Dave Karger runs down the categories one by one, and is seeing True Grit as potentially the film to beat. Dave Karger is usually the one who does the early picks on EW and, as we all know, they are right at least three, but often four or five out of five. Here, he runs down the categories (smart of him since he is always being asked on Twitter about this contender or that).
About True Grit, Kris Tapley said he thinks it could Million Dollar Baby its way to a Best Picture win (with caveats). Based on the trailer, the subject matter and the fact that it’s the Coen brothers, it’s definitely possible. One thing I can say about The Social Network that no one else seems to be picking up on, though, is that it’s a major crowdpleaser that reminds me more of The Departed than anything else. Another thing to consider: almost every Best Pic winner in the past four or five years has been a film people thought was really great but couldn’t win Best Picture because it wasn’t “an Academy movie.”¬† The King’s Speech is also going to be a crowdpleaser.
Tapley also says there is no Hurt Locker this year. The thing is, by October, no one was really thinking about The Hurt Locker as being the big winner. This was also true about The Departed and No Country for Old Men. These movies weren’t sure bets until much later, after all of the other films released had failed to rise to the impossible expectations.
Will True Grit be Million Dollar Baby? Let’s take a stroll through Karger’s choices.