Best Actress race is very heated this year, needless to say.
I agree but it is mostly top heavy. Once you get past 15-20 contenders, it gets pretty thin soon.
Dench is a contender but far from a lock like so many people on here proclaim
Dench is surely a lock, and has many things in her favor. If any Best Actress contender has a narrative, it’s her. It’s silly for anyone to think that the movie could get a screenplay nod but NOT a nod for Dench. Weinstein was able to get a win for Streep and a win for Lawrence. He can do the same for Dench.
She will be in before Larson or Winslet and probably Adams unless she hits a homerun.
It’s a Harvey Weinstein movie. She’s a lock. Only occasionally has he not gotten his way with the Academy. He was pushing De Niro for supporting actor last year but he lost. But who did he lose to? Why, Christoph Waltz for another Weinstein release. Even when he doesn’t get his way, he gets his way. No way Dench doesn’t get nominated.
Yes and we mustn’t forget that Dench has been nominated 4 times as Lead Actress and that she never won.
I’ve the feeling it’s gonna be the same that happened with Geraldine Page in 1986.
PS: I consider her oscar for Shakespeare in Love as a forgift win but certainly not for an acting oscar.
I disagree she’s far from a lock every year on here everyone says this one or that one is a lock and their wrong most of the time. Larson will get in!!!!!
I sadly think you will be in that ‘wrong’ group. She’s not making it bud.
We will see
I think you will be in that wrong group buddy
Biopic + Catholic Church broadside + going blind + Harvey + great performance (assuming) = lock, at least for a nomination.
Sandra Bul, however, does not have a lock.
I totally agree with u about bullock she’s not a lock I saw gravity it was good but her performance was good not great
Hmm, this reminds me of that Quartet movie for some reason with Maggie Smith, has that same feel but I think Judi Dench will get nominated. She was nominated for Mrs Henderson Presents and Chocolat for goodness sake! People love her and she is a wonderful, seasoned actress.
Now if only Gena Rowlands could land a part like this. How I would love her to get an Oscar. So robbed in 1974. She deserved it for A Woman Under the Influence.
We were talking about Judi Dench weren’t we? I got carried away
Saw this at TIFF and was delightfully surprised. This is a huge crowdpleaser – Dench and screenplay (a remarkable true story boldly written as a comedy) are definite.
We will see about dench
Sandra Bullock is a lock and she will probably win, because she gives an extraordinary performance and because Gravity will WIN BP and BD along with Cinematography and VFX. Gravity has 5 locks for the win not just for the nom.
Five locks for the win, including BP and Best Director? In October?
Would you be at least polite enough to spell someone name in full? This is not Twitter where you need to shorten everything.
I maintain it’s between Dench and Streep for the win. I’ve always felt that way and still do.
It was a joke. That you didn’t get.
And a good one I might add.
She is trouble.
I don’t like him though. Did they run out of British actors?
I meant “Sandra Bul” part. Is that also a joke and a good one? Then I’m fine that I didn’t get it.
And Big Momma’s House gets closer to Oscar glory…
Big Question Mark for Dench: Why did she not win Venice Best Actress bid for Philomena considering there’s hardly any competition? Whereas Mirren prevailed with same director’s The Queen. Gathered that TWC’s thrust for this year would be similar to 2012 Meryl Vs. Michelle. That is, compete in separate category @ Globes and prioritize support @ Oscars to whoever would be more winnable.
OT: Bears repeating that the best American animation director of the last 15 years has gone all way for GRAVITY:
GRAVITY is a master class in film direction, as harrowing as it is haunting & beautiful. Bullock & Clooney are terrific. Cuaron CRUSHES IT.
In GRAVITY, the visuals ARE the narrative.
–Brad Bird (THE IRON GIANT, RATATOUILLE)
p.s. I sure hope Clooney hits the road hard with Cuaron and Bullock. GRAVITY is gonna need all the help it can get.
Stop it already, David.. you are embarrassing yourself.
Big Question Mark for Dench: Why did she not win Venice Best Actress bid for Philomena considering there’s hardly any competition?
Because the Venice jury, headed by Bernardo Bertolucci, gave the best actress award to another veteran actress — an Italian one, 82 years old.
I just watched August: Osage County at the San Diego Film Festival this past Saturday night. Did Sasha not see August? Streep is incredible, over the top as it can be but that character IS totally over the top. She is lock for a nomination and quite frankly, as much as a love Cate Blanchett, Streep’s performance is bigger and better. The movie was great as well and the audience LOVED IT! This is right up the Academy’s alley and will get multiple acting noms, screenplay, picture. So, Streep, Bullock and Blanchett are my locks and I’d add Roberts. I haven’t see Philomena but Dench would have to be strong to get in the top 5.
Sandra Bul does not have a lock. If it did it would look like Sandra Bullock.
Sandra Bul + lock = Sandra Bullock
Sandra Bullock is an actress.
12 Years is a lock for Best Pic. Therefore Gravity cannot be.
like “lock” in Bul”lock” – get it now? It’s actually extraordinarily clever. Yet another reason unlikely hood is one of the best posters here.
And 12 years will win Best Actress even though it has no contenders.
Oh, I see. Thanks for clerify and I apologize for my lack of understanding. I’m not an English native if that could be an excuse. I’m a Bullock fan and have been tired of hearing all those ill-intentioned jokes about her.
Ay aquí todo el mundo se cree que sabe más que nadie
Clooney haven’t been very active in promoting “Gravity.” He didn’t attend the TIFF, nor US junket nor any TV shows. It’s mainly because he’s been filming a new one but it seemed a bit odd that he didn’t go on one TV talk show while he was in New York last week (Bullock did three). Plus, he’ll have his own produced “August: Osage County” and his own directed film.
How am I embarrassing myself because I don’t agree with what you or anyone else says on here oh mike remember Demian Bichair a couple years ago he was long shot at best and what happen so unless you have some inside information you shouldn’t tell anyone to “stop” saying what they want to say
I concur on your observations re A:OC & Streep’s performance. Watched the film @ TIFF last Sept 10 and the full-packed 11am public screening had numerous clappings/outbursts reactions with a prolonged one at the end signifying the audiences really LOVED IT. Meryl Streep will seize the front runner status upon A:OC release by end Dec & the win given proximity to the voting period. Blanchett & Bullock need to sustain their buzz to be competitive to Meryl Streep’s hype & reactions over the Jan-Feb campaign period when A:OC will be rolled out.
lol tranqui pa
He wrote the screenplay.
Isn’t Roberts running for the supporting? She’ll be honored for Supporting at Hollywood Movie Awards, doesn’t that mean she has accepted that she’ll be in that category for the award season?
Unlikely hood. That was an awesome joke. Bul+lock. What was once seen, cannot be unseen.
Thanks team for having my back.
Now we’ll see if you’re still defending that joke 3 months from now when I’m still running it into the ground…
Well that makes sense. He has a writer’s face. Thanks.
Unlikely hood, I’m sorry that I didn’t get that joke. I’m not quick enough. Now I know it’s a fun joke.
There will be no denying Cate. She’ll likely sweep all the majors.
please upload the Academy’s list for foreign language film submissions, it’s just released….
Iran has submitted Asghar Farhadi’s The Past
Harvey’s revenge. Oscar for Dench. good year.
beating Blanchett and Bullock…. another chapter in the legend of Harv.
I’d be tempted to vote for this performance. Kinda like voting for Finding Neverland or Colin whathisname.
Streep won’t win again so soon.
Roberts is officially going supporting but we’ll see what the Academy does.
I think she’s a lock for no reason other then this film beat out the likes of Gravity, Prisoners, and August Osage at the TIFF audience award, which shows that people will very likely get behind this film, which seems to rest almost solely on her shoulders.
Well, the ensemble of A:OC has just been named as the winner of the Hollywood Film Award.
Might mean anything, but proves that Harvey’s beginning to working it.
It’s interesting Philomena was runner up at TIFFs audience award and that Gravity was not even in the top 3!
David, the problem is that you are not just hoping for Brie Larson to make the cut, you claim it WILL happen every single time as if it had been already decided.
Common wisdom says she will NOT make it. Good news ? She is in the very small group of actresses who have viable shots to surprise. In my opinion, she is in the top8…her biggest problem is that the other SEVEN (Blanchett, Dench, Streep, Thompson, Bullock, Adams, Winslet) are ALL Academy darlings and even two of them (at least) won’t make it so what are relatively unknown Larson’s odds whose film has little buzz and was released months ago ? As I said, she has the potential to surprise…but considering her competition if she pulls it off, that will be one hell of a surprise.
P.S. I know it is still only October, but as I have already said on several occasions, I would be shocked if any of the Blanchett-Dench-Bullock-Streep-Thompson quintet didn’t make it in the end.
Bullock may be considered vulnerable because it isn’t a textbook-flashy role and the Academy rarely goes for sci-fi performances, but considering the UNANIMOUS critical praise and spectacular business her film delivered – not to mention her willingness to charmpaign – will probably secure her the nod. Let’s face it, if she could WIN for The Blind Side, the Academy won’t deny her the nod for Gravity.
Sasha, did you see Jessica Chastain responded to your post about her??
I am hoping that this (next) year I, or rather we some of us, will see Blanchett, Thompson, as well as Dench competing in the final nom list.
And I’m especially interested in this film and The Book Thief. I’ve mentioned them both because in a sense the preconceived overall feel (its stillness as opposed to loudness in a higher sense) in both films’ trailers, to me, is quite the same. But I could be wrong.
For your information, the other day, someone has already posted Chastain’s Facebook link, where the actress initially urged her fans to check out this site as well. (I’m focusing upon Chastain’s content only.)
Thanks for the new link.
Ava DuVernay also posted a link to the article on her Twitter. But Sasha already knows about this since I read it on her Twitter.
Thanks for the update. Though I’m not following Sasha on her Twitter, I’m also quite sure she already knew it — from our (regular readers’) comments, or Chastain’s publicists’ thank-you note, etc., I believe.
Sidenote: About la Ferrier’s stunt upon Cesar stage, I guess she was doing an innocent debutante joke (apparently sometimes it takes a French mind to get a French joke); but unfortunately Thompson +might mistake it for Ferrier being incautious with her dress. (+I didn’t finish the clip because it kept pausing every 5 seconds. After Thompson went upon stage to fix it, leaving Ferrier seemingly confused, I just turned it off; but I think I got it right [the debutante joke].)
LOL, obviously ‘charmpaign’ was the result of a brain freeze, I meant to write ‘charm voters and campaign’, but clearly I blacked out for a second or something.
Sorry for the buffering problems… nothing else of note happened after Emma left the stage anyway. I actually believe the whole thing was staged anyway and Emma was in on the joke (it’s a very strange coincidence the camera should focus on her and no one else in the room from the very beginning of the speech). That sort of scripted disruptions (fake fights and such) happen all the time on Canal Plus.
Message to Jpns Viewer of course
But it does show that she’s got a great sense of humor and is up for anything!
OT: Cinephiles, I’m putting together a mini film festival this weekend: as of now line-up: Peter Bogdanovich’s TARGETS, 1968 Francis Ford Coppola’s THE CONVERSATION, 1974 Brian De Palma’s BLOW OUT, 1981 Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck’s THE LIVES OF OTHERS, 2006 What am I missing?
Don’t forget Cate Blanchett
If I’m proclaiming it that’s my opinion the I think she will be if people say she won’t that’s their opinion there have been bigger surprises than Larson who have gotten nominated Bichir was a long shot and he got nominated as I remember no one on here said he would they said the same thing about him as they are about Larson
Demian Bichir was a strong presence during the season, the fact that his film was the first screener the Academy received got a lot of press and then he managed to land the crucial SAG nomination…when Larson pulls off the latter, she will be considered more seriously by everybody. Problem is you bring up these ‘one in every hundred’ type of examples instead of looking at the bigger picture. Sure, there are little seen indies that pulled off surprises in the past – Winter’s Bone, A Better Life, Frozen River just to name a few – but there are HUNDREDS just as good or BETTER that never even got close to Oscar recognition.
In this particular case, the remarkably strong critical support (85 MC) helps, so does the Academy relation (Nicholl Fellowship winning script), and I hate to admit it because it is silly, but to a lesser extent the ‘hot young babe’ factor, as well…but make no mistake, Short Term 12 has to overcome A LOT and beat out A LOT of higher profile releases indie and studio alike, to get a major Oscar nomination.
Unless the relatively unkown/inexperienced distributor (Cinedigm Entertainment?) starts pulling out all the stops and decides to invest A LOT of money to campaign (and could still not compete with the campaign money a big studio release or a Weinstein-pic can most certainly count on) AND critics groups get behind this film in spectacular fashion, predicting major Oscar nominations for this will end up as wishful thinking. It doesn’t mean it isn’t fantastic or deserving, because actually it is…it would just mean that it couldn’t compete with the Oscar GAME that is all about money and power, two things this contender cannot rely on. There, that’s MY opinion.
Paulina García Best Actress for her wonderful performance in GLORIA!!!
careful…Steve Coogan is a a comedy legend in the UK!
robyo: At the 12YAS screening yesterday at NYFF, I talked to a veteran film critic who praised the movie Gloria and especially the leading lady.
I saw Blue Jasmine today and Blanchett has never been better in my eyes. Jasmine is so messed up and Blanchett really elevates the script and has great chemistry with every single actor in Blue Jasmine. Its a perfect match between director, script and actress = movie magic. Hawkins is great as well.
12 Years a Slave stills haunts me and I really recommend it. Highly! The whole cast is Oscar calibre and I think many of these unknown actors will get bigger roles in the future. Yeah! For me the standouts were Lupita, Fassbender, Chiwetel and Cumberbatch. The latter with a surprisingly enough screen time to shine.
If someone is interested I got the whole Q & A on my iPhone with Steve McQueen after the screening. Just let me know
Manuel, do you have the Q&A audio only or video too?
Emma Thompson in nomination absolutely thanks to Saving Mr Banks.
Remember, I think both Hepburn and Hanks won back-to-back leads. So Streep can do it too.
I just came from Gravity, and OMG. Sandra Bullock is at the top of her game. I couldn’t breathe during that whole movie, and I was so invested in her character. I couldn’t get her out of my mind. A beautiful, suspenseful intense movie.
This may seem like a silly question, but is there any reason why Judi Dench is not included in the sidebar frontrunners for Best Actress?
I would have to think “Philomena,” will likely get a Best Adapted Screenplay nod and a possible Supporting Actor nod. Possibly even Best Picture.
I agree with you about Gena Rowlands. What a pity John Cassavetes isn’t alive; at least her husband gave her some really incredible characters to play.
Woody Allen has been the only director of late who has given her a lead role (in “Another Woman”), and it was a pity she wasn’t nominated for that movie (along with the great Sandy Dennis in a terrific supporting role in the same movie).
The only other lead performance of hers that comes to mind that I admired was a little seen film called “Unhook the Stars” with Marisa Tomei – both of whom should have been considered in that particular year.
I also loved Gena Rowlands’ performance in a supporting role she had in a RIchard Dreyfuss movie made in the 90s directed by Lasse Hallstrom – “Once Around”. She was so good in that.
I think Judi Dench is a lock for a nomination. If she got a nomination in a strong year for BA in the rather weak “Mrs. Henderson Presents”, I’m sure she’ll get one for a stronger role in this movie. Then again, I thought she was going to get a BSA nomination last year for “Skyfall”. I was sadly wrong. I thought Dench was really quite wonderful in “Skyfall”.
Click here to cancel reply.