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Tag : PREDICTIONS

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Down to the Wire – One Last Look at Split Guilds, Split Oscars

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The Gurus of Gold and Gold Derby have put out their predictions. No one is predicting American Hustle to win in Best Picture, which is really the only logical split vote scenario, being that the SAG ensemble win would be in play, as it’s been every time since the beginning of SAG. They are divided between Gravity and 12 Years a Slave. More surprising, to me, is how many pundits are…

Screen Actors Guild Preview and Predictions & No Guts, Glory

Screen Actors Guild Preview and Predictions & No Guts, Glory

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My No Guts No Glory: Big Bang Theory for Comedy Ensemble Oprah Winfrey for Supporting Dallas Buyers Club for ensemble Predictions after the jump. The SAG awards unfurl tonight as we march towards our consensus for what film will be named best of 2013, one of the best years for cinema we’ve seen in a while. It was such a good year, in fact, that films like Inside Llewyn Davis…

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The State of the Race: It’s all Down to the Producers Guild

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Pic taken from Boiseweekly The fate of Best Picture is now in the hands of the PGA. As we barrel towards the final deadline for Oscar ballots, there are still three films that are vying for the big prize.  Like most years in the era of preferential ballot, all eyes are on the Producers Guild.  The Producers Guild use the preferential ballot with ten slots. The Academy will use the…

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The Prediction Game, and They’re Off

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Gold Derby has assembled a ragtag group for the first predictions sweep (Movie City News’ Gurus of Gold will also post soon) of Best Picture. These are mostly spit in the wind choices, though I follow Anne Thompson’s lead by never predicting a film to win that I haven’t seen (it’s tempting, hope springs eternal).  Therefore, I currently think, all things considered, that Alexander Payne’s sentimental, moving story of an…

Big Bad Predictions Chart – It’s a Beginning

Big Bad Predictions Chart – It’s a Beginning

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We have our prelim chart up and running. You will notice from this year how diverse it (mostly) is. Some of the wild ones, I can dig it. If you just go with the flow you will always just do “okay” but never fly like an eagle. Main charts | Tech charts I would ordinarily wait a while before this is more complete but I’m getting too many emails asking…

50 Psychics Predict Lincoln to win Best Picture

50 Psychics Predict Lincoln to win Best Picture

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Since it’s such a wide open Oscar race, since nothing like this has happened quite this way … ever … theories keep popping up everywhere. Moreover, there doesn’t appear to be a very strong consensus forming. The only thing pundits seem absolutely certain about is Argo winning Best Picture. The psychics know this and yet: In a survey of 50 Hollywood Psychics professionals, more predicted an Oscar win for Lincoln…

Clumsy, Outdated Narrative Keeps Presenting Lincoln as Frontrunner

Clumsy, Outdated Narrative Keeps Presenting Lincoln as Frontrunner

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Even now, as Argo has won every major award heading into the race, when not a single other director in a wide open year, has pulled in a win, when, for the first time ever our contender tracker has NO wins next to the directors name, the Business Insider’s Kirsten Acuna, and many others, continue to push this false narrative, that Argo is the “longshot” and Silver Linings the “Cinderella”…

Les Miz Takes Imaginary Lead at Gold Derby

Les Miz Takes Imaginary Lead at Gold Derby

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I have never believed you can trust people predicting a movie to WIN that they haven’t seen. It’s sort of like the choice between spitting in the wind and hoping it lands in the cup you can’t see, and just leaning over spitting the cup that’s already sitting there. Hope springs eternal when imaginary movies are winning imaginary Oscars.  It’s like imagining that perfect wedding day with a person you’ve…

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Digging into Anne Thompson’s Oscar Predictions

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The frustrating thing about this time of year is how many of us must make “sight unseen” predictions. It’s a gamble – kind of like saying “I predict it will rain on Christmas.” Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. It’s most likely to rain so I’m gonna go with that. But Anne Thompson is one of the few who refuses to that, thus, her predictions are based on films she’s…

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Oscar Predictions: You Don’t Need a Weatherman to Know Which Way the Wind Blows

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Back in 1999, when Oscarwatch.com first began, the highest of priorities was to correctly predict the Oscar race.  There was only one other site, for the most part, that predicted the Oscars – Tom O’Neil’s GoldDerby.com.    Tom’s site collected mostly film critics who lined up to give their Oscar predictions every year.  The LA Times did theirs, with the help of Kenneth Turan, and no doubt the lot of…