Scroll to Top

We have our prelim chart up and running. You will notice from this year how diverse it (mostly) is. Some of the wild ones, I can dig it. If you just go with the flow you will always just do “okay” but never fly like an eagle. Main charts | Tech charts I would ordinarily wait a while before this is more complete but I’m getting too many emails asking...

Since it’s such a wide open Oscar race, since nothing like this has happened quite this way … ever … theories keep popping up everywhere. Moreover, there doesn’t appear to be a very strong consensus forming. The only thing pundits seem absolutely certain about is Argo winning Best Picture. The psychics know this and yet: In a survey of 50 Hollywood...

Even now, as Argo has won every major award heading into the race, when not a single other director in a wide open year, has pulled in a win, when, for the first time ever our contender tracker has NO wins next to the directors name, the Business Insider’s Kirsten Acuna, and many others, continue to push this false narrative, that Argo is the “longshot”...

I have never believed you can trust people predicting a movie to WIN that they haven’t seen. It’s sort of like the choice between spitting in the wind and hoping it lands in the cup you can’t see, and just leaning over spitting the cup that’s already sitting there. Hope springs eternal when imaginary movies are winning imaginary Oscars.  It’s...

The frustrating thing about this time of year is how many of us must make “sight unseen” predictions. It’s a gamble – kind of...

It has all come down to this, my friends. It has been a wonderful season here in the Grizzly Maze. Our work is done. Nothing left but the last of the desperately hungry bears and you know, the end of the season. You can’t come here and do what I do. You will die up here. Either which way, and however things worked out, our unsinkable ship set sail in May when it...

Scott Feinberg sent me his final predictions and I’d say they are squarely in the general consensus – he takes a few chances in the shorts categories but for the most part, it looks like what we can pretty much figure is the way the Oscars are going to go.  Gold Derby are firming up theirs, and the Gurus of Gold already put in their major predictions as well. When...

I have a few bones to pick with these guys – the first is that they say the only dark horse that can possibly beat The Artist is The Help.  I don’t think any film can beat it.  But it probably almost impossible for a film without a director nod nor a screenplay nod to win, even if all of the actors voted for it.  They also talk director.  The only reason...

Back in 1999, when Oscarwatch.com first began, the highest of priorities was to correctly predict the Oscar race.  There was only one other site, for...

Our contest is now closed! ...