Golden Globes

(thanks Alan of Montreal via EW) No more Ricky Gervais: Tina Fey and Amy Poehler will host the 70th Annual Golden Globe Awards. The duo will anchor NBC’s live coverage of the program on Jan. 13 from the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills.

“Having both Tina Fey and Amy Poehler on board to host this year’s festivities is a major coup,” said Paul Telegdy, NBC’s president of alternative and late night. “Tina and Amy have a proven chemistry and comedic timing from their many years together on SNL to their successful co-starring roles in Baby Mama.”

Gervais hosted the event the past three years, drawing some criticism for his jokes being supposedly too harsh the first couple times, and then too soft during his third round. Gervais managed to keep the show’s ratings relatively stable across all three telecasts, hovering just under 17 million viewers. The announcement comes on the heels of ABC tapping Family Guy creator Seth MacFarlane to host the Oscars next year.

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What do The Apartment, Annie Hall and Shakespeare in Love all have in common? They were entered in the “Musical/Comedy” category at the Golden Globes. I surveyed many of my Twitter followers to ask them whether or not they considered those films romantic comedies or not. The conclusion was mostly than none of them fit the mold completely.  In romantic comedies the guy usually gets the girl. He only gets the girl in The Apartment, which is more drama than comedy. In both Annie Hall and Shakespeare in Love the ending is bittersweet. The guy loses the girl but keeps her permanently in his heart. Yes, I’m aware that all three of these movies – with the possible exception of The Apartment – follow the arc of a male character. What else is new? Even now, in 2012, most of the films heading into the Oscar race follow the arc of the male lead. The exceptions – Beasts of the Southern Wild and Moonrise Kingdom (to a degree it’s about both).  And now, if it is one of the films in consideration, Middle of Nowhere. Zero Dark Thirty hangs on the intel of a female character.

Why does any of this matter? Because romantic comedies that hang on men tend to do better in the race than those that hang on women, which are few and far between.

Now, Silver Linings Playbook is in the lead to win Best Picture if you go by Fandango’s Dave Karger and The Wrap’s Steve Pond. It will be put in the category of comedy at the Globes. But that puts it against Tom Hooper’s Les Miserables. That’s kind of like putting your bishop in front of your queen.

Only Annie Hall lost the Globe for Best Picture, Comedy and went on to win the Oscar for Best Picture.  The Goodbye Girl, which won the Globe that year, beat High Anxiety, and musicals New York, New York and Saturday Night Fever. But neither The Apartment nor Shakespeare in Love went up against a musical. Not only is Les Miserables a musical but that’s all it is – pure musical. There are no speaking parts. That would mean that if Silver Linings Playbook wins instead that ups its chances significantly to win the Best Picture Oscar, although Les Miserables has what it doesn’t: gravitas.

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For the first time in Oscar/DGA history (as far as I know) I’m not entirely sure beyond a reasonable doubt that the DGA has always announced before the Oscar nomination ballots are due but I know for the past ten years they certainly haven’t.  In moving their dates back, the Oscar voters will be flying blind, without the harbinger of the highly influential DGA backing them.  It will go like this:

Golden Globe nominations announced-December 13,2012
Oscar ballot deadline-January 3, 2013
PGA nominations announce-January 3, 2013
DGA ballot deadline-January 7, 2013
DGA nominations-January 8, 2013
Oscar nominations–January 10, 2013
Critics Choice Awards–January 10, 2013 (anticipated date, not announced)
Golden Globes ceremony–January 13, 2013

There is a tiny possibility that the DGA might alter their dates once they get a gander at this – but the way it stands now, only the PGA might have the smallest amount of influence being announced the last day Oscar voters have to turn in their ballots. But voters will not have the benefit of the five picks from the Directors Guild and that throws a kink in the works.

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Other than Martin Scorsese’s win for Best Director and The Descendants win for Best Picture Drama, the Golden Globes were dominated by Weinstein backed films — it’s beginning to look a lot like last year.

Picture/Comedy – The Artist – Weinstein Co.
Actor/Comedy – Jean DuJardin – Weinstein Co.
Actress/Comedy – Michelle Williams – Weinstein Co.
Best Actress/Drama – Meryl Streep – Weinstein Co.
Best Song – Madonna – Weinstein Co.
Score – The Artist – Weinstein Co.
Best Screenplay – Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris, Sony Pics Classics
Best Director – Martin Scorsese/Paramount
Best Picture/Drama – The Descendants – Fox Searchlight
Best Actor/Drama – George Clooney – Fox Searchlight
Supporting Actor – Christopher Plummer, Beginners – Focus
Supporting Actress – Octavia Spencer, The Help, Dreamworks
Animation – TinTin – Dreamworks

From here, it’s hard to imagine any film having the momentum to beat The Artist. The only two films that are close are The Descendants and Hugo – Hugo has Scorsese winning for Director.  The Descendants has George Clooney as the strong leading actor contender, with Alexander Payne, a beloved unrewarded American director.  Both Paramount and Fox Searchlight are going to push their films hard.  But no one is a better Oscar/Globe whisperer than Harvey Weinstein and the Team Weinstein co. They are great at finding films that can win awards because they’re great at knowing what kinds of films DO win awards.

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  • Best Motion Picture — Drama: “The Descendants”
  • Best Motion Picture — Comedy or Musical: “The Artist”
  • Best Director — Motion Picture: Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”
  • Best Actress — Drama: Meryl Streep, “The Iron Lady”
  • Best Actor — Drama: George Clooney, “The Descendants”
  • Best Actress — Comedy or Musical: Michelle Williams, “My Week With Marilyn”
  • Best Actor — Comedy or musical: Jean Dujardin, “The Artist
  • Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer, “The Help”
  • Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, “Beginners”
  • Best Screenplay: Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris”
  • Best Original Score: Ludovic Bource – “The Artist”
  • Best Original Song: “Masterpiece” — W.E., Madonna, Julie Frost, Jimmy Harry
  • Best Animated Feature Film: “The Adventures of Tintin”
  • Best Foreign Language Film: “A Separation” (Iran)

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What’s the opposite of fashionably late?

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As you know you must stick to the format — and that is three lines, with 5, 7, 5 syllables in each respectively.  Five for the first line, seven for the second and then five again for the third.  We will select three winners.   I’ll start.

Who cares if you lose,
But winning is everything.
Still only a Globe.

Who needs dialogue
Love and a bit with a dog.
That’s what people want.

Organs of fire.
Currents through best actor race.
I’ll take cold showers.

Your turn!



It’s that time of year again for the Golden Globes. Don’t forget to enter our contest.

We are now in the awkward position of defending the HFPA as being the last major awards group that gave Best Picture to The Social Network before it hit the Producers Guild. The opposite scenario happened the year prior when Avatar won the Globe before The Hurt Locker won the Producers Guild and and on and on it went. This year, most are expecting The Artist to win everything, so naturally that means it should clean up in the Globes (it only has to win in Comedy, which is like Tiger Woods playing miniature golf). We still don’t know if the year will offer up surprises or if it will go as planned. The trick is not minding. I did thoroughly enjoy this slate piece In Praise of the Golden Globes. It really is true that, despite the complaining people do about the Globes, their choices tend to fare better over time. This year, there are no bad films in the lineup in the drama category – so it feels like a win/win – if it’s The Descendants, how great would that be? If it’s Moneyball or Hugo? How can anyone complain? With those nominees they really can’t go wrong. I am predicting Hugo to win but the majority over at Gold Derby are predicting The Descendants.

We’re not quite at the point where everything screeches to a halt. That part is still to come when the Producers Guild give you a better idea of where the race might be headed. The Globes, I’ve come to find, is a celebration onto itself. It can be a test run for Oscar, just as the Critics Choice was, to see whether the win felt right to you or whether it felt really wrong. For instance, it was just plain bad timing for the BFCAs to show that Scorsese clip, feel the love of that director in the room and then watch him lose the Critics Choice to poor Hazanavicius who had to take the stage nonetheless. The same sort of thing happened when Kathryn Bigelow was doing the impossible by winning everything but then we had to watch her lose at the Globes to Jim Cameron. That was a wrong that needed to be fixed. I don’t expect the same scenario to play out with the Artist — obviously that is your clear running horse at the moment. It isn’t quite lighting the box office the same way The King’s Speech did. The Artist’s biggest problem is that people don’t want to see it. But the awards race should mostly turn that around. If it keeps up this way, though, box office actually might be a part of the discussion for the first time in a while. If The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo is nominated for Best Picture (we still don’t yet know how that last-minute surprise will play out) The Artist will have to beat two Best Picture nominees with killer box office; Dragon Tattoo is zooming towards $100 mil with no signs of slowing down and The Help went all the way to $165 mil. At a time when American box office is in deep shit this might be a point of consideration. But we’re not quite there yet. We’re still back here at the Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs miniature golf fairway.

So let’s go through it, shall we?

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It’s that time of year again. Our 13 annual Golden Globes prediction contest is open for business. We will announce the grand prize as we get closer to the date. But if you think you know how it’s going to go, click here. We’ve made some changes to our form — now you can get a copy of the form sent to you as long as you provide a valid email address. You may still enter as many times as you want but we’ll only use your last form.

6 nominations for the Artist, 5 for the Descendents, 4 for The Ides of March, 4 for Midnight in Paris, 4 for The Help, 4 for Moneyball and 3 for Hugo (TV nominations in the previous post)

Best Picture
The Descendants
The Help
The Ides
War Horse

Best Picture Comedy or Musical
The Artist
My Week with Marilyn

Best Director
Woody Allen, Midnight In Paris
George Clooney, The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo

Best Actress, Drama
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin

Best Actor, Drama
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

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Best TV Movie or Miniseries
Cinema Verite
Downton Abbey
The Hour
Mildred Pierce
Too Big to Fail

Best TV Series – Drama
American Horror Story
Boardwalk Empire
Game of Thrones

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You know the rules.  Three possible but unlikely scenarios that might play out tomorrow.

It has to be something wild. Something wicked. Something utterly incomprehensible.  Something that could never, would never, won’t ever happen.  But what if it does.  What if it does!

Okay, here are mine. I’m not giving up on Harry Potter yet.

1. Harry Potter for Best Picture
2. Asa Butterfield for Best Actor
3.  Sacha Baron Cohen, Best Supporting Actor

Okay so we know these are not likely to happen, especially with the HFPA. But you know what they say, no guts…no glory.  Have at it.

It really doesn’t seem like a whole year went by since the Golden Globes announced their nominees last year. One thing is pretty clear, though. With ten Oscar nominees for Best Picture it isn’t hard to find match-ups in the drama category from the Globes. Last year and the year before, in fact, all five drama nominees went on to be nominated for the Oscar. But before that, it was harder to get a perfect five in drama. THere were always one or two, sometimes three that got the Globe nod but didn’t go on to get an Oscar nod. As of tomorrow morning we will have three large-ish groups to compare Best Picture – the BFCA, the SAG and the Globe. I’d like to throw in the AFI but their selection committee is so small it’s hard to count them.

By the numbers — the BFCA is around 200, or thereabouts. The Globe are around 100, or thereabouts. SAG is bigger, at 2100. The things they have in common is that they all pick acting nominations. The BFCA and the Globe also pick director, screenplay and picture — but we also have the Producers Guild, the Writers Guild and the Directors Guild coming up to really put the contenders in perspective. Up to now, we’ve mostly been dealing with critics. Last year’s results very nearly knocked the critics out of the picture completely. I get the feeling this year they mean a lot less than they ever have since I’ve been watching Oscar, going on 13 years now.

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In one week The Muppets have earned $43 million, and with Christmas around the corner, it’s a cinch Kermit and Co. have the legs to dance past $100 mil with ease. (Adjusted for inflation, The Muppets Movie in 1979 brought in $210 mil.) Audiences (53% female) have awarded The Muppets an “A” CinemaScore, and it’s the second-highest ranked comedy of the year on Metacritic.  Along with Bridesmaids, it’s the funniest movie of 2011 and fits the criteria as most tuneful musical too.

Is it any wonder buzz is building for  The Muppets to break free of the kid niche and hit the big-time with a nomination for Best Comedy or Musical at the Golden Globes?  In fact, The Muppets benefits from the same level of affection many are feeling for The Artist– nobody says anything bad about The Muppets, and even those who don’t adore them can’t help feeling really fond of them.  That’s the kind of genial warmth and goodwill that prompts an automatic check-off on awards ballots.

The Muppets will be great fun on the campaign circuit, too, as you can see in the clip after the cut.

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Yes, buckle your seat belts. The Golden Globes tweets the news.

Ricky Gervais will host the 69th Golden Globe Awards on January 15, 2012.

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Best Motion Picture – Drama
* The Social Network
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
* The Kids Are All Right
Best Director – Motion Picture
* David Fincher for The Social Network
Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
* The Social Network: Aaron Sorkin
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
* Colin Firth for The King’s Speech
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
* Natalie Portman for Black Swan

(full list of winners, updated after the cut)

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The time has come, Oscar watchers. This upcoming weekend is the Golden Globes — it’s time to predict the winners! There will be prizes TBA.

In the meantime, Gold Derby has assembled the largest group of pundits on the web and produced Golden Globe predictions — HAVE A LOOK!
[notice]I added animated feature – so if you already entered, please enter again.[/notice]

The King's Speech gg

The King’s Speech leads with 7. The Fighter and The Social Network tie for second with 6.


Nicole Kidman, RABBIT HOLE
Jennifer Lawrence, WINTER’S BONE
Natalie Portman, BLACK SWAN
Michelle Williams, BLUE VALENTINE

James Franco, 127 HOURS
Mark Wahlberg, THE FIGHTER


Angelina Jolie, THE TOURIST
Emma Stone, EASY A

Johnny Depp, THE TOURIST
Kevin Spacey, CASINO JACK

Darren Aronofsky, BLACK SWAN
Christopher Nolan, INCEPTION
David O. Russell, THE FIGHTER

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In addition to the Los Angeles Film Critics and the New York Film Critics Online announcing on Sunday (FYI – LA Film Critics will be tweeting their winners around 12:30pm PST – follow them @LAFilmCritics, and us, @awardsdaily), and New York Film Critics Circle announcing on Monday, the Golden Globes will announce their nominations Tuesday morning. That makes this one of the most intense few days of the early part of the awards race. After we hear from the major critics, we will then start hearing from the industry – the guild awards, like the SAG, the DGA and the PGA and eventually, the AMPAS will carry their heavy load to the final gasp of awards season. You have to kind of feel for the AMPAS of late. When I first started this back in 1999, there weren’t that many other awards shows or award announcements leading up to the Oscars. Now, it’s an odyssey. It’s an exodus.

It is because of this that the AMPAS can sometimes go against the grain and provide an upset or two. One notable recent upset was Geoffrey Fletcher winning screenplay for Precious. Another was the year Alan Arkin beat Eddie Murphy for Supporting Actor.

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@goldenglobes on Twitter just tweeted the following, “check here tomorrow to be the FIRST to find out who will receive the 2011 Cecil B. DeMille award! Predictions?”

Predictions for the Cecil B. DeMille award? Just how would one go about predicting that? I guess the question would be, who HASN’T won the damned thing? Here is Wikipedia’s list.

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