This Sunday, the Los Angeles Film Critics will announce their awards. LA has been known to occasionally step out of the zone – they chose The Descendants last year, There Will Be Blood the year No Country was sweeping. It is nonetheless assumed that their winner will still be Zero Dark Thirty. The only possible upset, I figure, will be The Master. One of their members, and writer of the Gold Standard, Glenn Whipp, said on Twitter that he didn’t think the LA critics were going to go for Zero Dark Thirty.


What our Oscar wonk, Marshall Flores has to say about them:

Here are some stats and trends that may help in predicting the LAFCAs. On average, a LAFCA Best Film winner wins 3 awards total, compared to an average of 2 total at the NYFCC and the NBR. This is due to a a number of factors: Film and Screenplay are more likely to match at LAFCA (44%) than either NYFCC or the NBR (18% and 33%, respectively); Best Film gets both Director and Screenplay 3.5 times as often than at the NYFCC and the NBR. LAFCA also has additional tech awards (cinematography, production design and original score). At LAFCA, the Best Film winner gets Director 60% of the time, an acting award 51% of the time, and a tech award 27% of the time.

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It’s that time of year again, Oscar watchers.  The Globes announce on December 13th.  Contest, after the cut.

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Still combing through the National Board of Review contest but here are the winners for the New York Film Critics prediction contest.  Later today the Golden Globes prediction contest will go up.

It turned out that the fans of Lincoln did somewhat better, since they picked Sally Field in supporting, something almost no one else did.

The two winners are Marshall Flores, who picked Zero Dark Thirty, Bigelow, Day-Lewis and Lincoln for screenplay, and  Alex Pizziolo, who correctly picked Zero Dark Thirty, Daniel Day-Lewis, Matthew McConaughey and the Lincoln screenplay.

Most of the runners-up scored three:

Jacob Devine
Dave Yen
Long Pham
Bharat Nayak
Jenny Boulden (hi Jen!)
Jared Morine
Massimo Mascolo
Keir Basilio
Randall David Cook
hadi firouzian
Christian Arizala
Rahul Agarwal
Reno Navada
Gautam Anand
Dustin Remmert

Enter our Contest!

The National Board of Review announces Wednesday.  While most people go on and on about how they don’t matter, the truth is that yes, they DO matter.  Any major awards precursor matters because they give a contender publicity and legitimacy, no matter who they are.   The National Board of Review really pushed Hugo into the race last year and set The Social Network up for its sweep of the critics awards.  To date, it’s the only film that ever won Film, Director and Screenplay; usually they split up the awards. Will NBR recognize a woman with their best director award for the first time in their 77 year history, or give Spielberg his first win there since Empire of the Sun. Will DDL also finally win Best Actor there?

According to our Oscar wonk, Marshall Flores:

Historically, NBR Best Film winners have an average total haul of two wins, and it’s more likely that the best film winner takes an acting award with it instead of director or screenplay; unlike LAFCA or NYFCC, where pic and director match more than half the time (56% at NYFCC, 60% at LAFCA), pic and director/screenplay match only 33% of the time at the NBR, so splits are more common here. Also worth noting: No Country for Old Men is the only film in NBR history to win both Best Film and Best Ensemble, while The Social Network is the only film to have won Film, Director, and a screenplay award.

Finally, it is uncommon (though not rare) for both the NBR and the NYFCC to select the same Best Film winner – this has occurred 25% of the time in the past 67 years (although this match frequency is twice as high compared to NBR and LAFCA). Eleven of the 17 films NBR and NYFCC both agreed on for Best Film did go on to win the Best Picture Oscar; however, the last time this occurred was back in 1993 with Schindler’s List. Take from these stats and trends what you will.

You got that last part? When they DO match, that movie, unless it’s something brave and exceptional like LA Confidential or The Social Network it goes on to win Best Picture. If Zero Dark Thirty wins the NBR and Los Angeles, we now know it could still not win Best Picture, as The Social Network proved. To win the Oscar you have to win the guild awards, specifically the DGA (not always, but it helps).

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Believe it or not, these awards are coming in two weeks. We’re starting our contest early! In our latest podcast, Craig, Ryan and I do a little spitballing as to how these things will turn out. We hover around the same titles, Argo, Lincoln, The Master, Django Unchained, Silver Linings, Les Miz, etc.  We said our predictions but they will likely change as the weeks wear on. We will be doing more thorough previews of each of these critics groups. But, New York Film critics will announce first, on December 3, 2012. Two days later, the National Board of Review, and then on December 7, 2012, the Los Angeles Film Critics.

To that end, we are kickstarting the first contest of the year right now. Click the jump to enter! There will be prizes!

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We have three winners for our contest!  Out of 14 possible correct, our winners each got 13 out of 14.  And they are:

Maxwell Haddad (missed only Picture/Comedy – actually won the contest without predicting The Artist)
Niousha Moini (missed only director)
Andrew Rosenthal (missed only song)

Congratulations! Please send an email to to collect your prize.

And the runners up with 12:
Jeremy Neckers (missed only Picture/Drama and Screenplay)
Eric Nehs (missed Picture/Drama and Score)
Jailson Pereira (missed Picture/Drama and Score)
Kripesh (missed Picture/Drama and Song)

It’s a last minute contest but if you care to, dare to!  After the jump. The Critics Choice take place tomorrow, January 12.

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The contest is now closed. Good luck!

Believe it or not there was actually one person who correctly guessed ten out of ten Best Picture nominees and all five animated feature nominees for a perfect score of 15. Congratulations to Jonas Grøndahl! Please send an email to for prize info. Several of you got nine out of ten for Best Picture, which is impressive indeed. Those names are:

Kevin Brady
Dan Conley
Pat Mullen
Samuel Coffey
Ina Hark
Kelly Doucette
Ido Kadman
David F (MeThreepio)
Dario Devic
Sergio Bastos
Easky Wang
Bart Mentano
Adam Kelley
Chris Uszler
Jalal Haddad
Gerry Flavin
James Mintz
Jim Farmer
Steve Schweighofer
Andrew S. Sperling
Alex Mogil
Michael Lewis

Congratulations! And now on to animated (documentary had already been announced and it was my mistake including it, whoops).

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Fixed: The contest form now allows you to choose more than one option on the doc and animated categories.

Since we got our new form to generate contests, making them is going to be a lot easier. Therefore, for the second time this week we’re introducing another contest. Predict the PGAs! (If you haven’t yet entered our Golden Globes contest, it’s here.)

A quick check on awards calendar tells us that the Producers Guild will announce January 3rd, and the Writers Guild and Scripter awards will announce January 5th. The following Monday, January 9th the Directors Guild will announce, and the Monday after that, the Eddies. By then, we should have our Oscar picture mostly taking shape.

We will know if we Oscar pundits were very right or very wrong. We will know if the critics will have any impact at all this year. And we will know if the industry is embracing certain titles – like Tree of Life, or Drive, or Harry Potter or Rise of the Planet of the Apes. None of these are expected to hit in the major categories so if they start showing up that could signal possible presence at the AMPAS.

And of course, our scary scary Oscar nominations drop bright and early Tuesday morning January 24th. Are you ready? I’m only barely ready.

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It’s that time of year again. Our 13 annual Golden Globes prediction contest is open for business. We will announce the grand prize as we get closer to the date. But if you think you know how it’s going to go, click here. We’ve made some changes to our form — now you can get a copy of the form sent to you as long as you provide a valid email address. You may still enter as many times as you want but we’ll only use your last form.

Winners — National Board of Review Contest:

with 11 correct matches

Craig Z, USA
Bart, Argentina
Dino De Fazio, USA
Aaron Beckett, USA
Terry, USA
seasondays, Mexico
Zach Heltzel, USA
Carl Papa, Philippines

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The New York Film Critics have decided to be first out of the gate (Nov. 28,29), just ahead of the National Board of Review (Dec 1).

We’re be doing a more in depth preview of the NBR and the NYFCC in the coming days but we wanted to get our contest up and running, the first of the year.

The rules are – you may enter more than once but we’ll only count your latest contest form.  My guess is that you won’t see uniformity like you did last year when virtually all of the critics aligned behind one movie while the industry voters came in closer what the public might have chosen — the crowdpleaser.    The New York Film Critics first and then the National Board of Review.

Will the critics agree on the best film or will they splinter apart?  We’ll find out in about a week. In the meantime, ENTER OUR CONTEST! You can also JUST predict the NYFCC and not the NBR. We will tabulate them separately.


I haven’t counted the “Predict the Oscars Wrong” contest but here are our four winners — they kicked the pundits’ butt (Pete Hammond was the high scorer with 19) with a whopping 21/24. We’re contacting you regarding prize info but if you don’t hear from us write in.

Denexxel Domingo USA (missed only cinematography, costume, live action short)
Francois Filamor USA (missed only cinematography, art direction, ani short,
Kieran Scarlett United States (missed only doc, song, cinematography)
Vlatko mkd Macedonia (missed only orig. screenplay, art direction, ani short)

Congratulations. You are champions.

After the cut, those who kicked serious ass with 20 and 19.

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The way I try to predict the Oscars right is not a lot different from how I predict them wrong. So since it’s clear I don’t really understand how either game works, I’ll just quote Sasha’s instructions from last year:

There will be a prize for the Oscar Watcher who can get a perfect score of ZERO on this new tradition here at Awards Daily. That means, you can predict, in every category, what will not win. Our main contest to PREDICT THE WINNERS is here. But this new contest should stretch your thinking brain in another way. It is a lot harder than you might think… So let‚Äôs see how you do.

Here’s a handy form to help you fabricate The Worst Oscars Ever. As if they need you help.

[alert]link fixed, thowwy[/alert]

For our final contest of the year, to correctly predict the Oscar winners, click here.

The winner will choose from the following two prizes, after the cut.

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First, huzzahs to the winners. I think for the first time ever I myself got a perfect score of the SAG, DGA and tie-breakers, that would be a score of 8 out of 8.

Here are the winners of our contest who correctly predicted all 8 as well:

Rogelio Tec, USA
G (gg_galaxy2002), USA
Max (maxwyeth), USA
Tom M (tomm1126), USA
Mauricio Aikawa, Brazil

Please send an email to for prize info.

And those who correctly got Hooper after the cut:

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We’re not doing a full fledged Oscar nomination prediction contest but we are doing just the ten Best Picture nominees. We figure there is a pretty good chance you can get all ten so we had to throw in a tie-breaker question of what film will get the most nominations. And even then, it’s probably not that hard.

But let’s just see who can get them all right, shall we? CLICK HERE.

We have a winner for our Golden Globes contest, with 14 right, which means Daniele Giovannoli from Italy got a perfect score. She wins a $50 Amazon gift card. Please send an email to for prize info!

And the winner of the Haiku Giveaway Inception DVD is: Derek, who wrote:
Dazzling Black Swan,
A King who inspired all,
I’m CEO Bitch.

Please send an email to for prize info!

Runners-up for Globe (missing only one), after the cut. Also, select Haikus that I loved.

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The time has come, Oscar watchers. This upcoming weekend is the Golden Globes — it’s time to predict the winners! There will be prizes TBA.

In the meantime, Gold Derby has assembled the largest group of pundits on the web and produced Golden Globe predictions — HAVE A LOOK!
[notice]I added animated feature – so if you already entered, please enter again.[/notice]

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