reading phantom’s opinions in general, as well as some others’, when spotted on this site. Kudos.

    [Signed out now.]

  153. KB
    January 9, 2013

    1. “The Impossible” for Best Picture
    2. Tom Holland for Best Actor
    3. “Holy Motors” for Best Original Screenplay

  154. January 9, 2013

    Ezra Miller nommed for Sup. Actor
    Samantha Barks for Sup. Actress
    The Dark Knight Rises for Best Picture

  155. Danemychal
    January 9, 2013

    1. “Suddenly” misses in Best Song.
    2. Jack Black lands a deserved nomination
    3. Anna Karenina lands BP nom

  156. KatiO
    January 9, 2013

    Quvenzhane Wallis for Best Supporting Actress
    Quentin Tarantino for Best Director
    Richard Gere for Best Actor

  157. PaulH
    January 9, 2013

    Maybe when the dust settles after tomorrow, Ryan or Sasha, you would be kind to comment later in the week on the PCA results.

  158. Sato
    January 9, 2013

    Lead Actress: Keira Knightley in Anna Karenina
    Supporting Actor: Matthew McConaughey in Magic Mike
    A least expected film like “Extremely Loud, Incredibly Close” in for Best Picture

  159. Anne Dowd
    January 9, 2013

    1. Ann Dowd gets the lead
    2. Ann Dowd and Nicole Kidman get supporting

  160. Max G
    January 9, 2013

    ZDT gets nominated for Best Documentary Feature.

    Anna Karenina showing up in several major categories.

    No, but for real:

    Rion Johnson for Director, Anna Karenina for Cinematography (leavig out ZDT), SL Jackson gets nominated instead of DiCaprio and Waltz.

  161. Oscaroholic
    January 9, 2013

    BEST PICTURE:
    -Amour
    -Looper

    BEST ACTOR:
    -Tom Holland – The Impossible

    BEST ACTRESS:
    -Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
    -Ezra Miller – The Perks Of Being A Wallflower

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
    -Samantha Barks – Les Miserables

  162. Alex Brando
    January 9, 2013

    Oookay its very out there, but let’s play a bit.

    1. There will be 8 Best Picture nominations
    2. Quentin Tarantino for Best Director
    3. Helen Mirren & Naomi Watts nominated, no nominations for Cotillard & Riva

    The last would be logical previous examples, though it would be like Oscars saying “Go home, French ladies”, but of course as much as I expect it, I still dread it when I think of Cotillard’a acting…

  163. Alex Brando
    January 9, 2013

    Okay – people who put Looper into any kind of serious nomination would really have to check their ability to properly judge the quality of a movie… It’s cool if it’s your “fav pic of da year”, but how did you miss the fact that the movie DIDN’T SAY anything at the ene?! Wow!

  164. Franchesca
    January 9, 2013

    Helen Hunt for Best Actress.
    Jean-Louis Trintignant or Richard Gere for Best Actor.
    John Goodman and not Alan Arkin for Best Supporting Actor.

  165. Ken
    January 9, 2013

    Judi Dench, Maggie Smith and Helen Mirren are always getting nominations just for showing up. 2012 is the year when all three are going to hog spots, thereby depriving legitimate contenders like Cotillard, Dowd and Reilly of their shots.
    (And, boy, I hope I’m wrong)
    Also the two male stars of “Silver Linings Playbook” will be edged out by Richard Gere (who does deserve a nomination) and Eddie Redmayne (who might – but “Les Mis” has too many warning signs all over it. I’m steering clear).

  166. Jesse Crall
    January 9, 2013

    I’ll go Blunt Force (Looper) and Kelly Reilly for supporting actress and DiCaprio for Django. Reilly’s the biggest long shot of the 3, I imagine.

  167. Zach
    January 9, 2013

    Yay, Sasha! Were you watching the People’s Choice like me and reacting to yet another A-lister (RDJ) praise Naomi Watts?

  168. TimH
    January 9, 2013

    Anna Karenina Picture
    Joe Wright Director
    Jacki Weaver Supporting Actress

  169. Klara
    January 9, 2013

    My NGNG – NO surprises! boring predictable noms or undeservibng noms ala Affleck in Actor

    my best wishes 4 Skyfall though i see it snubbed everywhere except sound, cinematography & song :((((

  170. Nic V
    January 9, 2013

    Ok so since these are wacky off the wall predictions mine are

    1. Kathryn Bigelow is snubbed for BD
    2. Anne Hathaway is snubbed in BSA
    3. Amour is snubbed in Best Foreign Film

  171. January 9, 2013

    1. The Impossible for Best Picture (although Sasha has said it now, I can prove that I have been saying it for a while)

    2. Emayatzy Corinealdi for Best Actress

    3. Eddie Redmayne for Supporting Actor

    That’s my NGNG.

    My WISHLIST, on the other hand, is lots of Amour – BP, Best Director, Best Actress.

  172. Zachary Freiesleben
    January 9, 2013

    Liam Neeson for Best Actor for The Grey.
    Christopher Nolan for Best Director for The Dark Knight Rises.
    Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress for The Dark Knight Rises.

  173. Mattoc
    January 9, 2013

    Three Oscar surprises

    1. No BP nominees. Amour declared winner on the grounds of ‘no competition’.

    2. Richard Parker is nominated and eats 3 of the nominees.

    3. Denis Lavant wins Oscar for BA and eats Richard Parker.

  174. JJ
    January 9, 2013

    I expect no surprises.

    I’m just bummed Mary Elizabeth Winstead and Smashed were never real contenders.
    Her performance impressed me more than Lawrence’s or Chastain’s.

  175. Vily
    January 10, 2013

    I just watched Argo and in comparison to the other supporting Actors, I feel that Alan Arkin doesn’t deserve a place in that catergory. To me, the deserving nominations should go to:

    Tommy Lee Jones
    Leonardo DiCaprio
    Robert DeNiro
    Hoffman.

    The fifth spot can be a surprise. Also, I really don’t get how voters might prefer Waltz over DiCaprio. There is absolutely no comparison. BTW, I haven’t seen the Master yet but to me, it should really be between Jones and DiCaprio.

    If Leo doesn’t get nominated I will officially conclude that the Academy just dislikes him. I mean what can a man do. If Bradley Cooper gets nominated and if Jennifer Lawrence wins while DiCaprio Is snubbed yet again… what can a man say. Let’s hope I am wrong. Plus, who wouldn’t love a showdown between DeNiro and DiCaprio. It just screams publicity and excitement.

    Just my two cents. Anyway.

  176. Evan
    January 10, 2013

    Don’t know if these count as big enough surprises or not, but whatever:

    -In Best Original Song, despite everyone predicting “Learn Me Right,” the more prominent “Touch the Sky” is nominated.

    -Also in Original Song, the far more narratively appropriate “100 Black Coffins” and/or “Freedom” get in instead of “Ancora Qui” which everyone is predicting.

    -The Intouchables shockingly misses in Foreign Language Film. Subsequently, Harvey Weinstein’s head explodes.

  177. nana
    January 10, 2013

    Riva and Wallis both made it to actress.

  178. Justin Noble
    January 10, 2013

    1. Cabin In The Woods screenplay gets in.
    2. Bill Murray gets in for Hyde Park On Hudson
    3. Looper gets in for Best Picture, not only because it’s awesome, but also because of its proximity to Lincoln in the drop down menu of the online voting system.

  179. Christophe
    January 10, 2013

    1. A legendary director gets rightfully snubed by his peers for his overrated movie –> Sasha burns down the Academy and blogs the ceremony from jail
    2. T. Hooper gets a directing nom instead and Les Mis also snags a surprise writing nom
    3. T. Holland and E. McGregor score acting noms for The Impossible in addition to N. Watts

  180. January 10, 2013

    The Hunger Games = 2 + noms
    TDKR is nowhere to be found
    Skyfall soars with 5 + noms

  181. Dylan
    January 10, 2013

    1. Anna Karenina gets in for Best Picture
    2. The Master gets completely shut out
    3. Wes Anderson gets a Best Director nomination

  182. January 10, 2013

    1. Skyfall gets nominated for Best Picture
    2. Dowd gets nominated for Best Supporting Actress
    3. Lavant gets nominated for Best Actor

  183. Question Mark
    January 10, 2013

    1. Judi Dench is nominated, either for Actress (Marigold Hotel) or Supporting (Skyfall)
    2. Quvenzhane Wallis is snubbed
    3. Samuel L. Jackson gets a supporting actor nom for Django Unchained

  184. Kjartan Atli Óskarsson
    January 10, 2013

    1. Skyfall gets best picture nomination
    2. Dwight Henry gets best supporting actor for Beasts of the Southern Wild
    3. The Deep gets nominated as best foreign language film

  185. Jeff
    January 10, 2013

    All 5 directing nominees have never won the category previously (ie: Affleck / Russell / Haneke / Tarantino / one of the Andersons or Nolan)

    Mark Wahlberg, Best Actor for Ted

    Younger, relatively unknown nominees for Best Actress (ie: Cardellini for Return, Corinealdi for Middle of Nowhere, Lynskey for Hello I Must Be Going, Winstead for Smashed)

    The opposite – older, big name nominees for Best Actress (ie: Dench for Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, Mirren for Hitchcock, Smith for Quartet, Streep for Hope Springs)

    Mark Ruffalo, Best Supporting Actor for The Avengers

    Perks of Being a Wallflower shuts Life of Pi out of Adapted Screenplay

    Original Screenplay gets extended to 6 nominees to include Looper

    Rick Ross gets an Original Song nod for 100 Black Coffins from Django Unchained, showing that there’s more to him than just 2 massively-sized man boobs

    Liam Neeson gets an honorary Oscar for having “a very particular set of skills, skills he has acquired over a very long career, skills that make him a nightmare for people like you.”

    Seth MacFarlane hams it up bright and early at the nomination announcements.

  186. Akumax
    January 10, 2013

    Suraj Sharma for best actor
    Skyfall for Best picture
    no noms for Beasts of the southern wild

  187. Perry M
    January 10, 2013

    NGNG:

    The Impossible for BP
    Anna Karenina gets several nominations (not just the assumed one for costume design)
    Tom Holland for BSA

  188. Stella
    January 10, 2013

    No nomination for Jennifer Lawrence.

  189. Glenn UK
    January 10, 2013

    The Impossible becomes a major player – Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor(s) ………. with a shit load of techinical nods!!!!!

  190. Wojtek
    January 10, 2013

    My 3 upsets:
    1-Les Miserables for best pic/ director
    2-Hobbit not for the best pic
    3-Django not for the best pic

  191. Pablo
    January 10, 2013

    1. Silver Linings Playbook to become the first film since Reds in 1981 to receive acting nominations in all four acting categories.

    2. Lincoln to receive 15 Oscar nominations.

    3. Joaquin Phoenix to get a Best Actor nomination.

  192. Jason
    January 10, 2013

    1. Nicole Kidman for Supporting Actress
    2. Matthew Mcconaughy for Supporting Actor
    3. Javier Bardem for Supporting Actor
    4. Complete shut out for The Master and Beast
    5. Skyfall for Best Pic
    6. Leo DiCaprio for Supporting Actor
    7. Perks for being a Wallflower for Adapted Screenplay
    8. Looper for Original Screenplay
    9. Keira Knightley for Best Actress
    10. Richard Gere for Best Actor
    11. Adele for Orignal Song

  193. rodrigo jp
    January 10, 2013

    Amour sneaks into Best Picture.
    The Impossible sneaks into Best Picture.
    Paul Thomas Anderson gets Best Director.

  194. Jasper
    January 10, 2013

    1) Beyond the Hills for Best Foreign Language
    2) Ann Dowd for Best Supporting Actress
    3) This is Not a Film for Best Doc over How To Survive a Plague and The Imposter

  195. Jack Traven II
    January 10, 2013

    So, the usual would be:

    - SLP shows up in all acting categories

    - Les Mis only nominated for BSA, costume design, art direction and song

    - Denzel being snubbed

    And to follow mattoc’s, let’s say NLNL (No Laugh, No Life) picks, mine would be:

    - One of the aurochs gets nominated for BSA, but gets eaten by his fellow nominee Richard Parker while being on the red carpet

    - Loki doesn’t get nominated for BSA and therefore burns down the Dolby Theatre, right after all sat down

    - Hollywood dies out, people’s lives become miserable all over the world, an epidemic plague breaks out, people are tearing each other apart, the world ends on December 31st, 2013

  196. Prakshid Meshram
    January 10, 2013

    #OSCARS My The 85th Annual Academy Awards Nominations Prediction:
    Best Picture
    Argo
    Beasts Of The Southern Wild
    Django Unchained
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Director
    Ben Affleck “Argo”
    Kathryn Bigelow “Zero Dark Thirty”
    Tom Hooper “Les Miserables”
    Steven Spielberg “Lincoln”
    Ang Lee “Life of Pi”

    Best Actor in a Leading Role
    Bradley Cooper “Silver Linings Playbook”
    Daniel Day-Lewis “Lincoln”
    John Hawkes “The Sessions”
    Hugh Jackman “Les Miserables”
    Denzel Washington “Flight”

    Best Actress in a Leading Role
    Jessica Chastain “Zero Dark Thirty”
    Marion Cotillard “Rust & Bone”
    Jennifer Lawrence “Silver Linings Playbook”
    Helen Mirren “Hitchcock”
    Emmanuelle Riva “Amour”

    Best Supporting Actor
    Alan Arkin “Argo”
    Robert DeNiro “Silver Linings Playbook”
    Leonardo DiCaprio “Django Unchained”
    Philip Seymour Hoffman “The Master”
    Tommy Lee Jones “Lincoln”

    Best Supporting Actress
    Nicole Kidman “The Paperboy”
    Sally Field “Lincoln”
    Anne Hathaway “Les Miserables”
    Helen Hunt “The Sessions”
    Maggie Smith “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel”

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Argo
    The Perks of a Being Wallflower
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook

    Best Original Screenplay
    Amour
    Django Unchained
    The Master
    Moonrise Kingdom
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Animated Feature
    Brave
    Frankenweenie
    Rise of the Guardians
    ParaNorman
    Wreck-It Ralph

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bully
    The Gatekeepers
    How To Survive a Plague
    Searching for Sugar Man
    The Imposter

    Best Foreign Language Film
    Amour (Austria)
    The Intouchables (France)
    War Witch (Canada)
    No (Chile)
    A Royal Affair (Denmark)

    Best Cinematography
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Skyfall
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Film Editing
    Argo
    Les Miserables
    Lincoln
    Life Of Pi
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Production Design
    Anna Karenina
    The Hobbit
    Les Miserables
    Lincoln
    The Master

    Best Costume Design
    Anna Karenina
    Django Unchained
    Les Miserables
    Lincoln
    Mirror Mirror

    Best Makeup and Hair
    The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Lincoln
    Les Miserables

    Best Original Score
    Anna Karenina
    Argo
    Beasts of The Southern Wild
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln

    Best Original Song
    Brave- Touch The Sky
    Life of Pi- Pi Lullaby
    Les Miserables – Suddenly
    Django Unchained – What did that to you
    Skyfall – Skyfall

    Best Sound Mixing
    The Dark Knight Rises
    Django Unchained
    Les Miserables
    Skyfall
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Sound Editing
    The Avengers
    The Dark Knight Rises
    Life of Pi
    Skyfall
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Visual Effects
    The Avengers
    The Dark Knight Rises
    The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Life of Pi
    Skyfall

    Nominations for the 85th Annual Academy Awards® will be announced by the show’s host, Seth McFarlane & Emma Stone on Thursday Jan.10 at 5.30am PT & 7.00pm IST

  197. Adam Carnelli
    January 10, 2013

    The Intouchables – director or screenplay
    Skyfall – not nominated for song
    The Dark Knight Rises – best picture

  198. TotesMagotes
    January 10, 2013

    Jackman snubbed
    Dowd in
    zero dark thirty score

  199. January 10, 2013

    - Only Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence are nominated for Best Actress from SAG’s list. None of the other three are nominated for the SAG.
    - Life of Pi leads re: nomination count
    - Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild and The Master are all nominated for Best Picture

  200. Manuel
    January 10, 2013

    1: Total Django Unchained supporting actor snub
    2: Haneke in Best Director
    3: Skyfall gets 7 nominations – song, editing, song, cinematography, sound mix, supporting actor, best picture

  201. César
    January 10, 2013

    - Cotillard AND Riva for Best Actress
    - Haneke for Best Director
    - No nod for Matthew McConaughey

  202. Odee
    January 10, 2013

    Speilberg or Lee are snubbed for director
    Dowd gets in for Supporting Actress
    One black in every acting category: Washington, Wallis, Jackson, Washington
    Skyfall for Best Picture
    Beast for Direction, Screenplay and Score for its director
    No Hugh Jackson or Bradley Cooper

  203. Dave L
    January 10, 2013

    NGNG

    1. Amour for Picture and Director
    2. Jean-Louis Trintignant for Lead Actor
    3. Philip Seymour Hoffman for Lead Actor

  204. Roel
    January 10, 2013

    Marion and Riva both get in for Best Actress;
    Matthew, Eddie R. and Javier are nominated for Best Supporting Actor (knocking out DeNiro and Arkin); the other two are Philip and TL Jones; no nominations for Django Unchained;
    Amy Adams is snubbed in favor of Nicole Kidman :)

  205. Koleś
    January 10, 2013

    Hugh Jackman snub
    Ezra Miller gets in for supporting
    Janusz Kaminski does not get nominated for Lincoln

  206. Radich
    January 10, 2013

    I hate bets, that’s why I never post any on these. But I can say that the only upset, for me anyway, would be not hear DDL’s name being called. Although a lock, I cannot help but to hold my breath…

    Thanks for the fun of reading you all! See you soon.

  207. Gez
    January 10, 2013

    How long from now will the noms be announced?

  208. Koleś
    January 10, 2013

    @Gez

    in an hour

  209. vv
    January 10, 2013

    - Skyfall gets in for Best Picture
    - Django Unchained misses out on both Best Picture and Best Director
    - Jennifer Lawrence gets a Best Actress nod… for The Hunger Games

  210. SallyinChicago
    January 10, 2013

    I agree with Sasha – Benh Zeitlin for Best Director and — I might add — Dwight Henry for Best Supporting. Remember, he won the LA Critics award! I saw BOTSW again and he was reallyyyy good in that movie, for a first time actor.

    I don’t think Q. Wallis will get in, but wouldn’t it be sweet if they gave her that special Juvenile award ala Mickey Rooney? I see Flight in there somewhere — either best screenplay, or Denzel Washington best actor.

    I

  211. Gez
    January 10, 2013

    Thanks Koles!

  212. SallyinChicago
    January 10, 2013

    (Where’s that EDIT button?)
    Okay, about Leo Dicaprio. He and Chris Waltz were the BEST things about Django and ran circles around the main character, Jamie Foxx. Very big possibility Leo gets the nom AND the award, just BECAUSE….but to me, he needs to age some. He’s turning into Tom Cruise, the little Dorian Gray actor….and everytime I see him, I can’t believe his role because he looks like he’s 20 years old….playing a man who’s in his mid-30s & 40s. AGE DAMMIT!

  213. steve50
    January 10, 2013

    I vote for Mattoc’s surprises!

  214. Claire
    January 10, 2013

    1) Jack Black for best actor for Bernie
    2) Emily Blunt, best supporting actress for Looper
    3) Dwight Henry, best supporting actor, Beasts of the Southern Wild

  215. vfd88
    January 10, 2013

    1. Ben Affleck for Best Actor
    2. Keira Knightley for Best Actress
    3. Spielberg NOT nominated for Best Director

  216. Koleś
    January 10, 2013

    OT

    Does anyone think that Alec Baldwin actually can win 7 SAGs in a row?

  217. filmboymichael
    January 10, 2013

    Ewan McGregor nominated for The Impossible
    Anne Hathaway snubbed
    Best Exotic Marigold Hotel has a much better showing than any were expecting with some major nominations

  218. dignanandmax
    January 10, 2013

    Best Picture Shockers:

    1. The Intouchables
    2. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
    3. The Hobbit

  219. phantom
    January 10, 2013

    unlikely hood

    Busted :) I had all these conspiracy theories ready to go days ago :)

  220. AndreasR
    January 10, 2013

    I said it for the DGA but it happened at the BAFTAs:

    Spielberg not nominated for Best Director.

    It could happen here too.

  221. Blacktie
    January 10, 2013

    Both Dwight Henry and Matthew McConaughey make it into Best Supporting Actor
    Naomi Watts snubbed
    Both Emayatzy Corinealdi and Quvenzhane Wallis make it into Best Actress

  222. Uncle Jay
    January 10, 2013

    “Django” does a triple whammy in Supporting Actor.

    “The Hobbit” gets more love than people have been giving it credit for.

    Jackman or Phoenix (or both) get snuffed in favor of an out of left-field nomination…like Matthew McConaughey in “Killer Joe” or even Richard Gere.
    “The Cabin in the Woods” gets a Best Original Screenplay nod.

    “Looper” gets a Best Original Screenplay nod.

  223. Ryman
    January 10, 2013

    Congrats Sasha. You just got one of your No Guts No Glory guesses correct, and it happened to be in a category that was probably the MOST potential upset. Shit just DID get real.

  224. January 10, 2013

    Certainly an Oscar list full of surprises. No Tarantino or Afleck in the Best Director list. Jakie Weaver appearing in Supporting Actress.

    I am thrilled that The Pirates! has been nominated for Best Animated Feature. The funniest movie I saw in 2012. Congratulations to Ardman. And no one was tipping it.

    Les Miserables has no Best Director or Best Screenplay nomination, so it has almost no chance of winning Best Film

    For a uniquely British perspective on the nominations and awards season, check out my blog at
    http://britishfilms.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/british-nominees-at-academy-awards.html

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