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Gold Derby Pundits Switch Argo

Gold Derby Pundits Switch Argo

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Remember the good old days when Les Miserables was going to sweep? Now Argo fever.

The State of the Race: Fumbling At Last Towards Final Oscar Predictions

The State of the Race: Fumbling At Last Towards Final Oscar Predictions

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  “You put too much stock in human intelligence, it doesn’t annihilate human nature.” ― Philip Roth, American Pastoral As we quickly glance behind to see 84 years of Oscar history already, each one of those years full of stories, moments of madness, glorious victories, regrettable choices that happened in an instant to reward films and actors that, for what looks like a minute, thrilled the privileged few enough to earn their…

Producers Guild Preview and Contest

Producers Guild Preview and Contest

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Awards Daily’s Predict the Producers Guild contest now open for business! Back in 1994 and before that, the Producers Guild nominees matched the Oscar Best Picture five fairly well.  But since 1995 and onward, there has been at least one mismatch. Usually the end of December would represent the earlier part of the race but this year everything is smushed together even more tightly than it has been in the…

Golden Globes Preview

Golden Globes Preview

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The HFPA are announcing their nominees tomorrow.   With all of the dates being pushed back this year, the Globes aren’t as early as they usually are so they might actually be more useful than they’ve been in the recent past. Although the HFPA takes a lot of crap for being bought and paid for by studios, and/or foreign journalists nobody can identify, the truth is that it doesn’t really…

Gold Derby Check-in – Most Say Les Miserables Will Win

Gold Derby Check-in – Most Say Les Miserables Will Win

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Over at Gold Derby, the world turns somewhat differently than it does at Movie City News.  Most at Gold Derby are favoring Les Miserables. Best Picture Les Miserables Dave Karger Matt Atchity Edward Douglas Pete Hammond Tariq Kahn Tom O’Neil Keith Simanton Alex Suskind Peter Travers Susan Wloszczyna Zero Dark Thirty Thelma Adams Michael Musto Steve Pond Kevin Polowy Jeff Wells Chuck Walton Lincoln Me Scott Feinberg Anne Thompson Glenn Whipp…

National Board of Review Preview and Predictions

National Board of Review Preview and Predictions

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The National Board of Review announces Wednesday.  While most people go on and on about how they don’t matter, the truth is that yes, they DO matter.  Any major awards precursor matters because they give a contender publicity and legitimacy, no matter who they are.   The National Board of Review really pushed Hugo into the race last year and set The Social Network up for its sweep of the…

Les Miz Takes Imaginary Lead at Gold Derby

Les Miz Takes Imaginary Lead at Gold Derby

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I have never believed you can trust people predicting a movie to WIN that they haven’t seen. It’s sort of like the choice between spitting in the wind and hoping it lands in the cup you can’t see, and just leaning over spitting the cup that’s already sitting there. Hope springs eternal when imaginary movies are winning imaginary Oscars.  It’s like imagining that perfect wedding day with a person you’ve…

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Movie City News Releases Gurus of Gold, Part 1, Post Toronto – Still Anyone’s Game

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A lot can change in a few weeks in an Oscar race that is back-loaded with some of the biggest films still to be seen – Flight, Lincoln, Les Miserables, The Hobbit, The Promised Land. It’s crazy making that these movies have not yet been seen. One thing is for sure – they won’t be killed by too much early hype – but at the same time, it will be…

Gold Derby Launches First Oscar Predictions for 2012

Gold Derby Launches First Oscar Predictions for 2012

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On the latest edition of Oscar Poker, Gold Derby’s Tom O’Neil was our special guest. His long-running Oscar site, which has been around as long as mine (formerly Oscarwatch.com) — roughly 13 years – has launched its 2012/2013 Oscar Predictions. Tom and I are old pals and he’s one of my favorite people to talk to about anything, but especially about the Oscars.  The two of us aren’t always right…

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Digging into Anne Thompson’s Oscar Predictions

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The frustrating thing about this time of year is how many of us must make “sight unseen” predictions. It’s a gamble – kind of like saying “I predict it will rain on Christmas.” Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. It’s most likely to rain so I’m gonna go with that. But Anne Thompson is one of the few who refuses to that, thus, her predictions are based on films she’s…