The SAG ballots are being sent in the mail today. Press release after the cut.
The nominating committee is a much smaller group than the 100,000 who vote for the SAGs. Around 2,200 SAG members are chosen to do the nominating, otherwise studios would have the insurmountable burden of sending out screeners to the entire membership (which many of them do after nominations).
Best Actor is going to be the hardest category, probably, with the strongest contenders being:
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Robert Redford, All Is Lost
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Forest Whitaker, The Butler
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Christian Bale, Out of the Furnace
Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Jake Gyllenhaal, Prisoners
Will likely include:
Leonardo DiCaprio, Wolf of Wall Street
Christian Bale, American Hustle
For Your Consideration: Bruce Dern for Nebraska. Dern has been working as an actor since the 1960s, starting first at the Actors Studio in New York, then working in television, then film. He has been nominated for just one Oscar -= Supporting for Coming Home. His recent work alone would qualify him as one of the greatest living actors — Big Love, Django Unchained and finally, the performance of his career, Nebraska. But looking back on the films he’s made, working with Roger Corman, Alfred Hitchcock, Sidney Pollack, Claude Chabrol, Douglas Trumbull and many others. The grossly unrecognized Dern has gone mostly unnoticed this Oscar season because critics and bloggers have not heralded Nebraska yet for what it is: not only the best film of Alexander Payne’s career, but the crowning achievement of one of America’s treasures in Dern. His is a performance that needs advocacy to make the cut. For your consideration, SAG nominating committee.
Best Actress surely will be down to the following:
Kate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
Kate Winslet, Labor Day
Brie Larson, Short Term
Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, Enough Said
And later, perhaps:
Amy Adams, American Hustle
For Your Consideration — one of the best performances of the year is Brie Larson in Short Term 12. It’s a smallish movie, one that hasn’t been seen much. She’s not a big star (yet) and thus, she’s not getting the kind of recognition for her work than she would ordinarily. But what a moving, layered, interesting performance she gives.
Best Supporting Actor
Gold Derby’s prediction chart
The likely suspects seem to be:
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Barkhad Abdi Captain Phillips
James Gandolfini, Enough Said
Woody Harrelson, Out of the Furnace
David Oyelowo, The Butler
Casey Affleck, Out of the Furnace
Daniel Bruhl, Rush
Geoffrey Rush, The Book Thief
Matthew McConaughey, Mud
Josh Brolin, Labor Day
John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
Andrew Dice Clay, Blue Jasmine
Alec Baldwin, Blue Jasmine
Still to come:
Jonah Hill, Wolf of Wall Street
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
For Your Consideration: Matthew McConaughey in Mud. It’s time to finally acknowledge this actor for the kind of dedication he puts into his work. A double nomination this year would do that so that he might stand alongside Tom Hanks as the other potential double nominee. Daniel Bruhl in Rush – what a surprising performance and the best thing about this otherwise entertaining film. Geoffrey Rush, The Book Thief. Once people start seeing this film they will be awed by this wonderful performance. But to get people to see it, aye, there’s the rub.
Best Supporting Actress
Gold Derby’s prediction chart
And the usual suspects – although please note – this could be the first year that there are three black Supporting Actress contenders, history-making indeed.
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Oprah Winfrey, The Butler
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska
Carey Mulligan, Inside Llewyn Davis
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Emily Watson, The Book Thief
Cameron Diaz, The Counselor
Lea Seydoux Blue is the Warmest Color
Sarah Paulson, 12 Years a Slave
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Still to come:
Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
For Your Consideration: Emily Watson in The Book Thief – one of the best films of the year, sure to be ignored but here’s hoping people see it, and love it as I do. Cameron Diaz in The Counselor – a live wire performance in a film that is far from perfect. But her performance deserves recognition.
Ensemble
Though I haven’t really given this one much thought — I would imagine these films will be recognized:
12 Years a Slave
August: Osage County
The Butler
Nebraska
Saving Mr. Banks
Blue Jasmine
Inside Llewyn Davis
Out of the Furnace
Labor Day
Dallas Buyers Club
Fruitvale Station
Still to come: American Hustle (probably a lock), Wolf of a Wall Street (ditto)
For your consideration: Before Midnight — while Julie Delpy or Ethan Hawke might not get in for acting nods, what better way to acknowledge this wonderful film than with an ensemble nod? It probably won’t/can’t happen but hey.
What are your predictions, FYC’s Oscar watchers?
Press release:
20th SAG Awards Nominations to be Announced on Wednesday, Dec. 11
Telecast Live on TNT and Webcast Live on tntdrama.com and tbs.com
(Press Release, Nov. 20, 2013) – Ballots for the 20th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards® nominations will be mailed to this year’s SAG Awards film and television nominating committees today.
The Screen Actors Guild Award — The Actor® — is presented for outstanding performances in motion pictures and primetime television. The nominees for performances in 2013, including the distinctive ensemble awards and the stunt ensemble honors, will be chosen by two separate film and television nominating panels, each comprised of 2,200 members from across the United States that were randomly selected this spring. Submissions closed on October 24. Requests for nomination consideration in a category of the actor’s choosing were submitted by actors or, with the actor’s permission, by producers, studios/networks, agents, managers, or publicists.
Votes for nominees may be cast online or via mailed paper ballot. The SAG Awards’ official teller, Integrity Voting Systems, must receive votes by noon (PT) on Monday, Dec. 9, 2013. Nominations for the 20th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards will be announced by SAG President Ken Howard, SAG Awards Social Media Ambassador Sasha Alexander (“Rizzoli & Isles”) and Clark Gregg (“Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.”) on Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2013 at the Pacific Design Center in West Hollywood, telecast live on TNT at 9:00 a.m. (ET) / 6:00 a.m. (PT) and webcast live on tntdrama.com and tbs.com, preceded by the stunt ensemble honors nominations at 8:50 a.m. (ET) / 5:50 a.m. (PT), webcast live on tntdrama.com and tbs.com.
Of the top industry honors presented to performers, only the SAG Awards are selected entirely by actors’ peers in SAG-AFTRA. Recipients of the 20th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards will be announced at ceremonies on Saturday, Jan. 18, 2014, simulcast live from the Los Angeles Shrine Exposition Center on TNT and TBS at 8 p.m. (ET), 5 p.m. (PT), 7 p.m. (CT) and 6 p.m. (MT). Recipients of the stunt ensemble honors will be announced from the SAG Awards red carpet at 6:15 p.m., (PT) / 3:15 p.m. (ET) during the Red Carpet Pre-Show webcast on tntdrama.com and tbs.com from 6-8 p.m. (PT) / 3-5 p.m. (PT).
Final voting information will be mailed via postcard to all eligible voting members of SAG-AFTRA on Dec. 16, 2013. Online voting is encouraged. Paper ballots will be made available only upon request, which must be made by Monday, Jan. 6, 2014. All votes must be received at Integrity Voting Systems by noon on Friday, Jan. 17. Results will be sealed until they are opened onstage at the 20th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards ceremony.
Complete rules and regulations for the 20th Annual SAG Awards are posted at www.sagawards.org/rules.
The 20th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards® presented by SAG-AFTRA will be produced by Jeff Margolis Productions in association with Screen Actors Guild Awards®, LLC. For more information about the SAG Awards, SAG-AFTRA, TNT and TBS, visit sagawards.org/about, “like” us at facebook.com/sagawardsofficialpage, follow us at twitter.com/sagawards, follow us SAG Awards on Google+ at google.com/+SAGawards, on Instagram by following @sagawards, and on Tumblr at sagawards.tumblr.com.
At this point I’d think they might go this way
Ensemble
1. 12 Years
2. Blue Jasmine
3. The Butler
4. Inside Llewyn
5. August Osage County
Actor
1. Redford Lost
2. Ejiofor 12 Years
3. Dern Nebraska
4. Mc Conaughey Dallas
5. Hanks Phillips
Actress
1. Bullock Gravity
2. Blanchett Jasmine
3. Dench Philomena
4. Thompson Banks
5. Delphy Midnight
Supp Actor
1. Leto Dalls
2. Fassbender 12 Years
3. Hanks Banks
4. Goodman Inside Llewyn
5. Mc Conaughey Mud
Supp Actress
1. Winfrey Butler
2. Nyong’o 12 Years
3. Paulson 12 Years
4. Spencer Llewyn
5. Martindale August Osage
As for Wolf of Wall Street: last week I got an e-mail featuring, IIRC, an app for making GIFs from the movie, which strikes me as, well, odd…I suppose time will tell, but my immediate gut instinct is that it’s not going to be much of a player this year. We shall see…
Thiago: No, you’re not–it’s a very different character from anything Renner’s ever played before (a middle-aged NJ politician who, while perhaps being willing to accept bribes, still genuinely cares about his constituents–plus he doesn’t die in the end, AFAIK, which, considering many of his past roles, is definitely a consideration), and I strongly suspect he’s going to have at least a couple of those big, emotional, “money shot” Oscar bait scenes…that, and he’s a damn good actor who seems to be well-liked to boot. Supporting Actor is a tight category this year (well, truth be told, all the acting categories are every year), but I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him not only nominated for various awards, but quite possibly winning some of them as well.
(BTW, has anyone seen American Hustle yet? It doesn’t sound as if anyone has, which is surprising considering the damn thing’s coming out in less than 3 weeks. I know directors and studios like to release movies as late in the season as possible so that they’ll be fresh in voters’ minds, but I can’t help but think that Russell’s cutting it way too close here, and might end up hurting rather than helping his film.)
Michael B. Jordan and Octavia Spencer are being SEVERELY underrated. They will both get SAG nominations. SAG screenings of this got raves.
@phantom The ensemble they are putting together is pretty impressive. And I agree about Elizabeth Banks, nice to see the humanity in that character. Still can’t manage to get Lawrence’s eyes at the end of the film out of my head, they really tell it all.
Ben
I saw it yesterday, and I agree, she has excellent screen presence and delivered a more layered Katniss this time around. The ensemble was great, I was particularly impressed with Elizabeth Banks and kind of surprised that Claflin pretty much managed to pull off Finnick. Now I can’t wait for the great Julianne Moore as Alma Coin !
I know she’s got about a snowball’s chance in hell and that if she’s to be recognized it’s likely for American Hustle (but I guess who knows, still unseen obviously), but holy hell does Jennifer Lawrence blaze off the screen in Catching Fire. Yes, the movie is not your typical fodder for awards attention, but if the world were a fair place people would be talking about and recognizing her performance for the achievement it is. Truly stellar work. She has found so much more in the character this time around, which was so exciting to watch. But…it’s a franchise movie based on a “young adult” book series so we can’t take it seriously. Anyone else see it yet? Thoughts?
FYC – Paul Dano in PRISONERS.
Brie Larson will get nominated for best actress
HER, HER, HER, HELLOOOO?!!!?
SAG should have a category for breakthrough actors.
My only FYC would be Simon Pegg, for “The World’s End”. He’s beyond amazing and it is a pity he has just an outside shot for the Golden Globe Comedy/Musical, and the Golden Satellite. He’s probably the best Comedic performance since Sacha Baron Cohen’s Borat.
To be honest, he’s been Oscar worthy in all Cornetto Trilogy films, showing an excellent range between his three characters.
I suspect the cast of “Prisoners” will be amongst the ensemble nominees…
I would really love to see Joaquin Phoenix getting a nod for Her. I expect the film will get up steam come December.
I guess SAG might go something like:
Best Ensemble Cast
American Hustle
12 Years a Slave
Nebraska
Inside Llewyn Davis
Saving Mr. Banks
Best Lead Performance by Male Actor
Bruce Dern – Nebraska
Matthew McCaunaghey – Allas Buyers Club
Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Joaquin Phoenix – Her
Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
Best Lead performance by Female Actor
Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock – Gravity
Adele Exarchopoulos – Blue is the Warmest Color
Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. banks
Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
(Amy Adams in American Hustle???)
Best Supporting Male Actor
Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
Jarod Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
John Goodman – Indisde Llewyn Davis
(Alt. Renner or Cooper in American Hustle, Jonah Hill in TWoWS, Woody Harrelson for Out of the Furnace, Gandolfini)
Best Supporting Female Actor:
Amy Adams – Her/American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
Carey Mulligan – Inside Llewyn Davis
Oprah Winfrey – The Butler
No guts no glory to Scarlett Johanson – Her
For Best Actor, you listed Hanks for Saving Mr. Banks. Obviously, you mean Captain Phillips.
BEST CAST
August: Osage County
Blue Jasmine
Inside Llewyn Davies
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years A Slave
BEST ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Paulina García (Gloria)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
BEST ACTOR
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years A Slave)
Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
Joaquin Phoenix (Her)
Robert Redford (All is Lost)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Margo Martindale (August: Osage County)
Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years A Slave)
Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniel’s The Butler)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
Steve Coogan (Philomena)
James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
Geoffrey Rush (The Book Thief)
I’m actually hoping that Bobby Canavale will get a BSA nod for “Blue Jasmine”. Whenever he was on screen, I couldn’t keep my eyes off him. I thought his scenes with Cate Blanchett and Sally Hawkins were riveting. I know all the Hollywood hype is surrounding Alec Baldwin and Andrew Dice Clay, but for my money Canavale gave the best male performance in the film. I’d be thrilled if he were recognized. And the great Peter Skaarsdad (sp?) made a great impact with the few scenes he was in as well. I liked Baldwin, but I thought he rather walked through this role – not much of a stretch – whereas I’d never seen Canavale take on such a blue collar character before.
I also think the great Kristin Scott Thomas should get a BSA nod for “Only God Forgives”, a film hardly anybody saw. She was unrecognizable and unforgettable in that part – the meanest mother I’ve seen on screen since “Mommie Dearest”! ! !
FYC: Jude Law in Side Effects
So you’ve seen Monuments Men and Wolf of Wall street, thiago?
Call me crazy, but I don’t see The Wolf of Wall Street as an Oscar Bait yet. Seriously, they didn’t know when to release it two weeks ago, they even considered postponing it until early 2014. Maybe it is like Monuments Men: stellar ensemble and popular director, which lead us to think it’s Oscar Bait, but it is just an entertaining movie.
first clip from Wolf of wall street!!: http://movies.yahoo.com/video/wolf-wall-street-clip-202007843.html
@Pierre – You are absolutely right. I am not a big fan of Blue Jasmine but Bobby Cannavale gave a superb performance.
I want Bobby Cannavale to get in there for his hairstyle alone.
I must agree with Pierre on Bobby Cannavale!!! He gave what is surely one of the best supporting performances of 2013.
I just got back from Catching Fire and though I’m fully aware she probably doesn’t stand a chance, I must say I was very impressed with Elizabeth Banks and I do consider her a worthy supporting actress contender even if a slightly unrealistic one. The performance could have been a caricature, it wasn’t. Flashy for sure but full of subtle moments of humanity and emotion.
You keep forgetting Harrison Ford in 42.
I wish we’d see Bobby Cannavale’s name mentioned. He was one of the best things about Blue Jasmine.
What about Joaquin Phoenix! I think he could get in this year….
@thiago
you are absolutely correct. many late december releases tend to miss out on SAG but later end up getting nominated by the academy. i.e. like you said waltz, rooney mara to name a few.
they seriously should change the deadlines for these things.
God I really really hope Mcaunaghey can get a supporting Oscar for Mud instead of lead for DBC. I LOVED him in DBC but his chances there are vanishing rapidly, but supporting still seems wide open. He could easily beat Leto or Hanks just by seeming more deserving of it. This is his best chance by far, Supporting Actor seems to be the one category that is still wide open for the taking.
FYC:
Rob Lowe in BEHIND THE CANDELABRA
I don’t have any movie FYCs this year. I haven’t seen enough maybe.
Remember that the ultimate nominees at the SAGs will be the first draft of a very similar collection of nominees (SAGs generally have 1 or 2 people per category who dont end up getting a nomination in Jan.) who are to receive Oscar noms, so remember to think about who you think will be nominated, wisely
This is SAG. They like older actors. They like TV actors. They arent likely to vote in mass for these late-breaking movies that arent as accessible (American Histle, Wolf). Therefore:
Actor:
Ejiofor
McConaughey
Redford
Dern
Whitaker
That seems locked and loaded, though I hope Im wrong on several accounts. I somehow see Hanks missing here but making Supporting. Mostly because of Dern support and that SAG will likely love The Butler and they love Whitaker. Also, Hanks doesnt specifically campaign for Lead.
Actress:
Blanchett
Bullock
Dench
Thompson
Streep
Ditto Best Actor.
Supp.Actor:
Fassbender
Leto
Gandolfini
Hanks
Abdi (In a slight surprise)
Supp.Actress:
Oprah
Nyongo
Paulson
Hawkins
Squibb
I think category confusion will effect Julia Roberts and Margo Martindale.
SAG Ensemble:
12YAS
The Butler
Blue Jasmine
Saving Mr. Banks
August Osage County
Those feel right to me right now 🙂
Finally, a Special Jury Prize to:
Michael Cera, THIS IS THE END.
For stealing a film with the least amount of screen time. Hilarious.
Yeah, that was the best. Other highlights for me were Channing Tatum (“I love…him”) and The Backstreet Boys. The movie as a whole is significantly weaker on a second viewing, I mean the laughs. Cera works every time though, and I generally dislike him.
I’m going to start remembering very small roles that should be recognized somehow, like way below 5min of screen time.
SAG is open to surprises but I don’t think there will be a big competition on Best Actor Oscar.
If 12YRS goes on to win both BP + BD, nobody can stop Ejiofor.
Imho, Adele Exarchopoulos + Lea Seydoux duo gave the best ensemble performance of the year in a foreign language film!! Their respective chances of nomination will depend on SAG + Academy’s view on film. Academy especially tends not to give credit to actors having explicit sex scenes. Last example is Michael Fassbender in McQueen’s Shame. He was brilliant in that film and clearly snubbed by the Academy.
It seems crazy, but I can definitely imagine Globe members nominating a film and/or performance without watching it based on the buzz itself. Then they watch it after the nomination to decide whether it wins or not.
The same cannot be said of SAG members.
I am afraid American Hustle might get snubbed because of its late release. Django had the best ensemble last year and was not even nominated for the same reason, which led to one of the many strange things of that season: Waltz winning an Oscar without having been nominated for the SAG.
I’m feeling the Hugh Jackman love too. More likely for Golden Globe or SAG recognition than Academy, though.
Why have we all forgotten about Her? Joaquin Phoenix, Amy Adams, Scarlett Johansson? Am I the only one aboard this thing?
m1
I do. I’m not even sure the film will get ANY nominations just like Django didn’t last year, not because it couldn’t possibly be worthy or later on a strong Oscar contender in acting, more like just like Django, they could be late with the screeners or not send any to begin with. They may still vote for the cast Nine-style just because of the high-profile, esteemed actors, but I don’t see it getting individual nods.
IF it is completed in time to send screeners, that changes everything, then supporting players Lawrence and Cooper MAY score nods and if Bale can get past the massive competition – and probably DiCaprio – then even he could get in. But for now, I think it’s a reach to predict any of them. Considering them, sure, but until people start seeing the film and calling it a masterpiece, I can’t really jump on the bandwagon. For all we know the whole thing could be a rushed hot mess. They started FILMING eight months ago, so clearly it is a nailbiter how it will turn out with so little time for the whole filmmaking process from principal photograpy to post-production.
Re: your BEFORE MIDNIGHT Ensemble FYC… Yes, yes, a thousand times yes. I’d add the cast of THE WORLD’S END for nailing every one-liner in that script.
My FYCs for SAG:
Actor: Tye Sheridan, MUD. SAG likes the young ‘uns (even Freddie Highmore got a nod in ’04, if memory serves) and Sheridan gives one of the most genuine child performances I’ve seen in a while. So little of it feels false or constructed in the editing room.
Honorable Mention: Forrest Whitaker, THE BUTLER. He’s a more high profile contender and COULD make it, but I worry he’ll be lost in the deluge of contenders. He’s so wonderful in that film.
Actress: Amy Seimetz, UPSTREAM COLOR. The absolute polar opposite of an awards contender, but I think she roots the film’s fundamental strangeness in a human place. And she’s believably haunted throughout.
Supporting Actress:
Shailene Woodley, THE SPECTACULAR NOW. For taking a character who is essentially an idealized construct and fleshing it out to the point where I could buy her motivations. (And she’s firmly a supporting role. Totally secondary to Miles Teller).
And, just for shits and giggles…
Emma Watson, THE BLING RING. She embraces the caricature with little to no inhibition and for her surprisingly adept comic timing. It takes a clever actress to play dumb this well.
Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, THE WAY WAY BACK. The absolute lifeblood of the film, providing the best laughs. I also think the film’s a modest gem that deserves a little more play.
Finally, a Special Jury Prize to:
Michael Cera, THIS IS THE END.
For stealing a film with the least amount of screen time. Hilarious.
SAG Predictions, November 20th 2013:
BEST ACTOR
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 years a Slave
Robert Redford, All is Lost
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Colour
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Daniel Bruhl, Rush
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels’ The Butler
ENSEMBLE
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Lee Daniels’ The Butler
Blue Jasmine
Nebraska
FYC:
Lead Actress
Cosmina Stratan (Beyond the Hills)
@Bryce Forestieri
I agree about Sam Rockwell for The Way, Way Back. He was awesome in it.
@phantom: So American Hustle gets an ensemble nod but not any individual acting nominations? I don’t see that happening.
Blue Jasmine totally deserves a best ensemble nomination, as does The Place Beyond the Pines to a lesser extent.
And if we’re nominating anyone from Oz, which we shouldn’t, then we should nominate Michelle Williams. I also thought Benedict Cumberbatch was the best thing about the best summer blockbuster this year, Star Trek into Darkness.
Do we know if any of the big films (other than Wolf and Hustle, of course) haven’t sent out screeners yet? They better get on it if not.
The surprise “Ensemble in a Film” would go to All Is Lost. Robert Redford would be the 1-man ensemble.
Okay, for real:
Ensemble in a Film:
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Saving Mr. Banks
The Wolf of Wall Street
Jake G. deserves to be considered for Supporting Actor for Prisoners in a relatively weak category.
SAG,
FYC:
Jake Gyllenhaal in PRISONERS
Tye Sheridan in MUD
Daniel Bruhl in RUSH
Brie Larson in SHORT TERM 12
Rachel Weisz in OZ THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
George Clooney in GRAVITY
James Franco in SPRING BREAKERS
Cameron Diaz in THE COUNSELOR
Tahar Rahim in THE PAST
Miles Teller and Shailene Woodley in THE SPECTACULAR NOW
And why the hell not Sam Rockwell in THE WAY WAY BACK?! I bet he’s down for some overdue love.
Ben Foster? Yeah, but that movie…
Rene Russo was jaw-droopingly bad-ass in THOR: THE DARK WORLD.
Ryan, it’s Cate not Kate. It seems like everytime you post something here, there is always an error on something. It’s not good to read and to look at.
oh damn, thanks Opmaco. please always never hesitate to point out errors that slip past us.
CAST
12 years a slave
american hustle
wolf of wall street
saving mr. banks
august oasage county
LEAD MALE
ejiofor
hanks
redford
mc conaughey
dern
LEAD FEMALE
blanchett
dench
thompson
bullock
adams
SUPPORTING MALE
fassbender
leto
hanks
(cant really decide hmmm)
gandolfini
renner
SUPPORTING FEMALE
nyongo
martindale
squibb
oprah
hawkins
seems predictable (except b’ male for me…)but is it ? and i mean in general as these predix look like oscar predix noms anyway…
The thing about Chiwetel Ejiofor’s role in 12yrs A Slave is that he provided the eyes with which we see the atrocities of slavery. Yes he went through some shit too, but the extraordinary acting by the supporting cast is what made this film as great as it is.
I guess I wasn’t so emotionally affected by him as I was by the supporting cast (i.e. Lupita Nyong’o ) , because I knew he gets out of his situation.
With Tom Hank’s role in Captain Phillips, I felt shaken along with him at the end. His reactions affected me more emotionally than Chiwetel Ejiofor’s.
I still think 12 Years a Slave is a better film than Captain Phillips.
However, Captain Phillips needs Tom Hanks to be a great film. And it is his acting that makes it so.
Tom Hanks wins Best Actor
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August : Osage County
Blue Jasmine
Wolf of Wall Street
if they don’t see WoWS, switch for The Butler.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Meryl Streep (August : Osage County)
Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Wolf of Wall Street)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
Robert Redford (All is Lost)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
if they don’t see WoWS, switch Leo for Forrest Whitaker in The Butler.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave)
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Julia Roberts (August : Osage County)
Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels’ The Butler)
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
I think many are underestimating that chances of Gravity and George Clooney being nominated with the SAGs. On one hand it’s a cast of two,but its the two most POPULAR stars in Hollywood in one of the most popular films of the year. It more than likely wont beat 12 years a Slave but if nominated it could be its biggest competition. Also I bet one of the Blue Actresses gets in. My guess is Lea.
Thanks for the info, Joseph.
Am I the only one who thinks Jackman could spoil in the Best Actor race at the Oscars? He’s not completely out of the question, right? If he gets a GG nom and a SAG nom, he could get in…righhhttt?
The only thing I am reasonably confident on is SAG Ensemble:
American Hustle
12 Years A Slave
Wolf of Wall Street
August: Osage County
Saving Mr Banks.
Still so torn whether Bruhl or Leto is making it. Sucks that Adele and Lea have less the no chance of making it here though.
* Jackman was a last minute switch so I forgot to list him alphabetically.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August : Osage County
Lee Daniels’ The Butler
Saving Mr. Banks
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August : Osage County)
Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
Robert Redford (All is Lost)
Hugh Jackman (Prisoners)
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jennifer Garner (Dallas Buyers Club)
Lupita Nyong’O (12 Years a Slave)
Sarah Paulson (12 Years a Slave)
Julia Roberts (August : Osage County)
Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels’ The Butler)
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
George Clooney (Gravity)
Chris Cooper (August : Osage County)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
When will you people understand, it’s Hanks’s year but for BSA for Saving Mr. Banks, not Cpt. Phillips (we’ll see of course but I believe that’s the way AMPAS will go).
FYC: Berenice Bejo in The Past. Out of all the lead-actress performances that I’ve seen thus far this year, hers is the best.
Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips. I’ve never been much of a fan of his acting, but wow, he was magnificent in this film.
Gustavo – I’ve seen some pop up for 12 Years A Slave, Blue Jasmine, Her and Prisoners.
FYC – James Franco, Sarah Paulson, Alfre Woodard
OOT: where are this year’s FYC Ads? I haven’t seen any anywhere. Some had already been released this time last year…
I’m more excited to see what Jeremy Renner does in American Hustle than Bradley Cooper, though both have quite interesting hair styles.
Great write-up! I enjoyed reading your advocacy, for your consideration comments.
I hope voters watch the films….just because The Butler and August: Osage County have stacked casts doesn’t necessarily mean they are the best casts. 12 Years a Slave may have lesser known actors, but come on, the work speaks for itself.
I hope Daniel Brühl gets nominated.
Am I the only one who thinks Jeremy Renner might be something in American Hustle?
FYC:
Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
I know she’s already a possibility but I would like to mention her anyway. Not only is it the best performance of the year, but one of the best of the past few. It’s a true breakthrough! She’s a revelation. Haven’t been able to get her out of my head.
Would also put Lea Seydoux’s name out there. Both actresses are fantastic. Adele left the biggest impression on me, but they’re both more than deserving.
Two other excellent performances that are two of the best female performances so far this year would be Julie Delpy (Before Midnight)
and Greta Gerwig (Frances Ha).
I assume it’s Tom Hanks for Captain Philips in lead (not Saving Mr Banks). And I don’t know why Jake Gyllenhaal comes up in conversation but Hugh Jackman doesn’t. Both are superb in the film, and Jackman has the flashier role of the two, so I think if someone gets in, it’s him.
Also, I don’t have anything against the late Galdonfini, but would we be talking about awards for him if this wasn’t his last film? I haven’t seen the film itself, but I would like to hear earnest comments on his performance alone, and see if he would eventually deserve a spot (I too thought Bruhl was great in Rush, and he needs a lot of support to get in).