The Gurus of Gold are predicting The King’s Speech to win the Oscar for Best Picture. They are also predicting Colin Firth for Best Actor and Annette Bening for Best Actress. The King’s Speech could then be in line, if they are right, to win Picture, Director, Actor, maybe Screenplay, maybe Costumes.
Let’s take a quick look back at the Gurus over the past few years around this time.
I am posting this from a different AD post that looked at history:
By the Gurus list last year in early November looked like this.
1. Up in the Air
2. Precious
3. The Hurt Locker
4. Invictus
5. An Education
6. Up
7. Nine
8. The Lovely Bones
9. Inglourious Basterds
10. A Serious Man
Avatar is next, at 11. Let’s do a little Gurus digging and analysis after the cut.
The year prior, the earliest Gurus chart I could find was November 18, 2008, here is how it looked:
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. Benjamin Button
3. Milk
4. Frost/Nixon
5. Revolutionary Road
Only one film was replaced off of this list. Funnily enough, though, the following week, Slumdog and Button had flipped.
Going back to 2007, in early November, more like now, it looked like this:
1. Atonement
2. No Country for Old Men
3. American Gangster
4. Charlie Wilson’s War
5. There Will Be Blood
Michael Clayton was number 6, Juno was trailing at 9.
Going back to 2006, we don’t have an early November chart, just a late one. It looked like this:
Dreamgirls
The Departed
The Queen
Babel
Little Miss Sunshine
So only Dreamgirls turned out to be wrong. Going back to November 2005, it looked like this:
1. Brokeback Mountain
2. Munich
3. Walk the Line
4. Memoirs of a Geisha
5. Good Night, Good Luck
I think this is a funny year because only one Guru, Jeff Wells, had Crash on his list. Kris Tapley had it at number 6.