PREDICTIONS

predictions

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Thanks to Marshall for helping to do this — down the wire and up late at night. We’re very appreciative. With a few big and little changes still to come – Main Predictions Here and Techs start here
evolution

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Gold Derby is paying out a cool $1,000 for the winner of this year’s Oscar prediction contest. Head on over to play. Tom O’Neil who runs Gold Derby asked me why, if I keep saying Birdman is going to win ...
oscars-3

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The end has come at last. The ballots are due on Tuesday though most voters have likely turned in their ballots. There is no turning around now. As we all know, many voters simply abstain from certain categories. Why? Because ...
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I guess all that chart building was not for nothing. My high score, I think, had to do with a last minute tip from a friend about Salt of the Earth in documentary, a preference for Mr. Turner in some ...
linklatercoltranepic

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One of the most slippery categories, alongside Best Picture, is Best Director this year. There is really no precedent to what we’ve been seeing at all. While on the face of it, the circumstances look like 2012 all over again, ...
Bale

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The Gurus of Gold and Gold Derby have put out their predictions. No one is predicting American Hustle to win in Best Picture, which is really the only logical split vote scenario, being that the SAG ensemble win would be in ...

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My No Guts No Glory: Big Bang Theory for Comedy Ensemble Oprah Winfrey for Supporting Dallas Buyers Club for ensemble Predictions after the jump. The SAG awards unfurl tonight as we march towards our consensus for what film will be ...
golden_globes__american_hustle

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Pic taken from Boiseweekly The fate of Best Picture is now in the hands of the PGA. As we barrel towards the final deadline for Oscar ballots, there are still three films that are vying for the big prize.  Like ...
LDBUTLER_GLOVE

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Gold Derby has assembled a ragtag group for the first predictions sweep (Movie City News’ Gurus of Gold will also post soon) of Best Picture. These are mostly spit in the wind choices, though I follow Anne Thompson’s lead by ...

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We have our prelim chart up and running. You will notice from this year how diverse it (mostly) is. Some of the wild ones, I can dig it. If you just go with the flow you will always just do ...

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Since it’s such a wide open Oscar race, since nothing like this has happened quite this way … ever … theories keep popping up everywhere. Moreover, there doesn’t appear to be a very strong consensus forming. The only thing pundits ...

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Even now, as Argo has won every major award heading into the race, when not a single other director in a wide open year, has pulled in a win, when, for the first time ever our contender tracker has NO ...

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I have never believed you can trust people predicting a movie to WIN that they haven’t seen. It’s sort of like the choice between spitting in the wind and hoping it lands in the cup you can’t see, and just ...
Beasts2

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The frustrating thing about this time of year is how many of us must make “sight unseen” predictions. It’s a gamble – kind of like saying “I predict it will rain on Christmas.” Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. It’s ...
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Back in 1999, when Oscarwatch.com first began, the highest of priorities was to correctly predict the Oscar race.  There was only one other site, for the most part, that predicted the Oscars – Tom O’Neil’s GoldDerby.com.    Tom’s site collected ...

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Our contest is now closed!

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When I was asked by Gurus of Gold to submit my predictions for Adapted and Original Screenplay I had to stop and think about it.  I’ve worn a groove over the years knowing how to predict in these categories.  Best ...

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Tom O’Neil’s Gold Derby, impressive assemblage of journalists, bloggers and critics predicts the Oscar race down to two movies — The Artist and The Descendants.  Once again we are faced with the odd position of having to predict films most ...

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Today is the last day of balloting. By now, those who hold the key to Oscar history will have turned in their ballots, checking off those they like best. Pause to remember Sally Field’s acceptance speech (at this moment, you ...

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