The Telluride festival ended far too soon. There is always that mixture of “I want to go home” and “I don’t want to ever go home again.” We can’t LIVE in Telluride, we Oscar bloggers. We are invited to briefly taste its riches before scattering back into the various places we came from, and it’s almost 100% guaranteed most of those places aren’t going to be that pretty. For a few days, though, this was our lives – hustling from screening to screening, our plastic badges dangling around our necks identifying us as festival interlopers. Masks at the ready. Some heavy backpacks in tow. Proper mountain attire.
Almost immediately after a movie the Oscar chatter begins. It used to work in reverse. Extreme hyperbole and dramatic proclamations were mocked and discouraged. But now, because of Twitter everyone is like a potentially viral tweet the minute they see a movie. I’m guilty of this for sure. Lines like, “She’s definitely winning.” “That movie could win Best Picture.” “That is not getting any Oscar love.” But the truth is, we do not know. The Oscar race is fluid, not static. Things look one way in the serene mountain village of Telluride, but we’re not even to Halloween.
Remember, we still have to get through Thanksgiving, the holiday season, New Year’s, then a whole long month before voters have ballots in hand. Counting this month, that’s five whole months. When the Oscars were earlier, of course, everything WAS over by December. But we’ve got many movies to see. I only spoke to one person, Gregory Ellwood, a longtime Oscar vet, who said this out loud: there are many more movies to see and things are going to change.
But still.
There are some things that can be understood, especially if you listen to the actual festival-goers and not the critics/bloggers who want to be “right” and want to be “right” as early as possible so they can say they “called it.” It’s a truly silly and insular game but, in its own way, fairly cut-throat. No one would actually believe it if they saw it up close. In Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin’s exceptional documentary, The Rescue, a group of misfits who like to dive and explore underwater caves ended up being the people who saved a group of Thai teenagers trapped inside. No food, no light – they somehow survived for ten days before they were found. It is one of the best films I saw at Telluride and worthy of a Best Picture nomination it’s so good, but it also celebrates people who were rejected by normalcy and gravitated towards something abnormal and then turned out to be better at it than even the Thai Navy SEALS.
The Oscar bloggers are kind of like that except minus the heroes for a lifetime, saving lives and celebrated by all who learn their story. Oscar bloggers are a band of misfits who are interesting in this one specific thing and know every last thing about it. Like cave diving, it’s a thing not only can no one imagine doing this intensely, but no one would want to do it this intensely. That’s because watching movies for some of us is to always be Oscar-ing.
What we do never really mattered much. It still doesn’t matter, but it matters more than it used to because the film industry seems to be on life support with the only thing to inspire people to still make movies at all is either for money or for art. And if it’s for “art” films have to compete in the Oscar race because any kind of buzz could mean success or failure for a movie, at least on the smaller scale that art can still exist in movies.
Oscar bloggers work somewhere between the publicists and the voters – curating, positioning, herding movies into a smaller pile, hopefully driving the best to the top so that by the time Oscar voters get to them they will know which ones we motley crew have decided are the frontrunners. We help build a consensus for them so they can then decide whether or not we got it right. Is that movie actually good or is it a lot of hype?
It can sometimes rob you of the better part of the movie-going experience. Enjoying movies. Believe it or not, I’m old enough to remember when there were maybe 100 film critics total. Now almost everyone who watches movies is a critic, watching with that critical eye, examining them for “flaws,” and trying to pin-point those flaws, aiming for a certain kind of structure. What was good, what was bad. At Rotten Tomatoes now, a big movie will get something like 400 reviews. Is that what movies were for? Is that what watching movies is supposed to be about?
Maybe. Maybe not. Maybe we’ve tightened the screw too hard and now it’s become useless. I think, save for one movie, I loved almost everything I saw at Telluride. And, like so many people I talked to there, it was hard to tell if it was actually the movies themselves or the fact that we were out among people. PEOPLE. Real live people. There was no way to keep COVID totally out because Telluride is not a closed city with a vaccine mandate. And of course even if you’re vaxxed you can still get it. If you are masked you can get it. It is a very contagious sticky little virus, but the good news about being vaxxed is that you know if you get it, god willing and if you are in reasonably good health, you will have symptoms but it won’t kill you. So it was worth the risk to bring it all back. We did what was required of us – wear masks everywhere, get tested, get vaxxed, weigh the reduced risk – but we all still said it was worth it to go, and boy was it ever. We can’t let COVID take everything. To quote someone at a party the other day, “We can’t let the virus win.”
The festival was run expertly by the Telluride team, Julie Huntsinger at the top of that list. We had a couple of rainy days and then that heartbreaking blast of sunlight, that crisp thin air, those craggy intimidating peaks, that crystal clear creek running through town. Nothing could ruin it.
This year, for the first time, I’m going to be putting together a “vlog” for you all once I get back to LA, dump my content, and edit it. Hopefully, that will give you a better idea of the big picture. But for now — you probably aren’t here for my random musings. Let’s get to the Oscar-ing part of it. What were the Oscar gets? It’s funny, you just never really know. But here is what I came away with from what I saw and heard:
Best Picture
These are the “rules” I tend to follow when thinking about Best Picture. If the years between 2011 and 2020 were “think five, not ten,” the rules now, and for 2009 and 2010, are “think ten, not five.” Think TEN because that is how many Best Picture nominees there will be. That makes it much easier to land a nomination and it broadens the types of films that will get in. With five, the movies tended to be the same kind of movie. With ten, you had a wider variety. For instance, in both 2009 and 2010 animated films got in. Movies like District 9 got in. We’ll do a deeper dive on this a bit later, but for now, movies that are “bigger” will definitely do better under the new system, as will “smaller” movies.
Passion drives nominations but general like and love drives wins. So, if people passinately love a movie but a lot of people hate it, that helps it get nominated, but it generally can’t win. Hate is a Best Picture winner killer, but it doesn’t really hurt for nominations as you only need a specific number of number ones to place. It helps to still be top five, obviously, and in total a film is going to need about 1,000 people to like it and love it to land a spot.
Think: actors.
Think: feelgood.
Think: making history.
With these things in mind, here are my own Best Pic gets from Venice and Telluride:
- Belfast (feelgood, actors) (Telluride)
- The Power of the Dog (actors, making history)
- King Richard (feelgood, actors, making history) (Telluride)
- Cyrano (actors) (Telluride)
- Dune (Venice)
- Spencer (actors) (Venice/Telluride)
Best Director
- Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (Venice/Telluride)
- Kenneth Branagh, Belfast (Telluride)
- Denis Villienueve, Dune (Venice)
- Reinaldo Marcus Green, King Richard (Telluride)
- Joe Wright, Cyrano (Telluride)
- Pedro Almodovar, Parallel Mothers (Venice)
- Pablo Larrain, Spencer (Venice/Telluride)
Best Actress
- Kristen Stewart, Spencer (Venice, Telluride)
- Caitriona Balfe, Belfast (Telluride)
- Haley Bennett, Cyrano (Telluride)
- Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers (Venice)
- Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter (Telluride)
Best Actor
- Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog (Venice/Telluride)
- Will Smith, King Richard (Telluride)
- Peter Dinklage, Cyrano (Telluride)
- Riz Ahmed, Encounter (Telluride)
- Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon, C’mon (Telluride)
Supporting Actor
- Ciarán Hinds, Belfast (Telluride)
- Kelvin Harrison, Jr., Cyrano (Telluride)
- Jesse Plemmons, The Power of the Dog (Venice, Telluride)
- Kodi Smit-Mcphee, The Power of the Dog (Venice, Telluride)
Supporting Actress
- Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard (Telluride)
- Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog (Telluride)
- Judi Dench, Belfast (Telluride)
- Sally Hawkins, Spencer (Venice/Telluride)
Original Screenplay
- Belfast (Telluride)
- King Richard (Telluride)
- Spencer (Venice/Telluride)
- Parallel Mothers (Venice)
- C’mon C’mon (Telluride)
Adapted Screenplay
- The Power of the Dog (Venice/Telluride)
- Dune (Venice)
- Lost Daughter (Telluride)
There are still films left to be seen at Venice, then Toronto is up next, along with the New York Film Fest and finally, the AFI Fest. That’s all before the standard release films hit in December. So as you can see, this is really just the preliminary phase. But this is what we do. For better or worse. We chase Oscar.
I will come away from Telluride with a lot more than the Oscar thoughts rambling around in my head. I will remember what it feels like to be around people who know you for who you are rather than the part of you people know through social media. I will remember how fast time goes, and how it could all be over in seconds. I will remember how it feels to sit in a room full of people who are with a movie. It feels good. Really good. It is a reminder that movies aren’t really meant to be enjoyed solo, although they can be. They are part of a long tradition of communal storytelling, essential to the human experience. That is what applause is for. To unite people in common cause, to feel enthusiasm and appreciation. Belfast received two standing ovations for its premiere, and the news of record standing ovations in Venice always make headlines. To feel a cross current of love is really what the whole thing is about. To then mill around with others and talk about the movies extends the experience further.
Seeing movies in a room full of people is like sugar, sex, rainbows in the wake of a storm, – ain’t nothing like the real thing, baby.
This year, more than ever, the Academy needs big movies in the race. We need Dune, House of Gucci, The Last Duel, King Richard, etc. I’ll throw in Spencer too due to Stewart’s star status and the famous subject matter. Let’s hope the critics, as they tend to do, don’t drown them out with talk of the typical streaming fare (Power of the Dog) and for-critics-only stuff (Belfast, C’mon C’mon).
Where is Jamie Dornan? He isn’t in Actor and he isn’t in Supporting either although that one has only 4 names. Do you think he’ll miss in either category? Is he going Actor for sure or they are still deciding about his category placement?
I kinda want all actors from panned movies in the past (50 Shades, Twilight) to get nominated. And, of course, for Kristen Stewart to win. 🙂
That sounds like so much fun. I am excited to see these movies. Your ending to this article cracked me up.
The Old Sasha sans the politics is back, thank God
Lovely writing, Sasha.
Great article and wonderful photos simply reaffirms why Telluride remains firmly on my bucket list.
Love this write-up and the photos. Wow.
Oh wow, to be true in a landscape like that I´d probably skip theatre and invade nature… 🙂
I was going to say something similar: I hope they managed to hike the lovely mountains, but I’m sure they spent most of their time in a dark theater room as true film geeks should. But good for them, they won’t have to worry about late release dates and unpractical screening schedules like us mere mortals, they’ll have seen everything already when awards season starts.
But sometimes, Christophe, we also manage to see most of the films prior to the Awards show 😉 Anyway, I´m totally happy about being able to go to the movie theatres again – hope you are doing fine!
God it is so nice to read articles here sans the political denunciations of the readers from high upon Mount Take.
I think BP will be determined by these two large and fundamental questions in the industry:
1. Is there REALLY increasing angst with rank and file Academy voters that major awards are going to films that rank and file moviegoers fundamentally dislike for reasons political or otherwise. There have been some adventurous BP winners the last decade or so, BUT you had the King’s Speech/Artist/Argo trifecta. Films about as boundary pushing as a bowl of Cheerios that were utterly beloved by voters and audience alike (although the “Poor Ben Affleck” campaign was comically bizarre). If the taste is for middle of the road, then the BP film is cleved into tiny pieces small enough to season Belfast’s potatoes.
2. Wither Netflix. As all over the place as last year’s field was, the Netflix films expected to rule the night faceplanted the major awards. Streamers may be the wave of the future but the Academy is clearly not ready to hand over the keys. I wonder if the ScarJo/Disney thing will loom large when all is said and done.