Statsgasm: Final Predictions for the 86th Academy Awards, Pt 2

by Marshall Flores As promised yesterday in Part 1, we have returned with Part 2 of Awards Daily’s final Statsgasm predictions for this year’s Oscars. Yesterday, we revealed Statsgasm’s forecasts in all the major and feature categories, so today we will unveil...
Posted On 26 Feb 2014
, By

Statsgasm: Final Predictions for the 86th Academy Awards, Pt 1

(NOTE: Updated and Expanded) by Marshall Flores Welcome to the final episode of Awards Daily’s Statsgasm for the 2013 Oscar season. We are now in the home stretch, and it’s time for everyone to fill out their ballots and enter their pools. If you haven’t done so...
Posted On 25 Feb 2014
, By

Statsgasm: Initial Predictions for the 86th Academy Awards!

By Marshall Flores Welcome to our special Oscar Nominations Day edition of Awards Daily’s Statsgasm. With the announcement of the nominees for the 86th Academy Awards a few hours ago, the final leg of yet another marathon Oscar season has commenced. If you weren’t...
Posted On 16 Jan 2014
, By

Statsgasm Hard Truth: Women, Aging and Oscar Stats

By Marshall Flores Behind the veneer of glitz and progressive utopia of Hollywood, there are a few hard, sobering truths. One of these is that inevitably, every actress encounters the stereotype Goldie Hawn once famously described in The First Wives Club: “There are only...
Posted On 15 Jan 2014
, By

Statsgasm Episode 5: the Art of Prediction

by Marshall Flores Willkommen zurück to Awards Daily’s Statsgasm. This is the 5th and last of the planned episodes I have for Statsgasm’s first run. But don’t be sad, friends – more entries will pop up if the occasion calls for it! I will certainly be...
Posted On 06 Jan 2014
, By

Statsgasm Episode 4: Best Picture Nomination Voting Simulation (Pt. 2)

[Note: Part 1, posted last night, gave us an intro to the simulation methodology] by Marshall Flores With that out of the way, let’s begin our simulation. “Hold on to your butts.” I’m going to divide the entire BP nomination process into three rounds, each...
Posted On 01 Jan 2014
, By

Statsgasm Episode 4: Best Picture Nomination Voting Simulation (Pt. 1)

by Marshall Flores Hello friends, and welcome back for another edition of Awards Daily’s Statsgasm! On this final day of 2013, we’re going to be taking a one-episode detour away from the art and science of AD’s prediction models. Instead, our focus today will be...
Posted On 31 Dec 2013
, By

Statsgasm – Week Three

by Marshall Flores Welcome to Episode 3 of Awards Daily’s Statsgasm. Last week I led a descent into deeper statistical madness by introducing regression analysis; hopefully I wasn’t Darryl Revok and didn’t induce too many Scanners-style exploding heads among you...
Posted On 23 Dec 2013
, By

Statsgasm–Week Two – Regression!

by Marshall Flores Welcome back for Part 2 of Awards Daily’s Statsgasm – a miniseries of posts that will lead up to the unveiling of AD’s first generation of Oscar forecasting models in January. Last week in the pilot episode, I began our descent into stats mania by showing...
Posted On 14 Dec 2013
, By