Anyone wondering how the Best Picture line-up might have shaken out if the number of nominees had remained a the traditional 5 can perhaps now get a clue from looking at how the 3 major guilds have rallied in near unanimous consensus behind the same 5 movies this month.
Looking back to last year, 5 films hit the PGA-DGA-WGA trifecta:
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- The Dark Knight
- Slumdog Millionaire
This year we’re seeing the same cluster …er, effect:
- The Hurt Locker
- Up in the Air
- (Inglourious Basterds, 2 out of 3, ineligible for the WGA)
Otherwise, those 5 films are firing on all cylinders and seem to have risen into the top tier, neatly dividing the 10 PGA nominees¬†in half, and hence becoming the most promising pool from which the likely eventual winner will emerge.
This is not earth-shattering news by any means, but our gut instincts have at last been quantified with rather reliable measuring sticks. Worth noting?