Thanks to Marshall for helping to do this — down the wire and up late at night. We’re very appreciative.
With a few big and little changes still to come – Main Predictions Here and Techs start here
Thanks to Marshall for helping to do this — down the wire and up late at night. We’re very appreciative.
With a few big and little changes still to come – Main Predictions Here and Techs start here
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The only one that I’d say is a little off is Sound Mixing, again because the CAS didn’t nominate it and no film has ever won the Best Sound Mixing Oscar without being nominated by them first, making it rather risky to predict it
Yeah, that’s the reason I got that one wrong too… Oh well, I don’t care too much. I was nowhere near the prizes anyway (I did rather poorly in the techs, I always do). But it does go to show, once again, that the stats are less important outside the top 8 categories. Next year, I’ll just predict whatever Kris Tapley predicts in all of the tech categories, and be done with it! 🙂
Hey Marshall – Any chance we can get the link to the tech awards fixed (the editing, make-up, etc)? I have tracked these in a spreadsheet for 12 years now to see who does well in which category. I figured you were slammed yesterday but if you can fix this today or just send me the spreadsheet that would be (as Lego says) Awesome. Thanks.
The consensus for the missing categories according to Gold Derby:
Film Editing: Boyhood
Cinematography: Birdman
Costume Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Makeup: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Production Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Score: The Theory of Everything
Best Song: “Glory” Selma
Sound Mixing: Whiplash
Sound Editing: American Sniper
Visual Effects: Interstellar
The only one that I’d say is a little off is Sound Mixing, again because the CAS didn’t nominate it and no film has ever won the Best Sound Mixing Oscar without being nominated by them first, making it rather risky to predict it, but I suppose it does at least have a chance, though I would think they’d be drawn to Birdman, American Sniper, or Interstellar instead.
Where is the entire Tech page with Sound,Editing, costume etc? These are the categories I need the most help in. Please fix this link soon!!….it’s like Christmas but missing half the presents.
So I guess we don’t get the whole technical page this year ?
“@TRUE FINN, you are correct…there is a linking issue in the Big Bad Predictions Chart…please fix and help us, Awards Daily, you’re my only hope in my Oscar pool…”
Seconded! 🙂
@TRUE FINN, you are correct…there is a linking issue in the Big Bad Predictions Chart…please fix and help us, Awards Daily, you’re my only hope in my Oscar pool…
oh, i missed the deadline to vote….oh well…these are my predictions…
BEST PICTURE
• Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
BEST DIRECTOR
• Richard Linklater Boyhood
BEST ACTOR
• Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
• Michael Keaton Birdman (second choice…i really hope he wins)
BEST ACTRESS
• Julianne Moore Still Alice
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
• J.K. Simmons Whiplash
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
• Patricia Arquette Boyhood
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
• Armando Bo, Alexander Dinelaris Jr., Nicolas Giabone, Alejandro G. Inarritu Birdman
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
• Damien Chazelle Whiplash
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
• Emmanuel Lubezki Birdman
BEST FILM EDITING
• Sandra Adair Boyhood
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
• Milena CanoneroThe Grand Budapest Hotel
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
• Adam Stockhausen The Grand Budapest Hotel
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
• Johann Johannsson The Theory of Everything
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
• Selma (Glory)
BEST SOUND EDITING
• Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman American Sniper
BEST SOUND MIXING
• John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff, Walt Martin American Sniper
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
• Paul Franklin, Andrew Lockley, Ian Hunter, Scott Fisher Interstellar
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
• Frances Hannon, Mark Coulier The Grand Budapest Hotel
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
• Ida Pawel Pawlikowski
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
• How to Train Your Dragon 2 Dean DeBlois, Bonnie Arnold
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
• Citizenfour
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
• The Dam Keeper
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
• Parvaneh
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
• Joanna
Thanks for this! Neat!
Just like last year, they’re off on Original Screenplay, but other than that, solid picks (so far). Like most of them, I felt compelled to predict Redmayne, but I’m hoping that Keaton can pull an upset, which could very well happen if Birdman does as well as it’s expected to do.
Are you all blind??? Where is the stuff for Sound Makeup etc? Pls. I’m dyin here.
Great! This lets me know which source is the correct one if they disagree. For example my older source showed Sasha picking Sniper for Sound Mixing but you are showing her as Birdman. Thanks. Hopefully Dave Karger will update his picks.
Said another way, I always thought Birdman would win at least actor, and probably nothing else major. Now it’s looking the other way
Sasha you changing to Birdman as promised?!
A few things to watch I think
– if Birdman loses cinematography it’s in trouble
– if boyhood loses editing it’s in trouble
– if birdman wins sound mixing it’s sweeping
– if whiplash wins editing, it might snatch screenplay and maybe sound
– if Birdman is sweeping Keaton should get up
What’s most interesting is Birdman’s least likely major win according to the experts is Actor. Now even those that hate the film have praised the performance. Keaton winning the Oscar would of course perfectly complete the comeback narrative of his character. I just don’t get how the Birdman train lost its actor in this race.
Hi James, in most cases we put the date next to each pundit’s name to indicate how up-to-date their predictions are. We will be updating and correcting it tonight again, so stay tuned!
Thanks for this. It is a key part of my “MoneyBall” Oscar predictions strategy. One question though, are these the latest as received from those listed or pulled from their website or other sources (aka Gurus of Gold or Gold Derby)? Thanks. P.S. Sasha is my “best bet” for Editing (Gravity last year), Score (You called Social Network), and Visual Effects (You called Harry Potter when few others did). You are going against consensus for Editing this year. That didn’t work so well for Production Design last year, but it did for the Editing split. ; ) And my “Moneyball” folks are calling it for Boyhood.
Tech predicts page 2 is pointing to page 1, I believe… or I’m just dumb