There seem to be three things that drive the actors to choose performances for the SAG awards, which will announce tomorrow bright and early, 6am Pacific – Performance, popularity, notoriety/reputation. The big question for tomorrow will be whether voters will choose some of the wild cars that haven’t been showing up lately – Glenn Close in Albert Nobbs, specifically, but also Woody Harrelson in Rampart, Kevin Spacey in Margin Call, Elizabeth Olsen in Martha Marcy May Marlene, and on and on or whether they will stick fairly close to what we’ve been seeing. Extremely Loud and Dragon Tattoo remain the unknown factor in all respects.
Either way, I feel like I’m more in the dark this year about what they’d choose than I ever have been. Since so many movies opened late you have to wonder how it will all shake down. Will this be a year when Oscar and SAG match up well? Or will this be a year when they don’t?
Before it gets too late I suppose I’ll try to predict how it will go. I start with what I know for sure and work my way down. But I do remember that there is an aspect to the SAG Awards that’s like the BFCAs, the Globes and the Oscars: they like pretty people on their red carpets and coming to their show.
So herewith, my predictions–
George Clooney, The Descendants
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Jean DuJardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Alt: Gary Oldman, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy