Oscar 2015: Most Likely Best Actor Nominees

Choose up to 10 actors. May the best (or most overdue) man win.


Be sure to read Sasha’s first impression of Benedict Cumberbatch’s performance in The Imitation Game.

NOTE: Come share your congratulations on ADTV for Benedict Cumberbatch and his BEST ACTOR EMMY AWARD for Sherlock.

NOTE: Read an excellent interview with Robert Downey Jr., and share your thoughts about what he says.

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129 Comments on this Post

  1. I have no idea. I just picked my favorite actors. Can’t believe so many on my personal A-list are on there.

    Christian Bale
    Gael Garcia Bernal
    Jake Gyllenhaal
    Tom Hardy
    Al Pacino
    Joaquin Phoenix
    Jeremy Renner

    Those are my boys. I really have to not pay attention this year to protect myself. I filled in with Keaton (so glad he’s back) and Mortensen. I really should have put Ralph though. Poor thing.

  2. Benutty

    Less easy to predict than the Actress category, but I’d say:

    Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
    Michael Keaton – Birdman
    Matthew McConaughey – Interstellar
    Timothy Spall – Mr. Turner
    and any 1 other lackluster nominee that will have no chance at winning.

    This one’s between Carell and Keaton, unless the “unsafeness” of the major contenders (Birdman, Interstellar, Inherent Vice, Foxcatcher) leads the Academy to spin boringly British and award Mr. Turner for everything.

  3. I think Philip Seymour Hoffman was quoted saying that Viggo Mortensen was one of the masters of the profession. Criminally underrated for years and years until Lord of the Rings opened everyone’s eyes. He’s in Witness for like two minutes and totally owning it. He’s kind of like Harrison Ford for me, taken for granted when no one realizes how hard it is to pull off what he’s doing. Would love to see him gain traction for something. I agree wholeheartedly with his recently revealed views on the Lord of the Rings movies and The Hobbit. This guy is the real deal.

  4. Of the 10 I picked, I feel most okay with:

    Ben Affleck – Gone Girl
    Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
    Ellar Coltrane – Boyhood
    Ralph Fiennes – The Grand Budapest Hotel
    Michael Keaton – Birdman

    I think this might be Steve Carell’s year. *That’s what she said*

  5. steve50

    Tom Hardy
    Tom Hardy
    Tom Hardy
    (record’s stuck)
    Joaquin Phoenix
    James McAvoy
    Matthias Schoenaerts
    Timothy Spall
    Benedict Cumberbatch

  6. Top 5

    Michael Keaton
    Steve Carell
    Joaquin phoenix
    Timothy Spall
    Benedict Cumberbatch

    Second Tier

    Ralph Fiennes
    Jeremy Renner
    Matthew McConaughey
    Brad Pitt
    Oscar Isaac

  7. cirkusfolk

    You got Jake Gylenhaal on the list for Enemy but what about Nightcrawler?

  8. cirkusfolk

    And even though I didn’t care for the movie, what about Guy Pearce in The Rover?

  9. cirkusfolk, thanks. Two interesting options. Both added.

  10. I picked:
    Steve Carell
    Channing Tatum
    Chadwick Boseman
    Timothy Spall
    Oscar Isaac

    I think Boseman is the safest bet. If if Get On Up gets middling reviews he will come out safe and praised. He’s universally loved right now. But there are so many unseen performances!

  11. Here’s the 10 I chose:

    Affleck
    Boseman
    Carell
    Fiennes
    Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)
    Keaton
    Murray
    Phoenix
    Pitt
    Spall

  12. Top 5
    Carell – Foxcatcher
    Fiennes – Grand Budapest
    Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler
    Keaton – Birdman
    Spall – Mr Turner

    Gyllenhaal is going to win

  13. Jake Gyllenhaal/Nightcrawler
    Michael Keaton/Birdman
    Joaquin Phoenix/Inherent Vice
    Channing Tatum/Foxcatcher
    Elar Coltrane/Boyhood
    Gael Garcia Bernal/Rosewater
    Chadwick Boseman/Get On Up
    Timothy Spall/Mr. Turner
    Eddie Redmayne/Theory of Everything
    Jack O’Connell/Unbroken

  14. Daniel Hardy

    Michael Keaton
    Benedict Cumberbatch
    Steve Carrell
    Jack O’Connell
    Jake Gyllenhaal
    Chadwick Boseman
    Timothy Spall
    Jeremy Renner
    Gael Garcia Bernal
    Channing Tatum

  15. So tough this early in the game…

    Michael Keaton
    James Corden
    Steve Carrell
    Eddie Redmayne
    Jake Gyllenhaal
    Chadwick Boseman
    Timothy Spall
    Ben Afleck
    Gael Garcia Bernal
    Channing Tatum

  16. Ellar Coltrane – Boyhood
    Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
    Matthew McConaughey (very impressed by the new trailer)
    Michael Keaton – Birdman
    Timothy Spall – Mr. Turner

  17. Isn’t Benicio in a couple of things? Or do they not have release dates?

  18. Ralph Fiennes – The Grand Budapest Hotel
    PSH – A Most Wanted Man
    Brad Pitt – Fury
    Michael Keaton – Birdman
    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
    Timothy Spall – Mr Turner
    Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year

    Chadwick Boseman – Get On Up
    Michael Fassbender – MacBeth
    James McAvoy – Eleanor Rigby
    Gael Garcia Bernal – Rosewater
    Christian Bale – Exodus
    Jake Gyllenhaal – NIghtcrawler
    Andrew Garfield – 99 Homes

  19. Patrice A. Mitsos

    Philip Seymour Hoffman
    Philip Seymour Hoffman
    Philip Seymour Hoffman
    Philip Seymour Hoffman
    Philip Seymour Hoffman

  20. Steve Carell (Foxcatcher)
    Ralph Fiennes (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
    Michael Keaton (Birdman)
    Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Vice)
    Timothy Spall (Mr. Turner)

  21. Michael Keaton, Birdman
    Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
    Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
    Brad Pitt, Fury
    Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
    Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher (Think he may go supporting and win)
    Jack O’Connell, Unbroken
    David Oyelowo, Selma
    Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner
    Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

  22. Ben Affleck? Is there a Ben Affleck out there in some parallel universe who knows how to act? I’ve never seen his work unfortunately.

  23. Christophe

    Michael Fassbender – MacBeth

    If it can make it this year.

  24. Lots of strong possibilities.

    But I really hope Ralph Fiennes doesn’t get forgotten at the end of it all…

  25. Phil Boroff

    My pick to take the prize — Michael Fassbender for “Macbeth” — is NOT EVEN on the list!

  26. rufussondheim

    I know you put him is Supporting, but as I said over there James Cordon will definitely be campaigned for Lead Actor for Into the Woods. His character, The Baker, has the main character arc of the show and I assume the movie as well. The last half hour is all about him in one way or another, pretty much.

  27. Michael Fassbender for MacBeth ?

  28. I mistyped above. I wasn’t questioning. I was exclaiming!

    Michael Fassbender for MacBeth !

  29. Natasha

    Steve Carrell–Foxcatcher
    Michael Keaton-Birdman
    James McAvoy–Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
    Ralph Fiennes–Grand Budapest Hotel
    Timothy Spall–Mr. Turner
    Chadwick Boseman–Get on Up
    Eddie Redmayne–Theory of Everything
    Oscar Isaac–A Most Violent Year
    Ellar Coltrane-Boyhood
    Joaquin Phoenix–Inherent Vice

    Hard to ignore Ben Affleck and especially Brad Pitt since they are SOOOO popular–and you know how that works. Hard to ignore Gyllenhall, Hardy, and Cumberbatch due to their sheer talent. Whoever mentioned Fassbender in the comments has a great argument–and Philip Seymour Hoffman, PSH, PSH, PSH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Sorry I’m late to this party–regular net access escaped me for a few days….

  30. ”and thw winner is… RDJ!” ;))
    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  31. He deserves!
    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  32. We will win! Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge!

  33. ROBERT DOWNEY JR – THE JUDGE !

  34. Estrella

    Robert Downey Jr !!!
    tú lo ganaras ya te lo deven :’)
    eres el mejor y todos los saben, Te Amo Rob :3
    y mucha Suerte.

  35. Estephanie

    Robert Downey Jr;)

  36. Memduş

    ROBERT DOWNEY JR!!!!!!!!!!

  37. Memduş

    Robert Downey Jr will win!

  38. Memduş

    I definitely think Robert deserves

  39. Andrea Armua

    winner : Jeremy Renner, Kill the messenger

  40. feingarten

    For myself, I’d like to see Renner earn a nom but it seems unlikely

    so i’d chose the following

    Renner/Hardy for Locke-Hardy was superb creating a fully realized character thru a series of phone calls
    Cumberbatch-again the Weinstein actor
    with the remaining 3 -those with the post preOscar chatter- Carell/Keaton- seems almost a foregone conclusion along with Oscar Issacs figuring prominently- Fiennes has been lingering with the overly sentimental choice going to Phillip Hoffman

  41. Vitória

    ”and thw winner is… RDJ!” ;))
    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  42. Vitória

    RDJ!” ;))
    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  43. Vitória chaves

    RDJ!” ;)) te amoooo
    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  44. makubex

    Robert Downey jr!!! LOVE HIM!!!
    and Ben Affleck
    Christian Bale
    Jake Gyllenhaal
    are Pretty good

  45. Team Downey forever…

  46. Team Downey forever

  47. Robert Downey jr – the judge

  48. Ganara RDJ se los aseguró.

  49. Robert Downey Jr

    Vamos a ganar :)

  50. Robert Downey jr.

  51. Faye Vanasse

    Robert Downey Jr. Deserves the awarded

  52. Faye Ann Vanasse

    Robert Downey Jr. Deserves the Award

  53. Robert Downey Jr. deserved this award!

  54. Robert Downey Jr. deserves this award!

  55. Do not be ridiculous one. Robert suffered a very bad thing and still seems now to receive this award. Some adolescents fans come here they drool. This is a fact. Robert deserves this award. He deserved this award so many times but he can’t get. He suffered many injustices. But this time it can not be prevented by anyone. We will win!

  56. Robert Downey Jr. Is the Man Who’s gonna Take It Alll…….He is the Winner …..

  57. RDJ-SOON AN OSCAR WINNER

    And the Oscar goes tooo…Robert downey jr

    Robert downey jr -the judge
    Robert downey jr -the judge

    ITS ROBERTS YEAR! HE DESERVES IT! I KNOW WILL GET IT
    HES AN OSCAR WINNER
    SO ITS OSCAR TIME FOR HIM N ONLY HIM

    Robert downey jr -the judge
    Robert downey jr -the judge

  58. RDJ-SOON AN OSCAR WINNER

    ROBERT DOWNEY JR WILL WIN!!!
    ITS HIS YEAR NEXT YEAR!!!
    RDJ WILL TAKE T ALL!!
    HE SOOOO DESERVES IT
    HE DESERVED IT FOR CHAPLIN TOOO BUT ITS ALRIGHT
    CUZ HES GONNA WIN FOR THE JUDGE THIS TIME!
    HES OUR OSCAR WINNER
    PLUS HES BEEN HERE IN THIS INDUSTRY FOR A LONG TIME
    SO THERES NO DEBATE JUST GIVE IT TO HIM ALREADY

    ITS OSCAR TIME
    ROBERT DOWNEY JR -THE JUDGE
    ROBERT DOWNEY JR -THE JUDGE

  59. 1- 10 Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    He manages to take a character’s turn in the dearest, and goes on to look better we know your work, not only the man but rather the iron all. It is time to do him a favor is to give the oscar phoenix

  60. Biz kazanicaz engek olamiycaksiniz ergen mallari! Oscar goes to… Robert Downey Jr – The Judge

  61. It is a strong field. Some brilliant actors are going to get overlooked (as usual) and some Academy darlings will get the nod (as usual).

  62. James McAvoy of course!

  63. Shame on you, no JOSH HUTCHERSON!

    JOSH HUTCHERSON – Paradise Lost/Mockingjay Part 1

  64. WE WILL WINNNN!!!!!GO GO GO VOTE ROBERT DOWNEY JR !!!! HE DESERVES :D

  65. James Mcavoy – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby

  66. Elaine Han

    The winner is Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game!!!!!!

  67. JEREMY RENNER!!!

  68. JAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAMES McAVOY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  69. TOM HARDY, el mejor actor, excelente, magnifico, creativo, genial.Sincero, Humilde.-
    TOM HARDY, Benedict…C.Bale,…. etc.

  70. natalia

    James McAvoy! He’s the most overdue and, for sure, the most underappreciated (and it’s ironic and sad that, realistically, he has almost zero chance of getting nominated, much less win the oscar).

  71. cristina hdez

    VOTO FOR JAMES MCAVOY LIVE LOVE

  72. cristina hdez

    JAMES MCAVOY

  73. Robert Downey Jr -The Judge
    Robert Downey Jr -The Judge
    Robert Downey Jr -The Judge
    Robert Downey Jr -The Judge
    Robert Downey Jr -The Judge
    Benedict Cumberbatch- The Imitation Game
    Benedict Cumberbatch- The Imitation Game
    Benedict Cumberbatch- The Imitation Game
    Benedict Cumberbatch- The Imitation Game
    Benedict Cumberbatch- The Imitation Game

    thats it i am done….i should go commit suicide now…..how can i choose between these two …WHY WHY GOD WHY

  74. Here’s something wrong! I vote and vote for Robert Downey jr
    and BC gets more and more? Is this real?
    RDJ is the best and he deserves the Oscar for a long time!

  75. mariana

    Robert downey jr <3 THE BEST ACTOR , el mejor de todos los tiempos…..

  76. Robert Downey Jr.

  77. Robert seriously need to get this award…. He deserves this.

  78. Jeremy Renner

  79. Robert Downey Jr. <3

  80. kristen stewart

  81. RDJ deserves this award!!!!

  82. This desire comes from deep in my heart. Robert Downey jr
    deserves the Oscar more than any other! His performances
    are perfect – in all the roles he embodies!

  83. Nisha Navik

    Robert Downey Jr-The Judge

  84. Tiramisu Monster

    Где же Дикаприо?

    BENEDICT. ONLY BENEDICT.

  85. Tiramisu Monster

    YEAAAAAAH!!!
    Cumberbatch will win!!!

  86. Aleksandar

    You can’t make me choose between Robert Downey Jr. and Benedict Cumberbatch. :/

  87. Definitely Benedict Cumberbatch. If anyone out of these actors deserves an Oscar, it’s him.

  88. Jeremy Renner – Kill the Messenger

  89. I just saw “Boyhood” and can’t determine if Ethan Hawke is supporting or a co-star with the other 2 main actors.

    If you are an Ethan Hawke fan (who isn’t?), then I recommend this movie wholeheartedly. His performance is funny, smart, moving, and real. Not a false note in it. He seamlessly dissolves into the role of the father and he takes us on a journey where parenthood is a learned, often brutal, life experience.

  90. trisha mCeda

    RDJ will win! go RDJ ♥♥♥

  91. Hello! Everybody! I’m a Chinese girl !~ Because of Harry Potter. I love Allan.I hope more and more people like him. OH, by the way, I also LOVE Julie Andrews. I think she is a miracle!

  92. Pâmela Ferreira

    Robert Downey Jr.

  93. I really do hope Benedict Cumberbatch is gonna win. He deserves this Oscar much more than anybody from this list does.

  94. Robert Downey junior!

  95. КАМБЕРБЕНЯ!!!
    КАМБЕРБЕНЯ!!!
    КАМБЕРБЕНЯ!!!
    КАМБЕРБЕНЯ!!!
    КАМБЕРБЕНЯ!!!
    БЕНЕДИКТ КАМБЕРБЭТЧ♥

  96. One and only Robert Downey Jr!!!

  97. Katy Downey

    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  98. Katy Perita

    1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

  99. Александр

    Только Роберт, только “Судья”, только хардкор!

  100. erika eunice

    Sin dudar ROBERT DOWNEY JR. EN el juez papi rico

  101. Tiramisu Monster

    Benedict Cumberbatch!

  102. 1) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    2) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    3) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    4) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    5) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    6) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    7) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    8) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    9) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge
    10) Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge

    Robert Va a ganar!!!!!!!!

  103. Черничный Пирог

    Oh, really? Cumbercollective, you now, what we must do, yea?) So, Benedict will provide the first place) Guys, I believe in you!
    P. S. Hopefully, Russian fans will not have problems with the translation?)

  104. It isn’t supposed to be a popularity vote, you are supposed to pick who you think is most likely to get nominated for best actor. No way in hell is Robert Downy Jr getting nominated. Why is Keaton and Carrell so far down and also James McAvoy sadly doesn’t have a hope either, neither does Rickman. At least Cumberbatch actually is likely to get nominated but 117,000 votes?

  105. Going for Benedict Cumberbatch to be nominated as Best Actor for the Oscar 2015.

  106. Mrs.Holmes30

    Benedict Cumberbatch really deserves it! <3 GO BENNY!

  107. De Dunggs

    I do not want lot of comments about robert downey jr…only loyal fans only that will know personality he….
    My last word here is
    HIS DREAM HAVE BEEN ACHIEVED
    BUT THAT SUPERB HE IS SUCCESSFUL PULL STRONG HIS FAN…
    thank you….
    i like u rdjr…u r the best ever !!!!!!!!

  108. 1.-TOM HARDY LOCKE

    2.-TOM HARDY THE DROP

    3.-BENEDICT

  109. I don’t know, i just want: Joaquin Phoenix, Benedict Cumberbatch, Viggo Mortensen and Al Pacino ~

  110. If RDJ wins he will win for the probably most crappy movie he ever was in. I hope he doesn’t want that.

  111. I still believe, RDJ earns an Oscar! However, is the Oscar also worthy RDJ? Robert doesn’t need this golden little man. He is the KING OF THE HEARTS, this is much more important.

  112. RDJ RDJ RDJ RDJ RDJ RDJ RDJ

  113. Natasha Krizel

    Benedict Cumberbatch. Definitely!

  114. Jeremy Renner -Matar al Mensajero

  115. Invictus

    ROBERT DOWNEY JR. is far overdue for an Oscar. I’ve actually seen The Judge twice now, and he is excellent – so is Robert Duvall. This is a movie that audiences will love. WE LOVE YOU RDJ.

  116. Invictus

    I love how people who haven’t even seen The Judge are commenting on it. I’ve seen it twice and it’s excellent. RDJ and Duvall both deserve Oscars – there are some extremely intense scenes, and they are two of the greatest actors of our time.

  117. OSCAR AWARD IS A PICE OF SHEET

    NOBODY WIN AN OSCAR
    THEY BUY IT. AND NEED A LOT OF MONEY FOR IT.
    OSCAR AWARD CAN GO TO HELL.

  118. Vivian Lin

    Vote for Benedict Cumberbatch!!!

  119. AESHA K. PANCHAL

    I am with robert downey jr…

  120. AESHA K. PANCHAL

    Obviously, I will vote robert downey jr….

  121. BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH
    BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH

  122. Sherlock :)

    Benedict Cumberbatch forever
    Hes bae

  123. In the near future, Harvard Business School will be giving classes on the McConaissance of 2013 and the Cumbercrash of 2014, in which an actor’s promising career was totally destroyed by his incredibly annoying fans.

  124. Benedict Comberbatch

  125. Ally Stark

    My number 1 actor….ROBERT DOWNEY JR. !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! YAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  126. I know it is so unlikely, but Nicolas Cage was really solid in “Joe” earlier this year. Maybe the Independent Spirit Awards will nominate him.

  127. CUMBIE <3

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