Best Picture, Best Director, How Often do they Repeat?

The new Gurus of Gold just went up. Lincoln still tops, with Spielberg for director. Just behind Spielberg, though, is Ben Affleck, followed by Tom Hooper, David O. Russell and Kathryn Bigelow. Only Affleck and Russell haven’t won before. Les Miserables is at the number 2...
Posted On 01 Dec 2012

The State of the Race: At War, In Love

So the multitude goes, like the flower and the weed That wither away to let others succeed; So the multitude comes, even those we behold, To repeat every tale that hath often been told. –A poem President Lincoln loved enough he once said about it, “I would give all I am...
Posted On 27 Nov 2012

Les Miserables Predicted to Win the Best Picture Oscar at Gold Derby

Gold Derby now has Les Miserables back in the lead. The pundits who are now predicting it to win include: Pete Hammond (Deadline), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Ed Douglas (ComingSoon), Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and it looks like Dave Karger, too, might be swayed to throw...
Posted On 26 Nov 2012

Pundits Align Around Certain Films as Season Speeds Towards End

Over at InContention, Kris Tapley — who had been predicting Argo — went for Les Mis in a big way last night, writing: And the Best Picture landscape will be shaken up one more time this season. Is this the one to take it all the way, two years after Hooper did...
Posted On 24 Nov 2012

Les Miserables Screens in New York, Twitter Declares Hathaway the Winner, Strong Contender to Win BP

I was at my second screening of Life of Pi when the eruption from Twitter proclaimed rapturous, ecstatic acclaim for Les Miserables.  Apparently the crowd went nuts, on their feet, in tears – it was probably as best as you can hope for for a late-breaking Oscar contender,...
Posted On 23 Nov 2012

Lincoln Takes the Lead at Gurus of Gold

Over at Movie City News, David Poland put up a quickie chart for Best Picture. As of now, Dave Karger is still confident Silver Linings Playbook will take home Best Picture. Karger faith + Weinstein Co + sappy crowdpleaser has equaled Best Picture for two years running. Can it...
Posted On 23 Nov 2012

The State of the Race: Fumbling Towards Enlightenment

The Oscars can be a kaleidoscope view of our world — spectacular and surreal. Or they can be a microscope, honing in with sharp perspective on matters we’re obliged to observe with crystal clarity. The themes that course through this year’s Oscar race for Best Picture...
Posted On 13 Nov 2012

Ensemble Casts on the Path to Best Picture

Will actors eventually be selected out of their central role in movies, increasing replaced by animation,  performance capture, and other evolving forms of digital characters?  That irrational fear has been drifting in and out of Oscar conversations for years. Just as the...
Posted On 12 Nov 2012