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Oscar Predictions: You Don’t Need a Weatherman to Know Which Way the Wind Blows

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Back in 1999, when Oscarwatch.com first began, the highest of priorities was to correctly predict the Oscar race.  There was only one other site, for the most part, that predicted the Oscars – Tom O’Neil’s GoldDerby.com.    Tom’s site collected mostly film critics who lined up to give their Oscar predictions every year.  The LA Times did theirs, with the help of Kenneth Turan, and no doubt the lot of…

Predict the Oscar Nominees!

Predict the Oscar Nominees!

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Gold Derby Pundits – Close Race so Far Between The Artist and The Descendants

Gold Derby Pundits – Close Race so Far Between The Artist and The Descendants

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Tom O’Neil’s Gold Derby, impressive assemblage of journalists, bloggers and critics predicts the Oscar race down to two movies — The Artist and The Descendants.  Once again we are faced with the odd position of having to predict films most have still not seen.  It appears that only three films fit that bill right now and those are War Horse, Dragon Tattoo and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close.  Some have…

Gold Derby on Base – Oscar Predictions Begin

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It’s always important to remember that Oscar predictions before all of the movies have been seen is not unlike spitting in the wind.  You might get lucky and hit your mark but most likely, it splatters every which way. Gold Derby now joins the fray and along with Gurus of Gold, two different groups with some crossover, many are predicting films that are still question marks.  I don’t trust anyone…

Oscar Index Has Streep and Fassbender Out Front, War Horse

Oscar Index Has Streep and Fassbender Out Front, War Horse

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Stu Van Airsdale has put up his Oscar Index and I was surprised to find he put Michael Fassbender for Shame first when many aren’t even predicting him to be nominated.  He also has Meryl Streep in first place, followed by Glenn Close and Viola Davis (doesn’t he read Awards Daily?). For supporting actress he has Octavia Spencer for The Help.   But he’s also put Melissa McCarthy from Bridesmaids…

S.T. VanAirsdale drafts Movieline's Oscar Index

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S.T. VanAirsdale has kicked off Movieline’s coverage of this year’s Academy Awards race with a broad view of top contenders on the horizon. “And They’re (Almost) Off: The Preliminary 2011-12 Oscar Index” Stu runs down the Best Picture, Director and Acting categories. Here is the list for possible directors: George Clooney, The Ides of March · David Fincher, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo · Gavin O’Connor, Warrior · Bennett…

Out on a Limb

Out on a Limb

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Very few Oscar pundits are out on a limb this year with their predictions. After a while, it seems a little pointless to build a chart where everyone is predicting exactly the same thing. We might as well have one list. But there are some risky choices that may or may not pay off. And those are: Anne Thompson, Thelma Adams, Anthony Breznican and Pete Hammond saying Annette Bening will…

The State of the Race: It's Time to Get Serious

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Today is the last day of balloting. By now, those who hold the key to Oscar history will have turned in their ballots, checking off those they like best. Pause to remember Sally Field’s acceptance speech (at this moment, you like me), and Luis Bu√±uel’s rejection of the whole thing (“Nothing would disgust me more morally than receiving an Oscar. Nothing in the world would make me go accept it….

AD's Big Fat Predictions Chart is UP

AD's Big Fat Predictions Chart is UP

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We are compiling them little by little, bit by bit. We will be adding more, changing, altering, taking away.  But so far, this is what we have in the preliminary stages.  Thanks to Marshall Flores for helping to gather the data and put it into spreadsheets. There is much left to do on it so be kind, rewind. MAIN | TECH

Final Predictions Taking Shape

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Both the Gurus of Gold and Tom O’Neil’s Gold Derby have been assembling predictions. ¬†We will be building our Big Fat Predictions chart some time today. ¬†The interesting thing to note is that, while most of the predictors are predicting a split between The King’s Speech for Picture (seems all but a certainty) and a win for David Fincher for The Social Network – has there ever been a case…