Why I’m Still Predicting Steve McQueen and 12 Years a Slave to win Big at the Oscars

I think there has been some confusion in my State of the Race pieces.  As the race has changed over the past few weeks different films seem to take their turn on top.  On my Gurus of Gold and at Gold Derby I have not yet wavered from 12 Years a Slave. But my role as someone who...
Posted On 27 Jan 2014

Cliffhanger: Who Will Win the DGA Tonight? Poll + No Guts, No Glory

The DGA breakfast today where Alfonso Cuaron, the expected winner tonight, was a no show — he was celebrating his son’s birthday in Italy. He will be back for the ceremony this evening.  All pundits are expecting Cuaron to win tonight (except me – I am the Lone...
Posted On 25 Jan 2014

DGA Preview and Prediction

This weekend, on January 25, the DGA will call out their winner for the 2013 film year. There are some things about this year that haven’t changed. The two films vying for the top prize still came out on or before Toronto/Telluride. Box office still isn’t going to...
Posted On 22 Jan 2014

Oscar Flashback: 1939, Gone with the Wind

There are just a few years that will always be remembered in Oscar history, either because one film so thoroughly dominated those awards, or because another film didn’t.   Gone with the Wind was the kind of film that Oscar seemed to be made for.  That film swept the Oscars...
Posted On 21 Jan 2014

Best Director: Lost and Found in America

Variations on a theme running through this year’s strongest five films in the Best Director category — Gravity, American Hustle, 12 Years a Slave, Nebraska and The Wolf of Wall Street — all spring from the notion that the main character, or characters, are lost....
Posted On 19 Jan 2014

The PGA Might Make History Sunday, DGA Next Week

Scott Feinberg does some post-game analysis after the Critics Choice awards. He is still, like most other pundits, predicting a split between 12 Years a Slave and Gravity. I have this weird feeling, even still, that, at the end of the day, the DGA will go to David O. Russell and...
Posted On 18 Jan 2014

DGA Nominees!

Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips David O. Russell, American Hustle Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
Posted On 07 Jan 2014

The State of the Race – Directors Break with Consensus

One of the more interesting questions in this year’s Oscar race is wondering what the Directors branch is going to do. Will their choices be as strange and random as last year, when only two names from the DGA also made Oscar’s list? In 2012, for the first time in...
Posted On 19 Nov 2013

THR Directors Roundtable

Writers and Actors roundtables after the cut. (thanks phantom!)
Posted On 17 Nov 2013

The State of the Race: The Directors, Masters of the Craft

It’s funny how little our view of the Oscar landscape has changed since Cannes in May. Was a time when the heat of Cannes came too early to impact the Oscar race. But that has changed as the course seems to be charted much earlier than at any previous time in Oscar’s eight-decade...
Posted On 13 Nov 2013