No Guts No Glory

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It’s all come down to this. In a year of potential surprises you might end up being that lucky person who predicts the night’s biggest upset! Here is your chance to throw it out there for all to see.  You have up to three and they should be upsets, not alternate choices.

Here are mine:

1. Felicity Jones upsets in Best Actress (which would be a terrible thing and won’t happen)

2. The Imitation Game upsets in Picture.

3. Nightcrawler wins Adapted Screenplay

Your turn!

ANEMIC - No Guts No Glory, web

The best thing that’s about to happen is that the Oscar nominations will at last come out. A few questions remain – and everything feels completely wide open. At least it does to me!  Either way, here is your chance to predict the unthinkable. Please do not predict things people are mostly considering, like no Gone Girl for Best Pic, etc. Or Selma for Best Pic. Up to three.

Here are my No Guts, No Glory Nominations Edition

1. Renee Russo gets in for Supporting
2. Mr. Turner inexplicably lands in Picture, Director and Actor
3. Unbroken gets in for picture

 

 

ANEMIC - No Guts No Glory, web

The rules are the same as they’ve always been. You get up to three choices for No Guts, No Glory. It can’t be something predictable but should be some unpredictable, like off the charts crazy.

If you’d like to win this Birdman poster, though, you have to enter our Globe haiku contest. Ryan will be choosing one winner. I’ll start.

1. Into the Woods actually does win Best Musical.
2. Felicity Jones wins Best Actress for Theory of Everything
3. Gett wins foreign

And now, my haiku.

A batch of Cumber,
A man of Bird, mane of Red.
But he has a dream.

Lots of booze at Globes.
Teary speeches, awkwardness.
Breasts spill over dress.

Your turn, Oscar watchers!

Here’s the poster:

birdman-poster-2

ANEMIC - No Guts No Glory, web

Go ahead and let them fly, folks. But predicting things people are mostly predicting anyway does not count as a No Guts, No Glory. Like, no Gone Girl for Best Picture.

Extra credit given (a gift from us to you) for the best haiku.

First, my No Guts, No Glory picks.
1. Complete shutout of The Imitation Game (it will SO never happen)
2. Interstellar for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay
3. A Most Violent Year for Drama

Now, my haiku

Hope springs eternal
First, no one sees the movies.
But soon, shit gets real.

Golden Globes bobble
Shiny dresses, white faces
Big bummer Oscars.

Ben Affleck’s penis
Even scarjo is naked.
Yet sexless Oscars.

ANEMIC - No Guts No Glory, web

Well my dear Oscarwatchers, as Iggy Pop would say, “it’ll all be over soon.” And indeed, 2013 is almost over. What a year for movies. Here’s hoping tomorrow’s results have been worth the blood, sweat and tears. Many of us think there will be upsets but we don’t know yet what those upsets will be. Here is your chance, without messing up your predictions, to predict those upsets.

The rules – please pick only three and make them actual upsets, not alternatives. Martin Scorsese winning Director would be considered an upset. Even American Hustle winning Best Picture isn’t really an upset since Best Picture is really down to three.

I will start.

1. Steve McQueen wins Best Director
2. 12 Years a Slave wins Editing
3. All is Lost wins Sound Editing

Your turn!

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It has all come down to this, Oscarwatchers. Please pick three good ones – major upsets that no one saw coming. Good, bad, doesn’t matter. Let’s hear them. Feel free to put them in a form of haiku, as I am doing here.

All is Lost Best Picture
Full blown Philomania
Frears Best Director

Also The Butler may show up in Best Picture, Best Actor

Please also add – your biggest fear and what you’re most hoping for.
It’s been one hell of a year, my friends. My biggest fear for tomorrow: no Wolf of Wall Street for Picture or Director. I am most hoping for: 12 Years a Slave to lead.

For our final contest, which isn’t really a contest, we leave you for this very bizarre and suspense-filled Oscar year with a challenge. Please pick three very unlikely things that might happen. Really out there, wild things that might take hold.

Here are mine.

1. Benh Zeitlin and Luci Alibar win adapted screenplay for Beasts of the Southern Wild
2. Benh Zeitlin wins Best Director for Beasts of the Southern Wild
3. Beasts of the Southern wins Best Picture

I know, I just went balls out. Go big, or go home.  I am hoping that Lincoln wins, as you all should by now, but I don’t think that dream is coming true.  Still, I’m hoping for some shockers tomorrow night. What think you, AD readers?

According to Oscar/DGA history, no director has ever won the DGA, lost an Oscar nomination for directing, then won Best Picture.  It’s not happened ever, going back to 1949. So if this is a crazy year, as everyone keeps saying, you will see something happen that has never happened.   On the other hand, it’s possible that (I don’t know for sure) the DGA has never announced after Oscar ballots were turned in before. There is no precedent I know of for that either.  Only once in DGA/Oscar history did only two directors from the DGA’s list get Oscar nominations and of course, the one who won the DGA also won the Directing Oscar and Best Picture, Robert Wise and The Sound of Music.

The theory: Argo is just good enough to pull it off.

But if you stick to the rational in what is an irrational situation,  the two most likely to win tonight would have to be Ang Lee for Life of Pi or Steven Spielberg for Lincoln, as these are the only two who have also been nominated for the Oscar.  But twice two directors have won the DGA without an Oscar nomination, Ron Howard and Steven Spielberg, neither of their films won Best Picture.

At any rate, my No Guts, No Glory for once happens to be my actual prediction: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Most everyone else believes this will be Ben Affleck’s Big Mo. And that’s entirely possible. Hey, don’t listen to me.  As Bob Dylan would say, “when you ain’t got nothing you got nothing to lose.”

Well, as Iggy Pop would say, it will all be over soon.  There are so many weird surprises that could take place tomorrow since all of the nominations came after Oscar ballots were turned in. BAFTA did their voting completely differently this year and for the first time ever we’re making our nominations for the editing category without the Ace Eddie nominations!

Honestly, though, this year? It’s one long No Guts, No Glory since none of us has a clue how this will turn out. But that’s what kind of great about it. We’re all going to forgive one another if any stupid mistakes are made.  It’s been a great year, dear readers.

To that end, please pick three potential upsets.  Here are mine:

1. Benh Zeitlin for Best Director
2. One major film will be left off the Best Picture nominees list that will horrify all involved. 

2. The Impossible gets a surprise Best Picture nomination
3. There will only be five Best Picture nominees.

Your turn.

Since tomorrow the DGA will be announcing their nominees for Best Director.   Let’s play a little round of No Guts, No Glory.

My predictions are: Steven Spielberg, Kathryn Bigelow, Ben Affleck, Ang Lee and David O. Russell (alts are Tarantino and Hooper)

My No Guts, No Glory pick?

Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Don’t forget to enter our DGA predictions contest here.

Predicting the surprises at the Globes is an attainable dream because surprises there actually do happen. Pick up to three.

1. Christopher Nolan nominated in Director for The Dark Knight Rises

2. Anne Hathaway shows up in lead for the Dark Knight Rises

3. The Dark Knight Rises shows up in screenplay

That’s why they call them no guts, no glory. Your turn.

I have hard that the Zero Dark Thirty and Django Unchained screeners might not have gotten to the SAG nominating committee in time, as they finished just in the knick of time.

I have always wondered, though, if voters don’t just put down names anyway, in anticipation of how great they will be based on buzz and reviews.

But I’m going to predict that:

1. Lorraine Toussaint, Middle of Nowhere shows up in the Supporting Actress race
2. Emayatzy Corinealdi shows up in the Best Actress race. Tomorrow I will be writing about the NAACP blew it big time by not nominating Middle of Nowhere for Best Film.
3. Richard Gere, Best Actor for Arbitrage

Since one of the most important of the film critics groups announces tomorrow, it’s a good time to play a little No Guts, No Glory.

UP to three and make sure they’re good ones. Don’t forget to enter our contest. 

I’ll go first. I will choose two.

Best Picture: Looper
Best Actress: Emayatzy Corinealdi, Middle of Nowhere

Your turn.

zero-dark-thirty-jessica-chastain2

The National Board of Review winners

Best Film:  ZERO DARK THIRTY
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, ZERO DARK THIRTY
Best Actor: Bradley Cooper, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain, ZERO DARK THIRTY
Best Supporting Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio, DJANGO UNCHAINED
Best Supporting Actress: Ann Dowd, COMPLIANCE
Best Original Screenplay: Rian Johnson, LOOPER
Best Adapted Screenplay: David O. Russell, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Best Animated Feature: WRECK-IT RALPH
Special Achievement in Filmmaking: Ben Affleck, ARGO
Breakthrough Actor: Tom Holland, THE IMPOSSIBLE
Breakthrough Actress: Quvenzhané Wallis,  BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
Best Directorial Debut: Benh Zeitlin, BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
Best Foreign Language Film:  AMOUR
Best Documentary: SEARCHING FOR SUGARMAN
William K. Everson Film History Award: 50 YEARS OF BOND FILMS
Best Ensemble: LES MISÉRABLES
Spotlight Award: John Goodman (ARGO, FLIGHT, PARANORMAN, TROUBLE WITH THE CURVE)
NBR Freedom of Expression Award: CENTRAL PARK FIVE
NBR Freedom of Expression Award: PROMISED LAND

Top 10 Films and other lists after the cut.

Continue reading…

For our 12th Annual No Guts, No Glory you can name three potential upsets — like serious upsets — that might happen tomorrow morning. They have to be near impossibilities. But still within the realm of reality. Pick up to 3.

My three are:

1. Harry Potter for ensemble
2. Drive for ensemble
3. Demian Bechir for Best Actor

Let’s get this party started right. No Guts, No Glory – you get up to three choices and they have to be, preferably, really out there. I’d say picking Tree of Life, The Descendants or The Artist to win tomorrow isn’t out there. Picking Rise of the Planet of the Apes is.

Here are my three:
Best Picture — Moneyball
Best Actor — Damien Bichir, A Better Life
Best Actress — Charlize Theron, Young Adult

It’s the best I got. Do your worst.

Actual predictions you can make in our contest.

Well, here it is, folks Рour tired old ship has finally reached land and we mere days away from the Big Night.  The No Guts, No Glory is a tradition here at Awards Daily Рand a fun one.

Continue reading…

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