Okay, AwardsDaily readers, the contest is up and running. Please email with any glitches. For the first time in forever the Oscar nominations are just a week away, and will be announced BEFORE the Golden Globes. If you’ve been following along all year, and if I know you readers you are already way ahead of the game, this should be a cake walk. Well, it’s never easy predicting those pesky song categories!
You can’t predict The Amazing Spider-Man in visual effects? It’s on the shortlist…
@Sally: Naomi’s only been nominated once. Almost a decade ago.
Well, Sally, there will be lots of repeat winners this year, no doubt. So you might just want to tune out and go visit some imdb boards where you can form an opinion on a movie without actually seeing the movie! Saves money, and time!
I was ready to see the Impossible based on Naomi’s performance and the praise she received here, but reading the messages at IMDB, I’m not. There’s a thread there asking if she’s Oscar worthy and everyone said no. Most were not that impressed with the movie overall and there was controversy about English actors cast in the movie. The star of the movie seemed to be the tsunami.
I hope the OSCARS share the wealth. Kind of tired of the same directors, the same producers, the same actors going to the podium year after year.
Well I have submitted mine, but I still feel there are major shifts about to happen which is usually down to the BAFTA’s when the Brit vote comes into the mix. So far everything has been – more of less – American critics and American Guilds. Once the “Brit effect” comes into play then ballots may need amending. It feels like a strange year – lots of strong movies but no front runners and whilst DDL and Sally Field deserve their third Oscars, will AMPAS give it to them or will they want to share the wealth – probably Jackman and Hathaway? Oscar is a funny old game and just when you think you have got your head around it, they do something shocking.
Whats the last date of contest?
This is where I feel the need to say that the quality of movies has nothing to do with how many nominations there will be in the Best Picture category. Seriously. There is no guarantee that the votes will be spread so perfectly that ten of them will each get 5% of the vote.
If anything, the abundance of good movies would make one think that only a handful of movies will get that 5% since there is more competition.
We only have one year of data. Our knowledge is more or less meaningless.
Next week is REALLY gonna clear up a lot of shit for us, folks. Not wise to vote now unless you enjoy doing poorly on these things. Next week is unbelievably loaded with noms announcements and awards shows!
@Fabinho: The DGA is next Tuesday, along with the Cinema Audio Society.
Humm… I think DGA and WGA will came tomorrow, not today.
All this date change…
So, I did this thing and…
So, if I counted correctly, the results in my predictions even surprised me. The Master is said to be dead in the water now, but I got 9 nominations for it – a tie with Les Misérables.
Most nominated films would be Lincoln with 13 and Life of Pi with 10. Zero Dark Thirty is looking at 7 while Skyfall and Django Unchained would get 6 each. Argo is right behind with 5 and… the biggest surprise would be Silver Linings Playbook with only 3 nominations which is the same amount that The Hobbit and The Dark Knight Rises might be getting. Amour would surprise us with 4 nominations.
A. When are these due? Because I’m definitely turning mine in last minute.
B. What if you have more than 3 things that you need to type in, instead of 2? Because for Original Song, the only ones listed I think will be nominated are Skyfall and Les Miserables. The other three I’d have to put in manually, and I actually feel I have a fairly good idea of what the nominees will be.
Glitch alert: I’m pretty sure Best Actress should be Keira K for Anna Karenina and Helen Mirren for Hitchcock? 🙂 It may not matter to some people, but KK is my wild card for the fifth slot. Thanks!
I can’t believe they’re so soon! Day of the Critics Choice, day after the BAFTA nods (where are the BAFTA longlists this year?), and BEFORE the Ace Eddies nominations! Oh, well, at least Editing isn’t one of the more confusing categories this year, I’d think.
The awkward moment when you have to type in Phillip Seymour Hoffman because his name is not in the list.
When is the deadline for this?
Definitely going to be turning this in at the last minute.
Does anybody knows anything about DGA and WGA?
I guess it’s going to be 7 ou 8 Best Picture nominees.
Why do I always feel depressed after completing the predictions ballot? Maybe because I try and lower the bar, only to realize later that it wasn’t low enough. Add to that, not predicting my own under-the-radar favorites only to find out that they liked them, too – after I threw them under the bus.
The prediction game is a bitch.
Antoinette, you’re more likely to win if you don’t guess ten. The math makes it hard to get 10 nominees now, but in a year this good it could happen.
Now on the steet.
From home, I’ll list my predictions.
Are you supposed to fill out all ten slots even if you think there will be less nominees than that?