The State of the Race: Where the Oscars Go when Television Starts to Lead

The times, they are changing.  When True Detective aired, the buzz caught on slowly.  Folks were watching it but they weren’t really REALLY watching it. Around the time of episode 4 that started to change. Suddenly, the obsession ballooned to consume a global audience. How...
Posted On 13 Mar 2014

The State of the Race: Down to the Wire, Best Picture Still Set on Telluride Time

  The Gurus of Gold have been asked for the top three in all of the major categories.  How much has changed since September? Not a lot. If either 12 Years a Slave or Gravity win Best Picture, that continues the streak of the winning films getting their launch at the...
Posted On 23 Feb 2014

The State of the Race: The Eddie Keeps the Race Wide Open – Enter Captain Phillips

Last night in the Arlington theater I sat next to the Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg. We were talking Best Picture. “Virtually any movie can win,” he said. “In the era of the preferential ballot we have no idea how the votes will go down.” With...
Posted On 08 Feb 2014

The State of the Race: Academy’s Choice Embrace the Future or Redefine the Past

“Change will not come if we wait for some other person, or if we wait for some other time. We are the ones we’ve been waiting for. We are the change that we seek.” ― Barack Obama There are many ways to interpret the upcoming choice for Best Picture the Academy will be...
Posted On 04 Feb 2014

The State of the Race: The Stuff that Dreams are Made On

“We are such stuff as dreams are made on, and our little life is rounded with a sleep.” Oscar ballots don’t go out until February 14th. That’s two whole weeks of madness that might occur just as ballots are sailing out to voters’ mailboxes. It’s too quiet....
Posted On 30 Jan 2014

The State of the Race: Guilds Split Three Ways, Gravity has Edge

For the first time since the Academy expanded the Best Picture race to more than 5 nominees, the industry seems divided between three strong films. The actors branch clearly loves David O. Russell’s American Hustle, giving it nominations in all four acting categories, plus...
Posted On 26 Jan 2014

The State of the Race: A Wolf Crashes the Party

The early morning streets of Los Angeles were virtually empty as I drove down Wilshire towards the Academy theater. Nothing the Academy does is ever, to borrow a term my mother often uses, “half-assed.” Parking was easy. Getting into the theater, easy. A lavish breakfast spread...
Posted On 16 Jan 2014

The State of the Race: Flirting with the Edges of Making History

Much of the world tuned in last night to watch Tina Fey and Amy Poehler host the Golden Globes with effortless snark, smoothly spanxed into their evening gowns. Their jokes overflowed like the alcohol that is always the unintended guest of honor at these soirees.  With Oscar...
Posted On 13 Jan 2014

The State of the Race: American Hustle Takes the Lead to win Best Picture

In all of the ways people think the Oscar race is predictable it always turns out to be surprising when the dust settles. There is no point in not saying what is the obvious writing on the wall — David O. Russell will finally collect the big Oscar for directing as American...
Posted On 06 Jan 2014

The State of the Race: The Shifting Best Picture

When looking for Best Picture, you’re usually looking for a five key factors: 1) it’s a likable, celebratory film filled with lots of (sometimes popular) actors (Chicago, Argo) 2) it’s historically too important to ignore (Schindler’s List, The Hurt...
Posted On 24 Dec 2013