70 responses

  1. jorgejorge
    December 16, 2013

    no live streaming?

  2. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    If these “critics” nominate LEE DANIEL’S THE BUTLER they will have given up the game, again. They nominate 10 right? How can they not nominate HER and INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS? They have to right, these critics?

  3. Paddy Mulholland
    December 16, 2013

    Christophe provided this link the other day. Dunno yet if it works, but I’m gonna give it a go like:

    http://ktla.com/live/#axzz2nZyg86rm

  4. Ra S.
    December 16, 2013

    alright, lets go Saving Mr. Banks, Rush,and Gravity

  5. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Anyone know what time or do they get to amend their predictions (i.e., ballots) in line with the latest developments and even reach a consensus? so there’d be no set time?

  6. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    And that link does work

  7. efe
    December 16, 2013

    Wolf and Hustle really need a strong showing in this one.

    And by the way NGNG, Her leads with 11 nominations.

  8. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    @Bryce

    Nominations announced in 15 minutes…

  9. Giacinto
    December 16, 2013

    Hope Amy Adams gets in!

  10. JESUS
    December 16, 2013

    OMGosh, so excited!

  11. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Thanks, Christophe

    They’re on folks!

  12. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Scarlett Johansson!!!!!!!!!!!

  13. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Brie Larson!!!!!!!!!

  14. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    Did I hear right? David is gonna be so psyched!

  15. Jordan
    December 16, 2013

    Poor Amy Adams. She was the only AH actor to get left off :(

  16. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    No Sally Hawkins??? Suckers!

  17. Jeremy
    December 16, 2013

    Leo getting snubbed again, not a good look. Then again, Waltz wasn’t even nominated last year and he won, so keep hope alive, Leo fanboys.

  18. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    And other than Larson and Johansson. Those are nothing special.

    LOL 6 for Best Director because God forbid we don’t cover all bases. Cop out.

  19. Vily
    December 16, 2013

    It’s really weird. Leo was not nominated for Best Actor instead of Bale (what?!?) but then he is nominated for Best Comedy Actor and Dern isn’t. Interesting!

  20. Jerry Grant
    December 16, 2013

    Pretty predictable–but in that sense–good list.

    I’m totally fine with _Butler_ being left out, but honestly _Dallas Buyers Club_ was about as good as _The Butler_, in the sense that both have very strong aspects and good performances, but also end up buckling into conventional tropes, and end up being three-and-a-half-star movies.

  21. Jerry Grant
    December 16, 2013

    No DiCaprio = no good

  22. phantom
    December 16, 2013

    Kudos for the bold Johansson nod, everything else was pretty expected. If Hustle turns into a force to reckon with Bale could make it, but what if Wolf will emerge spectacularly, too ? Who will get snubbed from the Ejiofor-McConaughey-Dern-Hanks-Redford quintet to make room for those two or at least for one of them ?

    The Best Actress race is just too tight this year, the campaign strategists of AH should seriously reconsider Adams’ category placement, she COULD make it in supporting. Internal competition in that category is overrated as a damaging factor, Adams herself managed to make the cut TWICE accompanied by co-stars.

  23. Paddy Mulholland
    December 16, 2013

    So wait, the ‘Best Actor in an Action Movie’ / ‘Best Actress in a Comedy’ categories are only for lead actors? Cos Jennifer Lawrence isn’t nominated in there. And they fucking adore her. Like she’s had about 20 BFCA nominations. But then James Gandolfini is. And they’ve nominated him for Best Supporting Actor.

    Baffling, as usual.

  24. bennett
    December 16, 2013

    These nominations are simply not consistant, they don’t work as a complete and harmonic system. Let’s take an example: Sandra Bullock is nominated for Best Actress in an Action Film for Gravity, which is one of the BEST PICTURES of the Year (whose director IS nominated himself). So, we think they really love Gravity. But, instead, it’s not even nominated for BEST ACTION film, a category that does not include any of the BEST PICTURE films.

    Incoherent.

    in my opinion, CC should’n be considered as a relevant oscarmeter.

  25. Kim
    December 16, 2013

    I’m not that surprised Leo wasn’t nominated in Best Actor. Wells was crazy about TWOWS and called DiCaprio’s performance “legendary”. But judging from Wells’ BFCA ballot, Phoenix was legendarier and Redford was legendariest,
    If that kind of enthusiasm isn’t converted into a number one vote…

    Ah, well.

  26. Casey
    December 16, 2013

    Anyone wanna rank them with me? Would really like to see your choices in order (of their nominations):

    mine would be:

    BEST PICTURE
    1. Nebraska
    2. Her
    3. American Hustle
    4. Gravity
    5. 12 Years a Slave
    6. Inside Llewyn Davis
    7. The Wolf of Wall Street
    8. Dallas Buyers Club
    9. Captain Phillips
    10. Saving Mr. Banks

    BEST ACTOR

    1. Bruce Dern – Nebraska
    2. Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
    3. Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
    4. Christian Bale – American Hustle
    5. Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
    6. Robert Redford – All Is Lost

    BEST ACTRESS
    1. Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
    2. Brie Larson – Short Term 12
    3. Sandra Bullock – Gravity
    4. Judi Dench – Philomena
    5. Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks
    6. Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    1. Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
    2. Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
    3. James Gandolfini – Enough Said
    4. Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
    5. Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
    6. Daniel Bruhl – Rush

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    1. June Squibb – Nebraska
    2. Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
    3. Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniels’ The Butler
    4. Scarlett Johansson – Her
    5. Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
    6. Julia Roberts – August: Osage County

    BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS
    1. Adele Exarchopoulos – Blue Is the Warmest Color
    2. Tye Sheridan – Mud
    3. Liam James – The Way Way Back
    4. Sophie Nelisse – The Book Thief
    5. Asa Butterfield – Ender’s Game

    BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE
    1. Nebraska
    2. American Hustle
    3. 12 Years a Slave
    4. The Wolf of Wall Street
    5. Lee Daniels’ The Butler
    6. August: Osage County

    BEST DIRECTOR
    1. Spike Jonze – Her
    2. Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
    3. Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
    4. Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
    5. David O. Russell – American Hustle
    6. Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    1. Spike Jonze – Her
    2. Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine
    3. Bob Nelson – Nebraska
    4. Joel Coen & Ethan Coen – Inside Llewyn Davis
    5. Eric Singer and David O. Russell – American Hustle

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    1. Richard Linklater & Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke – Before Midnight
    2. Terence Winter – The Wolf of Wall Street
    3. Tracy Letts – August: Osage County
    4. Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope – Philomena
    5. John Ridley – 12 Years a Slave
    6. Billy Ray – Captain Phillips

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    1. Emmanuel Lubezki – Gravity
    2. Roger Deakins – Prisoners
    3. Phedon Papamichael – Nebraska
    4. Bruno Delbonnel – Inside Llewyn Davis
    5. Sean Bobbitt – 12 Years a Slave

    BEST ART DIRECTION
    1. Catherine Martin (Production Designer), Beverley Dunn (Set Decorator) – The Great Gatsby
    2. Andy Nicholson (Production Designer), Rosie Goodwin (Set Decorator) – Gravity
    3. Dan Hennah (Production Designer), Ra Vincent (Set Decorator) – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
    4. Adam Stockhausen (Production Designer), Alice Baker (Set Decorator) – 12 Years a Slave
    5. K.K. Barrett (Production Designer), Gene Serdena (Set Decorator) – Her

    BEST EDITING
    1. Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger – Gravity
    2. Thelma Schoonmaker – The Wolf of Wall Street
    3. Joe Walker – 12 Years a Slave
    4. Christopher Rouse – Captain Phillips
    5. Alan Baumgarten, Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers – American Hustle
    6. Daniel P. Hanley, Mike Hill – Rush

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    1. Catherine Martin – The Great Gatsby
    2. Michael Wilkinson – American Hustle
    3. Patricia Norris – 12 Years a Slave
    4. Bob Buck, Lesley Burkes-Harding, Ann Maskrey, Richard Taylor – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
    5. Daniel Orlandi – Saving Mr. Banks

    BEST MAKEUP
    1. American Hustle
    2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
    3. 12 Years a Slave
    4. Lee Daniels’ The Butler
    5. Rush

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    1. Gravity
    2. Pacific Rim
    3. Star Trek into Darkness
    4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
    5. Iron Man 3

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
    1. Frozen
    2. The Wind Rises
    3. Monsters University
    4. Despicable Me 2
    5. The Croods

    BEST ACTION MOVIE
    1. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
    2. Star Trek into Darkness
    3. Lone Survivor
    4. Rush
    5. Iron Man 3

    BEST ACTOR IN AN ACTION MOVIE
    1. Brad Pitt – World War Z
    2. Mark Wahlberg – Lone Survivor
    3. Henry Vavill – Man of Steel
    4. Robert Downey Jr. – Iron Man 3

    BEST ACTRESS IN AN ACTION MOVIE
    1. Sandra Bullock – Gravity
    2. Jennifer Lawrence – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
    3. Evangeline Lilly – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
    4. Gwyneth Paltrow – Iron Man 3

    BEST COMEDY
    1. This is the End
    2. American Hustle
    3. Enough Said
    4. The Heat
    5. The Way Way Back
    6. The World’s End

    BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY
    1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
    2. James Gandolfini – Enough Said
    3. Christian Bale – American Hustle
    4. Sam Rockwell – The Way Way Back
    5. Simon Pegg – The World’s End

    BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY
    1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Enough Said
    2. Amy Adams – American Hustle
    3. Melissa McCarthy – The Heat
    4. Greta Gerwig – Frances Ha
    5. Sandra Bullock – The Heat

    BEST SCI-FI/HORROR MOVIE
    1. The Conjuring
    2. Gravity
    3. World War Z
    4. Star Trek into Darkness

    BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
    1. Blue Is the Warmest Color
    2. The Hunt
    3. The Past
    4. The Great Beauty
    5. Wadjda

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
    1. The Act of Killing
    2. Stories We Tell
    3. Blackfish
    4. Tim’s Vermeer
    5. 20 Feet from Stardom

    BEST SONG
    1. Young and Beautiful – Lana Del Rey – The Great Gatsby
    2. Please Mr. Kennedy – Justin Timberlake/Oscar Isaac/Adam Driver – Inside Llewyn Davis
    3. Atlas – Coldplay – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
    4. Happy – Pharrell Williams – Despicable Me 2
    5. Let It Go – Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez – Frozen
    6. Ordinary Love – U2 – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

    BEST SCORE
    1. Arcade Fire – Her
    2. Steven Price – Gravity
    3. Hans Zimmer – 12 Years a Slave
    4. Thomas Newman – Saving Mr. Banks

    • Ryan Adams
      December 16, 2013

      That’s a fun project, Casey. I like this challenge.

  27. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    UPDATED OSCAR NOMINATIONS PROJECTION

    (Ranked by order of probability – 70% through – SAT / NBR / AFI / SAG / HFPA / AACTA / BFCA)

    BEST PICTURE: 12 YEARS A SLAVE / AMERICAN HUSTLE / GRAVITY / CAPTAIN PHILLIPS / INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS / THE WOLF OF WALL STREET / HER / NEBRASKA / SAVING MR. BANKS

    OUTSIDE LOOKING IN: DALLAS BUYERS CLUB / FRUITVALE STATION / PHILOMENA / RUSH

    BEST DIRECTOR: 12 YEARS A SLAVE / GRAVITY / AMERICAN HUSTLE / CAPTAIN PHILLIPS

    BATTLING FOR FIFTH: THE WOLF OF WALL STREET / BLUE JASMINE / INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS / NEBRASKA

    LEAD ACTOR: Chiwetel Ejiofor (12YAS) / Matthew McConaughey (DBC) / Tom Hanks (CP)

    BATTLING FOR FOURTH AND FIFTH: Bruce Dern (NEB) / Christian Bale (AH) / Leonardo DiCaprio (TWOWS) / Robert Redford (AIL)

    LEAD ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett (BJ) / Sandra Bullock (GR) / Judi Dench (PHIL.) / Meryl Streep (AOC)

    BATTLING FOR FIFTH: Emma Thompson (SMB) / Amy Adams (AH)

    SUPPORTING ACTOR: Jared Leto (DBC) / Michael Fassbender (12YAS) / Bradley Cooper (AH) / Barkhad Abdi (CP) / Daniel Brühl (RUSH)

    OUTSIDE LOOKING IN: James Gandolfini (ES) / Tom Hanks (SMB) / Geoffrey Rush (TBT) / Joel Edgerton (TGG)

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence (AH) / Lupita Nyong’o (12 YAS) / Julia Roberts (AOC) / June Squibb (NEB.)

    BATTLING FOR FIFTH: Oprah Winfrey (LDTB) / Sally Hawkins (BJ)

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: AMERICAN HUSTLE / BLUE JASMINE / HER / INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS / NEBRASKA

    OUTSIDE LOOKING IN: SAVING MR. BANKS / ENOUGH SAID / DALLAS BUYERS CLUB

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 12 YEARS A SLAVE / PHILOMENA / BEFORE MIDNIGHT / CAPTAIN PHILLIPS / THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

    OUTSIDE LOOKING IN: AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY / LONE SURVIVOR

  28. bd74
    December 16, 2013

    I guess we can now officially declare that the best actress category is set. So I hope that some people drop their pipe dreams about someone like Adele E r Amy Adams making it in.

    And a best editing nomination for 12 Years A Slave? What a joke! That was probably the weakest aspect of the movie.

  29. Jerry Grant
    December 16, 2013

    Just saw _Nebraska_ last night. I must say, I did not fall for it. I’m a big Payne supporter, especially _Election_ and _Sideways_, but also most of _The Descendants_. But this movie was too bleak and one-note–not three-dimensional enough for me. The dialogue is clearly not as humanistic or well-observed as Payne’s and Jim Taylor’s scripts. At times I thought, oh I see, this is like a minimalist Beckettian tragedy, with a plot somewhat like _Death of a Salesman_. Except it’s not as astute. I don’t know. Maybe I’ll have to watch it again. But it definitely did not strike me as one of Payne’s best attempts, and I do not see it finishing as strongly as _Sidways_ or _The Descendants_ did. Obviously the minimalist bleakness worked for people; for me, it didn’t fully work.

  30. Vily
    December 16, 2013

    Really don’t know what to make of the Leo’s “situation”

    He is not nominated for Best Actor but he is nominated for Best Comedy Actor. Bruce Dern is not nominated for Best Comedy Actor.

    So here are three scenarios that might unravel:

    1. Leo getting nominated at the BAFTA (huge), winning at the Golden Globes, getting nominated at the Oscars (amazing) and winning that Best Comedic Actor at the BFCA. Anything from that point on is BONUS.

    2. Christian Bale getting nominated at the BAFTA, winning at the Golden Globes, getting nominated at the Oscars and winning that Best Comedic Actor at the BFCA.

    3. Either of them getting nominated at the BAFTA or neither, neither of them winning at the Globes (losing to Dern), not get nominated at the Oscars and having to duke it out for the consolation BFCA award (and probably losing to Gandolfini).

    I really hope not for scenario #3 and dream about scenario #1 but putting Bale in front of Leo for that Best Actor today – what the hack was that? Maybe people just cast their ballot ahead of time or who knows?

    In any case, I feel bad for Leo. I know that he doesn’t have much of a chance of winning this year but an Oscar Nomination would be great for his confidence, going forward.

    I sense that they might go for McConaughey this year.

    What do you guys think?

  31. paulj
    December 16, 2013

    Nothing special about these nominations, but they really should stop with all that action/comedy/whatever nonsense.

    Poor Amy! She’s gonna have two best picture nominees at the Oscars and 0 acting nods:/
    And best actress category feels a bit like 2006 with Blanchett being (hopefully) this year’s Mirren.

  32. Rosie
    December 16, 2013

    BFCA made my jaw drop by not nominating Phoenix today, even though they obviously loved the film.

    It will make sense to me if Bale wins the Comedy category, given the fact he is the only one nominated in the “main category” (can we call it that?). But “making sense” is not something these awards seem to care much about.

    Vily, I like your scenario #1. :D

    (Sorry for eventual typos. English isn’t my first language)

  33. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    How can these “critics” have 6 slots for Best Director and not nominate Joel & Ethan Coen? Unconceivable. Get it together, “Critic’s” “Choice”!

    I love Gandolfini, but I have zero motivation to see ENOUGH SAID. What is it about? Looks boring. I just saw lesbian director Lisa Cholodenko’s LAUREN CANYON because I’m already updating my 2002 list, and I loved that movie. It’s the hottest Christian Bale has been in a motion picture. No contest. Seriously–>Adorable Bale. Is ENOUGH SAID similar? You know, like, fun?

  34. Kelly
    December 16, 2013

    I think it’s interesting that the Best Picture/Director races are again shaping up to be unusual for Oscar. I thought last year’s debacle with Argo was at most just a fluke based off sympathy votes for Ben Affleck’s lack of a nomination in the director category.

    This year, though the consensus seems to be shaping into this: Cuaron’s direction is better than McQueen’s even though 12 Years a Slave is the better film. This split might actually make history as one that can strongly be “predicted.” I guess only time will tell. They are both great films, but they are truly are apples and oranges, IMO.

    I’ll be curious to see which director the DGA chooses. Also curious about PGA.

  35. david
    December 16, 2013

    Brie Larson yes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Im going to be even more excited come Oscar morning when Larson gets an Oscar nomination

  36. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013
  37. Sammy
    December 16, 2013

    Christophe – You are underestimating Spike Jonze for the best director category. He is the candidate for that Haneke/Malick spot.

  38. Zach
    December 16, 2013

    Is The Butler dead? I don’t know, I don’t know…

    And then there’s Fruitvale Station. I’m surprised this isn’t doing better, given the urgency of the story.

    I’m also not sure what to make of Saving Mr. Banks anymore. It looks like a charming movie, but I feel like it’s been overestimated since day 1. Thompson is happening, but beyond that I’m not convinced yet. The Butler might take its spot as the sentimental sleeper hit of the year. The Butler was never going to have the critics on its side, like The Blind Side. More telling to me is that Banks didn’t do better today or with the Globes. (I wasn’t expecting a SAG nomination though.)

    Dallas Buyers Club is looking very possible too. It’s heavy subject matter, a very American film, and people have been waiting for McConaughey to do this for a whole year. I saw this as an early favorite, and it continues to do better than expected. That SAG nod was out of left field. Even today it cracked the top 10 over Fruitvale.

  39. JESUS
    December 16, 2013

    Best Picture – 12 Years a Slave (I don’t mind if Gravity wins)
    Best Actor – Chiwetel Ejiofor (I want Matthew McConaughey to win, though)
    Best Actress – Cate Blanchett (I don’t mind if Sandra Bullock wins, but this is impossible because Cate plays a crazy woman too well)
    Best Supporting Actor – Jared Leto (HE HAS TO WIN)
    Best Supporting Actress – I don’t know… Jennifer Lawrence? No, maybe Lupita Nyong’o. I want Jennifer Lawrence to win again this year.
    Best Young Actress – Adele Exarchopoulos
    Best Acting Ensemble – I don’t know… American Hustle, August: Osage County, or 12 Years a Slave. I don’t really care which one wins.
    Best Director – Alfonso Cuaron
    Best Original Screenplay – Her
    Best Adapted Screenplay – 12 Years a Slave
    Best Cinematography – Gravity
    Best Visual – Gravity
    Best Animated Feature – FROZEN PLEASE!!!
    Best Action Movie – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire PLEASE! Something tells me Star Trek into Darkness is big competition.

  40. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    @Sammy

    Pls note this is not a personal prediction, but the result of adding up noms after 7 major events. Right now Spike Jonze is a couple steps behind those I have listed as battling for 5th, though I could definitely add him as a dark horse.

  41. josh
    December 16, 2013

    I am telling you right now, do NOT count Adams out even though she’s not showing up places. She has the ‘fuckability’ factor. Not saying she’s going to get a nom, but I would never count her out either.

  42. josh
    December 16, 2013

    Seeing Inside Llewyn Davis on Thursday here in MPLS. CAN’T WAIT!

  43. Chris Price
    December 16, 2013

    Good: Scarlett Johansson, Bradley Cooper, Her getting Pic, Director, Screenplay and Score

    Bad: No Joaquin Phoenix, no Sally Hawkins, No Coens in Director, No Leonardo Dicaprio

    Otherwise par for the course.

    Per Casey’s request, here’s my Picture ranking. I might return later and do the rest:

    1. Her
    2. 12 Years A Slave
    3. American Hustle
    4. Gravity
    5. Inside Llewyn Davis
    6. Nebraska
    7. Saving Mr. Banks
    8. Dallas Buyers Club
    9. Captain Phillips

    N/A for Wolf Of Wall Street because I haven’t seen it yet.

  44. unlikely hood
    December 16, 2013

    6 noms per category? Wimps.

    I feel like Vily is the voice of the common man. I think non-obsessed Americans casually wonder why DiCaprio doesn’t yet have an Oscar.

    Sasha explained it better a few years ago…there’s something about being young and handsome and a leading man that doesn’t usually translate to Oscar wins…notice Brad Pitt, Matt Damon, Tom Cruise, Will Smith, and a lot of other leads are still Oscar-less.

    One reason that I think DiCaprio seems to stand apart from this group is that he doesn’t do TV cameos (I don’t count the Lakers), doesn’t show up in weird ensembles (or as Bill Simmons put it the other day, you’d never catch him taking $5 mil to play Rashida Jones’ boyfriend in Valentine’s Day)…has he made ANY film, ever, that couldn’t have been considered for an Oscar? (Like horror or Soderberghian avant-garde?)

    He’s kind of our modern Jack Nicholson – up until Batman (that’s 20 years since Easy Rider), *everything* Nicholson did was at least plausible as a major Oscar contender. But it’s 16 years since Titanic…16 years after Easy Rider, Jack had two golden boys. Perhaps that’s why casual fans – and Vily – are like WTF?!?!?

  45. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    @unlikely hood

    The Beach? I actually liked it very much but it’s often cited as his one bad movie, it was more of a teenagers’/young adult flick so not necessarily critics’ catnip…

  46. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    has he made ANY film, ever, that couldn’t have been considered for an Oscar? (Like horror or Soderberghian avant-garde?)

    This is key. Digressing a bit from the subject of his history with Oscar. I’d also suggest that as talented and picky as Leo is, he hasn’t really led any Sight&Sound pretenders (CHINATOWN, FIVE EASY PIECES, THE PASSENGER, THE SHINING, and even I have to admit it CUCKOO’S NEST) I don’t anticipate many of his films to be classics in 50 years. TITANIC, of course, where he was perfect though not exactly a virtuoso showcase that film, but what else?

  47. daveinprogress
    December 16, 2013

    @unlikely hood – yes, i’m with you on the Leo theories. I think in 20 years time, he will be afforded the Jeff Bridges, even Al Pacino reverence for a body of work that is pretty solid and fascinating, partic his work with artists like Spielberg, Nolan, Lurhmann, Scorsese and Eastwood.Standing ovations and honorary oscar awaits.

  48. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Ok got two more. CATCH ME IF YOU CAN and maaaybe just maybe INCEPTION. I won’t bet the house on the Nolan film being re-watched 20 years from now.

  49. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    @Bryce

    Favorite Leo’s films (except Titanic oc.): Gangs of New York, The Aviator, The Great Gatsby

    Least favorite: J. Edgar

    Haven’t seen yet: The Man in the Iron Mask, Shutter Island, Revolutionary Road, The Wolf of Wall Street, Total Eclipse

  50. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Oh damn, Christophe,

    thanks for reminding me…and here’s me somewhat backtracking now

    You have to see REVOLUTIONARY ROAD, that is a masterpiece! And Leo was armed robbed of a Best Actor nomination. TOTAL ECLIPSE was OK, but it’s arguably his most mischievous role, so worth for that!

  51. Tero Heikkinen
    December 16, 2013

    These guys try to rival Golden Globes, but it’s not gonna happen any time soon.

    Nominating six in major categories plus the genre-categories to increase the chance of some stars arriving to the television show. Leo will not come to pick up Best Comedic Actor unless he has a chance to get drunk with Scorsese at the same table.

    Hint for this show’s organisers. Get a funny host this time. It could help.

  52. SallyinChicago
    December 16, 2013

    If anybody thinks that James Franco will be nom’d at Oscar or even win, you’re smoking dope. The man is imploding on the internet with his druggie instagram. How do you think Oscar voters will take to that?

  53. Bryce Forestieri
    December 16, 2013

    Sally,

    Nobody’s surprised/shocked by Franco’s antics at this point. The performance is the performance. You either liked it or you didn’t. But so far, not even its biggest proponents (e.g., Forestieri) are predicting a nomination.

  54. Tero Heikkinen
    December 16, 2013

    Actually, Leo could be one major star that WILL attend. He’s a producer of WOLF, he made three pictures in a row and is taking a long break now (=free time), and he also has The Great Gatsby somewhat represented. Plus he has TWO nominations (Comedic and Ensemble).

    A lot of people are still calling WOLF the best movie of the year. I’ll see it tomorrow, so maybe I will love it. I sure have high expectations.

    PS: Nothing wrong with The Beach. It’s a really good film.

  55. Vily
    December 16, 2013

    Not that it matters much but I think the one thing that will determine whether the Academy just hates Leo or not will be whether they’ll at least nominate him as a producer of The Wolf of Wall Street.

    If they won’t nominate him as an actor (which would be a shame, really) but let’s say it’s because it’s a crowded year, etc., they’d better at least nominate him as a producer. It would be a small consolation price, etc.

    If, however they discover some lame excuse not to consider his involvement worthy of a producer nod, then for sure we’ll know that the Academy just hates Leo.

    I can’t stand this BS double standard. If Jennifer Lawrence can act like a cocky sexy bitch – and the Academy eats it up, why the heck can’t they do the same with Leo. A sexy, arrogant prick?! The bullshit double standard infuriates me.

    I can already see the snub and it’s pissing me off. Can’t they for once pay some respect to the dude – at Dern’s expense for example?! Where the heck has Dern been all these years?!

    PS. I like the Beach also. J Edgar was meh.

  56. Antoinette
    December 16, 2013

    I’m just seeing these now and I have one comment that has to come out. I can’t stifle it. I was going to try but it’s not happening.

    Evangeline Lilly nearly ruined the Desolation of Smaug with whatever kind of incredulous staring Soap Opera type acting she was doing. Don’t get me wrong, her elf friends helped. Lee Pace and Orlando Bloom also seemed to be suffering from the same elfin acting affliction but they didn’t get nominated for an acting award. I watched 6 seasons of LOST as it aired from the premiere to the finale. She was fine on that show, but something really weird happened here. I know she’s beautiful and she seems like a nice lady. If I had a penis I’d probably do my best to invite her to all my parties. But no, just no. If they can’t come up with actual worthy performances for their cacamamie categories, then stop having cacamamie categories

    End of rant.

    Until I think of another one. :)

  57. brandz
    December 16, 2013

    6 nominees in the acting categories seems like a cop out to me.

    And with Casey’s rankings, I sure hope he’s seen every single film he ranked.

  58. unlikely hood
    December 16, 2013

    Bryce – you’re right but…what could he have done that could have been that canonized? I mean, other than Titanic, what were the other films he *might* have been in? I think the main three Charlie Kaufman films are headed to that canon – Being John Malkovich, Adaptation, and Eternal Sunshine – but they try to cast 40ish people (like Phoenix in Her). He’s only just coming up on that age. There wasn’t a part for him in Lord of the Rings or No Country for Old Men.

    I think Inception will be remembered well…if we’re remembering it correctly at all (oooooooooooooooo)

    Now that I think about it, Man in the Iron Mask was perhaps the least likely to get any award nomination. The Beach was at least Boyle’s followup to Trainspotting and could have (but didn’t) compete in writing and technical categories.

    I thought J. Edgar was – not terrible. The last 30 minutes lost me a bit.

    Antoinette: you watched every episode of Lost? Sorry.

    (I am just as sorry for myself. Oh, that church, that 6th season sideways timeline that revealed absolutely nothing…grrr)

    My bottom line: Leo should spend the next year working with Charlie Kaufman.

  59. Vily
    December 16, 2013

    It’s safe to say that this year is an opportunity lost for Leo. The good news is that objectively, his performance is really amazing (nomination or not). I.E, he is improving as an actor and that’s awesome, he is not stagnating and that’s great.

    Next year, I am actually looking forward to Joaquin Phoenix’s next outing with Paul T Anderson – Inherent Vice.

    As for Leo, he should probably take a break – really evaluate his career – it’s been 20 years with some amazing performances and really a great badass performance in TWOWS. I think he has an upcoming project with David O’Russel and De Niro amongst others.

    Maybe he should try working with Paul T Anderson as well. I’m any case, he shouldn’t rush into a stupid action role. We’ll see though. I would love to see a movie with him and Phoenix together. That would be awesome…

  60. Antoinette
    December 16, 2013

    Leo’s fatal mistake was pushing for BLOOD DIAMOND. If you guys recall, THE DEPARTED had a massive cast and no one knew where to put anyone, who was lead, etc. Well I thought Leo should have pushed for lead in THE DEPARTED. I honestly think he could have won that year. Because had he gone all-in for THE DEPARTED , instead of BLOOD DIAMOND, which might have seemed on the surface to be a more “important” film and therefore more “Oscar worthy”, I think he would have won. The reason why no one wanted to go into lead that year was Forest Whitaker in THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND. We all knew he was going to win the Oscar, even those of us who hadn’t seen it, which was almost everyone. There was even a skit I remember on Saturday Night Live where one of the characters said something like “Oh… Forest Whitaker was so great in LAST KING OF SCOTLAND. I can’t wait to see it.”

    Anyhoo, had Leo or his people or whoever gone lead for THE DEPARTED, they would have brought up the issue of category fraud, which no one did because no one saw THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND until after the Oscars. Had someone campaigned against Whitaker we all would have realized that he was actually Supporting and that would have forced Whitaker into the Supporting category and then they both would have had Oscars that year. But instead Leo’s got nothing. And there ain’t one person out there who ever watched BLOOD DIAMOND again.

    Since then, Leo’s second fatal mistake has been playing real people. It is my theory that he’s better at creating characters. When he plays real people I think it comes off as trying to hard for an Oscar. His best roles in my opinion were in the films when he played fictional characters. He should have been in last year for Calvin Candie, but that movie broke too late. TWOWS might be the same thing but he’s playing a real person again so… Billy Costigan, Jack Dawson, Cobb, Arnie Grape… these are all his best roles.

    So my plan of action. Create a great character, campaign early, and just let it happen.

  61. Chris Price
    December 16, 2013

    Leo Movies That Will Live On 20 Years From Now:

    Titanic
    Catch Me If You Can
    The Aviator
    The Departed
    Inception
    The Wolf Of Wall Street? (haven’t seen yet)

    The Ones That Maybe Will Be Remembered:

    Revolutionary Road
    Gangs Of New York
    What’s Eating Gilbert Grape
    Django Unchained

  62. lucy
    December 16, 2013

    I AGREE WITH YOU ANTOINETTE, PLAYING FICTIONAL CHARACTERS IS MORE DIFFICULT THAN PLAYING BIOGRAPHIC ROLES, I EVEN ADMIRED MORE WITH ACTORS OR ACTRESSES PLAYING FICTIONAL ONES AS IT TAKES A LOT OF SKILL WITHOUT GOING OVER THE TOP LIKE MOST BIOGRAPHIC ROLES.

  63. Jason Travis
    December 16, 2013

    I like Leonardo DiCaprio, but I am very divisive when it comes to what roles deserved him Oscar acclaim. I will showcase below my opinion:

    [i]What’s Eating Gilbert Grape?[/i] (1993)
    OSCAR NOMINATION? Yes
    LOST TO: Tommy Lee Jones, [i]The Fugitive[/i]

    Arguably his finest hour; demonstrating emotional range as a mentally challenged boy who looks up to his older brother (Johnny Depp), and has heartbreak concerning his mother. Probably close to winning, but 1993 was a tough year for this race- and Ralph Fiennes ([i]Schindler’s List[/i]) was truly the best in show.

    [i]The Basketball Diaries[/i] (1995)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    Underrated dark turn by DiCaprio as a drug-addicted troubled teenager. An impressive turn and an indication that great things were to come in his future.

    [i]Marvin’s Room[/i] (1996)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    Along with an all-star cast that included Meryl Streep, Diane Keaton and Robert De Niro, DiCaprio is a standout as another troubled teenager dealing with mental institutions and his controlling mother (Streep), along with finding life connection with Oscar-nominated Keaton. Although he wasn’t expected to be cited, it’s a sweet turn.

    [i]Titanic[/i] (1997)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    The film landed 14 nominations, and Kate Winslet and Gloria Stuart were nodded. DiCaprio was not, but I don’t blame the academy. His Jack Dawson role is not challenging or that interesting, but this could be the fault of the dense script (also not nominated), and is not a fault to DiCaprio’s potential offerings.

    [i]The Beach[/i] (2000)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    Fast, slick paced- with Leo in complete control. Worthy turn in a film many critics didn’t care for.

    [i]Catch Me If You Can[/i] (2002)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    Who could not love this- it’s mysterious and clever, and DiCaprio is perfectly cast. But the Best Actor race was all too strong (much like this year) for him to be remembered.

    [i]The Aviator[/i] (2004)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: Yes.
    LOST TO: Jamie Foxx, [i]Ray[/i]

    His best performance to date- intense, realized, mature. One of DiCaprio’s faults could be he always comes off like he’s a boy rather than a man (something that hurt him in [i]Revolutionary Road[/i])- but here we believe he’s Howard Hughes. He won the Drama Golden Globe and had Foxx not been in contention, he would have prevailed. The voters also loved the movie- with 5 Oscar wins including Cate Blanchett for doing Kate Hepburn.

    [i]The Departed[/i] (2006)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    DiCaprio is at the height of his acting game in 2006- with two major roles. This one, the one that should have earned him the Oscar nod, is versatile and electrifying- we finally remember and witness how sexy DiCaprio is, and chilling he can deliver a line.

    [i]Blood Diamond[/i] (2006)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: Yes.
    LOST TO: Forest Whitaker, [i]The Last King of Scotland[/i]

    While no one was beating Whitaker (AAW GGL BAFTA SAG NYC SOC LAC BOR), at least the academy nominated DiCaprio for something in 2006. It’s a good role, with South African accent galore and a (spoiler) – haunting death scene, but he was more impress in Scorsese’s Best Picture winner.

    [i]Revolutionary Road[/i] (2008)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    Sadly, this is his worst performance. A complete mess- almost reminded me of a bad high school play. Neither him or Kate Winslet are believable as a fighting 1950s couple. Every line predictable, every action is an eye-roll. Glad this was not remembered. He is much better than this.

    [i]Shutter Island[/i] (2010)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    This was a lot of fun! A film with a twist, and Leo playing a mad man. Completely underrated. I enjoyed every minute of it.

    [i]Django Unchained[/i] (2012)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: No.

    The film that should have won DiCaprio the Best Supporting Actor Oscar (not Waltz, who was still fine). He comes out swinging by winning the National Board of Review award (which should be considered the honor of death as many actors who win here don’t get nodded at the Oscars). Then somehow he keeps missing out. His villainous turn in Tarantino’s blood bath is so spot-on and frightening, I couldn’t believe he was overlooked.

    [i]The Wolf of Wall Street[/i] (2013)
    OSCAR NOMINATION: Time will tell.

    Good luck Leo- you will win your piece of the pie one day.

  64. Jerry Grant
    December 16, 2013

    Why haven’t they given Leo an Oscar yet?

    Academy members don’t detect a heart in him. There’s a big ol’ lovable guy behind Nicholson. Has Leo given them a performance since Gilbert Grape (or perhaps Titanic) that will make them weep, rather than them watch him weep?

    Leo’s performances always seem like physical feats. But they don’t often touch the viewers’ hearts. And the Academy is all about the heart.

    This is not a knock on the guy, I hope he gets an Oscar real soon. (I think _The Departed_ and _Revolutionary Road_ are his best work, and agree with Antoinette that he should have pushed for his work in the former.)

  65. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    @Vily

    Leo doesn’t need a break (at least not a big one), he’s already had a very succesful film this year and now has a critically acclaimed film that might prove succesful too. I’d say he’s as hot a commodity as he can be right now and he’s got plenty of very interesting projects in the future as a producer and/or actor. I’m not sure he needs to work with Russell or PTA or anyone else for that matter, methinks he’d better keep pursuing the projects he believes in

  66. Christophe
    December 16, 2013

    instead of chasing Oscar-friendly directors, that could backfire.

  67. Sato
    December 17, 2013

    How can they nominate Christian Bale (over Leo Di Caprio) and Bradley Cooper and not Amy Adams? And did they consider August:Osage County a comedy just like the Globes because Meryl should be in Comedy Actress…

  68. Gail Withers
    December 17, 2013

    I had a very vivid dream that these were the nominees- I usually am pretty good at seeing into the future; I am a professional psychic on my off time. Please only read if you don’t mind spoilers. There are some shocking omissions. Nominees not in alphabetical order. Forgive spelling, I am writing this based on the “signals” I got from spirits.

    OSCAR NOMINATIONS SHOCKING- BEST PICTURE BACK TO 5 NOMINEES; BULLOCK SNUBBED FOR ‘GRAVITY’.

    Best Picture
    “American Hustle”
    “12 Years a Slave”
    “Gravity”
    “Nebraska”
    “The Wolf of Wall Street”

    Actor
    Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years a Slave”
    Robert Redford, “All is Lost”
    Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Wolf of Wall Street”
    Bruce Dern, “Nebraska”
    Forest Whitaker, “The Butler”

    Actress
    Amy Adams, “American Hustle”
    Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”
    Adele Exarchopoulos, “Blue Is the Warmest Color”
    Judi Dench, “Philomena”
    Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County”

    Supporting Actor
    Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”
    Matthew McConaughey, “Mud”
    Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”
    Tom Hanks, “Saving Mr. Banks”
    James Gandolfini, “Enough Said”

    Supporting Actress
    Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years a Slave”
    Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”
    Margo Martindale, “August: Osage County”
    Octavia Spencer, “Fruitvale Station”
    Oprah Winfrey, “The Butler”

    Directing
    Alfonso Cuaron, “Gravity”
    Phillip Greengrass, “Captain Phillips”
    Steve McQueen, “12 Years a Slave”
    David O. Russell, “American Hustle”
    Martin Scorsese, “The Wolf of Wall Street”

    Adapted Screenplay
    “12 Years a Slave”
    “August: Osage County”
    “Before Midnight”
    “Philomena”
    “The Wolf of Wall Street”

    Original Screenplay
    “American Hustle”
    “Blue Jasmine”
    “Her”
    “Inside Llewyn Lewis”
    “Nebraska”

  69. Tero Heikkinen
    December 17, 2013

    Leo, to me, is what Hollywood is at its best.

    I don’t see him choosing great directors to work with to get a bloody Oscar. He seems to LOVE directors and works with the greatest ones because he CAN. Based on interviews, his film knowledge is quite up there and he looks like he is studying them to become one. Yes, he will definitely be a director some day. I see him directing powerful dramas that have importance to the planet (because that is what interests him the most and he uses his status/power/money for these). He’s already a skillful producer, as we know.

    And in some other thread, someone talked about his ladies and parties. Didn’t he already satirise his status in media in Woody Allen’s Celebrity? And he did it well.

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