Down to the Wire – One Last Look at Split Guilds, Split Oscars

The Gurus of Gold and Gold Derby have put out their predictions. No one is predicting American Hustle to win in Best Picture, which is really the only logical split vote scenario, being that the SAG ensemble win would be in play, as it’s been every time since the beginning...
Posted On 27 Feb 2014

Screen Actors Guild Preview and Predictions & No Guts, Glory

My No Guts No Glory: Big Bang Theory for Comedy Ensemble Oprah Winfrey for Supporting Dallas Buyers Club for ensemble Predictions after the jump. The SAG awards unfurl tonight as we march towards our consensus for what film will be named best of 2013, one of the best years for...
Posted On 18 Jan 2014

The State of the Race: It’s all Down to the Producers Guild

Pic taken from Boiseweekly The fate of Best Picture is now in the hands of the PGA. As we barrel towards the final deadline for Oscar ballots, there are still three films that are vying for the big prize.  Like most years in the era of preferential ballot, all eyes are on the...
Posted On 17 Jan 2014

The Prediction Game, and They’re Off

Gold Derby has assembled a ragtag group for the first predictions sweep (Movie City News’ Gurus of Gold will also post soon) of Best Picture. These are mostly spit in the wind choices, though I follow Anne Thompson’s lead by never predicting a film to win that I...
Posted On 20 Aug 2013

Big Bad Predictions Chart – It’s a Beginning

We have our prelim chart up and running. You will notice from this year how diverse it (mostly) is. Some of the wild ones, I can dig it. If you just go with the flow you will always just do “okay” but never fly like an eagle. Main charts | Tech charts I would...
Posted On 20 Feb 2013

50 Psychics Predict Lincoln to win Best Picture

Since it’s such a wide open Oscar race, since nothing like this has happened quite this way … ever … theories keep popping up everywhere. Moreover, there doesn’t appear to be a very strong consensus forming. The only thing pundits seem absolutely certain...
Posted On 20 Feb 2013

Clumsy, Outdated Narrative Keeps Presenting Lincoln as Frontrunner

Even now, as Argo has won every major award heading into the race, when not a single other director in a wide open year, has pulled in a win, when, for the first time ever our contender tracker has NO wins next to the directors name, the Business Insider’s Kirsten Acuna,...
Posted On 19 Feb 2013

Les Miz Takes Imaginary Lead at Gold Derby

I have never believed you can trust people predicting a movie to WIN that they haven’t seen. It’s sort of like the choice between spitting in the wind and hoping it lands in the cup you can’t see, and just leaning over spitting the cup that’s already...
Posted On 15 Oct 2012

Digging into Anne Thompson’s Oscar Predictions

The frustrating thing about this time of year is how many of us must make “sight unseen” predictions. It’s a gamble – kind of like saying “I predict it will rain on Christmas.” Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. It’s most likely to rain...
Posted On 15 Sep 2012

Oscar Predictions: You Don’t Need a Weatherman to Know Which Way the Wind Blows

Back in 1999, when Oscarwatch.com first began, the highest of priorities was to correctly predict the Oscar race.  There was only one other site, for the most part, that predicted the Oscars – Tom O’Neil’s GoldDerby.com.    Tom’s site collected mostly film...
Posted On 22 Jan 2012