The State of the Race: The Winners Circle

  “Fame you’ll be famous, as famous as can be, with everyone watching you win on TV, Except when they don’t because sometimes they won’t.” ― Dr. Seuss, Oh, the Places You’ll Go! The stealthy Oscar campaign behind this year’s stunning victory lap...
Posted On 03 Feb 2013

The Case for Argo – When Popular Directors Are Left off the Academy’s list

Since I spend so much of my time making a case for Lincoln’s much easier paths to victory than Argo’s, let’s talk a little about how Argo became the film to beat all of a sudden. First, let’s look at the structure of the race so far, then I want to take...
Posted On 31 Jan 2013

19th Annual SAG Awards spread the wealth; Lincoln leads with two wins

THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role DANIEL DAY-LEWIS / Abraham Lincoln – “LINCOLN” Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role JENNIFER LAWRENCE / Tiffany – “SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK” Outstanding Performance by a...
Posted On 27 Jan 2013

The State of the Race: Argo Takes Back the Lead

  “And I’ll tell it and think it and speak it and breathe it, And reflect it from the mountain so all souls can see it, Then I’ll stand on the ocean until I start sinkin’, But I’ll know my song well before I start singin’ ” –...
Posted On 27 Jan 2013

Oscar Flashback – The Freak Years

We as Oscar pundits invest so much of our time into the Oscar race, nearly a whole year, that the narrative we have planned out tends to want prominence in our minds even when the stats are against it. In the 14 years I’ve been covering this race it always comes to this...
Posted On 16 Jan 2013

The State of the Race: By Three

  Oscar ballots are going out to 5,856 in the Academy.  Those ballots are then due back by January 3rd, the same day the Producers Guild announce their top ten for 2012.  We are down to the thick of it, and believe it or not, a general consensus is forming.  One line of...
Posted On 14 Dec 2012

The State of the Race: At War, In Love

So the multitude goes, like the flower and the weed That wither away to let others succeed; So the multitude comes, even those we behold, To repeat every tale that hath often been told. –A poem President Lincoln loved enough he once said about it, “I would give all I am...
Posted On 27 Nov 2012

The Case for: Argo

I’m not going to talk about whether Argo will or won’t. I’m only going to talk about how good it is and what a successful film it’s been this year. We’re used to Oscar years where most of the movies aren’t all that. Occasionally there will be...
Posted On 26 Nov 2012

Ben Affleck to Receive the Santa Barbara Film Festival’s Modern Master Award

A wonderful choice for a wonderful film festival. The SBIFF is one of the fests worth attending on the west coast because of its Executive Director, Roger Durling. It is his passion and knowledge about films, and the Oscar race, that drives the fest. It was announced yesterday...
Posted On 13 Nov 2012