Two big differences this year will ultimately affect the outcome of the race. The first is that there were ten Best Pic nominees.¬† The second is that they moved the Oscars back to March, not quite late March like they used to be – but at least they’re in March.¬† Changing the date changes the pattern of the way the Academy chooses its winners because...
I told David Poland I didn’t want to participate in the Gurus of Gold this week because he was doing percentages. My experience awards watching has taught me that even when something is a sure bet, there are large groups of people who have a different contender in mind. I know this by the pre-Oscar interviews. And anyway, it’s just the nature of human beings:...
The Gurus of Gold have laid it down after screening many of the Oscar contenders — most of them have seen Nine, Invictus, Up in the Air — most have not seen The Lovely Bones nor Avatar. Interestingly, Anne Thompson sped Invictus right to number one. It is impossible, I can tell you, to predict the Oscars in any way, shape or form before the films have been...
(Colin Firth, leaving the IMAX screening of Avatar because he has more important places to be.) ———- Vowed last year that I wasn’t going to do this again before December, but all the other movie writers have taken the plunge so I’ll give it a shot too. This is my own personal speculation. If my list didn’t differ substantially from...
I decided to have some fun with the latest Gurus chart – no I didn’t do anything so dramatic as to flip the world on its axis but I did predict Sophia Loren a sentimental nod for Nine and Zach Galifianakis for The Hangover – I kind of wish I’d read the comments on the Star Trek post first – I might have put down Leonard Nimoy. Here’s...